Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on FloSports

N.C. A&T def. William & Mary 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: N.C. A&T 56.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 2:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

N.C. A&T won at William & Mary 3-1 (25-22, 17-25, 25-20, 25-13) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. N.C. A&T's Tyne Ross led with 18 kills, and Kirsten Kemper added 20 digs.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set1234Sets
NC A&T251725253
WM&MRY222520131

Match story · written from the play-by-play

N.C. A&T led in all four phases.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are N.C. A&T's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ gave N.C. A&T 56% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · N.C. A&T 10–10 William & Mary

    From 10–10, N.C. A&T scored 7 straight to lead 17–10.

    N.C. A&T 56% → 72%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · N.C. A&T 1–2 William & Mary

    6 straight N.C. A&T points turned a 1–2 deficit into a 7–2 lead.

    N.C. A&T 75% → 92%

William & Mary above 50N.C. A&T belowMax swing 4.0%

N.C. A&TWilliam & Mary

Sideout %
N.C. A&T 60.5·William & Mary 52.7
Break %
N.C. A&T 47.3·William & Mary 39.5
Hitting
N.C. A&T .257·William & Mary .176
Longest run
N.C. A&T 7·William & Mary 5

Agata Zwierzynska
11 kills on .318, 13 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

William & Mary above 50 · N.C. A&T below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.0% NC A&Trally 172 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.0% to N.C. A&T — set 1, NC A&T 21-18 WM&MRY. Kill by Tyne Ross (set by Kirsten Kemper). WM&MRY win probability 36% → 32%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NC A&T 52.7%47.3% WM&MRY

N.C. A&T wins

3-0
13.7%
3-1
19.9%
3-2
19.2%

William & Mary wins

3-0
11.4%
3-1
17.6%
3-2
18.3%
NC A&T break %
41.6% vs this opp
WM&MRY break %
41.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Tyne RossKill+4.0%

    Kill by Tyne Ross (set by Kirsten Kemper)

    Set 1 · NC A&T 21-18 WM&MRY · NC A&T 64% → 68%

  2. 02
    William & MaryAce+3.9%

    William & Mary ace on Zariah Winton

    Set 1 · NC A&T 19-18 WM&MRY · WM&MRY 35% → 39%

  3. 03
    Sophia Van NameAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Sophia Van Name

    Set 3 · NC A&T 3-2 WM&MRY · NC A&T 54% → 57%

  4. 04
    Zariah WintonAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Zariah Winton

    Set 3 · NC A&T 1-2 WM&MRY · WM&MRY 45% → 49%

  5. 05
    Nicole EllisAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Nicole Ellis

    Set 2 · NC A&T 14-17 WM&MRY · WM&MRY 34% → 37%

  6. 06

    Kill by Agata Zwierzynska (set by Kirsten Kemper)

    Set 3 · NC A&T 4-2 WM&MRY · NC A&T 57% → 61%

  7. 07
    Olivia WestfortAttack error+3.3%

    Attack error by Olivia Westfort

    Set 4 · NC A&T 3-2 WM&MRY · NC A&T 77% → 81%

  8. 08
    William & MaryService error+3.3%

    William & Mary service error

    Set 1 · NC A&T 20-18 WM&MRY · NC A&T 61% → 64%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418443.3261123100019
413747.1281129112216
411422.3182002004213
45312.167000000638
4103.33336022000212
3315.40001120010.54.5
4001.000200600000
4001.0008011210000
2102.500000100001
12021.00000000111.53.5
1102.500000000001
1000–000000000
1000–100210000
Team totals5519140.25751385742161092
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
49330.2000007202110
46320.15000350132.58.5
48725.040000400008
45415.06700000111.56.5
4001.0000131400001
4000–1912300001
413329.3450001000013
46316.188000100428
4000–112200001
4000–2410400001
4000–2001510000
1000–000000000
Team totals4723136.17646410563210780

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

N.C. A&T vs William & Mary

Season series · N.C. A&T leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 NC A&T · WM&MRY 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 7 NC A&TWM&MRY 4

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 4 NC A&TWM&MRY 5

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 6 NC A&TWM&MRY 3

Set 4

25-13

Longest run 6 NC A&TWM&MRY 4

Bars above the line = William & Mary leads, below = N.C. A&T leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

