FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on FloSports

N.C. A&T def. William & Mary 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: William & Mary 50.3% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

N.C. A&T won at William & Mary 3-0 (25-22, 25-22, 25-12) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. N.C. A&T's Tyne Ross led with 15 kills, and Valeria Estrada added 16 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set123Sets
NC A&T2525253
WM&MRY2222120

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Tyne Ross needed just 3 sets for 15 kills. N.C. A&T swept William & Mary.

No single rally moved win probability more than 6.6 points. William & Mary peaked at 53% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ had William & Mary at 50% before first serve.

N.C. A&TWilliam & Mary
  • Break %+17.9 pts
    43.825.9

    32 of 73 on serve vs 15 of 58, so William & Mary's sideout was 56.2%.

  • Hitting+.104
    .284.180

    45 K / 14 E against 37 K / 17 E.

  • Longest run+4
    73

    7 straight N.C. A&T points in the third set stretched a 10–7 lead to 17–7. The set finished 25–12.

William & Mary above 50N.C. A&T belowMax swing 6.6%

N.C. A&TWilliam & Mary

Aces
N.C. A&T 5·William & Mary 1
Serve err
N.C. A&T 3·William & Mary 7
Blocks
N.C. A&T 11·William & Mary 94 BS · 14 BA vs 2 BS · 14 BA
Digs
N.C. A&T 48·William & Mary 45

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

William & Mary above 50 · N.C. A&T below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+6.6% NC A&Trally 131 · set 3

Biggest swing: 6.6% to N.C. A&T — set 1, NC A&T 23-21 WM&MRY. N.C. A&T ace on Avery Horejsi. WM&MRY win probability 45% → 38%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NC A&T 52.7%47.3% WM&MRY

N.C. A&T wins

3-0
13.7%
3-1
19.9%
3-2
19.2%

William & Mary wins

3-0
11.4%
3-1
17.6%
3-2
18.3%
NC A&T break %
41.6% vs this opp
WM&MRY break %
41.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    N.C. A&TAce+6.6%

    N.C. A&T ace on Avery Horejsi

    Set 1 · NC A&T 23-21 WM&MRY · NC A&T 55% → 62%

  2. 02

    Kill by Devereaux Hoxsie (set by Cate Hatfield)

    Set 1 · NC A&T 21-21 WM&MRY · WM&MRY 44% → 50%

  3. 03
    Tyne RossKill+5.5%

    Kill by Tyne Ross (set by Kirsten Kemper)

    Set 1 · NC A&T 24-22 WM&MRY · NC A&T 58% → 64%

  4. 04

    Olivia Westfort stuffed by Nicole Ellis & Zariah Winton

    Set 1 · NC A&T 20-18 WM&MRY · NC A&T 54% → 58%

  5. 05
    Tyne RossKill+4.9%

    Kill by Tyne Ross (set by Kirsten Kemper)

    Set 1 · NC A&T 22-21 WM&MRY · NC A&T 50% → 55%

  6. 06

    Agata Zwierzynska stuffed by Olivia Westfort & Sophia Van Name

    Set 1 · NC A&T 17-17 WM&MRY · WM&MRY 46% → 50%

  7. 07
    N.C. A&TAce+4.2%

    N.C. A&T ace on Avery Horejsi

    Set 1 · NC A&T 25-22 WM&MRY · NC A&T 64% → 68%

  8. 08
    William & MaryService error+3.8%

    William & Mary service error

    Set 1 · NC A&T 21-19 WM&MRY · NC A&T 56% → 59%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315230.43300060010.515.5
311423.3041003022314
310631.12911240031.512.5
35012.41701160153.59.5
3012-.500350080010.50.5
1204.50000000010.52.5
3000–4301600003
3000–100500000
2217.14300000111.53.5
Team totals4514109.28442534814141175
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38324.2080000026513
39220.350100300009
35017.29400152031.56.5
32617-.235003100213
31011.0001401800001
3000–001700000
36416.125000100217
35111.36400010010.55.5
31011.0002001520001
3000–010000001
3001.0001801400000
1013-.333000000000
Team totals3717111.1803517455214956

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

N.C. A&T vs William & Mary

Season series · N.C. A&T leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 NC A&T · WM&MRY 3

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 3 NC A&TWM&MRY 2

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 5 NC A&TWM&MRY 3

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 7 NC A&TWM&MRY 2

Bars above the line = William & Mary leads, below = N.C. A&T leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

N.C. A&T

SlotSideout %Break %
1
83%5/6
50%3/6
2
83%5/6
62%8/13
3
83%5/6
50%5/10
4
71%5/7
17%1/6
5
71%5/7
29%2/7
6
75%3/4
50%3/6
All
78%28/36
46%22/48

