Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026 · Neutral site

Fordham def. Merrimack 3–1

Fordham beat Merrimack 3-1 (25-16, 25-17, 17-25, 25-22) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026 at a neutral site. Fordham's Tatum Holderied led with 11 kills, and Avery Lim added 11 digs.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set1234Sets
FORDHM252517253
MERMCK161725221

Win probability

Merrimack above 50 · Fordham below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.0% FORDHMrally 172 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.0% to Fordham — set 4, FORDHM 14-15 MERMCK. Fordham ace on Mckenna Shotwell. MERMCK win probability 11% → 9%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FORDHM 94.7%5.3% MERMCK

Fordham wins

3-0
54.7%
3-1
29.9%
3-2
10.1%

Merrimack wins

3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.5%
3-2
3.2%
FORDHM break %
51.8% vs this opp
MERMCK break %
39.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    FordhamAce+2.0%

    Fordham ace on Mckenna Shotwell

    Set 4 · FORDHM 14-15 MERMCK · FORDHM 89% → 91%

  2. 02

    Kill by Tatum Holderied (set by Giada Ianuale)

    Set 4 · FORDHM 22-20 MERMCK · FORDHM 95% → 97%

  3. 03
    FordhamAce+2.0%

    Fordham ace

    Set 4 · FORDHM 13-15 MERMCK · FORDHM 87% → 89%

  4. 04
    Sophia DeBonisAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Sophia DeBonis

    Set 4 · FORDHM 15-15 MERMCK · FORDHM 91% → 93%

  5. 05
    Sophia KuynAttack error+1.9%

    Attack error by Sophia Kuyn

    Set 4 · FORDHM 3-9 MERMCK · MERMCK 13% → 14%

  6. 06

    Kill by Mila Micunovic (set by Giada Ianuale)

    Set 4 · FORDHM 12-15 MERMCK · FORDHM 85% → 87%

  7. 07
    Mia IzzoKill+1.9%

    Kill by Mia Izzo (set by Sophia DeBonis)

    Set 4 · FORDHM 4-11 MERMCK · MERMCK 15% → 17%

  8. 08

    Kill by Elizabeth Kenney

    Set 4 · FORDHM 3-8 MERMCK · MERMCK 11% → 13%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411221.42902130334.517.5
49320.3000321010113
49425.20001132111.511.5
4305.600271260111.55.5
41310-.200010311013
3126-.167000001012
4000–6411100004
4000–300920000
2215.200000102024
1309.33300010111.54.5
1204.500000300002
1000–020000002
1046-.667001200000
1001.000000000000
Team totals4119112.1963614843111161492
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410732.09412313400012
49426.1920118100010
49217.41200000010.59.5
4417.429122102028
4018-.1252901700000
34415.000000111015
4000–2011320000
3000–030020003
31011.000110100002
3000–013000001
2438.125000110004
1000–010000001
1013-.33300000010.50.5
1001.000300100000
1000–000000000
Team totals4123118.153371111461432480

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 10 FORDHM · MERMCK 7

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 3 FORDHMMERMCK 2

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 7 FORDHMMERMCK 7

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 5 FORDHMMERMCK 7

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 10 FORDHMMERMCK 4

Bars above the line = Merrimack leads, below = Fordham leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Fordham

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
68%13/19
2
44%8/18
47%7/15
3
57%8/14
33%4/12
4
33%7/21
43%6/14
5
75%6/8
68%13/19
6
86%6/7
50%6/12
All
53%43/81
54%49/91

Merrimack

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
22%2/9
2
57%8/14
47%7/15
3
73%8/11
53%9/17
4
32%7/22
60%12/20
5
55%6/11
45%5/11
6
26%5/19
33%3/9
All
46%42/91
47%38/81

