Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Green Bay def. NIU 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Green Bay 71.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Green Bay won at NIU 3-1 (27-25, 20-25, 25-19, 25-19) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Green Bay's Diane Pichelman led with 21 kills.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set1234Sets
GRNBAY272025253
NIU252519191

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Alexa Hernandez had 50 assists, and Green Bay outlasted NIU.

The match turned twice; each line shows Green Bay's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Green Bay went in as RallyIQ's 71% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Green Bay 24–21 NIU

    4 straight NIU points turned a 21–24 deficit into a 25–24 lead.

    Green Bay 83% → 60%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 1 · Green Bay 24–25 NIU

    Green Bay scored 3 straight to turn a 24–25 deficit into a 27–25 lead.

    Green Bay 60% → 84%

NIU above 50Green Bay belowMax swing 9.3%

Green BayNIU

Sideout %
Green Bay 62.9·NIU 57.3
Break %
Green Bay 42.7·NIU 37.1
Hitting
Green Bay .324·NIU .217
Longest run
Green Bay 6·NIU 4

Gillian Koning
11 kills on .233, 11.5 points; 2 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

NIU above 50 · Green Bay below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.3% NIUrally 185 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.3% to NIU — set 1, GRNBAY 24-25 NIU. Kill by Ava Grevengoed (set by Kylie Schulze). NIU win probability 30% → 40%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

GRNBAY 72.9%27.1% NIU

Green Bay wins

3-0
25.3%
3-1
27.9%
3-2
19.6%

NIU wins

3-0
4.9%
3-1
9.4%
3-2
12.8%
GRNBAY break %
44.7% vs this opp
NIU break %
40.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Ava Grevengoed (set by Kylie Schulze)

    Set 1 · GRNBAY 24-25 NIU · NIU 30% → 40%

  2. 02
    Green BayAce+8.6%

    Green Bay ace

    Set 1 · GRNBAY 26-25 NIU · GRNBAY 67% → 76%

  3. 03
    NIUAce+8.4%

    NIU ace on Kennedy Schmitz

    Set 1 · GRNBAY 24-24 NIU · NIU 22% → 30%

  4. 04

    Kill by Gillian Koning (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 1 · GRNBAY 27-25 NIU · GRNBAY 76% → 84%

  5. 05

    Kill by Gillian Koning (set by Kelsey Justman)

    Set 1 · GRNBAY 25-25 NIU · GRNBAY 60% → 67%

  6. 06
    Diane PichelmanBlock+4.6%

    Autumn Flynn stuffed by Diane Pichelman

    Set 1 · GRNBAY 22-20 NIU · GRNBAY 73% → 78%

  7. 07

    Kill by Delaney Steers (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 1 · GRNBAY 20-20 NIU · NIU 26% → 30%

  8. 08

    Kill by Olivia Neumann (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 4 · GRNBAY 17-16 NIU · GRNBAY 82% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421334.52902150212.525.5
411234.26511671010.512.5
45112.3335010100010.56.5
45112.33300030031.56.5
2328.12500000010.53.5
2000–003100000
411430.23300040010.511.5
4000–5221000002
4000–1121010001
35211.273000000005
2001.000101800000
Team totals6115142.3245871558428697
NIUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414336.306100182010.514.5
412430.26711015202114
411830.10000250010.511.5
46522.04503200031.510.5
4408.500000000426
4102.5002501600001
44213.15400020031.55.5
4102.5002100200001
4000–0011010000
Team totals5322143.2174846587014788

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Green Bay vs NIU

Season series · Green Bay leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 GRNBAY · NIU 4

Set 1

27-25

Longest run 4 GRNBAYNIU 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 GRNBAYNIU 4

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 6 GRNBAYNIU 4

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 3 GRNBAYNIU 3

Bars above the line = NIU leads, below = Green Bay leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Green Bay

SlotSideout %Break %
1
92%11/12
47%8/17
2
59%10/17
21%3/14
3
83%10/12
50%10/20
4
53%9/17
55%11/20
5
47%9/19
40%6/15
6
58%7/12
30%3/10
All
63%56/89
43%41/96

