Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Green Bay def. NIU 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Green Bay 86.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Green Bay beat visiting NIU 3-1 (28-26, 22-25, 25-16, 25-20) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Green Bay's Diane Pichelman led with 18 kills, and Macy Kline added 18 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set1234Sets
NIU262516201
GRNBAY282225253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Serve, receive, attack, block: Green Bay won all four.

The biggest single-rally swing was 7.4 points, and NIU's high was 28% in Set 1. The numbers below are where it was won. Green Bay went in as RallyIQ's 86% pick.

NIUGreen Bay
  • Break %+8.0 pts
    36.444.4

    On serve: 44/99 against 32/88 (NIU sideout 55.6%).

  • Longest run+2
    46

    From 4–4 in the first set, Green Bay scored 6 straight to lead 10–4. The set finished 28–26.

Green Bay above 50NIU belowMax swing 7.4%

NIUGreen Bay

Hitting
NIU .173·Green Bay .203
Aces
NIU 7·Green Bay 9
Serve err
NIU 12·Green Bay 11
Blocks
NIU 8·Green Bay 93 BS · 10 BA vs 1 BS · 16 BA
Digs
NIU 89·Green Bay 80

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Green Bay above 50 · NIU below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.4% GRNBAYrally 187 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.4% to Green Bay — set 1, NIU 24-24 GRNBAY. Kill by Diane Pichelman (set by Alexa Hernandez). GRNBAY win probability 74% → 82%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NIU 16.1%83.9% GRNBAY

NIU wins

3-0
2.5%
3-1
5.2%
3-2
8.5%

Green Bay wins

3-0
35.7%
3-1
31.1%
3-2
17.0%
NIU break %
38.6% vs this opp
GRNBAY break %
46.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Diane Pichelman (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 1 · NIU 24-24 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 74% → 82%

  2. 02

    Kill by Ava Grevengoed (set by Viktoria Djukic)

    Set 1 · NIU 24-22 GRNBAY · NIU 22% → 28%

  3. 03
    Green BayAce+6.1%

    Green Bay ace on Charlotte Gramzow

    Set 1 · NIU 24-25 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 82% → 88%

  4. 04
    NIUAce+5.5%

    NIU ace

    Set 1 · NIU 23-22 GRNBAY · NIU 16% → 22%

  5. 05
    Kirsten FishKill+5.0%

    Kill by Kirsten Fish (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 1 · NIU 26-28 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 88% → 93%

  6. 06

    Kill by Ava Grevengoed (set by Viktoria Djukic)

    Set 1 · NIU 25-25 GRNBAY · NIU 12% → 16%

  7. 07

    Kill by Diane Pichelman (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 1 · NIU 25-26 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 84% → 88%

  8. 08
    Katie PahlKill+4.3%

    Kill by Katie Pahl (set by Viktoria Djukic)

    Set 1 · NIU 26-26 GRNBAY · NIU 12% → 16%

Box score

Official NCAA box

NIUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415541.244110131010.516.5
410222.3641121002112
49341.146304185111.510.5
43316.00000000233.56.5
4001.0001512400001
32510-.300000200002
49227.2590216002112
41011.00025221000003
4000–1013320000
1013-.33300000010.50.5
1000–100200000
Team totals4921162.17347712899310887
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418343.34923213002122
49643.07012210202112
410526.19210010031.511.5
45115.267000101649
4405.80038231300006
4000–1111000001
49337.16210000031.510.5
4000–1121820001
4000–2011100000
2000–000300000
1023-.667000000000
Team totals5520172.203479118071169100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

NIU vs Green Bay

Season series · Green Bay leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 NIU · GRNBAY 6

Set 1

26-28

Longest run 3 NIUGRNBAY 6

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 NIUGRNBAY 4

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 2 NIUGRNBAY 4

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 2 NIUGRNBAY 3

Bars above the line = Green Bay leads, below = NIU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

NIU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
31%4/13
2
48%10/21
23%3/13
3
67%10/15
52%11/21
4
56%9/16
33%5/15
5
62%8/13
31%4/13
6
44%7/16
38%5/13
All
56%55/99
36%32/88

