FinalSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on MW+

Wyoming def. San Jose St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Wyoming 55.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 2:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Wyoming won at San Jose St. 3-0 (25-23, 25-20, 25-18) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Wyoming's Paige Lauterwasser led with 13 kills, and Maddy Stucky added 12 digs.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set123Sets
WYO2525253
SJSU2320180

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Wyoming won all three sets by seven or fewer.

The biggest single-rally swing was 7.1 points, and San Jose St.'s high was 54% in Set 1. The numbers below are where it was won. Wyoming went in as RallyIQ's 56% pick.

WyomingSan Jose St.
  • Break %+11.9 pts
    45.233.3

    33 of 73 on serve vs 21 of 63, so San Jose St.'s sideout was 54.8%.

  • Hitting+.100
    .327.227

    Kills and errors: 43–10 vs 34–12.

  • Longest run+1
    54

    5 straight Wyoming kills in the second set broke a 9–9 tie and made it 14–9. That set ended 25–20.

San Jose St. above 50Wyoming belowMax swing 7.1%

WyomingSan Jose St.

Aces
Wyoming 7·San Jose St. 8
Serve err
Wyoming 7·San Jose St. 11
Blocks
Wyoming 5·San Jose St. 51 BS · 8 BA vs 4 BS · 2 BA
Digs
Wyoming 41·San Jose St. 36

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

San Jose St. above 50 · Wyoming below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+7.1% WYOrally 136 · set 3

Biggest swing: 7.1% to Wyoming — set 1, WYO 25-23 SJSU. Kill by Emma Winter (set by Sara Quigley). SJSU win probability 34% → 27%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

WYO 66.6%33.4% SJSU

Wyoming wins

3-0
21.0%
3-1
25.6%
3-2
20.0%

San Jose St. wins

3-0
6.7%
3-1
11.9%
3-2
14.8%
WYO break %
43.4% vs this opp
SJSU break %
40.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Emma WinterKill+7.1%

    Kill by Emma Winter (set by Sara Quigley)

    Set 1 · WYO 25-23 SJSU · WYO 66% → 73%

  2. 02

    Zuzana Kosikova stuffed by Rylee Heinz & Addy Thorington

    Set 1 · WYO 23-21 SJSU · WYO 60% → 67%

  3. 03

    Kill by Addy Thorington (set by Rylee Heinz)

    Set 1 · WYO 24-22 SJSU · WYO 63% → 69%

  4. 04
    Ava HewittBlock+5.2%

    Paige Lauterwasser stuffed by Ava Hewitt

    Set 1 · WYO 20-20 SJSU · SJSU 39% → 45%

  5. 05

    Kill by Paige Lauterwasser (set by Sara Quigley)

    Set 1 · WYO 22-21 SJSU · WYO 55% → 60%

  6. 06
    Devon DeNecocheaAttack error+4.7%

    Attack error by Devon DeNecochea

    Set 1 · WYO 20-18 SJSU · WYO 59% → 64%

  7. 07
    San Jose St.Ace+4.4%

    San Jose St. ace on Addy Thorington

    Set 1 · WYO 18-18 SJSU · SJSU 40% → 45%

  8. 08
    Abi MilbyKill+4.3%

    Kill by Abi Milby (set by Anna Melgren)

    Set 1 · WYO 21-20 SJSU · WYO 55% → 60%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313327.3701013102114
38115.4672001004210
38117.412000300008
34216.125022341228
3112.000141810005
3000–1801400000
35010.500000000005
34213.154000200004
3000–310310001
3001.00012021200000
3000–200200000
Team totals4310101.327397741818575
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311221.4290026300011
37013.53800000212.59.5
33112.167001102025
3429.22200010010.54.5
3000–1810600001
23210.100022400005
3011-1.000821600002
31011.000400730001
3000–011000001
3000–113100001
23215.067000100003
21010.100010210002
2125-.200000100001
2000–001000000
Team totals341297.2273181136742561

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Wyoming vs San Jose St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 WYO · SJSU 4

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 3 WYOSJSU 4

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 5 WYOSJSU 3

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 5 WYOSJSU 3

Bars above the line = San Jose St. leads, below = Wyoming leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Wyoming

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
50%7/14
2
67%8/12
43%6/14
3
64%7/11
30%3/10
4
67%6/9
25%2/8
5
55%6/11
50%6/12
6
86%6/7
60%9/15
All
67%42/63
45%33/73

San Jose St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%8/18
33%4/12
2
67%8/12
27%3/11
3
86%6/7
33%4/12
4
55%6/11
33%3/9
5
40%6/15
33%3/9
6
60%6/10
40%4/10
All
55%40/73
33%21/63