NIU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
36%5/14
2
65%11/17
21%3/14
3
48%10/21
38%6/16
4
50%9/18
23%3/13
5
64%7/11
59%13/22
6
54%7/13
30%3/10
All
57%55/96
37%33/89

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

185 rallies

#GRNBAY-NIUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NIUGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Macy Kline+1.5
21-1GRNBAYNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+1.6
32-1NIUGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.5
43-1GRNBAYGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Macy Kline+2.0
53-2GRNBAYNIUKillDelaney Steersset Viktoria Djukic+1.5
64-2NIUGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.5
74-3GRNBAYNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Kylie Schulze+1.5
85-3NIUGRNBAY×4KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.5
96-3GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Attack errAutumn Flynn+1.9
107-3GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
118-3GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
128-4GRNBAYNIU×3KillAva Grevengoedset Kylie Schulze+1.0
138-5NIUNIU×3KillAva Grevengoedset Kylie Schulze+1.6
148-6NIUNIU×3KillRylea Alvin+1.9
159-6NIUGRNBAYKillAlexa Hernandezset Kennedy Schmitz+1.5
169-7GRNBAYNIUKillNaomi Dowdset Kylie Schulze+1.5
1710-7NIUGRNBAYBlockedKatie Pahlblk Olivia Neumann, Kirsten Fish+1.6
1810-8GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+1.5
1910-9NIUNIUAttack errKirsten Fish+2.3
2011-9NIUGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.8
2112-9GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errKatie Pahl+2.2
2212-10GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+1.6
2313-10NIUGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
2413-11GRNBAYNIUAttack errKelsey Justman+1.6
2514-11NIUGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.8
2614-12GRNBAYNIU×3KillDelaney Steersset Kylie Schulze+1.6
2714-13NIUNIU×3AceNIUaced Kelsey Justman+2.6
2814-14NIUNIU×3BlockedDiane Pichelmanblk Ava Grevengoed, Autumn Flynn+3.1
2915-14NIUGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.4
3015-15GRNBAYNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Delaney Steers+2.5
3116-15NIUGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+2.5
3216-16GRNBAYNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Kylie Schulze+2.6
3317-16NIUGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+2.7
3417-17GRNBAYNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+2.8
3518-17NIUGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+2.8
3618-18GRNBAYNIUKillRylea Alvinset Viktoria Djukic+2.9
3719-18NIUGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+3.1
3820-18GRNBAYGRNBAYBlockedAutumn Flynnblk Diane Pichelman+3.8
3920-19GRNBAYNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+2.6
4020-20NIUNIUKillDelaney Steersset Alexa Hernandez+4.5
4121-20NIUGRNBAY×3Serve errNIU+3.7
4222-20GRNBAYGRNBAY×3BlockedAutumn Flynnblk Diane Pichelman+4.6
4323-20GRNBAYGRNBAY×3AceGreen Bayaced Ava Grevengoed+3.4
4423-21GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+1.5
4524-21NIUGRNBAYKillAlexa Hernandez+2.6
4624-22GRNBAYNIU×4Serve errGreen Bay+1.1
4724-23NIUNIU×4AceNIU+3.4
4824-24NIUNIU×4AceNIUaced Kennedy Schmitz+8.4
4924-25NIUNIU×4KillAva Grevengoedset Kylie Schulze+9.3
5025-25NIUGRNBAY×3KillGillian Koningset Kelsey Justman+7.1
5126-25GRNBAYGRNBAY×3AceGreen Bay+8.6
5227-25GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+7.8
Set 2
11-0GRNBAYGRNBAYBlockedKatie Pahlblk Olivia Neumann, Kelsey Justman+1.7
21-1GRNBAYNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+1.3
32-1NIUGRNBAYServe errNIU+1.3
42-2GRNBAYNIU×3KillViktoria Djukicset Ava Grevengoed+1.3
52-3NIUNIU×3KillAutumn Flynnset Viktoria Djukic+1.9
62-4NIUNIU×3BlockedKirsten Fishblk Delaney Steers, Autumn Flynn+2.0
73-4NIUGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
