UC Davis vs San Jose State: San Jose State Wins 3-2 (Oct 17)

Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026MW+

2:3

RallyIQ pre-match: UC Davis 87.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 6:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

San Jose St. beat visiting UC Davis 3-2 (16-25, 25-21, 25-23, 10-25, 15-12) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Lolo Fonua led San Jose St. with 15 kills; UC Davis' Ally Chandler had a match-high 22.

Data through Nov 3, 8:50 PM CT · final Oct 17

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
UC DAV	25	21	23	25	12	2
SJSU	16	25	25	10	15	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Lolo Fonua served 4 aces, and San Jose St. needed every one.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows San Jose St.'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, UC Davis was RallyIQ's 87% pick.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · UC Davis 16–12 San Jose St.
San Jose St.'s low point. San Jose St. then won 13 of the next 18 rallies and the set 25–21.
San Jose St. 3% → 19%
Turning point 2: Set 5 · UC Davis 6–4 San Jose St.
Down 4–6, San Jose St. scored 3 straight to lead 7–6.
San Jose St. 18% → 44%
Turning point 3: Set 5 · UC Davis 11–12 San Jose St.
San Jose St. won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 15–12 and win the match 3–2.
San Jose St. 55% → >99%

San Jose St. above 50UC Davis belowMax swing 24.6%

UC DavisSan Jose St.

Sideout %: UC Davis 63.3·San Jose St. 54.2
Break %: UC Davis 45.8·San Jose St. 36.7
Hitting: UC Davis .264·San Jose St. .215
Longest run: UC Davis 8·San Jose St. 7

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

San Jose St. above 50 · UC Davis below

Biggest swing: 24.6% to San Jose St. — set 5, UC DAV 12-14 SJSU. Ace by Lolo Fonua on Ana Stojanovic. SJSU win probability 59% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UC DAV 91.0%9.0% SJSU

UC Davis wins

3-0

46.2%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

13.3%

San Jose St. wins

3-0

1.2%

3-1

2.7%

3-2

5.1%

UC DAV break %: 47.2% vs this opp
SJSU break %: 37.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Lolo FonuaAce+24.6%
Ace by Lolo Fonua on Ana Stojanovic
Set 5 · UC DAV 12-14 SJSU · SJSU 59% → 84%
02
Naima FosterKill+16.9%
Kill by Naima Foster (set by Fatimah Hall)
Set 5 · UC DAV 12-13 SJSU · SJSU 42% → 59%
03
Brooke HibinoAttack error+16.3%
Attack error by Brooke Hibino
Set 5 · UC DAV 12-15 SJSU · SJSU 84% → 100%
04
Devon DeNecocheaBlock+14.1%
Ana Stojanovic stuffed by Devon DeNecochea
Set 5 · UC DAV 11-12 SJSU · SJSU 41% → 55%
05
Ana StojanovicKill+12.7%
Kill by Ana Stojanovic (set by Mia Starr)
Set 5 · UC DAV 12-12 SJSU · UC DAV 45% → 58%
06
UC DavisService error+12.3%
UC Davis service error
Set 5 · UC DAV 10-11 SJSU · SJSU 40% → 52%
07
Lolo FonuaAce+11.3%
Ace by Lolo Fonua on Khloe Wong
Set 5 · UC DAV 6-7 SJSU · SJSU 33% → 44%
08
Eva VostrackaService error+11.1%
Service error by Eva Vostracka
Set 5 · UC DAV 11-11 SJSU · UC DAV 48% → 59%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UC Davisaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Ally ChandlerMB	5	22	2	33	.606	0	3	3	2	0	2	4	4	29
17Isabella UmpierreOPP	5	14	6	29	.276	0	4	0	7	0	0	3	1.5	19.5
2Mia StarrS	5	2	0	3	.667	40	2	0	8	0	1	2	2	6
7Gianna BoganOH	5	5	5	27	.000	0	0	0	6	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
10Allie CaldwellMB	5	3	0	9	.333	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	5
5Rachel DunaganOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0
14Ximena Cordero BarrL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	6	3	1	9	2	0	0	0	3
18Khloe WongDS	5	0	0	0	–	1	1	5	4	1	0	0	0	1
12Ana StojanovicOH	4	6	3	19	.158	1	2	3	5	3	0	0	0	8
16Brooke HibinoOH	3	1	3	8	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
4Jada JohnsonOPP	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		53	19	129	.264	48	15	12	45	7	4	12	10	106

San Jose St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Lolo FonuaOH	5	15	6	37	.243	0	4	2	4	5	1	0	1	20
7Devon DeNecocheaOPP	5	9	3	25	.240	0	0	0	1	0	2	3	3.5	12.5
16Morgan GravesOH	5	11	7	31	.129	0	0	1	8	3	0	0	0	11
19Aniyah HallMB	5	3	2	10	.100	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
18Hanna DarvasS	5	0	0	0	–	22	1	0	10	0	0	0	0	1
11Learden LeeMB	2	0	2	3	-.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
24Naima FosterOH	5	10	1	15	.600	1	0	2	1	0	1	2	2	12
1Fatimah HallS	5	0	0	0	–	25	1	2	4	0	0	0	0	1
0Orian DroreL/DS	5	0	0	1	.000	3	0	0	14	4	0	0	0	0
13Eva VostrackaOPP	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	4	0	2	0	0	0	0
9Ava HewittMB	4	4	1	5	.600	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	7
2Zuzana KosikovaOH	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
8Kylee SellsL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Mariana BuchananOH	1	0	2	2	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
Team totals		52	24	130	.215	51	7	12	45	15	5	14	12	91