N.C. A&T

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
25%3/12
2
64%9/14
10%1/10
3
75%9/12
71%22/31
4
44%7/16
50%7/14
5
64%7/11
13%1/8
6
54%7/13
56%9/16
All
60%49/81
47%43/91

William & Mary

SlotSideout %Break %
1
83%10/12
36%5/14
2
43%9/21
31%4/13
3
35%8/23
44%7/16
4
78%7/9
38%5/13
5
70%7/10
46%6/13
6
44%7/16
42%5/12
All
53%48/91
40%32/81

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

172 rallies

#NC A&T-WM&MRYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errTyne Ross+2.6
21-1WM&MRYNC A&TKillLuca Radnaiset Kirsten Kemper+1.8
31-2NC A&TWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+1.8
42-2WM&MRYNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Valeria Estrada+1.8
53-2NC A&TNC A&TAceN.C. A&Taced Katherine Arnason+2.6
63-3NC A&TWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Cate Hatfield+1.8
74-3WM&MRYNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+1.9
84-4NC A&TWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+1.9
95-4WM&MRYNC A&TBlockedAudrey Brckablk Nicole Ellis, Kirsten Kemper+1.9
105-5NC A&TWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Shylah Swope+1.9
116-5WM&MRYNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+2.0
126-6NC A&TWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+2.0
136-7WM&MRYWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Shylah Swope+3.0
147-7WM&MRYNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+2.0
158-7NC A&TNC A&TAttack errOlivia Westfort+3.0
168-8NC A&TWM&MRYServe errN.C. A&T+2.1
178-9WM&MRYWM&MRYAceWilliam & Maryaced Tyne Ross+3.1
189-9WM&MRYNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+2.1
1910-9NC A&TNC A&TAttack errDevereaux Hoxsie+3.2
2010-10NC A&TWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+2.2
2111-10WM&MRYNC A&T×7KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+2.3
2212-10NC A&TNC A&T×7BlockedDevereaux Hoxsieblk Agata Zwierzynska, Nicole Ellis+3.2
2313-10NC A&TNC A&T×7KillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+3.0
2414-10NC A&TNC A&T×7Attack errDevereaux Hoxsie+2.6
2515-10NC A&TNC A&T×7KillNicole Ellisset Kirsten Kemper+2.1
2616-10NC A&TNC A&T×7KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+1.6
2717-10NC A&TNC A&T×7BlockedDevereaux Hoxsieblk Nicole Ellis, Agata Zwierzynska+1.1
2817-11NC A&TWM&MRYServe errN.C. A&T+0.5
2917-12WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errZariah Winton+1.0
3018-12WM&MRYNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Agata Zwierzynska+1.0
3118-13NC A&TWM&MRY×4KillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+0.7
3218-14WM&MRYWM&MRY×4BlockedNicole Ellisblk Audrey Brcka, Olivia Westfort+1.4
3318-15WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillSophia Van Nameset Shylah Swope+2.1
3418-16WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+2.9
3519-16WM&MRYNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+2.5
3619-17NC A&TWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Shylah Swope+2.0
3719-18WM&MRYWM&MRYAceWilliam & Maryaced Zariah Winton+3.9
3820-18WM&MRYNC A&TServe errWilliam & Mary+3.3
3921-18NC A&TNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+4.0
4021-19NC A&TWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+2.0
4122-19WM&MRYNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+2.9
4222-20NC A&TWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+1.9
4323-20WM&MRYNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+3.0
4423-21NC A&TWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+1.7
4524-21WM&MRYNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+3.0
4624-22NC A&TWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+1.1
4725-22WM&MRYNC A&TAttack errAudrey Brcka+2.7
Set 2
10-1NC A&TWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Avery Horejsi+1.7
20-2WM&MRYWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Regan Hill+2.4
31-2WM&MRYNC A&TServe errWilliam & Mary+1.6
41-3NC A&TWM&MRY×5KillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+1.7
