FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026

N.C. A&T def. Towson 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Towson 59.7% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 2:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

N.C. A&T beat visiting Towson 3-0 (25-18, 25-22, 30-28) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. N.C. A&T's Agata Zwierzynska led with 14 kills.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set123Sets
TOWSON1822280
NC A&T2525303

Match story · written from the play-by-play

N.C. A&T held off Towson.

The match turned once. Numbers are N.C. A&T's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ had Towson at 60% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Towson 23–21 N.C. A&T

    Down 21–23, N.C. A&T scored 3 straight to lead 24–23.

    N.C. A&T 74% → 91%

N.C. A&T above 50Towson belowMax swing 8.9%

TowsonN.C. A&T

Sideout %
Towson 53.8·N.C. A&T 62.9
Break %
Towson 37.1·N.C. A&T 46.2
Hitting
Towson .226·N.C. A&T .252
Longest run
Towson 3·N.C. A&T 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

N.C. A&T above 50 · Towson below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+8.9% NC A&Trally 148 · set 3

Biggest swing: 8.9% to N.C. A&T — set 3, TOWSON 28-30 NC A&T. Taylor Pagan stuffed by Nicole Ellis & Kirsten Kemper. NC A&T win probability 91% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TOWSON 55.0%45.0% NC A&T

Towson wins

3-0
14.7%
3-1
20.8%
3-2
19.4%

N.C. A&T wins

3-0
10.5%
3-1
16.7%
3-2
17.8%
TOWSON break %
40.8% vs this opp
NC A&T break %
39.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Taylor Pagan stuffed by Nicole Ellis & Kirsten Kemper

    Set 3 · TOWSON 28-30 NC A&T · NC A&T 91% → 100%

  2. 02

    Ace by Valeria Estrada

    Set 3 · TOWSON 23-24 NC A&T · NC A&T 83% → 91%

  3. 03
    Zariah WintonKill+8.5%

    Kill by Zariah Winton (set by Valeria Estrada)

    Set 3 · TOWSON 26-27 NC A&T · NC A&T 83% → 91%

  4. 04
    Agata ZwierzynskaAttack error+8.2%

    Attack error by Agata Zwierzynska

    Set 3 · TOWSON 26-25 NC A&T · TOWSON 15% → 23%

  5. 05

    Ava Drye stuffed by Tyne Ross & Luca Radnai

    Set 3 · TOWSON 23-23 NC A&T · NC A&T 76% → 83%

  6. 06
    Tyne RossAttack error+5.7%

    Attack error by Tyne Ross

    Set 3 · TOWSON 24-24 NC A&T · TOWSON 9% → 15%

  7. 07
    Zariah WintonKill+5.7%

    Kill by Zariah Winton (set by Kirsten Kemper)

    Set 3 · TOWSON 24-25 NC A&T · NC A&T 85% → 91%

  8. 08

    Kill by Malinah Purcell-Telefoni (set by Peyton Meyer)

    Set 3 · TOWSON 25-25 NC A&T · TOWSON 9% → 15%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Towsonaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310530.16700372010.510.5
37214.357112201019
37315.267011200008
3509.55600000212.57.5
36222.182000211017
3001.0001821800002
35413.077000000216
3000–111500001
3002.000200310000
3000–1500100000
2000–001300000
Team totals4016106.226375933644668
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314430.33300000010.514.5
311426.2690114200012
38110.70002160031.511.5
37732.0000011000218
37310.400000000218
3002.00037001000211
3001.000330930003
3000–201300000
1000–000000000
Team totals4719111.2524264425010580

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Towson vs N.C. A&T

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 TOWSON · NC A&T 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 TOWSONNC A&T 6

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 TOWSONNC A&T 4

Set 3

28-30

Longest run 2 TOWSONNC A&T 3

Bars above the line = N.C. A&T leads, below = Towson leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Towson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%9/20
50%8/16
2
47%8/17
25%3/12
3
78%7/9
38%5/13
4
67%6/9
36%4/11
5
60%6/10
25%2/8
6
46%6/13
40%4/10
All
54%42/78
37%26/70

