Final · 4 setsThu, Oct 1, 2026Watch on MW+

San Jose St. def. Wyoming 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Wyoming 60.8% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 1, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

San Jose St. beat visiting Wyoming 3-1 (25-23, 24-26, 25-19, 25-23) on Thu, Oct 1, 2026. San Jose St.'s Devon DeNecochea led with 14 kills, and Orian Drore added 19 digs.

Data through · final Oct 1

Set1234Sets
WYO232619231
SJSU252425253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

San Jose St. trailed 16–20 in the fourth and still took the set, then the match.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are San Jose St.'s RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ had Wyoming at 61% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Wyoming 22–24 San Jose St.

    Wyoming closed it, 4 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 26–24 and level the match at 1–1. The match swung to Wyoming.

    San Jose St. 78% → 42%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Wyoming 14–16 San Jose St.

    6 straight Wyoming points turned a 14–16 deficit into a 20–16 lead.

    San Jose St. 81% → 50%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Wyoming 23–22 San Jose St.

    Down 22–23, San Jose St. scored 3 straight to lead 25–23.

    San Jose St. 61% → >99%

San Jose St. above 50Wyoming belowMax swing 15.6%

WyomingSan Jose St.

Sideout %
Wyoming 58.2·San Jose St. 63.0
Break %
Wyoming 37.0·San Jose St. 41.8
Hitting
Wyoming .250·San Jose St. .299
Longest run
Wyoming 6·San Jose St. 4

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

San Jose St. above 50 · Wyoming below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+15.6% SJSUrally 190 · set 4

Biggest swing: 15.6% to San Jose St. — set 4, WYO 23-25 SJSU. Kill by Fatimah Hall (set by Zuzana Kosikova). SJSU win probability 84% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

WYO 66.6%33.4% SJSU

Wyoming wins

3-0
21.0%
3-1
25.6%
3-2
20.0%

San Jose St. wins

3-0
6.7%
3-1
11.9%
3-2
14.8%
WYO break %
43.4% vs this opp
SJSU break %
40.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Fatimah HallKill+15.6%

    Kill by Fatimah Hall (set by Zuzana Kosikova)

    Set 4 · WYO 23-25 SJSU · SJSU 84% → 100%

  2. 02
    Zuzana KosikovaKill+14.9%

    Kill by Zuzana Kosikova (set by Fatimah Hall)

    Set 4 · WYO 23-24 SJSU · SJSU 70% → 84%

  3. 03
    Zuzana KosikovaAttack error+11.3%

    Attack error by Zuzana Kosikova

    Set 2 · WYO 24-24 SJSU · WYO 26% → 37%

  4. 04
    Abi MilbyKill+11.3%

    Kill by Abi Milby (set by Addy Thorington)

    Set 4 · WYO 23-22 SJSU · WYO 27% → 39%

  5. 05
    Addy ThoringtonKill+10.8%

    Kill by Addy Thorington

    Set 2 · WYO 25-24 SJSU · WYO 37% → 48%

  6. 06
    Mariana BuchananAttack error+10.3%

    Attack error by Mariana Buchanan

    Set 2 · WYO 26-24 SJSU · WYO 48% → 58%

  7. 07
    Ruby JensenAttack error+9.9%

    Attack error by Ruby Jensen

    Set 4 · WYO 21-22 SJSU · SJSU 70% → 80%

  8. 08
    Ava HewittKill+8.7%

    Kill by Ava Hewitt (set by Orian Drore)

    Set 2 · WYO 22-24 SJSU · SJSU 69% → 78%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414330.36700020010.514.5
410227.296124104010.512.5
47424.1252338100010
4204.5002114800003
4000–202500000
22111.09100000010.52.5
49124.3331000012211
4000–214000001
4000–1502500000
4000–301710000
36420.10000020031.57.5
2306.500000000003
1012-.500000000000
Team totals5316148.2504772047618591
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414431.32310040010.514.5
410017.58800000254.514.5
49423.2171156002111
49625.1200117100010
46114.357001100006
4001.00021011100000
46215.267000200217
41011.00022101200002
4000–012000001
4000–7001940000
3000–021000002
1000–000000000
1000–001000000
Team totals5517127.29952612627210799

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Wyoming vs San Jose St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 WYO · SJSU 4

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 WYOSJSU 4

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 4 WYOSJSU 4

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 WYOSJSU 4

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 6 WYOSJSU 3

Bars above the line = San Jose St. leads, below = Wyoming leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Wyoming