84-4GRNBAYGRNBAYAceGreen Bay+1.9
94-5GRNBAYNIUKillDelaney Steersset Kylie Schulze+1.5
105-5NIUGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
116-5GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errNaomi Dowd+1.9
126-6GRNBAYNIU×4Serve errGreen Bay+1.5
136-7NIUNIU×4KillAva Grevengoedset Kylie Schulze+2.1
146-8NIUNIU×4KillAva Grevengoedset Kylie Schulze+2.2
156-9NIUNIU×4KillAva Grevengoedset Kylie Schulze+2.2
167-9NIUGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.5
177-10GRNBAYNIUKillKylie Schulzeset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
187-11NIUNIUBlockedGillian Koningblk Rylea Alvin, Katie Pahl+2.2
198-11NIUGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
208-12GRNBAYNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+1.7
218-13NIUNIUAttack errGillian Koning+2.0
229-13NIUGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.2
239-14GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+1.6
2410-14NIUGRNBAYAttack errDelaney Steers+1.2
2510-15GRNBAYNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+1.6
2611-15NIUGRNBAYAttack errKatie Pahl+1.2
2711-16GRNBAYNIUKillDelaney Steersset Kylie Schulze+1.6
2812-16NIUGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.2
2913-16GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errAva Grevengoed+1.9
3013-17GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+1.9
3114-17NIUGRNBAY×3Serve errNIU+1.4
3215-17GRNBAYGRNBAY×3AceGreen Bayaced Charlotte Gramzow+2.4
3316-17GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+2.8
3416-18GRNBAYNIUKillRylea Alvinset Kylie Schulze+2.5
3516-19NIUNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+3.1
3617-19NIUGRNBAYBlockedKatie Pahlblk Olivia Neumann, Gillian Koning+1.8
3717-20GRNBAYNIU×3KillRylea Alvinset Viktoria Djukic+2.5
3817-21NIUNIU×3KillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+2.7
3917-22NIUNIU×3Attack errGillian Koning+1.8
4018-22NIUGRNBAYKillJessica Kurpeikisset Alexa Hernandez+0.7
4119-22GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errKatie Pahl+1.5
4219-23GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+2.0
4320-23NIUGRNBAYKillJessica Kurpeikisset Alexa Hernandez+0.9
4420-24GRNBAYNIUKillDelaney Steersset Viktoria Djukic+1.8
4520-25NIUNIUKillDelaney Steersset Viktoria Djukic+0.8
Set 3
11-0NIUGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.1
22-0GRNBAYGRNBAYAceGreen Bayaced Ava Grevengoed+2.7
32-1GRNBAYNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+2.1
42-2NIUNIUBlockedDiane Pichelmanblk Autumn Flynn, Delaney Steers+3.0
53-2NIUGRNBAY×3Bad setKatie Pahl+2.2
64-2GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillAlexa Hernandezset Macy Kline+2.9
75-2GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.6
85-3GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+1.9
95-4NIUNIUBad setAlexa Hernandez+2.9
106-4NIUGRNBAY×5KillAlexa Hernandezset Riley Schmitz+2.2
117-4GRNBAYGRNBAY×5Attack errDelaney Steers+2.7
128-4GRNBAYGRNBAY×5KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.4
139-4GRNBAYGRNBAY×5BlockedDelaney Steersblk Diane Pichelman, Alexa Hernandez+2.0
1410-4GRNBAYGRNBAY×5KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
1510-5GRNBAYNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Kylie Schulze+1.0
1611-5NIUGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.2
1711-6GRNBAYNIU×4KillAutumn Flynnset Kylie Schulze+1.0
1811-7NIUNIU×4AceNIU+1.8
1911-8NIUNIU×4BlockedAlexa Hernandezblk Rylea Alvin, Naomi Dowd+2.3
2011-9NIUNIU×4BlockedGillian Koningblk Rylea Alvin, Naomi Dowd+2.8
2112-9NIUGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Macy Kline+2.3
2212-10GRNBAYNIUKillNaomi Dowdset Kylie Schulze+2.2
2312-11NIUNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+3.5
2413-11NIUGRNBAY×6Serve errNIU+2.8
2514-11GRNBAYGRNBAY×6KillJessica Kurpeikisset Alexa Hernandez+3.3
2615-11GRNBAYGRNBAY×6Attack errAva Grevengoed+2.8