N.C. A&T

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
50%7/14
2
73%8/11
60%12/20
3
57%8/14
38%5/13
4
70%7/10
30%3/10
5
75%6/8
33%3/9
6
50%6/12
50%6/12
All
63%44/70
46%36/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

148 rallies

#TOWSON-NC A&TSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TOWSONTOWSON×3AceTowsonaced Valeria Estrada+2.5
22-0TOWSONTOWSON×3Attack errTyne Ross+2.4
33-0TOWSONTOWSON×3KillTaylor Paganset Kayla Zanon+2.3
43-1TOWSONNC A&T×6KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+1.4
53-2NC A&TNC A&T×6KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+2.4
63-3NC A&TNC A&T×6KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Valeria Estrada+2.6
73-4NC A&TNC A&T×6Attack errTaylor Pagan+2.7
83-5NC A&TNC A&T×6KillLuca Radnai+2.8
93-6NC A&TNC A&T×6Bad setAnna Rice+2.7
104-6NC A&TTOWSONKillClara Vorelset Kaitlyn Moran+1.7
115-6TOWSONTOWSONBlockedLuca Radnaiblk Clara Vorel+2.7
125-7TOWSONNC A&T×3KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+2.0
135-8NC A&TNC A&T×3KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+2.9
145-9NC A&TNC A&T×3AceLuca Radnai+2.7
156-9NC A&TTOWSONKillAddison Leberset Kaitlyn Moran+1.5
166-10TOWSONNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+1.8
177-10NC A&TTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+1.6
188-10TOWSONTOWSONAttack errZariah Winton+2.7
198-11TOWSONNC A&TKillNicole Ellisset Kirsten Kemper+2.1
208-12NC A&TNC A&TAceZariah Wintonaced Megan Platt+2.8
219-12NC A&TTOWSONKillAddison Leberset Peyton Meyer+1.6
229-13TOWSONNC A&TKillNicole Ellisset Kirsten Kemper+2.0
2310-13NC A&TTOWSON×3BlockedTyne Rossblk Ava Drye, Taylor Pagan+1.6
2411-13TOWSONTOWSON×3KillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+2.9
2512-13TOWSONTOWSON×3KillAva Dryeset Malinah Purcell-Telefoni+3.3
2612-14TOWSONNC A&T×3Serve errTowson+2.5
2712-15NC A&TNC A&T×3KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+3.5
2812-16NC A&TNC A&T×3KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+3.1
2913-16NC A&TTOWSONKillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+1.6
3013-17TOWSONNC A&T×3Serve errTowson+2.1
3113-18NC A&TNC A&T×3Attack errAnna Rice+2.4
3213-19NC A&TNC A&T×3KillLuca Radnaiset Kirsten Kemper+1.7
3314-19NC A&TTOWSONKillClara Vorelset Kaitlyn Moran+0.7
3414-20TOWSONNC A&T×3KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+1.1
3514-21NC A&TNC A&T×3Attack errAddison Leber+0.9
3614-22NC A&TNC A&T×3KillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+0.4
3715-22NC A&TTOWSON×3KillAddison Leberset Kaitlyn Moran+0.1
3816-22TOWSONTOWSON×3AceTowsonaced Valeria Estrada+0.3
3917-22TOWSONTOWSON×3Attack errAgata Zwierzynska+0.5
4017-23TOWSONNC A&TAttack errTaylor Pagan+0.7
4118-23NC A&TTOWSONKillAddison Leberset Megan Platt+0.2
4218-24TOWSONNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Charlie Meadoweal+0.4
4318-25NC A&TNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+0.1
Set 2
10-1NC A&TNC A&TAttack errAnna Rice+2.9
20-2NC A&TNC A&TAttack errMalinah Purcell-Telefoni+2.9