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
33%5/15
2
48%11/23
27%4/15
3
77%10/13
31%5/16
4
53%9/17
40%6/15
5
57%8/14
50%9/18
6
53%8/15
38%5/13
All
58%57/98
37%34/92

San Jose St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%12/17
38%6/16
2
69%11/16
39%7/18
3
71%10/14
47%9/19
4
60%9/15
47%9/19
5
50%8/16
33%4/12
6
57%8/14
43%6/14
All
63%58/92
42%41/98

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

190 rallies

#WYO-SJSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SJSUSJSUKillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas+2.4
20-2SJSUSJSUKillLearden Leeset Hanna Darvas+2.5
31-2SJSUWYOServe errSan Jose St.+1.8
42-2WYOWYOAceWyomingaced Morgan Graves+2.4
52-3WYOSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Hanna Darvas+1.9
62-4SJSUSJSUAttack errEmma Winter+2.6
73-4SJSUWYOKillAddy Thoringtonset Peyton Carruth+1.8
83-5WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+2.0
94-5SJSUWYOKillAddy Thoringtonset Sara Quigley+1.9
104-6WYOSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+2.1
114-7SJSUSJSUAttack errReagan Sharp+2.7
125-7SJSUWYOKillRuby Jensenset Maddy Stucky+1.8
136-7WYOWYOKillPaige Lauterwasser+2.7
146-8WYOSJSU×3KillZuzana Kosikovaset Fatimah Hall+2.2
156-9SJSUSJSU×3KillZuzana Kosikovaset Fatimah Hall+2.8
166-10SJSUSJSU×3AceSan Jose St.aced Addy Thorington+2.7
177-10SJSUWYOKillRuby Jensenset Maddy Stucky+1.7
188-10WYOWYOAttack errMariana Buchanan+2.6
198-11WYOSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Fatimah Hall+2.2
208-12SJSUSJSUKillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas+2.8
219-12SJSUWYOAttack errDevon DeNecochea+1.7
2210-12WYOWYOAceWyomingaced Orian Drore+2.7
2310-13WYOSJSUKillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas+2.4
2411-13SJSUWYOAttack errLearden Lee+2.1
2512-13WYOWYOAceWyoming+3.1
2612-14WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+2.6
2713-14SJSUWYO×3Attack errMorgan Graves+2.4
2814-14WYOWYO×3AceWyoming+3.5
2915-14WYOWYO×3KillEmma Winterset Anna Melgren+3.6
3015-15WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+2.7
3116-15SJSUWYOKillRuby Jensenset Sara Quigley+2.8
3216-16WYOSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+2.9
3316-17SJSUSJSUBlockedAddy Thoringtonblk Ava Hewitt, Mariana Buchanan+4.2
3417-17SJSUWYOServe errSan Jose St.+3.1
3517-18WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+3.4
3618-18SJSUWYOKillRuby Jensenset Maddy Stucky+3.3
3718-19WYOSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Fatimah Hall+3.6
3819-19SJSUWYOKillRylee Heinzset Maddy Stucky+3.5
3920-19WYOWYOKillRylee Heinz+5.0
4020-20WYOSJSUKillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas+3.8
4121-20SJSUWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Sara Quigley+4.2
4221-21WYOSJSU×4KillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas+4.2
4321-22SJSUSJSU×4BlockedRylee Heinzblk Ava Hewitt+6.6
4421-23SJSUSJSU×4AceSan Jose St.aced Addy Thorington+6.6
4521-24SJSUSJSU×4AceSan Jose St.aced Addy Thorington+4.9
4622-24SJSUWYOServe errSan Jose St.+1.4
4723-24WYOWYOKillEmma Winterset Anna Melgren+4.4
4823-25WYOSJSUKillDevon DeNecocheaset Orian Drore+7.9
Set 2
11-0WYOWYOBlockedMorgan Gravesblk Rylee Heinz, Emma Winter+2.6
22-0WYOWYOAttack errDevon DeNecochea+2.6
32-1WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+1.9
43-1SJSUWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+2.0
54-1WYOWYOKillAddy Thoringtonset Sara Quigley+2.5
64-2WYOSJSUKillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas+1.8
75-2SJSUWYOKillSara Quigleyset Paige Lauterwasser+1.9
85-3WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+1.8
96-3SJSUWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+1.9
106-4WYOSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+1.8
