FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on MW+

UC Davis def. San Jose St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: UC Davis 84.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 7:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UC Davis won at San Jose St. 3-0 (26-24, 25-12, 25-12) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. UC Davis' Brooke Hibino led with 10 kills, and Isabella Umpierre added 12 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set123Sets
UC DAV2625253
SJSU2412120

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.474 and 10 kills for Brooke Hibino as UC Davis rolled past San Jose St.

The biggest single-rally swing was 7.5 points, and San Jose St.'s high was 26% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had UC Davis at 84%.

UC DavisSan Jose St.
  • Break %+24.8 pts
    56.832.0

    Points won on own serve: 42 of 74 vs 16 of 50. San Jose St. sided out 43.2% of the time.

  • Hitting+.195
    .281.086

    35 K / 10 E against 25 K / 18 E.

  • Longest run+1
    65

    UC Davis scored 6 straight in the second set to open the set 6–0. The set finished 25–12.

San Jose St. above 50UC Davis belowMax swing 7.5%

UC DavisSan Jose St.

Aces
UC Davis 9·San Jose St. 4
Serve err
UC Davis 8·San Jose St. 11
Blocks
UC Davis 8·San Jose St. 76 BS · 4 BA vs 1 BS · 12 BA
Digs
UC Davis 35·San Jose St. 33

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

San Jose St. above 50 · UC Davis below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+7.5% SJSUrally 124 · set 3

Biggest swing: 7.5% to San Jose St. — set 1, UC DAV 23-24 SJSU. Gianna Bogan stuffed by Learden Lee & Devon DeNecochea. SJSU win probability 19% → 26%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UC DAV 91.0%9.0% SJSU

UC Davis wins

3-0
46.2%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
13.3%

San Jose St. wins

3-0
1.2%
3-1
2.7%
3-2
5.1%
UC DAV break %
47.2% vs this opp
SJSU break %
37.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Gianna Bogan stuffed by Learden Lee & Devon DeNecochea

    Set 1 · UC DAV 23-24 SJSU · SJSU 19% → 26%

  2. 02
    Hanna DarvasBad set+6.5%

    Bad set by Hanna Darvas

    Set 1 · UC DAV 25-24 SJSU · UC DAV 80% → 86%

  3. 03
    Mia StarrKill+5.6%

    Kill by Mia Starr (set by Isabella Umpierre)

    Set 1 · UC DAV 24-24 SJSU · UC DAV 74% → 80%

  4. 04
    Brooke HibinoKill+5.5%

    Kill by Brooke Hibino (set by Mia Starr)

    Set 1 · UC DAV 26-24 SJSU · UC DAV 86% → 92%

  5. 05
    Isabella UmpierreAttack error+5.0%

    Attack error by Isabella Umpierre

    Set 1 · UC DAV 23-23 SJSU · SJSU 14% → 19%

  6. 06
    UC DavisAce+3.8%

    UC Davis ace on Naima Foster

    Set 1 · UC DAV 21-20 SJSU · UC DAV 81% → 84%

  7. 07
    Gianna BoganKill+3.7%

    Kill by Gianna Bogan

    Set 1 · UC DAV 23-21 SJSU · UC DAV 85% → 88%

  8. 08
    Gianna BoganKill+3.7%

    Kill by Gianna Bogan

    Set 1 · UC DAV 20-20 SJSU · UC DAV 77% → 81%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37013.53802310414.513.5
37725.00010020010.57.5
36221.1901101200007
33031.0002231700006
3208.25000010212.54.5
3000–001410000
310119.47400001010.510.5
3000–422510002
3000–311300001
Team totals351089.281319835464876
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36118.278000100428
37317.235011520008
33210.10001100031.55.5
34415.00000031010.54.5
33311.00000000031.54.5
3001.0001302400000
3235-.20000010111.53.5
3000–1113300001
3024-.500002530000
3000–102510000
2000–000610000
1000–010010001
1000–000000000
Team totals251881.08625411339112748

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UC Davis vs San Jose St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 UC DAV · SJSU 5

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 3 UC DAVSJSU 5

Set 2

25-12

Longest run 6 UC DAVSJSU 3

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 4 UC DAVSJSU 2

Bars above the line = San Jose St. leads, below = UC Davis leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UC Davis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
67%10/15
2
78%7/9
30%3/10
3
50%6/12
45%5/11
4
83%5/6
71%12/17
5
100%5/5
44%4/9
6
57%4/7
67%8/12
All
68%34/50
57%42/74

San Jose St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
37%7/19
45%5/11
2
64%7/11
22%2/9
3
36%5/14
50%7/14
4
38%5/13
17%1/6
5
44%4/9
0%0/5
6
50%4/8
20%1/5
All
43%32/74
32%16/50