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

172 rallies

#FORDHM-MERMCKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0FORDHMFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Ozge Ozaslan+0.6
21-1FORDHMMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Jocelyn Hammerstrand+0.5
32-1MERMCKFORDHM×3Serve errMerrimack+0.5
43-1FORDHMFORDHM×3BlockedTamilore Afolalublk Bridget Woodruff+0.5
54-1FORDHMFORDHM×3Attack errJocelyn Hammerstrand+0.4
64-2FORDHMMERMCKKillKaitlyn Oxceusset Sophia DeBonis+0.4
75-2MERMCKFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+0.4
85-3FORDHMMERMCKKillMia Izzoset Sophia DeBonis+0.4
96-3MERMCKFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+0.4
106-4FORDHMMERMCKBad setAvery Lim+0.4
116-5MERMCKMERMCKAceMerrimack+0.6
127-5MERMCKFORDHM×3KillAvery Bootheset Avery Lim+0.5
138-5FORDHMFORDHM×3Attack errSophia Kuyn+0.5
149-5FORDHMFORDHM×3KillJohanna Franzenset Avery Lim+0.4
159-6FORDHMMERMCKKillMia Izzoset Devon Lowe+0.3
1610-6MERMCKFORDHMServe errMerrimack+0.3
1711-6FORDHMFORDHMAttack errMaiella Blandin+0.3
1811-7FORDHMMERMCKKillKaitlyn Oxceusset Devon Lowe+0.3
1912-7MERMCKFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Avery Lim+0.3
2013-7FORDHMFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+0.2
2113-8FORDHMMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+0.2
2213-9MERMCKMERMCKBlockedJohanna Franzenblk Kaitlyn Oxceus+0.3
2314-9MERMCKFORDHMServe errMerrimack+0.3
2414-10FORDHMMERMCKServe errFordham+0.3
2515-10MERMCKFORDHMServe errMerrimack+0.3
2616-10FORDHMFORDHMAceFordhamaced Mckenna Shotwell+0.2
2716-11FORDHMMERMCKBlockedBridget Woodruffblk Tamilore Afolalu+0.2
2816-12MERMCKMERMCKBlockedAndrea Stanojevicblk Mia Izzo, Maiella Blandin+0.3
2917-12MERMCKFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+0.3
3018-12FORDHMFORDHMBad setDevon Lowe+0.2
3118-13FORDHMMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Devon Lowe+0.2
3219-13MERMCKFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Avery Lim+0.2
3320-13FORDHMFORDHMAceFordhamaced Sienna Franks+0.1
3420-14FORDHMMERMCKAttack errSophia Kuyn+0.1
3520-15MERMCKMERMCKAttack errJohanna Franzen+0.2
3621-15MERMCKFORDHM×3KillAvery Bootheset Avery Lim+0.2
3722-15FORDHMFORDHM×3BlockedMckenna Shotwellblk Avery Boothe+0.1
3823-15FORDHMFORDHM×3AceFordhamaced Sienna Franks·
3923-16FORDHMMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Elizabeth Kenney·
4024-16MERMCKFORDHMAttack errJocelyn Hammerstrand·
4125-16FORDHMFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale·
Set 2
11-0MERMCKFORDHM×3KillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+0.3
22-0FORDHMFORDHM×3AceFordhamaced Mckenna Shotwell+0.3
33-0FORDHMFORDHM×3KillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+0.3
43-1FORDHMMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+0.2
54-1MERMCKFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+0.2
65-1FORDHMFORDHMAceFordhamaced Natalia Zelubowski+0.2
75-2FORDHMMERMCKKillNatalia Zelubowskiset Sophia DeBonis+0.2
86-2MERMCKFORDHMKillAndrea Stanojevicset Avery Lim+0.2
96-3FORDHMMERMCK×7KillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+0.2
106-4MERMCKMERMCK×7KillMia Izzoset Sophia DeBonis+0.3
116-5MERMCKMERMCK×7KillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+0.4
126-6MERMCKMERMCK×7KillNatalia Zelubowskiset Sophia DeBonis+0.5
136-7MERMCKMERMCK×7Attack errAvery Boothe+0.6
146-8MERMCKMERMCK×7KillNatalia Zelubowskiset Sophia DeBonis+0.7
156-9MERMCKMERMCK×7KillNatalia Zelubowskiset Sophia DeBonis+0.7