Green Bay

SlotSideout %Break %
1
83%10/12
50%9/18
2
53%10/19
41%7/17
3
56%10/18
41%7/17
4
69%9/13
36%5/14
5
60%9/15
50%9/18
6
73%8/11
47%7/15
All
64%56/88
44%44/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

187 rallies

#NIU-GRNBAYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NIUGRNBAYServe errNIU+0.9
21-1GRNBAYNIUAttack errKirsten Fish+1.0
32-1NIUNIUAttack errDiane Pichelman+1.5
42-2NIUGRNBAYBlockedAva Grevengoedblk Diane Pichelman, Kirsten Fish+1.0
52-3GRNBAYGRNBAYBlockedKiana Shieldsblk Kelsey Justman, Diane Pichelman+1.4
63-3GRNBAYNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Katie Pahl+1.1
73-4NIUGRNBAYServe errNIU+1.0
84-4GRNBAYNIUKillViktoria Djukicset Katie Pahl+1.1
94-5NIUGRNBAY×6KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.0
104-6GRNBAYGRNBAY×6AceGreen Bayaced Katie Pahl+1.3
114-7GRNBAYGRNBAY×6AceGreen Bayaced Katie Pahl+1.1
124-8GRNBAYGRNBAY×6KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+0.9
134-9GRNBAYGRNBAY×6KillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.8
144-10GRNBAYGRNBAY×6Attack errRylea Alvin+0.6
155-10GRNBAYNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+0.4
165-11NIUGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+0.4
176-11GRNBAYNIUKillKatie Pahlset Ellie Smith+0.4
187-11NIUNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+0.7
197-12NIUGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+0.6
208-12GRNBAYNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Viktoria Djukic+0.5
219-12NIUNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+0.9
229-13NIUGRNBAYServe errNIU+0.8
2310-13GRNBAYNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+0.7
2411-13NIUNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+1.3
2511-14NIUGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.0
2612-14GRNBAYNIUAttack errKelsey Justman+1.0
2713-14NIUNIUAceNIUaced Macy Kline+1.7
2813-15NIUGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.3
2914-15GRNBAYNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+1.3
3015-15NIUNIUAceNIUaced Macy Kline+2.2
3115-16NIUGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.6
3216-16GRNBAYNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+1.8
3317-16NIUNIUAttack errGillian Koning+2.8
3417-17NIUGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.9
3517-18GRNBAYGRNBAYAceGreen Bayaced Katie Pahl+2.6
3618-18GRNBAYNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+2.0
3718-19NIUGRNBAYServe errNIU+2.0
3818-20GRNBAYGRNBAYAceGreen Bayaced Katie Pahl+2.5
3919-20GRNBAYNIUKillCharizma Loftonset Viktoria Djukic+1.7
4019-21NIUGRNBAYAttack errAutumn Flynn+2.0
4120-21GRNBAYNIUKillCharizma Loftonset Viktoria Djukic+1.8
4221-21NIUNIUBlockedKelsey Justmanblk Rylea Alvin, Charizma Lofton+3.5
4321-22NIUGRNBAYBad setViktoria Djukic+2.9
4422-22GRNBAYNIU×3KillRylea Alvinset Viktoria Djukic+3.0
4523-22NIUNIU×3AceNIU+5.5
4624-22NIUNIU×3KillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+6.1
4724-23NIUGRNBAY×3Serve errNIU+2.4
4824-24GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+7.4
4924-25GRNBAYGRNBAY×3AceGreen Bayaced Charlotte Gramzow+6.1
5025-25GRNBAYNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+4.3
5125-26NIUGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+4.3
5226-26GRNBAYNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+4.3
5326-27NIUGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Gillian Koning+4.3
5426-28GRNBAYGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+5.0
Set 2
10-1GRNBAYGRNBAYBlockedKiana Shieldsblk Kelsey Justman, Olivia Neumann+0.9
21-1GRNBAYNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Kylie Schulze+0.7
31-2NIUGRNBAYServe errNIU+0.7
41-3GRNBAYGRNBAYBad setKylie Schulze+0.8
52-3GRNBAYNIU×4Attack errKelsey Justman+0.6
63-3NIUNIU×4AceNIUaced Kelsey Justman+1.0
74-3NIUNIU×4BlockedDiane Pichelmanblk Rylea Alvin+1.1
85-3NIUNIU×4AceNIUaced Kelsey Justman+1.3
95-4NIUGRNBAYAttack errRylea Alvin+0.8
