Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Harvard def. Yale 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Yale 84.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Harvard won at Yale 3-2 (23-25, 16-25, 25-19, 25-13, 15-8) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Ryleigh Patterson led Harvard with 14 kills; Yale's Ava Poinsett had a match-high 21.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set12345Sets
HARV23162525153
YALE2525191382

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.560 on 25 swings: Ryleigh Patterson and Harvard edged Yale.

The match turned once. Numbers are Harvard's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Yale went in at 84% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 5 · Harvard 7–5 Yale

    Harvard scored 7 straight to stretch a 7–5 lead to 14–5.

    Harvard 59% → >99%

Yale above 50Harvard belowMax swing 11.0%

HarvardYale

Sideout %
Harvard 60.4·Yale 52.4
Break %
Harvard 47.6·Yale 39.6
Hitting
Harvard .270·Yale .177
Longest run
Harvard 7·Yale 6

Masina Ogbechie
3 kills inside the turning points, 8 K and .222 for the match (9 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Yale above 50 · Harvard below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+11.0% HARVrally 194 · set 5

Biggest swing: 11.0% to Harvard — set 5, HARV 7-4 YALE. Kill by Riley Resmer (set by Catlin Shao). YALE win probability 45% → 34%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

HARV 12.0%88.0% YALE

Harvard wins

3-0
1.7%
3-1
3.7%
3-2
6.6%

Yale wins

3-0
41.2%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.2%
HARV break %
39.3% vs this opp
YALE break %
48.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Riley ResmerKill+11.0%

    Kill by Riley Resmer (set by Catlin Shao)

    Set 5 · HARV 7-4 YALE · HARV 55% → 66%

  2. 02
    Catlin ShaoKill+10.7%

    Kill by Catlin Shao (set by Kayla Nwabueze)

    Set 5 · HARV 9-5 YALE · HARV 68% → 79%

  3. 03
    Kayla NwabuezeKill+10.1%

    Kill by Kayla Nwabueze (set by Catlin Shao)

    Set 5 · HARV 5-2 YALE · HARV 52% → 62%

  4. 04

    Kill by Masina Ogbechie (set by Catlin Shao)

    Set 5 · HARV 8-5 YALE · HARV 59% → 68%

  5. 05
    YaleAce+9.1%

    Yale ace on Kayla Nwabueze

    Set 5 · HARV 5-4 YALE · YALE 45% → 54%

  6. 06

    Ava Poinsett stuffed by Ali Farquhar & Ryleigh Patterson

    Set 5 · HARV 2-0 YALE · HARV 40% → 49%

  7. 07
    Ava PoinsettAttack error+8.8%

    Attack error by Ava Poinsett

    Set 5 · HARV 10-5 YALE · HARV 79% → 87%

  8. 08
    Betsy GoodenowAttack error+8.7%

    Attack error by Betsy Goodenow

    Set 5 · HARV 6-4 YALE · HARV 46% → 55%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514025.5600001038721
512837.10811461031.514.5
513531.25840113402114
511431.2260004004213
5409.44400250031.55.5
5002.00023001200000
58418.222100000219
5203.66721101100003
5000–501400000
4003.0005001400000
Team totals6421159.270602870532214104
Yalehome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
521653.28333017000024
510628.1430001000010
59530.133000200009
58730.033303141010.58.5
54114.21401230010.55.5
5308.37542121001015
5000–000710000
5000–001600000
11Yuri ParkL/DS
5000–203800000
1011-1.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5526164.1775051168212290

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Harvard vs Yale

Season series · Harvard leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 HARV · YALE 6

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 6 HARVYALE 6

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 HARVYALE 4

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 HARVYALE 3

Set 4

25-13

Longest run 6 HARVYALE 2

Set 5

15-8

Longest run 7 HARVYALE 3

Bars above the line = Yale leads, below = Harvard leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Harvard

SlotSideout %Break %
1
79%11/14
56%10/18
2
69%11/16
45%9/20
3
60%9/15
57%13/23
4
50%9/18
40%6/15
5
57%8/14
33%4/12
6
50%7/14
47%7/15
All
60%55/91
48%49/103