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

124 rallies

#UC DAV-SJSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SJSUSJSUKillLolo Fonuaset Hanna Darvas+1.6
21-1SJSUUC DAVServe errSan Jose St.+1.1
31-2UC DAVSJSUServe errUC Davis+1.3
42-2SJSUUC DAVServe errSan Jose St.+1.2
52-3UC DAVSJSUKillLearden Leeset Hanna Darvas+1.3
63-3SJSUUC DAV×3KillGianna Boganset Ximena Cordero Barr+1.2
74-3UC DAVUC DAV×3AceUC Davisaced Orian Drore+1.5
85-3UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errLearden Lee+1.4
95-4UC DAVSJSUServe errUC Davis+1.1
105-5SJSUSJSUAceLearden Leeaced Ximena Cordero Barr+1.7
116-5SJSUUC DAV×3KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.2
127-5UC DAVUC DAV×3BlockedAva Hewittblk Allie Caldwell+1.5
138-5UC DAVUC DAV×3KillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.3
148-6UC DAVSJSUServe errUC Davis+1.0
159-6SJSUUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.0
169-7UC DAVSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+1.0
1710-7SJSUUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.0
1810-8UC DAVSJSUServe errUC Davis+1.0
1910-9SJSUSJSUBlockedGianna Boganblk Tatiana Robinson+1.6
2011-9SJSUUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+1.2
2112-9UC DAVUC DAVBlockedTatiana Robinsonblk Ally Chandler, Gianna Bogan+1.5
2212-10UC DAVSJSUKillLolo Fonuaset Fatimah Hall+1.1
2313-10SJSUUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Ximena Cordero Barr+1.1
2413-11UC DAVSJSU×5KillLolo Fonuaset Hanna Darvas+1.1
2513-12SJSUSJSU×5KillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas+1.8
2613-13SJSUSJSU×5BlockedGianna Boganblk Devon DeNecochea, Learden Lee+2.2
2713-14SJSUSJSU×5KillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas+2.6
2813-15SJSUSJSU×5AceLolo Fonua+2.8
2914-15SJSUUC DAVKillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+1.8
3015-15UC DAVUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.6
3115-16UC DAVSJSUKillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas+2.2
3216-16SJSUUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.0
3316-17UC DAVSJSUKillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas+2.3
3417-17SJSUUC DAVServe errFatimah Hall+2.1
3517-18UC DAVSJSUServe errUC Davis+2.5
3617-19SJSUSJSUAceNaima Fosteraced Brooke Hibino+3.6
3718-19SJSUUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.2
3818-20UC DAVSJSUKillTatiana Robinsonset Fatimah Hall+2.9
3919-20SJSUUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.3
4020-20UC DAVUC DAV×3KillGianna Bogan+3.7
4121-20UC DAVUC DAV×3AceUC Davisaced Naima Foster+3.8
4221-21UC DAVSJSUAttack errGianna Bogan+2.9
4322-21SJSUUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+3.1
4423-21UC DAVUC DAVKillGianna Bogan+3.7
4523-22UC DAVSJSU×3KillLolo Fonuaset Hanna Darvas+2.0
4623-23SJSUSJSU×3Attack errIsabella Umpierre+5.0
4723-24SJSUSJSU×3BlockedGianna Boganblk Learden Lee, Devon DeNecochea+7.5
4824-24SJSUUC DAV×3KillMia Starrset Isabella Umpierre+5.6
4925-24UC DAVUC DAV×3Bad setHanna Darvas+6.5
5026-24UC DAVUC DAV×3KillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+5.5
Set 2
11-0UC DAVUC DAV×6Bad setFatimah Hall+1.0
22-0UC DAVUC DAV×6Attack errZuzana Kosikova+0.9
33-0UC DAVUC DAV×6Attack errLolo Fonua+0.8
44-0UC DAVUC DAV×6Attack errAva Hewitt+0.7
55-0UC DAVUC DAV×6Attack errZuzana Kosikova+0.6
66-0UC DAVUC DAV×6AceUC Davisaced Kylee Sells+0.5
76-1UC DAVSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+0.3
87-1SJSUUC DAVServe errZuzana Kosikova+0.3
97-2UC DAVSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+0.3
107-3SJSUSJSUKillLolo Fonuaset Fatimah Hall+0.5
118-3SJSUUC DAVServe errKylee Sells+0.4
128-4UC DAVSJSUKillLolo Fonuaset Fatimah Hall+0.4