31-2NC A&TTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Kaitlyn Moran+1.9
42-2TOWSONTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+2.9
52-3TOWSONNC A&T×4Serve errTowson+2.0
62-4NC A&TNC A&T×4Attack errAnna Rice+3.1
72-5NC A&TNC A&T×4KillLuca Radnai+3.0
82-6NC A&TNC A&T×4BlockedAddison Leberblk Luca Radnai, Agata Zwierzynska+2.8
93-6NC A&TTOWSONBlockedTyne Rossblk Malinah Purcell-Telefoni+1.7
103-7TOWSONNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+2.0
114-7NC A&TTOWSONKillTaylor Paganset Kaitlyn Moran+1.7
125-7TOWSONTOWSONAttack errAgata Zwierzynska+2.8
135-8TOWSONNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+2.2
145-9NC A&TNC A&TKillNicole Ellisset Kirsten Kemper+3.0
156-9NC A&TTOWSONServe errCharlie Meadoweal+1.7
167-9TOWSONTOWSONAttack errZariah Winton+3.0
177-10TOWSONNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Charlie Meadoweal+2.3
187-11NC A&TNC A&TAttack errAva Drye+3.1
198-11NC A&TTOWSONServe errZariah Winton+1.8
208-12TOWSONNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+2.1
219-12NC A&TTOWSONKillTaylor Paganset Peyton Meyer+1.8
2210-12TOWSONTOWSONAttack errTyne Ross+3.1
2310-13TOWSONNC A&TAttack errTaylor Pagan+2.5
2410-14NC A&TNC A&TAttack errMalinah Purcell-Telefoni+3.3
2511-14NC A&TTOWSONKillTaylor Paganset Kaitlyn Moran+1.8
2611-15TOWSONNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+2.3
2711-16NC A&TNC A&TKillZariah Winton+2.8
2812-16NC A&TTOWSONServe errTyne Ross+1.3
2913-16TOWSONTOWSONAceTowsonaced Zariah Winton+2.7
3013-17TOWSONNC A&TServe errTowson+2.4
3114-17NC A&TTOWSONServe errLuca Radnai+1.8
3215-17TOWSONTOWSONKillAddison Leberset Kaitlyn Moran+3.4
3315-18TOWSONNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+2.9
3416-18NC A&TTOWSONKillClara Vorelset Peyton Meyer+2.3
3516-19TOWSONNC A&TKillNicole Ellisset Kirsten Kemper+3.1
3617-19NC A&TTOWSONKillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+2.3
3718-19TOWSONTOWSONKillTaylor Paganset Peyton Meyer+4.6
3818-20TOWSONNC A&T×4KillNicole Ellisset Kirsten Kemper+3.8
3918-21NC A&TNC A&T×4AceValeria Estradaaced Taylor Pagan+4.9
4018-22NC A&TNC A&T×4KillLuca Radnaiset Kirsten Kemper+3.5
4118-23NC A&TNC A&T×4BlockedAva Dryeblk Tyne Ross, Luca Radnai+2.0
4219-23NC A&TTOWSON×3KillTaylor Paganset Peyton Meyer+0.5
4320-23TOWSONTOWSON×3KillTaylor Paganset Kaitlyn Moran+1.5
4421-23TOWSONTOWSON×3AceTowsonaced Zariah Winton+2.8
4521-24TOWSONNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+3.6
4622-24NC A&TTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Kaitlyn Moran+1.3
4722-25TOWSONNC A&TKillLuca Radnaiset Kirsten Kemper+3.3
Set 3
10-1TOWSONNC A&TBad setKaitlyn Moran+1.5
21-1NC A&TTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Megan Platt+1.4
31-2TOWSONNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+1.5
41-3NC A&TNC A&TAceLuca Radnaiaced Addison Leber+2.2
52-3NC A&TTOWSONAttack errZariah Winton+1.4
62-4TOWSONNC A&TKillNicole Ellisset Kirsten Kemper+1.6
72-5NC A&TNC A&TBlockedTaylor Paganblk Kirsten Kemper, Nicole Ellis+2.3
83-5NC A&TTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+1.4