Yale

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%11/24
31%4/13
2
48%11/23
35%6/17
3
53%10/19
8%1/12
4
57%8/14
50%9/18
5
57%8/14
53%9/17
6
67%6/9
50%7/14
All
52%54/103
40%36/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

194 rallies

#HARV-YALESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1HARVYALEKillIsabel Pattersonset Ava Poinsett+1.0
21-1YALEHARVServe errYale+1.1
31-2HARVYALEKillIsabel Pattersonset Ava Poinsett+1.1
42-2YALEHARVKillKayla Nwabuezeset Sophia Wei+1.2
52-3HARVYALE×6Serve errHarvard+1.1
62-4YALEYALE×6KillAva Poinsettset Yvette Easton+1.3
72-5YALEYALE×6Attack errKayla Nwabueze+1.2
82-6YALEYALE×6KillBetsy Goodenowset Kalyssa Taggart+1.0
92-7YALEYALE×6KillAva Poinsettset Yuri Park+0.8
102-8YALEYALE×6Attack errSofia Rossi+0.7
113-8YALEHARVKillKayla Nwabuezeset Yvette Easton+0.5
124-8HARVHARVAceHarvardaced Arya Jue+0.8
134-9HARVYALEKillAva Poinsettset Kalyssa Taggart+0.7
145-9YALEHARVServe errYale+0.6
155-10HARVYALEKillAva Poinsettset Betsy Goodenow+0.7
166-10YALEHARVKillSofia Rossiset Yvette Easton+0.6
176-11HARVYALEKillIsabel Pattersonset Kalyssa Taggart+0.7
187-11YALEHARVKillRyleigh Pattersonset Catlin Shao+0.6
197-12HARVYALEKillLaurece Abrahamset Kalyssa Taggart+0.7
208-12YALEHARVKillSofia Rossiset Sophia Wei+0.6
218-13HARVYALEKillLaurece Abrahamset Kalyssa Taggart+0.7
229-13YALEHARV×6KillAli Farquharset Yvette Easton+0.6
2310-13HARVHARV×6BlockedAva Poinsettblk Ali Farquhar, Riley Resmer+1.1
2411-13HARVHARV×6KillAli Farquharset Jordan Shelor+1.4
2512-13HARVHARV×6KillAli Farquharset Jordan Shelor+1.8
2613-13HARVHARV×6KillAli Farquharset Kalyssa Taggart+2.1
2714-13HARVHARV×6KillAli Farquharset Jordan Shelor+2.5
2814-14HARVYALEKillLaurece Abrahamset Kalyssa Taggart+1.8
2915-14YALEHARVServe errYale+2.1
3016-14HARVHARVKillKayla Nwabuezeset Yvette Easton+2.8
3116-15HARVYALE×4KillAva Poinsettset Kalyssa Taggart+2.0
3216-16YALEYALE×4KillKalyssa Taggartset Catlin Shao+2.6
3316-17YALEYALE×4Attack errMasina Ogbechie+2.5
3416-18YALEYALE×4KillAva Poinsettset Kalyssa Taggart+2.3
3517-18YALEHARVKillKayla Nwabuezeset Catlin Shao+1.8
3617-19HARVYALEKillKalyssa Taggartset Ava Poinsett+1.9
3718-19YALEHARVKillSofia Rossiset Catlin Shao+1.9
3818-20HARVYALE×3KillCam Bolaneset Kalyssa Taggart+2.1
3918-21YALEYALE×3KillAva Poinsettset Betsy Goodenow+2.1
4018-22YALEYALE×3Attack errMasina Ogbechie+1.4
4119-22YALEHARVBlockedIsabel Pattersonblk Ryleigh Patterson+0.7
4220-22HARVHARVBlockedLaurece Abrahamblk Sofia Rossi, Ryleigh Patterson+1.6
4320-23HARVYALEAttack errAli Farquhar+1.8
4421-23YALEHARVKillRyleigh Pattersonset Sophia Wei+1.1