117-4SJSUWYOKillAddy Thoringtonset Maddy Stucky+2.0
127-5WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+1.9
138-5SJSUWYO×3KillAbi Milbyset Rya Fingerlin+2.0
149-5WYOWYO×3Attack errZuzana Kosikova+2.4
1510-5WYOWYO×3KillAbi Milbyset Rya Fingerlin+2.1
1610-6WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+1.3
1711-6SJSUWYOServe errSan Jose St.+1.6
1811-7WYOSJSUKillLearden Leeset Hanna Darvas+1.3
1911-8SJSUSJSUBlockedPaige Lauterwasserblk Devon DeNecochea, Ava Hewitt+2.2
2012-8SJSUWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+1.9
2112-9WYOSJSU×4KillMorgan Gravesset Orian Drore+1.7
2212-10SJSUSJSU×4KillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+2.7
2312-11SJSUSJSU×4KillMariana Buchananset Fatimah Hall+3.2
2412-12SJSUSJSU×4AceSan Jose St.aced Paige Lauterwasser+3.6
2513-12SJSUWYOAttack errMorgan Graves+2.8
2613-13WYOSJSUKillMariana Buchananset Fatimah Hall+2.8
2714-13SJSUWYOKillRuby Jensenset Sara Quigley+2.9
2815-13WYOWYOBlockedZuzana Kosikovablk Ruby Jensen, Abi Milby+3.8
2915-14WYOSJSUAttack errAbi Milby+2.7
3015-15SJSUSJSUKillMariana Buchananset Orian Drore+4.1
3116-15SJSUWYOServe errSan Jose St.+3.2
3217-15WYOWYOKillAbi Milbyset Maddy Stucky+4.1
3317-16WYOSJSUKillLearden Leeset Fatimah Hall+2.9
3417-17SJSUSJSUKillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas+4.5
3518-17SJSUWYOBlockedZuzana Kosikovablk Ruby Jensen, Abi Milby+3.6
3618-18WYOSJSUAttack errPaige Lauterwasser+3.6
3718-19SJSUSJSUAttack errPaige Lauterwasser+5.4
3819-19SJSUWYOServe errSan Jose St.+3.9
3919-20WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+4.4
4020-20SJSUWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+4.3
4120-21WYOSJSUKillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas+4.9
4220-22SJSUSJSUKillMariana Buchananset Orian Drore+6.6
4321-22SJSUWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+3.9
4422-22WYOWYOAttack errMorgan Graves+7.2
4522-23WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+6.7
4622-24SJSUSJSUKillAva Hewittset Orian Drore+8.7
4723-24SJSUWYO×4Serve errSan Jose St.+3.7
4824-24WYOWYO×4Attack errZuzana Kosikova+11.3
4925-24WYOWYO×4KillAddy Thorington+10.8
5026-24WYOWYO×4Attack errMariana Buchanan+10.3
Set 3
11-0SJSUWYOKillPaige Lauterwasser+2.4
21-1WYOSJSUBad setSara Quigley+2.4
32-1SJSUWYOAttack errMorgan Graves+2.4
42-2WYOSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+2.5
52-3SJSUSJSUKillLearden Leeset Fatimah Hall+3.4
63-3SJSUWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+2.5
73-4WYOSJSU×3KillLearden Leeset Fatimah Hall+2.7
83-5SJSUSJSU×3Attack errAddy Thorington+3.6
93-6SJSUSJSU×3KillMorgan Gravesset Orian Drore+3.6
104-6SJSUWYOKillAddy Thoringtonset Maddy Stucky+2.4
114-7WYOSJSUKillLearden Leeset Hanna Darvas+2.7
125-7SJSUWYOKillAbi Milbyset Maddy Stucky+2.5
135-8WYOSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Hanna Darvas+2.8
146-8SJSUWYOServe errSan Jose St.+2.5
156-9WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+2.9
167-9SJSUWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Sara Quigley+2.6
177-10WYOSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+2.9
188-10SJSUWYOServe errSan Jose St.+2.6
198-11WYOSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Orian Drore+3.0
209-11SJSUWYOKillSara Quigleyset Ruby Jensen+2.7
219-12WYOSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Fatimah Hall+3.1
2210-12SJSUWYOServe errSan Jose St.+2.7
2311-12WYOWYOAceWyomingaced Orian Drore+4.1
2411-13WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+3.4
2511-14SJSUSJSUAceSan Jose St.aced Addy Thorington+4.4
2612-14SJSUWYOKillAbi Milbyset Maddy Stucky+2.9
2712-15WYOSJSU×3KillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas+3.4
2812-16SJSUSJSU×3KillAva Hewittset Hanna Darvas+4.1
2912-17SJSUSJSU×3KillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas+3.4