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#WYO-SJSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SJSUSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+2.5
21-1SJSUWYOKillRylee Heinzset Sara Quigley+1.8
32-1WYOWYOKillEmma Winterset Peyton Carruth+2.5
42-2WYOSJSU×4KillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+1.9
52-3SJSUSJSU×4AceSan Jose St.aced Addy Thorington+2.6
62-4SJSUSJSU×4KillMariana Buchananset Fatimah Hall+2.6
72-5SJSUSJSU×4KillMorgan Gravesset Orian Drore+2.6
83-5SJSUWYOKillRylee Heinzset Morgan Graves+1.8
94-5WYOWYOAceWyomingaced Orian Drore+2.6
104-6WYOSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+2.0
114-7SJSUSJSUAceSan Jose St.aced Paige Lauterwasser+2.7
125-7SJSUWYOServe errSan Jose St.+1.8
136-7WYOWYOAttack errLearden Lee+2.7
146-8WYOSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+2.1
156-9SJSUSJSUKillDevon DeNecocheaset Orian Drore+2.8
167-9SJSUWYOKillRuby Jensenset Maddy Stucky+1.9
178-9WYOWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Maddy Stucky+2.8
188-10WYOSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Hanna Darvas+2.3
198-11SJSUSJSUBlockedAbi Milbyblk Learden Lee+3.0
209-11SJSUWYO×3Serve errSan Jose St.+2.0
2110-11WYOWYO×3KillPaige Lauterwasserset Maddy Stucky+3.0
2211-11WYOWYO×3AceWyomingaced Morgan Graves+3.2
2311-12WYOSJSUBad setMaddy Stucky+2.5
2412-12SJSUWYOKillRylee Heinzset Maddy Stucky+2.5
2512-13WYOSJSUKillAva Hewittset Hanna Darvas+2.6
2613-13SJSUWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Sara Quigley+2.6
2713-14WYOSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Fatimah Hall+2.7
2814-14SJSUWYO×3Serve errSan Jose St.+2.7
2915-14WYOWYO×3Attack errMariana Buchanan+3.8
3016-14WYOWYO×3Bad setFatimah Hall+3.7
3116-15WYOSJSUAttack errEmma Winter+2.5
3217-15SJSUWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+2.8
3317-16WYOSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Orian Drore+2.6
3418-16SJSUWYOKillAddy Thoringtonset Paige Lauterwasser+3.0
3518-17WYOSJSUKillLearden Leeset Hanna Darvas+2.7
3618-18SJSUSJSUAceSan Jose St.aced Addy Thorington+4.4
3719-18SJSUWYOKillRuby Jensenset Maddy Stucky+3.5
3820-18WYOWYOAttack errDevon DeNecochea+4.7
3920-19WYOSJSUKillOrian Droreset Hanna Darvas+3.0
4020-20SJSUSJSUBlockedPaige Lauterwasserblk Ava Hewitt+5.2
4121-20SJSUWYOKillAbi Milbyset Anna Melgren+4.3
4221-21WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+4.2
4322-21SJSUWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Sara Quigley+4.9
4423-21WYOWYOBlockedZuzana Kosikovablk Rylee Heinz, Addy Thorington+6.3
4523-22WYOSJSUKillMariana Buchananset Fatimah Hall+3.3
4624-22SJSUWYOKillAddy Thoringtonset Rylee Heinz+5.4
4724-23WYOSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+3.1
4825-23SJSUWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+7.1
Set 2
10-1WYOSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Fatimah Hall+1.7
21-1SJSUWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Sara Quigley+1.7
31-2WYOSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+1.8
42-2SJSUWYOAttack errMorgan Graves+1.8
52-3WYOSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+1.8
62-4SJSUSJSUKillMariana Buchananset Kylee Sells+2.5
73-4SJSUWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+1.8
84-4WYOWYOKillAddy Thoringtonset Rya Fingerlin+2.5
94-5WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+1.9
105-5SJSUWYO×3Attack errDevon DeNecochea+1.9
116-5WYOWYO×3KillRuby Jensenset Maddy Stucky+2.6
127-5WYOWYO×3KillPaige Lauterwasser+2.6
137-6WYOSJSU×3Serve errWyoming+1.8
147-7SJSUSJSU×3Attack errAbi Milby+2.7
157-8SJSUSJSU×3AceSan Jose St.aced Addy Thorington+2.8
168-8SJSUWYOAttack errHanna Darvas+2.0
179-8WYOWYOAceWyomingaced Naima Foster+2.8
189-9WYOSJSUBlockedRylee Heinzblk Learden Lee+2.1
1910-9SJSUWYO×5KillPaige Lauterwasserset Maddy Stucky+2.1