106-4GRNBAYNIU×3KillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+1.0
117-4NIUNIU×3KillKatie Pahlset Charlotte Gramzow+1.4
128-4NIUNIU×3BlockedDiane Pichelmanblk Rylea Alvin, Charizma Lofton+1.4
138-5NIUGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.9
149-5GRNBAYNIUKillCharizma Loftonset Viktoria Djukic+1.1
159-6NIUGRNBAY×3KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+0.9
169-7GRNBAYGRNBAY×3Attack errKatie Pahl+1.3
179-8GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillAlexa Hernandezset Diane Pichelman+1.3
1810-8GRNBAYNIU×3BlockedGillian Koningblk Katie Pahl+1.1
1911-8NIUNIU×3AceNIU+1.6
2012-8NIUNIU×3KillKiana Shieldsset Kylie Schulze+1.6
2112-9NIUGRNBAY×4Serve errNIU+0.9
2212-10GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
2312-11GRNBAYGRNBAY×4BlockedAutumn Flynnblk Gillian Koning, Olivia Neumann+1.5
2412-12GRNBAYGRNBAY×4AceGreen Bayaced Katie Pahl+1.5
2513-12GRNBAYNIUKillKatie Pahlset Kylie Schulze+1.2
2614-12NIUNIUAttack errKirsten Fish+1.8
2714-13NIUGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.1
2815-13GRNBAYNIUKillKiana Shieldsset Ava Grevengoed+1.4
2915-14NIUGRNBAYServe errNIU+1.2
3015-15GRNBAYGRNBAYAceGreen Bayaced Charlotte Gramzow+1.7
3116-15GRNBAYNIU×3Serve errGreen Bay+1.4
3217-15NIUNIU×3BlockedKirsten Fishblk Rylea Alvin, Ava Grevengoed+2.1
3318-15NIUNIU×3Attack errKayla Birmingham+2.1
3418-16NIUGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.2
3519-16GRNBAYNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+1.7
3620-16NIUNIUAttack errKayla Birmingham+2.0
3720-17NIUGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.9
3821-17GRNBAYNIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+1.5
3921-18NIUGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+0.9
4021-19GRNBAYGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
4122-19GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+2.0
4222-20NIUGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.2
4323-20GRNBAYNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Kylie Schulze+2.1
4424-20NIUNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Kylie Schulze+1.8
4524-21NIUGRNBAYServe errNIU+0.4
4624-22GRNBAYGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.1
4725-22GRNBAYNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Kylie Schulze+2.1
Set 3
11-0NIUNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Katie Pahl+2.5
21-1NIUGRNBAY×3Serve errNIU+1.7
31-2GRNBAYGRNBAY×3Attack errKiana Shields+2.2
41-3GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillOlivia Neumann+2.0
52-3GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+1.5
62-4NIUGRNBAY×4KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.5
72-5GRNBAYGRNBAY×4BlockedAva Grevengoedblk Olivia Neumann, Kirsten Fish+1.8
82-6GRNBAYGRNBAY×4BlockedRylea Alvinblk Olivia Neumann, Gillian Koning+1.5
92-7GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillOlivia Neumannset Kirsten Fish+1.2
103-7GRNBAYNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Kylie Schulze+0.8
114-7NIUNIUBlockedKirsten Fishblk Rylea Alvin+1.5
124-8NIUGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+1.1
135-8GRNBAYNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+1.1
146-8NIUNIUAttack errKirsten Fish+1.9
156-9NIUGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Macy Kline+1.4
166-10GRNBAYGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
177-10GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+1.2
188-10NIUNIUBlockedKelsey Justmanblk Autumn Flynn, Katie Pahl+2.0
198-11NIUGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.5
209-11GRNBAYNIUKillCharizma Loftonset Viktoria Djukic+1.5
219-12NIUGRNBAYAttack errKiana Shields+1.6
2210-12GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+1.6
2310-13NIUGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
2411-13GRNBAYNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Kylie Schulze+1.6
2511-14NIUGRNBAY×3Bad setKylie Schulze+1.7