4522-23HARVHARVBlockedLaurece Abrahamblk Ryleigh Patterson+2.7
4622-24HARVYALEKillBetsy Goodenowset Kalyssa Taggart+3.3
4723-24YALEHARVKillKayla Nwabuezeset Sofia Rossi+2.0
4823-25HARVYALEKillBetsy Goodenowset Kalyssa Taggart+4.2
Set 2
11-0YALEHARVKillSofia Rossiset Sophia Wei+0.9
22-0HARVHARVAceHarvardaced Betsy Goodenow+1.2
32-1HARVYALEAttack errKayla Nwabueze+0.9
42-2YALEYALEKillLaurece Abrahamset Sophia Wei+1.1
53-2YALEHARVKillRyleigh Pattersonset Sophia Wei+1.0
64-2HARVHARVAttack errLaurece Abraham+1.3
74-3HARVYALEKillIsabel Pattersonset Kalyssa Taggart+0.9
85-3YALEHARVKillKayla Nwabuezeset Sophia Wei+1.1
95-4HARVYALE×3KillAva Poinsettset Kalyssa Taggart+1.0
105-5YALEYALE×3KillBetsy Goodenowset Yuri Park+1.2
115-6YALEYALE×3BlockedKayla Nwabuezeblk Betsy Goodenow, Cam Bolane+1.1
126-6YALEHARVServe errYale+1.0
136-7HARVYALE×4KillAva Poinsettset Kalyssa Taggart+0.9
146-8YALEYALE×4Attack errMasina Ogbechie+1.1
156-9YALEYALE×4Attack errSofia Rossi+0.9
166-10YALEYALE×4KillKalyssa Taggartset Ava Poinsett+0.8
177-10YALEHARVKillSofia Rossiset Catlin Shao+0.6
187-11HARVYALEServe errHarvard+0.6
198-11YALEHARV×3KillSofia Rossiset Catlin Shao+0.6
209-11HARVHARV×3KillSofia Rossi+1.0
2110-11HARVHARV×3KillSofia Rossiset Sophia Wei+1.2
2210-12HARVYALEKillAva Poinsettset Kalyssa Taggart+1.0
2310-13YALEYALEAttack errSofia Rossi+1.1
2411-13YALEHARVServe errYale+0.8
2512-13HARVHARVKillRyleigh Pattersonset Sophia Wei+1.3
2612-14HARVYALE×4KillLaurece Abrahamset Kalyssa Taggart+1.0
2712-15YALEYALE×4KillIsabel Pattersonset Kalyssa Taggart+1.1
2812-16YALEYALE×4Attack errKayla Nwabueze+0.9
2912-17YALEYALE×4KillBetsy Goodenowset Kalyssa Taggart+0.7
3013-17YALEHARVKillKayla Nwabuezeset Sophia Wei+0.4
3113-18HARVYALEKillLaurece Abrahamset Kalyssa Taggart+0.5
3214-18YALEHARVKillAli Farquharset Yvette Easton+0.4
3314-19HARVYALEKillAva Poinsettset Kalyssa Taggart+0.5
3414-20YALEYALEKillAva Poinsettset Kalyssa Taggart+0.4
3515-20YALEHARVServe errYale+0.2
3615-21HARVYALEKillAva Poinsettset Kalyssa Taggart+0.3
3716-21YALEHARVServe errYale+0.2
3816-22HARVYALE×4KillAva Poinsettset Kalyssa Taggart+0.3
3916-23YALEYALE×4Attack errSofia Rossi+0.1
4016-24YALEYALE×4AceYaleaced Kayla Nwabueze·
4116-25YALEYALE×4AceYaleaced Kayla Nwabueze·
Set 3
11-0HARVHARV×4BlockedBetsy Goodenowblk Ryleigh Patterson, Sofia Rossi+0.6
22-0HARVHARV×4BlockedIsabel Pattersonblk Sofia Rossi, Ryleigh Patterson+0.6
33-0HARVHARV×4KillRyleigh Pattersonset Kayla Nwabueze+0.7
44-0HARVHARV×4BlockedAva Poinsettblk Ryleigh Patterson+0.7
54-1HARVYALEKillLaurece Abrahamset Kalyssa Taggart+0.5
