Final · 4 setsFri, Nov 6, 2026

Missouri St. def. New Mexico St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Missouri St. 54.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 6:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Missouri St. won at New Mexico St. 3-1 (22-25, 25-23, 26-24, 25-22) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Lexi Weinberg and Rilynn Finley led Missouri St. with 13 kills each; New Mexico St.'s Tess Fuqua had a match-high 15.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set1234Sets
MO ST222526253
NM ST252324221

Match story · written from the play-by-play

14 blocks, led by Hannah Redrow: Missouri St. won it at the net.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Missouri St.'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Missouri St. at 55%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Missouri St. 8–9 New Mexico St.

    6 straight Missouri St. points turned an 8–9 deficit into a 14–9 lead.

    Missouri St. 51% → 72%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Missouri St. 22–20 New Mexico St.

    Down 20–22, New Mexico St. scored 3 straight to lead 23–22. The match swung to New Mexico St.

    Missouri St. 68% → 44%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 3 · Missouri St. 23–23 New Mexico St.

    Missouri St. won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 26–24 and lead 2–1.

    Missouri St. 51% → 78%

New Mexico St. above 50Missouri St. belowMax swing 13.4%

Missouri St.New Mexico St.

Sideout %
Missouri St. 63.2·New Mexico St. 60.8
Break %
Missouri St. 39.2·New Mexico St. 36.8
Hitting
Missouri St. .159·New Mexico St. .151
Longest run
Missouri St. 6·New Mexico St. 4
Blocks
Missouri St. 14·New Mexico St. 114 BS · 20 BA vs 1 BS · 20 BA

Hannah Redrow
8 kills on .471, 11.5 points; 2 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

New Mexico St. above 50 · Missouri St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+13.4% MO STrally 192 · set 4

Biggest swing: 13.4% to Missouri St. — set 3, MO ST 25-24 NM ST. Kill by Jenna Walters (set by Halle Rillie). NM ST win probability 49% → 35%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MO ST 50.0%50.0% NM ST

Missouri St. wins

3-0
12.5%
3-1
18.8%
3-2
18.8%

New Mexico St. wins

3-0
12.5%
3-1
18.7%
3-2
18.7%
MO ST break %
40.6% vs this opp
NM ST break %
40.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Jenna WaltersKill+13.4%

    Kill by Jenna Walters (set by Halle Rillie)

    Set 3 · MO ST 25-24 NM ST · MO ST 51% → 65%

  2. 02
    Hannah RedrowKill+13.1%

    Kill by Hannah Redrow (set by Halle Rillie)

    Set 3 · MO ST 26-24 NM ST · MO ST 65% → 78%

  3. 03

    Hannah Gardner stuffed by Kate Sinclair & Maggie Lightheart

    Set 3 · MO ST 22-23 NM ST · NM ST 45% → 56%

  4. 04
    Hannah GardnerKill+10.3%

    Kill by Hannah Gardner (set by Halle Rillie)

    Set 2 · MO ST 25-23 NM ST · MO ST 43% → 54%

  5. 05
    Ashley HermanKill+9.5%

    Kill by Ashley Herman (set by Katrina Catalan)

    Set 3 · MO ST 23-24 NM ST · NM ST 49% → 58%

  6. 06
    Hannah RedrowKill+9.5%

    Kill by Hannah Redrow (set by Halle Rillie)

    Set 3 · MO ST 24-24 NM ST · MO ST 42% → 51%

  7. 07

    Kill by Maggie Lightheart (set by Makayla Martinez)

    Set 3 · MO ST 22-22 NM ST · NM ST 36% → 45%

  8. 08
    Chloe JuddKill+7.3%

    Kill by Chloe Judd (set by Halle Rillie)

    Set 2 · MO ST 24-23 NM ST · MO ST 36% → 43%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413432.28100020052.515.5
413736.1670001112215
48017.47100020153.511.5
48425.160250160010.58.5
43613-.23100250153.56.5
2000–000200000
48730.0330004012210
4011-1.0003211000002
4000–1202020002
4103.3332300800001
3000–010720001
Team totals5429157.15952546764201498
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415742.19000272010.515.5
411635.1430232002114
412627.2220003004214
49739.051110120031.511.5
43410-.10000000153.56.5
4000–2600900000
4308.37500000052.55.5
4000–9202010002
41011.00017031000001
4000–100100000
3000–010100001
3000–000000000
2001.000000000000
1103.333000100001
Team totals5530166.15154686651201194