2611-15GRNBAYGRNBAY×3Attack errAva Grevengoed+1.9
2711-16GRNBAYGRNBAY×3Attack errKiana Shields+1.4
2812-16GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+0.8
2913-16NIUNIUKillRylea Alvinset Viktoria Djukic+1.6
3013-17NIUGRNBAY×3KillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
3113-18GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
3213-19GRNBAYGRNBAY×3BlockedCharizma Loftonblk Olivia Neumann+0.9
3314-19GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+0.4
3414-20NIUGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+0.6
3515-20GRNBAYNIUAttack errKelsey Justman+0.4
3615-21NIUGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Kelsey Justman+0.6
3716-21GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+0.3
3816-22NIUGRNBAY×4KillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.5
3916-23GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+0.3
4016-24GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.1
4116-25GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillDiane Pichelman·
Set 4
11-0GRNBAYNIUKillCharizma Loftonset Viktoria Djukic+1.4
21-1NIUGRNBAYAttack errKatie Pahl+1.3
32-1GRNBAYNIUAttack errGillian Koning+1.5
43-1NIUNIUKillCharizma Loftonset Autumn Flynn+2.1
53-2NIUGRNBAYKillAlexa Hernandezset Kennedy Schmitz+1.4
64-2GRNBAYNIUKillCharizma Loftonset Viktoria Djukic+1.7
74-3NIUGRNBAYServe errKylie Schulze+1.5
85-3GRNBAYNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Kylie Schulze+1.7
96-3NIUNIUBlockedOlivia Neumannblk Autumn Flynn, Naomi Dowd+2.4
106-4NIUGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Kendall Schara+1.5
117-4GRNBAYNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Kylie Schulze+1.9
128-4NIUNIUAceAutumn Flynn+2.6
138-5NIUGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.6
148-6GRNBAYGRNBAY×3Attack errAva Grevengoed+2.3
158-7GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelman+2.3
169-7GRNBAYNIUKillRylea Alvinset Kylie Schulze+2.0
179-8NIUGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
189-9GRNBAYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.3
1910-9GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+1.9
2010-10NIUGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
2110-11GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillAlexa Hernandezset Diane Pichelman+2.3
2210-12GRNBAYGRNBAY×3BlockedKatie Pahlblk Gillian Koning, Olivia Neumann+2.1
2311-12GRNBAYNIUKillCharizma Loftonset Viktoria Djukic+1.5
2411-13NIUGRNBAYServe errCharlotte Gramzow+1.5
2512-13GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+1.6
2612-14NIUGRNBAYAttack errAva Grevengoed+1.6
2712-15GRNBAYGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.9
2813-15GRNBAYNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Kylie Schulze+1.3
2914-15NIUNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Kylie Schulze+2.3
3014-16NIUGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Macy Kline+1.8
3115-16GRNBAYNIUKillAutumn Flynnset Kylie Schulze+1.8
3216-16NIUNIUAttack errKelsey Justman+3.0
3316-17NIUGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.2
3417-17GRNBAYNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Kylie Schulze+2.4
3517-18NIUGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.4
3617-19GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+3.0
3717-20GRNBAYGRNBAY×3AceKelsey Justmanaced Ava Grevengoed+2.4
3818-20GRNBAYNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+1.4
3918-21NIUGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.8
4018-22GRNBAYGRNBAYAceDiane Pichelman+1.6
4119-22GRNBAYNIUKillCharizma Loftonset Viktoria Djukic+0.7
4219-23NIUGRNBAYKillAlexa Hernandezset Kennedy Schmitz+1.1
4319-24GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errCharizma Lofton+0.6
4420-24GRNBAYNIUServe errGreen Bay+0.1
4520-25NIUGRNBAYAttack errNaomi Dowd+0.3

Score shown after each rally, NIU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).