FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwaySUN-BELT

0:3

HomeSOCON

Mercer def. Georgia St. 3–0

(26-24, 25-15, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
GA ST	24	15	20	0
MERCER	26	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MERCER above 50 · GA ST below

Biggest swing: 9.4% to Mercer — set 1, GA ST 24-26 MERCER. Kill by Taylor Timko (set by Sammi Bergjans). MERCER win probability 32% → 41%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

GA ST 78.5%21.5% MERCER

Georgia St. wins

3-0

30.1%

3-1

29.8%

3-2

18.6%

Mercer wins

3-0

3.6%

3-1

7.2%

3-2

10.7%

GA ST break %: 48.2% vs this opp
MERCER break %: 42.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Taylor TimkoKill+9.4%
Kill by Taylor Timko (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 1 · GA ST 24-26 MERCER · MERCER 32% → 41%
02
Akira BurtAttack error+8.2%
Attack error by Akira Burt
Set 1 · GA ST 24-25 MERCER · MERCER 24% → 32%
03
Akira BurtKill+6.0%
Kill by Akira Burt (set by Sigrun Jonsdottir)
Set 1 · GA ST 24-23 MERCER · GA ST 76% → 82%
04
Julie AriasAttack error+6.0%
Attack error by Julie Arias
Set 1 · GA ST 24-24 MERCER · MERCER 18% → 24%
05
Avery WilksAttack error+5.7%
Attack error by Avery Wilks
Set 1 · GA ST 23-22 MERCER · GA ST 75% → 81%
06
Lara MattaKill+4.7%
Kill by Lara Matta (set by Aubri Martin)
Set 1 · GA ST 23-23 MERCER · MERCER 19% → 24%
07
Sophia JohnsonAttack error+4.6%
Sophia Johnson stuffed by Joselynn Sanjurjo & Sammi Bergjans
Set 1 · GA ST 20-21 MERCER · MERCER 24% → 28%
08
Lara MattaKill+4.4%
Kill by Lara Matta (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 1 · GA ST 21-22 MERCER · MERCER 25% → 29%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Georgia St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
14Akira BurtMB	3	10	4	27	.222	1	0	1	5	0	0	0	10
11Sophia JohnsonOH	3	7	4	26	.115	0	0	0	6	0	1	0.5	7.5
17Mina OlgarMB	3	4	1	10	.300	1	2	1	0	0	2	1	7
15Jayden EakerOPP	3	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
2Dariana ValenciaS	3	0	0	4	.000	15	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
3Leilani-Kai GiustaOH	2	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0
10Annelore EngelsS	3	2	0	2	1.000	9	0	0	1	0	2	1	3
8Sigrun JonsdottirL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	9	1	0	0	0
9Jayden FitzgeraldOH	2	5	1	10	.400	0	1	0	6	4	0	0	6
12Julie AriasOH	2	1	2	6	-.167	0	0	2	4	1	0	0	1
13Manuela Altieri LievOPP	1	0	1	1	-1.000	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0
20Isabel MoralesL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Team totals		31	15	94	.170	30	3	5	36	10	6	3	59

Mercerhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
20Lara MattaOH	3	12	4	30	.267	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	12
7Avery WilksMB	3	10	6	23	.174	0	2	2	1	0	0	0	12
3Joselynn SanjurjoMB	3	8	3	16	.313	1	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	9.5
15Brooklyn PalmerOH	3	7	1	16	.375	0	2	0	5	0	0	0	9
8Sammi BergjansS	3	1	0	4	.250	32	1	1	5	0	2	1	3
21Sarah FragerL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	1	3	7	0	0	0	1
19Taylor TimkoOH	3	7	3	18	.222	0	0	0	0	3	1	0.5	7.5
9Aubri MartinL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	4	4	0	11	0	0	0	4
11Emily MatiasOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		45	17	109	.257	38	10	7	37	3	6	3	76