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Missouri St. vs New Mexico St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MO ST · NM ST 4

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 6 MO STNM ST 4

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 3 MO STNM ST 4

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 6 MO STNM ST 3

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 4 MO STNM ST 3

Bars above the line = New Mexico St. leads, below = Missouri St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Missouri St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%12/17
38%6/16
2
69%11/16
52%13/25
3
67%10/15
17%2/12
4
50%10/20
44%8/18
5
75%9/12
31%4/13
6
53%8/15
38%5/13
All
63%60/95
39%38/97

New Mexico St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%12/22
41%7/17
2
61%11/18
29%5/17
3
77%10/13
29%4/14
4
47%9/19
44%8/18
5
75%9/12
40%6/15
6
62%8/13
36%5/14
All
61%59/97
37%35/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

192 rallies

#MO ST-NM STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MO STMO STAttack errMia Fox+2.5
21-1MO STNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.8
32-1NM STMO STAttack errMaggie Lightheart+1.8
42-2MO STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.8
53-2NM STMO STAttack errMia Fox+1.8
63-3MO STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.8
74-3NM STMO ST×6Serve errNew Mexico St.+1.9
85-3MO STMO ST×6AceRiley Ourth+2.7
96-3MO STMO ST×6KillHannah Gardnerset Riley Ourth+2.5
107-3MO STMO ST×6KillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+2.3
118-3MO STMO ST×6AceRiley Ourthaced Makayla Martinez+2.0
129-3MO STMO ST×6KillJenna Waltersset Halle Rillie+1.7
139-4MO STNM ST×4Attack errJenna Walters+1.0
149-5NM STNM ST×4BlockedChloe Juddblk Kate Sinclair, Maggie Lightheart+1.7
159-6NM STNM ST×4KillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+2.1
169-7NM STNM ST×4KillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez+2.5
1710-7NM STMO STServe errNew Mexico St.+1.9
1810-8MO STNM STKillKate Sinclairset Katrina Catalan+1.8
1910-9NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.aced Brooke Eslinger+2.9
2011-9NM STMO STServe errNew Mexico St.+2.2
2111-10MO STNM STServe errMissouri St.+2.1
2212-10NM STMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.2
2313-10MO STMO STAttack errMia Fox+3.0
2413-11MO STNM STKillMia Foxset Makayla Martinez+1.9
2513-12NM STNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+3.1
2614-12NM STMO STAttack errMaggie Lightheart+2.4
2715-12MO STMO STAttack errTess Fuqua+3.2
2815-13MO STNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.9
2916-13NM STMO STAttack errMaggie Lightheart+2.3
3016-14MO STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+2.0
3116-15NM STNM STAttack errRilynn Finley+3.5
3217-15NM STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+2.8
3318-15MO STMO STBlockedTess Fuquablk Chloe Judd, Jenna Walters+3.6
3418-16MO STNM STKillAshley Hermanset Makayla Martinez+2.0
3519-16NM STMO STKillJenna Waltersset Halle Rillie+2.6
3619-17MO STNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez+2.0
3719-18NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.aced Brooke Eslinger+3.9
3820-18NM STMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Riley Ourth+3.3
3920-19MO STNM ST×3BlockedJenna Waltersblk Maggie Lightheart, Kate Sinclair+2.9
4020-20NM STNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+5.3
4120-21NM STNM ST×3Attack errLexi Weinberg+6.1
4221-21NM STMO STKillJenna Waltersset Hannah Gardner+4.1
4321-22MO STNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+4.8
4421-23NM STNM STBlockedRilynn Finleyblk Mia Fox, Jaelynn Kohli+6.7
4522-23NM STMO STKillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+3.2
4622-24MO STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Makayla Martinez+5.5
4722-25NM STNM STBlockedRilynn Finleyblk Mia Fox, Ashley Herman+4.3
Set 2
11-0NM STMO STBlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Hannah Redrow, Rilynn Finley+1.8
22-0MO STMO STBlockedMia Foxblk Chloe Judd+2.6
32-1MO STNM STAttack errRilynn Finley+1.8
42-2NM STNM STAttack errLexi Weinberg+2.7
53-2NM STMO STBlockedTess Fuquablk Lexi Weinberg, Chloe Judd+1.9
63-3MO STNM STBlockedChloe Juddblk Mia Fox+1.9
74-3NM STMO STAttack errAshley Herman+2.0
85-3MO STMO STBlockedTess Fuquablk Jenna Walters+2.8
95-4MO STNM STAttack errJenna Walters+1.9
106-4NM STMO ST×3KillJenna Waltersset Halle Rillie+2.0