2716-11GRNBAYGRNBAY×6KillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.2
2817-11GRNBAYGRNBAY×6Attack errKatie Pahl+1.6
2918-11GRNBAYGRNBAY×6KillJessica Kurpeikisset Alexa Hernandez+1.0
3018-12GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+0.5
3119-12NIUGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.7
3219-13GRNBAYNIU×3Serve errGreen Bay+0.4
3319-14NIUNIU×3Attack errJessica Kurpeikis+0.9
3419-15NIUNIU×3Attack errDiane Pichelman+1.5
3520-15NIUGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.6
3621-15GRNBAYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.3
3721-16GRNBAYNIUKillDelaney Steersset Viktoria Djukic+0.5
3822-16NIUGRNBAYServe errNIU+0.8
3922-17GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+0.4
4022-18NIUNIUKillNaomi Dowdset Kylie Schulze+1.0
4123-18NIUGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.2
4224-18GRNBAYGRNBAYAceGreen Bayaced Delaney Steers+0.6
4324-19GRNBAYNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Kylie Schulze+0.1
4425-19NIUGRNBAYKillAlexa Hernandez+0.2
Set 4
10-1GRNBAYNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+2.0
21-1NIUGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+1.9
31-2GRNBAYNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+2.0
41-3NIUNIUAttack errJessica Kurpeikis+2.8
52-3NIUGRNBAYAttack errAva Grevengoed+2.0
63-3GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errAutumn Flynn+2.7
73-4GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+2.1
84-4NIUGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.0
95-4GRNBAYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.7
105-5GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+2.1
116-5NIUGRNBAYServe errNIU+2.0
126-6GRNBAYNIUBlockedOlivia Neumannblk Naomi Dowd, Rylea Alvin+2.1
137-6NIUGRNBAYAttack errKatie Pahl+2.1
147-7GRNBAYNIUKillDelaney Steersset Viktoria Djukic+2.2
157-8NIUNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+3.1
168-8NIUGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+2.3
178-9GRNBAYNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+2.5
189-9NIUGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.3
199-10GRNBAYNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+2.6
2010-10NIUGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.4
2111-10GRNBAYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+3.2
2211-11GRNBAYNIUAttack errKelsey Justman+2.5
2312-11NIUGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.5
2412-12GRNBAYNIU×3Serve errGreen Bay+2.6
2512-13NIUNIU×3KillNaomi Dowdset Kylie Schulze+3.8
2612-14NIUNIU×3KillDelaney Steersset Kylie Schulze+3.9
2713-14NIUGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.7
2813-15GRNBAYNIUKillDelaney Steersset Kylie Schulze+3.1
2914-15NIUGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+2.8
3015-15GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errDelaney Steers+4.0
3115-16GRNBAYNIUKillDelaney Steersset Viktoria Djukic+3.3
3216-16NIUGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+3.1
3317-16GRNBAYGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+4.3
3417-17GRNBAYNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+3.3
3518-17NIUGRNBAYKillJessica Kurpeikisset Alexa Hernandez+3.4
3619-17GRNBAYGRNBAYAceGreen Bayaced Delaney Steers+4.3
3719-18GRNBAYNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Viktoria Djukic+2.9
3820-18NIUGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+3.4
3921-18GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillKelsey Justmanset Macy Kline+3.8
4022-18GRNBAYGRNBAY×3Attack errAutumn Flynn+2.6
4122-19GRNBAYNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Kylie Schulze+1.2
4223-19NIUGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.8
4324-19GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.1
4425-19GRNBAYGRNBAY×3Attack errNaomi Dowd+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Green Bay first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).