William & Mary

SlotSideout %Break %
1
38%5/13
17%1/6
2
50%5/10
17%1/6
3
83%5/6
17%1/6
4
71%5/7
29%2/7
5
50%3/6
29%2/7
6
50%3/6
25%1/4
All
54%26/48
22%8/36

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#NC A&T-WM&MRYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0WM&MRYNC A&TKillLuca Radnaiset Kirsten Kemper+1.8
21-1NC A&TWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+1.8
32-1WM&MRYNC A&TServe errWilliam & Mary+1.9
42-2NC A&TWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Shylah Swope+1.8
53-2WM&MRYNC A&TServe errWilliam & Mary+1.9
63-3NC A&TWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+1.9
73-4WM&MRYWM&MRYBlockedZariah Wintonblk Teagan Pocius, Katherine Arnason+2.7
84-4WM&MRYNC A&TKillNicole Ellisset Kirsten Kemper+1.9
94-5NC A&TWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+2.0
105-5WM&MRYNC A&T×3KillNicole Ellisset Kirsten Kemper+2.0
116-5NC A&TNC A&T×3KillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+2.8
127-5NC A&TNC A&T×3AceN.C. A&Taced Katherine Arnason+2.8
137-6NC A&TWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+1.9
147-7WM&MRYWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+2.9
158-7WM&MRYNC A&T×3KillLuca Radnaiset Kirsten Kemper+2.1
169-7NC A&TNC A&T×3Attack errAudrey Brcka+3.0
1710-7NC A&TNC A&T×3BlockedTeagan Pociusblk Luca Radnai+2.8
1810-8NC A&TWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+1.8
1911-8WM&MRYNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+2.1
2011-9NC A&TWM&MRYBad setAgata Zwierzynska+1.9
2112-9WM&MRYNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Valeria Estrada+2.1
2212-10NC A&TWM&MRYAttack errZariah Winton+1.9
2312-11WM&MRYWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Shylah Swope+3.1
2413-11WM&MRYNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Valeria Estrada+2.4
2513-12NC A&TWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Shylah Swope+2.3
2614-12WM&MRYNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+2.5
2715-12NC A&TNC A&TAttack errDevereaux Hoxsie+3.3
2815-13NC A&TWM&MRYKillAvery Horejsiset Kirsten Kemper+2.0
2915-14WM&MRYWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Devereaux Hoxsie+3.4
3016-14WM&MRYNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+2.8
3116-15NC A&TWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Cate Hatfield+2.5
3217-15WM&MRYNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+2.9
3317-16NC A&TWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+2.6
3417-17WM&MRYWM&MRYBlockedAgata Zwierzynskablk Olivia Westfort, Sophia Van Name+4.3
3518-17WM&MRYNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+3.3
3618-18NC A&TWM&MRYBlockedZariah Wintonblk Olivia Westfort, Sophia Van Name+3.2
3719-18WM&MRYNC A&TBlockedAudrey Brckablk Luca Radnai, Agata Zwierzynska+3.5
3820-18NC A&TNC A&TBlockedOlivia Westfortblk Nicole Ellis, Zariah Winton+4.9
3920-19NC A&TWM&MRYBlockedAgata Zwierzynskablk Olivia Westfort, Audrey Brcka+3.0
4021-19WM&MRYNC A&TServe errWilliam & Mary+3.8
4121-20NC A&TWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+3.1
4221-21WM&MRYWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Cate Hatfield+5.8
4322-21WM&MRYNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+4.9
4423-21NC A&TNC A&TAceN.C. A&Taced Avery Horejsi+6.6
4523-22NC A&TWM&MRYServe errN.C. A&T+3.3
4624-22WM&MRYNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+5.5
4725-22NC A&TNC A&TAceN.C. A&Taced Avery Horejsi+4.2
Set 2
10-1NC A&TWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+1.8
21-1WM&MRYNC A&TKillLuca Radnaiset Kirsten Kemper+1.8
31-2NC A&TWM&MRY×3KillDevereaux Hoxsieset Cate Hatfield+1.9
41-3WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errZariah Winton+2.6
51-4WM&MRY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.5
62-4WM&MRYNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+1.7
72-5NC A&TWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Avery Horejsi+1.8
83-5WM&MRYNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+1.7
94-5NC A&TNC A&TAttack errAudrey Brcka+2.6
104-6NC A&TWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+2.0
115-6WM&MRYNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+1.9
125-7NC A&TWM&MRY×3Attack errKirsten Kemper+2.0
135-8WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errTyne Ross+2.7
145-9WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillAudrey Brckaset Shylah Swope+2.5
156-9WM&MRYNC A&T×5KillTyne Rossset Charlie Meadoweal+1.6
167-9NC A&TNC A&T×5KillLuca Radnaiset Kirsten Kemper+2.5
178-9NC A&TNC A&T×5BlockedDevereaux Hoxsieblk Kirsten Kemper, Luca Radnai+2.8