117-4MO STMO ST×3Attack errAshley Herman+2.7
128-4MO STMO ST×3BlockedAshley Hermanblk Hannah Redrow+2.5
138-5MO STNM STServe errMissouri St.+1.5
149-5NM STMO STKillJenna Waltersset Riley Ourth+1.7
159-6MO STNM ST×4Attack errRiley Ourth+1.5
169-7NM STNM ST×4Attack errLexi Weinberg+2.6
179-8NM STNM ST×4Attack errJenna Walters+3.0
189-9NM STNM ST×4AceNew Mexico St.+3.2
1910-9NM STMO STServe errNew Mexico St.+2.3
2010-10MO STNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Makayla Martinez+2.3
2111-10NM STMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.4
2212-10MO STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+3.4
2312-11MO STNM STAttack errChloe Judd+2.2
2413-11NM STMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.4
2513-12MO STNM STAttack errHannah Gardner+2.3
2614-12NM STMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+2.5
2714-13MO STNM ST×4KillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+2.4
2814-14NM STNM ST×4Attack errJenna Walters+3.9
2914-15NM STNM ST×4Attack errJenna Walters+4.2
3014-16NM STNM ST×4KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+4.2
3115-16NM STMO STServe errKatrina Catalan+2.6
3215-17MO STNM STServe errChloe Judd+3.1
3316-17NM STMO ST×3KillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+2.7
3417-17MO STMO ST×3Attack errMaggie Lightheart+4.5
3518-17MO STMO ST×3KillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+4.9
3618-18MO STNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+3.3
3719-18NM STMO STKillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+3.6
3819-19MO STNM STKillKatie Funkset Katrina Catalan+3.6
3919-20NM STNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+5.8
4020-20NM STMO STBlockedMaggie Lightheartblk Lexi Weinberg, Hannah Redrow+3.9
4120-21MO STNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+4.5
4221-21NM STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+4.3
4322-21MO STMO STAttack errTess Fuqua+7.1
4422-22MO STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+4.8
4523-22NM STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+5.9
4623-23MO STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+5.6
4724-23NM STMO STKillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+7.3
4825-23MO STMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+10.3
Set 3
11-0MO STMO STAceKya Johnsonaced Tess Fuqua+3.4
21-1MO STNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+2.4
32-1NM STMO STAttack errJaelynn Kohli+2.4
42-2MO STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+2.4
53-2NM STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+2.4
64-2MO STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+3.5
74-3MO STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+2.3
85-3NM STMO STKillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+2.5
95-4MO STNM STServe errRiley Ourth+2.4
106-4NM STMO STBlockedMaggie Lightheartblk Hannah Gardner, Chloe Judd+2.5
116-5MO STNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+2.4
127-5NM STMO STKillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+2.6
137-6MO STNM ST×3KillJaelynn Kohliset Katrina Catalan+2.5
147-7NM STNM ST×3KillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+3.9
157-8NM STNM ST×3KillJaelynn Kohliset Makayla Martinez+4.1
168-8NM STMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Brooke Eslinger+2.8
178-9MO STNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+2.9
189-9NM STMO ST×6KillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+2.9
1910-9MO STMO ST×6BlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Rilynn Finley+4.3
2011-9MO STMO ST×6AceBrooke Eslinger+4.2
2112-9MO STMO ST×6AceBrooke Eslingeraced Tess Fuqua+3.9
2213-9MO STMO ST×6KillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+3.4
2314-9MO STMO ST×6Attack errJaelynn Kohli+2.8
2414-10MO STNM STAttack errChloe Judd+1.6
2514-11NM STNM STAceMakayla Martinezaced Rilynn Finley+2.9
2615-11NM STMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.5
2715-12MO STNM ST×3KillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+2.0
2815-13NM STNM ST×3BlockedHannah Gardnerblk Kate Sinclair, Ashley Herman+3.7
2915-14NM STNM ST×3KillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+4.5
3016-14NM STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+3.5
3116-15MO STNM STKillKate Sinclairset Katrina Catalan+3.2
3217-15NM STMO STKillJenna Waltersset Halle Rillie+3.7