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 GA ST · MERCER 5

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 4 GA STMERCER 3

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 3 GA STMERCER 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 6 GA STMERCER 5

Bars above the line = Mercer leads, below = Georgia St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Georgia St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	35%7/20	50%6/12
2	64%7/11	30%3/10
3	50%6/12	36%4/11
4	55%6/11	45%5/11
5	75%6/8	33%3/9
6	33%4/12	25%2/8
All	49%36/74	38%23/61

Mercer

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	64%9/14
2	78%7/9	53%8/15
3	64%7/11	36%4/11
4	46%6/13	50%6/12
5	86%6/7	40%4/10
6	63%5/8	58%7/12
All	62%38/61	51%38/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

135 rallies

Rally log

#	GA ST-MERCER	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	GA ST	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Sigrun Jonsdottir	+1.6
2	2-0	GA ST	GA ST	Kill	Jayden Eaker	set Dariana Valencia	+1.5
3	2-1	GA ST	MERCER	Attack err	Akira Burt		+1.3
4	3-1	MERCER	GA ST	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Dariana Valencia	+1.3
5	3-2	GA ST	MERCER	Kill	Avery Wilks	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.3
6	4-2	MERCER	GA ST	Attack err	Avery Wilks		+1.3
7	4-3	GA ST	MERCER	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.3
8	5-3	MERCER	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+1.3
9	5-4	GA ST	MERCER×3	Kill	Avery Wilks	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.4
10	5-5	MERCER	MERCER×3	Attack err	Manuela Altieri Liev		+1.9
11	5-6	MERCER	MERCER×3	Ace	MERCER server	aced Manuela Altieri Liev	+2.1
12	6-6	MERCER	GA ST	Kill	Annelore Engels	set Manuela Altieri Liev	+1.6
13	7-6	GA ST	GA ST	Attack err	Taylor Timko	blk Mina Olgar, Annelore Engels	+1.9
14	7-7	GA ST	MERCER×3	Attack err	Sophia Johnson		+1.7
15	7-8	MERCER	MERCER×3	Ace	MERCER server	aced Manuela Altieri Liev	+2.2
16	7-9	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.4
17	8-9	MERCER	GA ST	Attack err	Brooklyn Palmer		+1.8
18	9-9	GA ST	GA ST	Ace	GA ST server	aced Taylor Timko	+2.2
19	9-10	GA ST	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.0
20	9-11	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo		+2.5
21	10-11	MERCER	GA ST×4	Serve err	MERCER server		+1.9
22	11-11	GA ST	GA ST×4	Attack err	Lara Matta		+2.4
23	12-11	GA ST	GA ST×4	Attack err	Joselynn Sanjurjo		+2.3
24	13-11	GA ST	GA ST×4	Attack err	Lara Matta		+2.1
25	13-12	GA ST	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.8
26	14-12	MERCER	GA ST	Attack err	Avery Wilks		+1.8
27	14-13	GA ST	MERCER	Kill	Avery Wilks	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.8
28	15-13	MERCER	GA ST×3	Serve err	MERCER server		+1.9
29	16-13	GA ST	GA ST×3	Attack err	Lara Matta		+2.0
30	17-13	GA ST	GA ST×3	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Dariana Valencia	+1.7
31	17-14	GA ST	MERCER×3	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.2
32	17-15	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.9
33	17-16	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.5
34	18-16	MERCER	GA ST	Kill	Julie Arias	set Akira Burt	+2.2
35	18-17	GA ST	MERCER	Attack err	Julie Arias		+2.2
36	18-18	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Avery Wilks	set Annelore Engels	+3.3
37	19-18	MERCER	GA ST	Serve err	MERCER server		+2.8
38	19-19	GA ST	MERCER	Serve err	GA ST server		+2.9
39	20-19	MERCER	GA ST	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Annelore Engels	+3.0