65-1YALEHARV×3BlockedIsabel Pattersonblk Ryleigh Patterson, Ali Farquhar+0.6
76-1HARVHARV×3KillKayla Nwabuezeset Sophia Wei+0.7
87-1HARVHARV×3KillRyleigh Pattersonset Sophia Wei+0.7
97-2HARVYALEServe errHarvard+0.4
108-2YALEHARVKillRyleigh Pattersonset Sophia Wei+0.6
118-3HARVYALEAttack errSofia Rossi+0.4
129-3YALEHARVKillRiley Resmerset Sophia Wei+0.6
139-4HARVYALE×3KillAva Poinsettset Kalyssa Taggart+0.4
149-5YALEYALE×3Attack errKayla Nwabueze+0.6
159-6YALEYALE×3KillAva Poinsettset Kalyssa Taggart+0.7
1610-6YALEHARVKillRiley Resmerset Catlin Shao+0.6
1710-7HARVYALE×3KillAva Poinsettset Kalyssa Taggart+0.5
1810-8YALEYALE×3KillIsabel Pattersonset Kalyssa Taggart+0.7
1910-9YALEYALE×3Bad setCatlin Shao+0.7
2011-9YALEHARVKillMasina Ogbechieset Catlin Shao+0.7
2111-10HARVYALEKillIsabel Pattersonset Kalyssa Taggart+0.6
2212-10YALEHARVKillRyleigh Pattersonset Catlin Shao+0.7
2312-11HARVYALEKillLaurece Abrahamset Kalyssa Taggart+0.6
2413-11YALEHARVServe errYale+0.7
2513-12HARVYALEServe errHarvard+0.6
2614-12YALEHARVKillAli Farquharset Sophia Wei+0.8
2714-13HARVYALEAttack errAli Farquhar+0.7
2815-13YALEHARVKillRiley Resmerset Sophia Wei+0.8
2915-14HARVYALEKillCam Bolaneset Kalyssa Taggart+0.7
3016-14YALEHARVAttack errCam Bolane+0.8
3116-15HARVYALEAttack errSofia Rossi+0.7
3217-15YALEHARVKillSofia Rossiset Catlin Shao+0.9
3318-15HARVHARVKillRyleigh Pattersonset Catlin Shao+1.1
3418-16HARVYALEServe errHarvard+0.7
3519-16YALEHARV×4KillMasina Ogbechieset Catlin Shao+0.9
3620-16HARVHARV×4KillAli Farquharset Sophia Wei+1.1
3721-16HARVHARV×4KillSofia Rossiset Sophia Wei+0.8
3822-16HARVHARV×4KillSofia Rossiset Sophia Wei+0.5
3922-17HARVYALEKillAva Poinsettset Kalyssa Taggart+0.2
4022-18YALEYALEAttack errSofia Rossi+0.4
4123-18YALEHARVKillRyleigh Pattersonset Sophia Wei+0.6
4224-18HARVHARVBad setAva Poinsett+0.3
4324-19HARVYALEKillLaurece Abrahamset Kalyssa Taggart+0.1
4425-19YALEHARVKillRyleigh Pattersonset Sophia Wei+0.1
Set 4
10-1YALEYALEAceYaleaced Sofia Rossi+1.7
21-1YALEHARVServe errYale+1.4
31-2HARVYALEAttack errAli Farquhar+1.3
42-2YALEHARV×3Attack errLaurece Abraham+1.5
53-2HARVHARV×3BlockedBetsy Goodenowblk Kayla Nwabueze, Riley Resmer+2.0
64-2HARVHARV×3KillKayla Nwabuezeset Sophia Wei+2.2
74-3HARVYALEKillIsabel Pattersonset Kalyssa Taggart+1.6
85-3YALEHARVKillAli Farquharset Jordan Shelor+1.9
95-4HARVYALEKillAva Poinsettset Kalyssa Taggart+1.7
106-4YALEHARVKillCatlin Shaoset Kayla Nwabueze+1.9
117-4HARVHARVKillMasina Ogbechieset Kayla Nwabueze+2.5
127-5HARVYALEServe errHarvard+1.7
137-6YALEYALEKillAva Poinsettset Betsy Goodenow+2.3
148-6YALEHARVServe errYale+2.0