189-9NC A&TNC A&T×5AceN.C. A&T+3.1
1910-9NC A&TNC A&T×5KillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+3.2
2010-10NC A&TWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Shylah Swope+2.3
2111-10WM&MRYNC A&TKillLuca Radnaiset Kirsten Kemper+2.4
2212-10NC A&TNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+3.3
2312-11NC A&TWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+2.2
2413-11WM&MRYNC A&TBlockedSophia Van Nameblk Agata Zwierzynska+2.4
2513-12NC A&TWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+2.3
2614-12WM&MRYNC A&T×4KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+2.5
2715-12NC A&TNC A&T×4KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Zariah Winton+3.3
2816-12NC A&TNC A&T×4KillZariah Winton+2.9
2917-12NC A&TNC A&T×4KillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+2.3
3017-13NC A&TWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+1.2
3117-14WM&MRYWM&MRYBlockedTyne Rossblk Olivia Westfort+2.3
3218-14WM&MRYNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+2.1
3319-14NC A&TNC A&TAttack errSophia Van Name+2.2
3419-15NC A&TWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+1.1
3520-15WM&MRYNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+1.6
3620-16NC A&TWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+1.0
3720-17WM&MRYWM&MRYBlockedDaja Warrenblk Olivia Westfort+2.1
3821-17WM&MRYNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+2.2
3921-18NC A&TWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+1.4
4022-18WM&MRYNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+2.2
4122-19NC A&TWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+1.2
4222-20WM&MRYWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+2.9
4323-20WM&MRYNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+3.3
4423-21NC A&TWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Avery Horejsi+1.8
4524-21WM&MRYNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Agata Zwierzynska+3.3
4624-22NC A&TWM&MRYServe errN.C. A&T+1.3
4725-22WM&MRYNC A&TServe errWilliam & Mary+3.0
Set 3
11-0WM&MRYNC A&T×3KillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+1.2
22-0NC A&TNC A&T×3KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Valeria Estrada+1.7
33-0NC A&TNC A&T×3Attack errEmily McKee+1.7
43-1NC A&TWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+1.1
53-2WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errAgata Zwierzynska+1.7
64-2WM&MRYNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+1.3
74-3NC A&TWM&MRYBlockedZariah Wintonblk Olivia Westfort, Katherine Arnason+1.2
85-3WM&MRYNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+1.3
96-3NC A&TNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Valeria Estrada+1.8
106-4NC A&TWM&MRYAttack errZariah Winton+1.2
117-4WM&MRYNC A&TServe errWilliam & Mary+1.3
127-5NC A&TWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+1.2
138-5WM&MRYNC A&TServe errWilliam & Mary+1.3
148-6NC A&TWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Cate Hatfield+1.2
159-6WM&MRYNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+1.4
1610-6NC A&TNC A&TBlockedSophia Van Nameblk Tyne Ross, Luca Radnai+1.7
1710-7NC A&TWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+1.1
1811-7WM&MRYNC A&T×7KillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+1.3
1912-7NC A&TNC A&T×7KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Shylah Swope+1.5
2013-7NC A&TNC A&T×7BlockedSophia Van Nameblk Zariah Winton, Luca Radnai+1.2
2114-7NC A&TNC A&T×7Attack errAudrey Brcka+0.9
2215-7NC A&TNC A&T×7KillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+0.7
2316-7NC A&TNC A&T×7Bad setShylah Swope+0.4
2417-7NC A&TNC A&T×7BlockedAudrey Brckablk Agata Zwierzynska+0.3
2517-8NC A&TWM&MRYBlockedAgata Zwierzynskablk Olivia Westfort, Audrey Brcka+0.1
2618-8WM&MRYNC A&T×5KillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+0.2
2719-8NC A&TNC A&T×5BlockedOlivia Westfortblk Zariah Winton, Daja Warren+0.1
2820-8NC A&TNC A&T×5AceN.C. A&Taced Katherine Arnason·
2921-8NC A&TNC A&T×5BlockedOlivia Westfortblk Daja Warren·
3022-8NC A&TNC A&T×5Attack errAudrey Brcka·
3122-9NC A&TWM&MRYKillShylah Swope·
3223-9WM&MRYNC A&TServe errWilliam & Mary·
3323-10NC A&TWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Shylah Swope·
3424-10WM&MRYNC A&TKillDaja Warrenset Kirsten Kemper·
3524-11NC A&TWM&MRYServe errN.C. A&T·
3624-12WM&MRYWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Cate Hatfield·
3725-12WM&MRYNC A&TKillDaja Warrenset Kirsten Kemper·

Score shown after each rally, N.C. A&T first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).