40	20-20	GA ST	MERCER	Serve err	GA ST server		+3.2
41	20-21	MERCER	MERCER	Attack err	Sophia Johnson	blk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Sammi Bergjans	+4.6
42	21-21	MERCER	GA ST	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Annelore Engels	+3.6
43	21-22	GA ST	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+4.4
44	22-22	MERCER	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+4.1
45	23-22	GA ST	GA ST	Attack err	Avery Wilks		+5.7
46	23-23	GA ST	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Aubri Martin	+4.7
47	24-23	MERCER	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Sigrun Jonsdottir	+6.0
48	24-24	GA ST	MERCER×3	Attack err	Julie Arias		+6.0
49	24-25	MERCER	MERCER×3	Attack err	Akira Burt		+8.2
50	24-26	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Sammi Bergjans	+9.4
Set 2
1	0-1	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.7
2	0-2	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sigrun Jonsdottir	+2.9
3	0-3	MERCER	MERCER×3	Ace	MERCER server	aced Leilani-Kai Giusta	+3.0
4	1-3	MERCER	GA ST	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Dariana Valencia	+2.2
5	1-4	GA ST	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.6
6	1-5	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Sammi Bergjans	set Lara Matta	+3.1
7	2-5	MERCER	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+2.2
8	2-6	GA ST	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.7
9	3-6	MERCER	GA ST	Kill	Jayden Fitzgerald	set Mina Olgar	+2.3
10	3-7	GA ST	MERCER	Serve err	GA ST server		+2.7
11	4-7	MERCER	GA ST×3	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Annelore Engels	+2.3
12	5-7	GA ST	GA ST×3	Ace	GA ST server	aced Taylor Timko	+3.0
13	6-7	GA ST	GA ST×3	Attack err	Avery Wilks		+3.1
14	6-8	GA ST	MERCER	Kill	Avery Wilks	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.8
15	7-8	MERCER	GA ST	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Annelore Engels	+2.6
16	7-9	GA ST	MERCER×4	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.9
17	7-10	MERCER	MERCER×4	Ace	MERCER server	aced Sigrun Jonsdottir	+3.6
18	7-11	MERCER	MERCER×4	Attack err	Leilani-Kai Giusta		+3.6
19	7-12	MERCER	MERCER×4	Attack err	Akira Burt	blk Taylor Timko, Joselynn Sanjurjo	+3.4
20	8-12	MERCER	GA ST	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Annelore Engels	+2.2
21	9-12	GA ST	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Sigrun Jonsdottir	+3.1
22	9-13	GA ST	MERCER×4	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+3.1
23	9-14	MERCER	MERCER×4	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Dariana Valencia	+3.5
24	9-15	MERCER	MERCER×4	Kill	Lara Matta		+3.1
25	9-16	MERCER	MERCER×4	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.5
26	10-16	MERCER	GA ST	Serve err	MERCER server		+1.4
27	11-16	GA ST	GA ST	Kill	Jayden Fitzgerald	set Dariana Valencia	+2.2
28	11-17	GA ST	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.5
29	12-17	MERCER	GA ST	Kill	Jayden Fitzgerald	set Dariana Valencia	+1.7
30	12-18	GA ST	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.5
31	12-19	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.2
32	13-19	MERCER	GA ST	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Dariana Valencia	+1.1
33	13-20	GA ST	MERCER	Kill	Avery Wilks	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.7
34	13-21	MERCER	MERCER	Attack err	Mina Olgar		+1.2
35	14-21	MERCER	GA ST	Serve err	MERCER server		+0.5
36	14-22	GA ST	MERCER	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Sammi Bergjans	+0.8