3317-16MO STNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+3.4
3418-16NM STMO STKillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+3.9
3518-17MO STNM STKillKate Sinclairset Katrina Catalan+3.5
3619-17NM STMO STKillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+4.1
3719-18MO STNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+3.7
3820-18NM STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+4.4
3920-19MO STNM STBlockedRilynn Finleyblk Mia Fox, Jaelynn Kohli+3.8
4021-19NM STMO STBlockedAshley Hermanblk Chloe Judd, Rilynn Finley+4.8
4121-20MO STNM STKillAshley Hermanset Paige Nelson+4.0
4222-20NM STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+5.3
4322-21MO STNM ST×3KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+4.1
4422-22NM STNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez+8.7
4522-23NM STNM ST×3BlockedHannah Gardnerblk Kate Sinclair, Maggie Lightheart+10.9
4623-23NM STMO STServe errTess Fuqua+7.2
4723-24MO STNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+9.5
4824-24NM STMO ST×3KillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+9.5
4925-24MO STMO ST×3KillJenna Waltersset Halle Rillie+13.4
5026-24MO STMO ST×3KillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+13.1
Set 4
10-1NM STNM STBlockedRilynn Finleyblk Mia Fox, Jaelynn Kohli+3.3
20-2NM STNM STBlockedLexi Weinbergblk Mia Fox, Jaelynn Kohli+3.3
31-2NM STMO ST×4KillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.2
42-2MO STMO ST×4KillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+3.3
53-2MO STMO ST×4BlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Lexi Weinberg, Chloe Judd+3.4
64-2MO STMO ST×4KillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+3.3
74-3MO STNM STAttack errChloe Judd+2.2
84-4NM STNM STAceMaggie Lightheartaced Kya Johnson+3.5
95-4NM STMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.5
105-5MO STNM ST×3KillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+2.5
115-6NM STNM ST×3KillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+3.7
125-7NM STNM ST×3AceMakayla Martinezaced Kya Johnson+3.7
136-7NM STMO STAttack errAshley Herman+2.5
147-7MO STMO STKillHalle Rillieset Paige Nelson+3.8
157-8MO STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Makayla Martinez+2.7
167-9NM STNM STBlockedHannah Gardnerblk Kate Sinclair, Tess Fuqua+3.9
178-9NM STMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+2.6
189-9MO STMO STAttack errTess Fuqua+4.0
199-10MO STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+2.9
2010-10NM STMO STKillJenna Waltersset Halle Rillie+2.9
2110-11MO STNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+3.0
2211-11NM STMO STServe errAshley Herman+2.9
2312-11MO STMO STBad setKate Sinclair+4.4
2412-12MO STNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan+3.1
2513-12NM STMO ST×3KillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+3.2
2614-12MO STMO ST×3KillLexi Weinbergset Paige Nelson+4.5
2715-12MO STMO ST×3KillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+4.1
2815-13MO STNM STAttack errChloe Judd+2.5
2916-13NM STMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.9
3016-14MO STNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+2.5
3117-14NM STMO STAttack errTess Fuqua+3.0
3217-15MO STNM STKillAshley Hermanset Maggie Lightheart+2.6
3317-16NM STNM STAttack errJenna Walters+4.6
3418-16NM STMO STServe errKatrina Catalan+3.7
3518-17MO STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Katrina Catalan+3.4
3618-18NM STNM STKillAshley Hermanset Makayla Martinez+5.8
3719-18NM STMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+4.4
3820-18MO STMO STBlockedAshley Hermanblk Jenna Walters, Hannah Redrow+6.2
3920-19MO STNM STKillKatrina Catalanset Jenna Walters+3.7
4021-19NM STMO ST×3BlockedMaggie Lightheartblk Lexi Weinberg, Hannah Redrow+4.6
4122-19MO STMO ST×3BlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Lexi Weinberg, Hannah Redrow+5.4
4223-19MO STMO ST×3KillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+3.4
4323-20MO STNM STAttack errRilynn Finley+1.1
4424-20NM STMO STKillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+2.1
4524-21MO STNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+0.6
4624-22NM STNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+2.1
4725-22NM STMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+3.5

Score shown after each rally, Missouri St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).