2011-9WYOWYO×5KillPaige Lauterwasserset Sara Quigley+2.9
2112-9WYOWYO×5KillPeyton Carruthset Hanna Darvas+2.7
2213-9WYOWYO×5KillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+2.4
2314-9WYOWYO×5KillRylee Heinzset Sara Quigley+2.0
2414-10WYOSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Hanna Darvas+1.2
2515-10SJSUWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+1.5
2616-10WYOWYOBlockedZuzana Kosikovablk Addy Thorington, Rylee Heinz+1.5
2716-11WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+0.8
2816-12SJSUSJSUAceSan Jose St.aced Peyton Carruth+1.5
2917-12SJSUWYOKillRylee Heinzset Sara Quigley+1.5
3017-13WYOSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+1.1
3118-13SJSUWYOServe errSan Jose St.+1.5
3218-14WYOSJSUKillLearden Leeset Fatimah Hall+1.0
3318-15SJSUSJSUAceSan Jose St.+2.0
3419-15SJSUWYOKillAbi Milbyset Maddy Stucky+2.0
3519-16WYOSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Hanna Darvas+1.5
3619-17SJSUSJSUBad setMaddy Stucky+2.8
3720-17SJSUWYOServe errSan Jose St.+2.6
3821-17WYOWYOAceWyomingaced Morgan Graves+2.7
3921-18WYOSJSUKillLearden Leeset Rya Fingerlin+1.3
4022-18SJSUWYOServe errSan Jose St.+2.0
4123-18WYOWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Sara Quigley+1.5
4223-19WYOSJSUAttack errPaige Lauterwasser+0.4
4324-19SJSUWYOKillPaige Lauterwasserset Anna Melgren+0.9
4424-20WYOSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+0.2
4525-20SJSUWYOServe errSan Jose St.+0.5
Set 3
10-1SJSUSJSUAceSan Jose St.aced Anna Melgren+1.5
21-1SJSUWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+1.1
31-2WYOSJSUKillMariana Buchananset Fatimah Hall+1.2
42-2SJSUWYOKillRylee Heinzset Sara Quigley+1.1
52-3WYOSJSU×3KillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+1.2
62-4SJSUSJSU×3KillNaima Fosterset Fatimah Hall+1.6
72-5SJSUSJSU×3Attack errAddy Thorington+1.6
83-5SJSUWYOServe errSan Jose St.+1.1
93-6WYOSJSUAttack errAddy Thorington+1.2
104-6SJSUWYO×4Serve errSan Jose St.+1.1
115-6WYOWYO×4AceWyomingaced Orian Drore+1.6
126-6WYOWYO×4KillPaige Lauterwasserset Rya Fingerlin+1.7
137-6WYOWYO×4AceWyomingaced Orian Drore+1.7
147-7WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+1.3
158-7SJSUWYO×5Serve errSan Jose St.+1.3
169-7WYOWYO×5KillPaige Lauterwasserset Maddy Stucky+1.7
1710-7WYOWYO×5BlockedTatiana Robinsonblk Rylee Heinz, Paige Lauterwasser+1.6
1811-7WYOWYO×5KillPaige Lauterwasserset Maddy Stucky+1.5
1912-7WYOWYO×5AceWyomingaced Morgan Graves+1.3
2012-8WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+0.8
2113-8SJSUWYO×3KillAbi Milbyset Maddy Stucky+0.9
2214-8WYOWYO×3KillRylee Heinz+1.0
2315-8WYOWYO×3BlockedTatiana Robinsonblk Rylee Heinz, Paige Lauterwasser+0.8
2415-9WYOSJSUKillTatiana Robinsonset Hanna Darvas+0.4
2515-10SJSUSJSUBlockedPeyton Carruthblk Ava Hewitt+0.7
2616-10SJSUWYOBad setFatimah Hall+0.7
2716-11WYOSJSUKillAva Hewittset Orian Drore+0.5
2817-11SJSUWYOKillEmma Winterset Sara Quigley+0.7
2917-12WYOSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+0.5
3018-12SJSUWYOKillRuby Jensenset Sara Quigley+0.7
3118-13WYOSJSUServe errWyoming+0.5
3218-14SJSUSJSUAceSan Jose St.aced Addy Thorington+0.9
3319-14SJSUWYOKillAbi Milbyset Anna Melgren+0.9
3419-15WYOSJSUKillTatiana Robinsonset Maddy Stucky+0.6
3520-15SJSUWYOKillRuby Jensenset Maddy Stucky+0.9
3620-16WYOSJSUKillTatiana Robinsonset Hanna Darvas+0.6
3721-16SJSUWYOServe errSan Jose St.+0.9
3821-17WYOSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Hanna Darvas+0.5
3921-18SJSUSJSUBlockedPaige Lauterwasserblk Mariana Buchanan, Ava Hewitt+1.1
4022-18SJSUWYO×4KillRylee Heinzset Sara Quigley+1.3
4123-18WYOWYO×4Attack errMorgan Graves+1.0
4224-18WYOWYO×4KillAddy Thoringtonset Rylee Heinz+0.4
4325-18WYOWYO×4BlockedMariana Buchananblk Addy Thorington+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Wyoming first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).