167-9MERMCKFORDHM×4Attack errNatalia Zelubowski+0.5
178-9FORDHMFORDHM×4BlockedNatalia Zelubowskiblk Tatum Holderied, Giada Ianuale+0.6
189-9FORDHMFORDHM×4KillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+0.6
1910-9FORDHMFORDHM×4BlockedMia Izzoblk Johanna Franzen+0.5
2010-10FORDHMMERMCKKillMia Izzoset Mckenna Shotwell+0.5
2111-10MERMCKFORDHMKillGiada Ianuale+0.4
2211-11FORDHMMERMCKServe errFordham+0.5
2312-11MERMCKFORDHMServe errMerrimack+0.5
2413-11FORDHMFORDHMBad setSophia DeBonis+0.5
2513-12FORDHMMERMCKAttack errBridget Woodruff+0.4
2614-12MERMCKFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+0.4
2714-13FORDHMMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+0.5
2814-14MERMCKMERMCKAceMerrimack+0.7
2915-14MERMCKFORDHMServe errMerrimack+0.6
3016-14FORDHMFORDHMAceFordhamaced Ella Maldonado+0.6
3116-15FORDHMMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+0.5
3216-16MERMCKMERMCKAceMerrimackaced Johanna Franzen+0.8
3317-16MERMCKFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+0.6
3418-16FORDHMFORDHMBlockedNatalia Zelubowskiblk Sophia Kuyn+0.7
3518-17FORDHMMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+0.6
3619-17MERMCKFORDHM×7KillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+0.6
3720-17FORDHMFORDHM×7Attack errJocelyn Hammerstrand+0.6
3821-17FORDHMFORDHM×7AceFordhamaced Jocelyn Hammerstrand+0.4
3922-17FORDHMFORDHM×7AceFordhamaced Ella Maldonado+0.2
4023-17FORDHMFORDHM×7BlockedMia Izzoblk Tatum Holderied, Johanna Franzen+0.1
4124-17FORDHMFORDHM×7KillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale·
4225-17FORDHMFORDHM×7KillGiada Ianuale·
Set 3
10-1FORDHMMERMCKServe errFordham+0.2
20-2MERMCKMERMCKKillKaitlyn Oxceusset Giada Ianuale+0.2
31-2MERMCKFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Ozge Ozaslan+0.2
42-2FORDHMFORDHMAceFordham+0.2
52-3FORDHMMERMCK×7Attack errTatum Holderied+0.2
62-4MERMCKMERMCK×7KillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+0.2
72-5MERMCKMERMCK×7Attack errJohanna Franzen+0.3
82-6MERMCKMERMCK×7AceMerrimack+0.3
92-7MERMCKMERMCK×7Attack errTatum Holderied+0.3
102-8MERMCKMERMCK×7AceMerrimackaced Ozge Ozaslan+0.3
112-9MERMCKMERMCK×7KillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Mckenna Shotwell+0.3
123-9MERMCKFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+0.2
133-10FORDHMMERMCK×3KillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+0.3
143-11MERMCKMERMCK×3AceMerrimackaced Johanna Franzen+0.3
153-12MERMCKMERMCK×3Attack errGabby Destler+0.3
164-12MERMCKFORDHM×5KillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+0.1
175-12FORDHMFORDHM×5AceFordhamaced Mckenna Shotwell+0.2
186-12FORDHMFORDHM×5AceFordhamaced Tamilore Afolalu+0.2
197-12FORDHMFORDHM×5Bad setElizabeth Kenney+0.3
208-12FORDHMFORDHM×5KillGiada Ianualeset Elizabeth Kenney+0.3
218-13FORDHMMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+0.3
228-14MERMCKMERMCKAttack errGabby Destler+0.4
239-14MERMCKFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+0.2
249-15FORDHMMERMCKServe errFordham+0.3
259-16MERMCKMERMCKAceMerrimack+0.3
2610-16MERMCKFORDHMServe errMerrimack+0.2
2711-16FORDHMFORDHMBlockedMckenna Shotwellblk Giada Ianuale+0.3
2811-17FORDHMMERMCKServe errFordham+0.3
2912-17MERMCKFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+0.2
3012-18FORDHMMERMCKAttack errJohanna Franzen+0.3
3112-19MERMCKMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Kaitlyn Oxceus+0.3
3213-19MERMCKFORDHMBlockedMckenna Shotwellblk Tatum Holderied+0.1