94-5TOWSONTOWSONAceTowsonaced Valeria Estrada+2.2
104-6TOWSONNC A&TServe errTowson+1.6
115-6NC A&TTOWSONKillAva Dryeset Peyton Meyer+1.5
125-7TOWSONNC A&TServe errTowson+1.7
135-8NC A&TNC A&TAceValeria Estradaaced Taylor Pagan+2.4
146-8NC A&TTOWSONKillClara Vorelset Peyton Meyer+1.5
156-9TOWSONNC A&T×3Serve errTowson+1.7
166-10NC A&TNC A&T×3Attack errAva Drye+2.3
176-11NC A&TNC A&T×3KillLuca Radnaiset Kirsten Kemper+2.0
187-11NC A&TTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Peyton Meyer+1.1
198-11TOWSONTOWSONKillTaylor Pagan+2.0
208-12TOWSONNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kayla Zanon+1.6
219-12NC A&TTOWSONKillAnna Rice+1.3
229-13TOWSONNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+1.6
2310-13NC A&TTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Kaitlyn Moran+1.3
2411-13TOWSONTOWSONAttack errNicole Ellis+2.4
2511-14TOWSONNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Valeria Estrada+1.9
2612-14NC A&TTOWSONKillTaylor Paganset Kaitlyn Moran+1.6
2712-15TOWSONNC A&TKillNicole Ellisset Kirsten Kemper+2.0
2813-15NC A&TTOWSONKillTaylor Paganset Peyton Meyer+1.7
2913-16TOWSONNC A&TServe errTowson+2.0
3014-16NC A&TTOWSONKillClara Vorelset Peyton Meyer+1.7
3115-16TOWSONTOWSONAttack errTyne Ross+3.0
3215-17TOWSONNC A&TKillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+2.4
3316-17NC A&TTOWSONKillAddison Leberset Peyton Meyer+2.1
3416-18TOWSONNC A&TKillLuca Radnaiset Addison Leber+2.5
3517-18NC A&TTOWSONAttack errAgata Zwierzynska+2.2
3618-18TOWSONTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Kaitlyn Moran+3.8
3718-19TOWSONNC A&TServe errTowson+2.9
3819-19NC A&TTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+2.7
3920-19TOWSONTOWSONAttack errZariah Winton+4.5
4020-20TOWSONNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+3.0
4121-20NC A&TTOWSONAttack errNicole Ellis+3.3
4221-21TOWSONNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+3.3
4322-21NC A&TTOWSONBlockedTyne Rossblk Clara Vorel, Ava Drye+3.7
4423-21TOWSONTOWSONBlockedNicole Ellisblk Addison Leber+5.2
4523-22TOWSONNC A&T×3KillTyne Rossset Kirsten Kemper+2.4
4623-23NC A&TNC A&T×3BlockedAva Dryeblk Tyne Ross, Luca Radnai+6.2
4723-24NC A&TNC A&T×3AceValeria Estrada+8.5
4824-24NC A&TTOWSONAttack errTyne Ross+5.7
4924-25TOWSONNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Kirsten Kemper+5.7
5025-25NC A&TTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Peyton Meyer+5.7
5126-25TOWSONTOWSONAttack errAgata Zwierzynska+8.2
5226-26TOWSONNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+5.5
5326-27NC A&TNC A&TKillZariah Wintonset Valeria Estrada+8.5
5427-27NC A&TTOWSONKillMalinah Purcell-Telefoniset Kaitlyn Moran+5.7
5527-28TOWSONNC A&TKillLuca Radnaiset Kirsten Kemper+5.7
5628-28NC A&TTOWSONKillAnna Riceset Kaitlyn Moran+5.7
5728-29TOWSONNC A&TKillAgata Zwierzynskaset Kirsten Kemper+5.7
5828-30NC A&TNC A&TBlockedTaylor Paganblk Nicole Ellis, Kirsten Kemper+8.9

Score shown after each rally, Towson first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).