37	15-22	MERCER	GA ST	Attack err	Joselynn Sanjurjo		+0.3
38	15-23	GA ST	MERCER×3	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Aubri Martin	+0.6
39	15-24	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Joselynn Sanjurjo	+0.2
40	15-25	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Aubri Martin	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	GA ST	MERCER×5	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.2
2	0-2	MERCER	MERCER×5	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.8
3	0-3	MERCER	MERCER×5	Ace	MERCER server	aced Jayden Fitzgerald	+2.9
4	0-4	MERCER	MERCER×5	Ace	MERCER server	aced Jayden Fitzgerald	+2.9
5	0-5	MERCER	MERCER×5	Ace	MERCER server	aced Isabel Morales	+2.9
6	1-5	MERCER	GA ST	Attack err	Lara Matta	blk Jayden Eaker, Sophia Johnson	+2.0
7	1-6	GA ST	MERCER	Kill	Avery Wilks	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.5
8	2-6	MERCER	GA ST	Kill	Jayden Fitzgerald	set Dariana Valencia	+2.0
9	3-6	GA ST	GA ST	Attack err	Avery Wilks		+2.7
10	3-7	GA ST	MERCER	Kill	Avery Wilks	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.6
11	3-8	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+3.1
12	4-8	MERCER	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+2.1
13	4-9	GA ST	MERCER	Kill	Avery Wilks	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.6
14	4-10	MERCER	MERCER	Ace	MERCER server	aced Jayden Fitzgerald	+2.9
15	5-10	MERCER	GA ST	Serve err	MERCER server		+1.9
16	5-11	GA ST	MERCER	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.4
17	6-11	MERCER	GA ST	Attack err	Taylor Timko		+1.9
18	6-12	GA ST	MERCER	Attack err	Akira Burt		+2.4
19	7-12	MERCER	GA ST	Serve err	MERCER server		+1.8
20	7-13	GA ST	MERCER×4	Attack err	Jayden Eaker		+2.5
21	7-14	MERCER	MERCER×4	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.5
22	7-15	MERCER	MERCER×4	Ace	MERCER server	aced Julie Arias	+2.0
23	7-16	MERCER	MERCER×4	Attack err	Jayden Eaker		+1.5
24	8-16	MERCER	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+0.7
25	9-16	GA ST	GA ST	Attack err	Avery Wilks		+1.2
26	9-17	GA ST	MERCER×4	Serve err	GA ST server		+1.5
27	9-18	MERCER	MERCER×4	Attack err	Jayden Fitzgerald		+1.3
28	9-19	MERCER	MERCER×4	Kill	Avery Wilks	set Sammi Bergjans	+0.8
29	9-20	MERCER	MERCER×4	Ace	MERCER server	aced Jayden Fitzgerald	+0.4
30	10-20	MERCER	GA ST	Kill	Jayden Eaker	set Dariana Valencia	+0.1
31	11-20	GA ST	GA ST	Bad set	Sammi Bergjans		+0.3
32	11-21	GA ST	MERCER	Serve err	GA ST server		+0.4
33	12-21	MERCER	GA ST×6	Kill	Akira Burt	set Dariana Valencia	+0.2
34	13-21	GA ST	GA ST×6	Kill	Annelore Engels	set Sammi Bergjans	+0.3
35	14-21	GA ST	GA ST×6	Attack err	Taylor Timko	blk Mina Olgar, Annelore Engels	+0.5
36	15-21	GA ST	GA ST×6	Kill	Jayden Fitzgerald	set Annelore Engels	+0.9
37	16-21	GA ST	GA ST×6	Kill	Akira Burt	set Annelore Engels	+1.3
38	17-21	GA ST	GA ST×6	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Annelore Engels	+2.0
39	17-22	GA ST	MERCER	Attack err	Sophia Johnson		+2.7
40	18-22	MERCER	GA ST	Attack err	Joselynn Sanjurjo		+1.4
41	18-23	GA ST	MERCER	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Aubri Martin	+2.5
42	19-23	MERCER	GA ST	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Annelore Engels	+1.0
43	20-23	GA ST	GA ST	Ace	GA ST server	aced Taylor Timko	+2.2
44	20-24	GA ST	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+3.4
45	20-25	MERCER	MERCER	Attack err	Sophia Johnson	blk Sammi Bergjans, Joselynn Sanjurjo	+1.5

Score shown after each rally, Georgia St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.