3314-19FORDHMFORDHMBlockedJocelyn Hammerstrandblk Tatum Holderied+0.2
3414-20FORDHMMERMCKAttack errGabby Destler+0.3
3515-20MERMCKFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+0.2
3616-20FORDHMFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+0.3
3716-21FORDHMMERMCKServe errFordham+0.4
3817-21MERMCKFORDHMServe errMerrimack+0.2
3917-22FORDHMMERMCK×4Serve errFordham+0.4
4017-23MERMCKMERMCK×4Attack errGabby Destler+0.3
4117-24MERMCKMERMCK×4AceMerrimack+0.1
4217-25MERMCKMERMCK×4AceMerrimack·
Set 4
10-1MERMCKMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Ella Maldonado+1.1
20-2MERMCKMERMCKBlockedAndrea Stanojevicblk Kaitlyn Oxceus+1.3
31-2MERMCKFORDHMServe errMerrimack+0.9
42-2FORDHMFORDHMBlockedKaitlyn Oxceusblk Andrea Stanojevic+1.1
52-3FORDHMMERMCK×4KillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+1.0
62-4MERMCKMERMCK×4Attack errAndrea Stanojevic+1.4
72-5MERMCKMERMCK×4KillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+1.6
82-6MERMCKMERMCK×4AceMerrimackaced Andrea Stanojevic+1.7
93-6MERMCKFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+1.2
103-7FORDHMMERMCK×3KillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+1.5
113-8MERMCKMERMCK×3KillElizabeth Kenney+1.9
123-9MERMCKMERMCK×3Attack errSophia Kuyn+1.9
134-9MERMCKFORDHMServe errMerrimack+1.2
144-10FORDHMMERMCK×4KillMia Izzoset Sophia DeBonis+1.7
154-11MERMCKMERMCK×4KillMia Izzoset Sophia DeBonis+1.9
164-12MERMCKMERMCK×4AceMerrimackaced Ozge Ozaslan+1.7
174-13MERMCKMERMCK×4KillMia Izzoset Sophia DeBonis+1.5
185-13MERMCKFORDHMAttack errTamilore Afolalu+0.8
196-13FORDHMFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+1.2
206-14FORDHMMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+1.4
217-14MERMCKFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+0.9
227-15FORDHMMERMCKKillMia Izzoset Sophia DeBonis+1.4
238-15MERMCKFORDHM×10BlockedMckenna Shotwellblk Mila Micunovic, Tatum Holderied+0.9
249-15FORDHMFORDHM×10KillErynn Sweeney+1.3
2510-15FORDHMFORDHM×10KillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+1.5
2611-15FORDHMFORDHM×10KillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+1.7
2712-15FORDHMFORDHM×10KillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+1.9
2813-15FORDHMFORDHM×10AceFordham+2.0
2914-15FORDHMFORDHM×10AceFordhamaced Mckenna Shotwell+2.0
3015-15FORDHMFORDHM×10Attack errSophia DeBonis+2.0
3116-15FORDHMFORDHM×10KillMila Micunovicset Ozge Ozaslan+1.8
3217-15FORDHMFORDHM×10BlockedMckenna Shotwellblk Tatum Holderied+1.6
3317-16FORDHMMERMCKKillKaitlyn Oxceusset Sophia DeBonis+1.4
3418-16MERMCKFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+1.4
3518-17FORDHMMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Ella Maldonado+1.4
3619-17MERMCKFORDHMBlockedTamilore Afolalublk Mila Micunovic+1.5
3719-18FORDHMMERMCKAttack errSophia Kuyn+1.5
3820-18MERMCKFORDHMKillErynn Sweeneyset Giada Ianuale+1.6
3920-19FORDHMMERMCKKillMia Izzoset Sophia DeBonis+1.6
4021-19MERMCKFORDHMAttack errTamilore Afolalu+1.8
4121-20FORDHMMERMCKServe errFordham+1.7
4222-20MERMCKFORDHM×3KillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+2.0
4323-20FORDHMFORDHM×3AceFordham+1.7
4424-20FORDHMFORDHM×3Attack errMckenna Shotwell+0.9
4524-21FORDHMMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+0.3
4624-22MERMCKMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Sophia DeBonis+0.8
4725-22MERMCKFORDHMServe errMerrimack+1.3

Score shown after each rally, Fordham first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).