158-7HARVYALEKillCam Bolaneset Kalyssa Taggart+1.8
169-7YALEHARVKillSofia Rossiset Catlin Shao+2.1
179-8HARVYALEBlockedSofia Rossiblk Kalyssa Taggart+1.9
1810-8YALEHARV×3KillRyleigh Pattersonset Sophia Wei+2.2
1911-8HARVHARV×3BlockedIsabel Pattersonblk Ali Farquhar, Ryleigh Patterson+2.9
2012-8HARVHARV×3KillAli Farquharset Sophia Wei+2.9
2112-9HARVYALEServe errHarvard+1.8
2212-10YALEYALEAceYaleaced Kayla Nwabueze+2.6
2313-10YALEHARV×6Attack errBetsy Goodenow+2.5
2414-10HARVHARV×6KillKayla Nwabuezeset Sophia Wei+3.0
2515-10HARVHARV×6Attack errBetsy Goodenow+2.8
2616-10HARVHARV×6Attack errLaurece Abraham+2.5
2717-10HARVHARV×6KillKayla Nwabuezeset Sophia Wei+2.0
2818-10HARVHARV×6Attack errGaby Stasys+1.4
2918-11HARVYALEKillBetsy Goodenowset Kalyssa Taggart+0.6
3018-12YALEYALEAttack errAli Farquhar+1.2
3119-12YALEHARV×4Attack errBetsy Goodenow+1.4
3220-12HARVHARV×4Attack errAva Poinsett+1.2
3321-12HARVHARV×4KillKayla Nwabuezeset Masina Ogbechie+0.7
3422-12HARVHARV×4BlockedLaurece Abrahamblk Riley Resmer, Masina Ogbechie+0.3
3522-13HARVYALEKillBetsy Goodenowset Kalyssa Taggart+0.1
3623-13YALEHARV×3KillMasina Ogbechieset Catlin Shao+0.2
3724-13HARVHARV×3Attack errAva Poinsett+0.1
3825-13HARVHARV×3KillMasina Ogbechieset Catlin Shao+0.8
Set 5
11-0YALEHARVServe errYale+6.6
22-0HARVHARVBlockedAva Poinsettblk Ali Farquhar, Ryleigh Patterson+8.9
32-1HARVYALEServe errHarvard+6.3
43-1YALEHARVBlockedBetsy Goodenowblk Kayla Nwabueze, Ryleigh Patterson+7.5
53-2HARVYALEKillCam Bolaneset Kalyssa Taggart+6.5
64-2YALEHARVKillAli Farquharset Jordan Shelor+7.9
75-2HARVHARVKillKayla Nwabuezeset Catlin Shao+10.1
85-3HARVYALEKillAva Poinsettset Kalyssa Taggart+6.6
95-4YALEYALEAceYaleaced Kayla Nwabueze+9.1
106-4YALEHARVAttack errBetsy Goodenow+8.7
117-4HARVHARVKillRiley Resmerset Catlin Shao+11.0
127-5HARVYALEKillIsabel Pattersonset Kalyssa Taggart+7.0
138-5YALEHARV×7KillMasina Ogbechieset Catlin Shao+9.3
149-5HARVHARV×7KillCatlin Shaoset Kayla Nwabueze+10.7
1510-5HARVHARV×7Attack errAva Poinsett+8.8
1611-5HARVHARV×7KillMasina Ogbechieset Catlin Shao+6.3
1712-5HARVHARV×7BlockedIsabel Pattersonblk Masina Ogbechie, Ryleigh Patterson+3.8
1813-5HARVHARV×7KillRyleigh Pattersonset Catlin Shao+1.8
1914-5HARVHARV×7KillMasina Ogbechieset Catlin Shao+0.6
2014-6HARVYALE×3KillBetsy Goodenowset Kalyssa Taggart+0.1
2114-7YALEYALE×3Attack errMasina Ogbechie+0.2
2214-8YALEYALE×3KillLaurece Abrahamset Kalyssa Taggart+0.4
2315-8YALEHARVKillRyleigh Pattersonset Catlin Shao+0.7

Score shown after each rally, Harvard first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).