51-4WM&MRYWM&MRY×5Attack errAgata Zwierzynska+2.4
61-5WM&MRYWM&MRY×5BlockedAgata Zwierzynskablk Audrey Brcka, Olivia Westfort+2.3
71-6WM&MRYWM&MRY×5KillSophia Van Nameset Shylah Swope+2.1
81-7WM&MRYWM&MRY×5Attack errZariah Winton+1.8
92-7WM&MRYNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+1.0
102-8NC A&TWM&MRYBlockedAgata Zwierzynskablk Audrey Brcka+1.3
113-8WM&MRYNC A&TServe errWilliam & Mary+1.0
123-9NC A&TWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Shylah Swope+1.3
134-9WM&MRYNC A&TBlockedDevereaux Hoxsieblk Kirsten Kemper, Nicole Ellis+1.0
145-9NC A&TNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Valeria Estrada+1.8
155-10NC A&TWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Shylah Swope+1.5
165-11WM&MRYWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+1.8
176-11WM&MRYNC A&T×4Serve errWilliam & Mary+1.0
187-11NC A&TNC A&T×4KillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+1.8
198-11NC A&TNC A&T×4Attack errDevereaux Hoxsie+2.2
209-11NC A&TNC A&T×4Attack errTeagan Pocius+2.6
219-12NC A&TWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+2.1
2210-12WM&MRYNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+1.8
2311-12NC A&TNC A&TAttack errTeagan Pocius+3.0
2411-13NC A&TWM&MRYServe errN.C. A&T+2.3
2512-13WM&MRYNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Madison Mullins+2.1
2612-14NC A&TWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+2.4
2713-14WM&MRYNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+2.2
2813-15NC A&TWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Shylah Swope+2.5
2914-15WM&MRYNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Valeria Estrada+2.3
3014-16NC A&TWM&MRY×5KillAudrey Brckaset Shylah Swope+2.6
3114-17WM&MRYWM&MRY×5Attack errNicole Ellis+3.5
3214-18WM&MRYWM&MRY×5BlockedZariah Wintonblk Olivia Westfort, Katherine Arnason+2.9
3314-19WM&MRYWM&MRY×5Attack errTyne Ross+2.2
3414-20WM&MRYWM&MRY×5KillDevereaux Hoxsieset Shylah Swope+1.5
3515-20WM&MRYNC A&TServe errWilliam & Mary+0.6
3615-21NC A&TWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Shylah Swope+0.9
3716-21WM&MRYNC A&TKillNicole Ellisset Charlie Meadoweal+0.5
3816-22NC A&TWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Cate Hatfield+0.8
3917-22WM&MRYNC A&TKillMikala Sampsonset Charlie Meadoweal+0.3
4017-23NC A&TWM&MRY×3KillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+0.6
4117-24WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+0.3
4217-25WM&MRYWM&MRY×3AceWilliam & Maryaced Madison Mullins+0.1
Set 3
11-0WM&MRYNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+2.3
21-1NC A&TWM&MRYBlockedLuca Radnaiblk Teagan Pocius+2.4
31-2WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errZariah Winton+3.5
42-2WM&MRYNC A&T×4Serve errWilliam & Mary+2.4
53-2NC A&TNC A&T×4Attack errSophia Van Name+3.5
64-2NC A&TNC A&T×4KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+3.5
75-2NC A&TNC A&T×4BlockedAudrey Brckablk Luca Radnai, Agata Zwierzynska+3.3
85-3NC A&TWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+2.1
96-3WM&MRYNC A&T×6KillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+2.3
107-3NC A&TNC A&T×6KillZariah Wintonset Valeria Estrada+3.0
118-3NC A&TNC A&T×6Attack errSophia Van Name+2.7
129-3NC A&TNC A&T×6KillZariah Wintonset Tyne Ross+2.2
1310-3NC A&TNC A&T×6Bad setAvery Horejsi+1.8
1411-3NC A&TNC A&T×6KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Valeria Estrada+1.3
1511-4NC A&TWM&MRYServe errN.C. A&T+0.7
1612-4WM&MRYNC A&TServe errWilliam & Mary+0.9
1712-5NC A&TWM&MRYBlockedAgata Zwierzynskablk Olivia Westfort, Audrey Brcka+0.6
1812-6WM&MRYWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Shylah Swope+1.3
1913-6WM&MRYNC A&TServe errWilliam & Mary+1.2
2013-7NC A&TWM&MRYBad setZariah Winton+0.9
2113-8WM&MRYWM&MRYBlockedZariah Wintonblk Katherine Arnason, Teagan Pocius+1.7
2214-8WM&MRYNC A&TServe errWilliam & Mary+1.5
2314-9NC A&TWM&MRYServe errN.C. A&T+1.1
2415-9WM&MRYNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+1.5
2515-10NC A&TWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Cate Hatfield+1.1