3013-17SJSUWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Maddy Stucky+1.8
3113-18WYOSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Hanna Darvas+2.5
3214-18SJSUWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Sara Quigley+1.8
3314-19WYOSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+2.5
3415-19SJSUWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+1.7
3515-20WYOSJSUBlockedEmma Winterblk Ava Hewitt, Mariana Buchanan+2.5
3616-20SJSUWYO×3KillAddy Thoringtonset Sara Quigley+1.5
3717-20WYOWYO×3Attack errRuby Jensen+3.0
3818-20WYOWYO×3BlockedMorgan Gravesblk Ruby Jensen+4.3
3918-21WYOSJSU×4Serve errWyoming+4.4
4018-22SJSUSJSU×4KillMorgan Gravesset Hanna Darvas+4.4
4118-23SJSUSJSU×4KillMorgan Gravesset Orian Drore+2.6
4218-24SJSUSJSU×4Attack errPaige Lauterwasser+1.1
4319-24SJSUWYOBlockedDevon DeNecocheablk Addy Thorington, Abi Milby+0.2
4419-25WYOSJSUKillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas+0.4
Set 4
10-1WYOSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Fatimah Hall+2.7
21-1SJSUWYOKillRuby Jensenset Maddy Stucky+2.7
32-1WYOWYOAceWyomingaced Orian Drore+3.6
42-2WYOSJSU×3KillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+2.7
52-3SJSUSJSU×3BlockedAbi Milbyblk Ava Hewitt+3.8
62-4SJSUSJSU×3AceSan Jose St.aced Rya Fingerlin+3.9
73-4SJSUWYOKillRuby Jensenset Maddy Stucky+2.8
84-4WYOWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Maddy Stucky+3.8
94-5WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+3.0
105-5SJSUWYOKillAnna Williamsset Maddy Stucky+2.9
115-6WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+3.1
126-6SJSUWYOKillAnna Williamsset Sara Quigley+3.0
137-6WYOWYOKillAddy Thoringtonset Peyton Carruth+4.1
147-7WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+3.1
158-7SJSUWYO×3KillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+3.1
169-7WYOWYO×3KillEmma Winterset Rya Fingerlin+4.0
1710-7WYOWYO×3KillRuby Jensenset Learden Lee+3.8
1810-8WYOSJSUKillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas+2.6
1910-9SJSUSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Devon DeNecochea+4.0
2011-9SJSUWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+3.2
2111-10WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+3.1
2212-10SJSUWYOKillAddy Thoringtonset Maddy Stucky+3.3
2312-11WYOSJSU×3Serve errWyoming+3.2
2412-12SJSUSJSU×3KillAva Hewitt+4.8
2512-13SJSUSJSU×3Attack errAbi Milby+5.1
2613-13SJSUWYOServe errSan Jose St.+3.8
2713-14WYOSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+4.0
2813-15SJSUSJSUKillMariana Buchananset Fatimah Hall+5.5
2914-15SJSUWYOServe errSan Jose St.+3.7
3014-16WYOSJSUKillMariana Buchananset Fatimah Hall+4.3
3115-16SJSUWYO×6Bad setHanna Darvas+3.9
3216-16WYOWYO×6Attack errDevon DeNecochea+5.8
3317-16WYOWYO×6AceWyomingaced Orian Drore+6.0
3418-16WYOWYO×6KillEmma Winterset Paige Lauterwasser+5.8
3519-16WYOWYO×6KillAddy Thoringtonset Sara Quigley+5.1
3620-16WYOWYO×6KillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+4.0
3720-17WYOSJSU×3Serve errWyoming+2.1
3820-18SJSUSJSU×3Bad setSara Quigley+4.2
3920-19SJSUSJSU×3KillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas+5.8
4021-19SJSUWYOKillAnna Williamsset Sara Quigley+5.4
4121-20WYOSJSU×3Serve errWyoming+4.6
4221-21SJSUSJSU×3BlockedEmma Winterblk Zuzana Kosikova, Ava Hewitt+8.2
4321-22SJSUSJSU×3Attack errRuby Jensen+9.9
4422-22SJSUWYOKillRuby Jensenset Sara Quigley+7.1
4523-22WYOWYOKillAbi Milbyset Addy Thorington+11.3
4623-23WYOSJSU×3BlockedAbi Milbyblk Ava Hewitt, Zuzana Kosikova+8.2
4723-24SJSUSJSU×3KillZuzana Kosikovaset Fatimah Hall+14.9
4823-25SJSUSJSU×3KillFatimah Hallset Zuzana Kosikova+15.6

Score shown after each rally, Wyoming first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).