139-4SJSUUC DAV×5KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+0.5
1410-4UC DAVUC DAV×5AceUC Davisaced Lolo Fonua+0.5
1511-4UC DAVUC DAV×5KillMia Starrset Mia Starr+0.4
1612-4UC DAVUC DAV×5Attack errLolo Fonua+0.3
1713-4UC DAVUC DAV×5KillAllie Caldwell+0.2
1813-5UC DAVSJSUKillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas+0.1
1914-5SJSUUC DAVKillAllie Caldwellset Mia Starr+0.1
2014-6UC DAVSJSUKillLearden Leeset Hanna Darvas+0.1
2115-6SJSUUC DAV×4KillIsabella Umpierreset Khloe Wong+0.1
2216-6UC DAVUC DAV×4BlockedMorgan Gravesblk Allie Caldwell+0.1
2317-6UC DAVUC DAV×4Attack errMorgan Graves·
2418-6UC DAVUC DAV×4KillIsabella Umpierreset Ximena Cordero Barr·
2518-7UC DAVSJSU×3KillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas·
2618-8SJSUSJSU×3AceFatimah Hallaced Rachel Dunagan·
2718-9SJSUSJSU×3KillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall·
2819-9SJSUUC DAV×4Serve errFatimah Hall·
2920-9UC DAVUC DAV×4BlockedAva Hewittblk Ally Chandler·
3021-9UC DAVUC DAV×4Attack errMorgan Graves·
3122-9UC DAVUC DAV×4BlockedMorgan Gravesblk Ally Chandler·
3222-10UC DAVSJSUBlockedIsabella Umpierreblk Morgan Graves, Ava Hewitt·
3322-11SJSUSJSUBlockedGianna Boganblk Ava Hewitt, Tatiana Robinson·
3423-11SJSUUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Ximena Cordero Barr·
3523-12UC DAVSJSUKillTatiana Robinsonset Fatimah Hall·
3624-12SJSUUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr·
3725-12UC DAVUC DAVBlockedLearden Leeblk Ally Chandler·
Set 3
11-0SJSUUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+0.4
21-1UC DAVSJSUServe errUC Davis+0.4
31-2SJSUSJSUBlockedGianna Boganblk Devon DeNecochea, Learden Lee+0.6
42-2SJSUUC DAV×4Serve errLolo Fonua+0.4
53-2UC DAVUC DAV×4AceUC Davisaced Lolo Fonua+0.6
64-2UC DAVUC DAV×4KillGianna Boganset Mia Starr+0.5
75-2UC DAVUC DAV×4KillMia Starrset Gianna Bogan+0.4
85-3UC DAVSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Hanna Darvas+0.3
96-3SJSUUC DAV×4Serve errLearden Lee+0.3
107-3UC DAVUC DAV×4KillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+0.4
118-3UC DAVUC DAV×4BlockedLolo Fonuablk Ally Chandler+0.3
129-3UC DAVUC DAV×4Attack errDevon DeNecochea+0.2
139-4UC DAVSJSUBlockedBrooke Hibinoblk Devon DeNecochea, Ava Hewitt+0.2
1410-4SJSUUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+0.2
1510-5UC DAVSJSUServe errUC Davis+0.2
1611-5SJSUUC DAV×3BlockedTatiana Robinsonblk Brooke Hibino, Allie Caldwell+0.2
1712-5UC DAVUC DAV×3KillBrooke Hibinoset Khloe Wong+0.2
1813-5UC DAVUC DAV×3AceUC Davisaced Zuzana Kosikova+0.1
1913-6UC DAVSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+0.1
2014-6SJSUUC DAVAttack errTatiana Robinson+0.1
2115-6UC DAVUC DAVBad setFatimah Hall+0.1
2215-7UC DAVSJSUKillLolo Fonuaset Fatimah Hall·
2315-8SJSUSJSUKillLearden Leeset Hanna Darvas+0.1
2416-8SJSUUC DAVServe errHanna Darvas+0.1
2516-9UC DAVSJSUAttack errGianna Bogan+0.1
2617-9SJSUUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+0.1
2717-10UC DAVSJSUBad setMia Starr·
2818-10SJSUUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+0.1
2918-11UC DAVSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Kylee Sells·
3019-11SJSUUC DAV×3Serve errFatimah Hall+0.1
3120-11UC DAVUC DAV×3KillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr·
3221-11UC DAVUC DAV×3AceUC Davisaced Morgan Graves·
3321-12UC DAVSJSUServe errUC Davis·
3422-12SJSUUC DAV×4Serve errZuzana Kosikova·
3523-12UC DAVUC DAV×4AceUC Davisaced Zuzana Kosikova·
3624-12UC DAVUC DAV×4AceUC Davisaced Zuzana Kosikova·
3725-12UC DAVUC DAV×4KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr·

Score shown after each rally, UC Davis first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).