2616-10WM&MRYNC A&T×3KillLuca Radnaiset Kirsten Kemper+1.5
2717-10NC A&TNC A&T×3KillZariah Wintonset Valeria Estrada+1.5
2818-10NC A&TNC A&T×3KillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+0.9
2918-11NC A&TWM&MRY×3KillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+0.4
3018-12WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Bad setKirsten Kemper+0.8
3118-13WM&MRYWM&MRY×3AceWilliam & Maryaced Valeria Estrada+1.3
3219-13WM&MRYNC A&TKillLuca Radnaiset Kirsten Kemper+1.3
3319-14NC A&TWM&MRY×3KillSophia Van Nameset Shylah Swope+0.8
3419-15WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillAudrey Brckaset Shylah Swope+1.8
3519-16WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errZariah Winton+2.7
3620-16WM&MRYNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+2.6
3720-17NC A&TWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Shylah Swope+1.8
3821-17WM&MRYNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+2.6
3922-17NC A&TNC A&TBlockedKatherine Arnasonblk Zariah Winton+2.3
4022-18NC A&TWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Shylah Swope+0.8
4122-19WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errZariah Winton+2.1
4223-19WM&MRYNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+2.5
4324-19NC A&TNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+1.6
4424-20NC A&TWM&MRYAttack errTyne Ross+0.2
4525-20WM&MRYNC A&TKillNicole Ellisset Kirsten Kemper+0.6
Set 4
10-1NC A&TWM&MRYAttack errTyne Ross+2.3
21-1WM&MRYNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+2.2
31-2NC A&TWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Shylah Swope+2.3
42-2WM&MRYNC A&T×6Serve errWilliam & Mary+2.3
53-2NC A&TNC A&T×6Attack errOlivia Westfort+3.3
64-2NC A&TNC A&T×6KillDaja Warrenset Katherine Arnason+3.3
75-2NC A&TNC A&T×6KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Valeria Estrada+3.1
86-2NC A&TNC A&T×6AceN.C. A&Taced Katherine Arnason+2.8
97-2NC A&TNC A&T×6KillNicole Ellisset Kirsten Kemper+2.5
107-3NC A&TWM&MRYServe errN.C. A&T+1.5
118-3WM&MRYNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+1.7
128-4NC A&TWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Avery Horejsi+1.5
139-4WM&MRYNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Valeria Estrada+1.8
149-5NC A&TWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+1.5
159-6WM&MRYWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+2.6
1610-6WM&MRYNC A&T×5KillKirsten Kemper+2.1
1711-6NC A&TNC A&T×5AceN.C. A&Taced Avery Horejsi+2.6
1812-6NC A&TNC A&T×5KillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+2.1
1913-6NC A&TNC A&T×5KillNicole Ellis+1.6
2014-6NC A&TNC A&T×5Attack errSophia Van Name+1.1
2114-7NC A&TWM&MRY×4Serve errN.C. A&T+0.5
2214-8WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errNicole Ellis+1.1
2314-9WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillSophia Van Nameset Shylah Swope+1.5
2414-10WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillOlivia Westfortset Kirsten Kemper+2.1
2515-10WM&MRYNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Zariah Winton+1.8
2615-11NC A&TWM&MRYServe errN.C. A&T+1.4
2716-11WM&MRYNC A&TKillKatherine Arnasonset Avery Horejsi+1.9
2816-12NC A&TWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Shylah Swope+1.4
2917-12WM&MRYNC A&T×6KillDaja Warrenset Kirsten Kemper+1.8
3018-12NC A&TNC A&T×6BlockedOlivia Westfortblk Daja Warren+1.9
3119-12NC A&TNC A&T×6Attack errDevereaux Hoxsie+1.2
3220-12NC A&TNC A&T×6BlockedKatherine Arnasonblk Daja Warren, Zariah Winton+0.7
3321-12NC A&TNC A&T×6BlockedKatherine Arnasonblk Zariah Winton+0.3
3422-12NC A&TNC A&T×6KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+0.1
3522-13NC A&TWM&MRYKillDevereaux Hoxsieset Shylah Swope·
3623-13WM&MRYNC A&T×3KillMadison Curryset Agata Zwierzynska·
3724-13NC A&TNC A&T×3Attack errTeagan Pocius·
3825-13NC A&TNC A&T×3Attack errTeagan Pocius·

Score shown after each rally, N.C. A&T first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).