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UC Davis vs San Jose St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Fri, Oct 16, 2026UC Davis at San Jose St. · UC Davis won 3-0Result →
Sat, Oct 17, 2026UC Davis at San Jose St. · San Jose St. won 3-2This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 UC DAV · SJSU 7

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 5 UC DAVSJSU 2

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 UC DAVSJSU 7

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 5 UC DAVSJSU 6

Set 4

25-10

Longest run 8 UC DAVSJSU 2

Set 5

12-15

Longest run 2 UC DAVSJSU 3

Bars above the line = San Jose St. leads, below = UC Davis leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UC Davis

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%12/19	44%8/18
2	92%11/12	61%19/31
3	75%9/12	17%2/12
4	56%9/16	47%8/17
5	47%8/17	36%5/14
6	57%8/14	47%7/15
All	63%57/90	46%49/107

San Jose St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	46%12/26	57%12/21
2	55%11/20	15%2/13
3	63%10/16	8%1/12
4	64%9/14	47%8/17
5	53%9/17	31%4/13
6	50%7/14	43%6/14
All	54%58/107	37%33/90

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

197 rallies

#	UC DAV-SJSU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	SJSU	SJSU	Blocked	Gianna Bogan	blk Devon DeNecochea	+1.4
2	0-2	SJSU	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Hanna Darvas	+1.5
3	1-2	SJSU	UC DAV×4	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Ximena Cordero Barr	+1.0
4	2-2	UC DAV	UC DAV×4	Blocked	Lolo Fonua	blk Gianna Bogan, Ally Chandler	+1.4
5	3-2	UC DAV	UC DAV×4	Blocked	Learden Lee	blk Ally Chandler, Isabella Umpierre	+1.3
6	4-2	UC DAV	UC DAV×4	Attack err	Lolo Fonua		+1.1
7	4-3	UC DAV	SJSU	Attack err	Gianna Bogan		+0.9
8	4-4	SJSU	SJSU	Ace	Lolo Fonua	aced Rachel Dunagan	+1.4
9	5-4	SJSU	UC DAV	Blocked	Morgan Graves	blk Isabella Umpierre, Ally Chandler	+1.0
10	5-5	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Hanna Darvas	+1.1
11	6-5	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+1.0
12	7-5	UC DAV	UC DAV	Blocked	Devon DeNecochea	blk Ally Chandler	+1.2
13	7-6	UC DAV	SJSU	Serve err	UC Davis		+1.0
14	7-7	SJSU	SJSU	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Fatimah Hall	+1.5
15	8-7	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+1.1
16	8-8	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Fatimah Hall	+1.2
17	9-8	SJSU	UC DAV×3	Serve err	Naima Foster		+1.1
18	10-8	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Kill	Allie Caldwell	set Fatimah Hall	+1.4
19	11-8	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Blocked	Lolo Fonua	blk Allie Caldwell, Isabella Umpierre	+1.2
20	11-9	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Fatimah Hall	+0.9
21	12-9	SJSU	UC DAV	Attack err	Mariana Buchanan		+0.9
22	12-10	UC DAV	SJSU	Blocked	Gianna Bogan	blk Learden Lee, Mariana Buchanan	+0.9
23	13-10	SJSU	UC DAV×5	Attack err	Lolo Fonua		+0.9
24	14-10	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Ace	UC Davis	aced Lolo Fonua	+1.0
25	15-10	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Ace	UC Davis	aced Orian Drore	+0.8
26	16-10	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Ximena Cordero Barr	+0.5
27	17-10	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+0.3
28	17-11	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Naima Foster	+0.2
29	18-11	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Ximena Cordero Barr	+0.2
30	18-12	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Hanna Darvas	+0.2
31	19-12	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+0.2
32	20-12	UC DAV	UC DAV	Attack err	Morgan Graves		+0.2
33	20-13	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Devon DeNecochea	set Hanna Darvas	+0.1
34	21-13	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Brooke Hibino	set Mia Starr	+0.1
35	21-14	UC DAV	SJSU	Serve err	UC Davis		·
36	21-15	SJSU	SJSU	Blocked	Brooke Hibino	blk Aniyah Hall, Mariana Buchanan	+0.1
37	22-15	SJSU	UC DAV×3	Attack err	Lolo Fonua		+0.1
38	23-15	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+0.1
39	24-15	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Attack err	Mariana Buchanan		·
40	24-16	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Fatimah Hall	·
41	25-16	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Mia Starr	set Ximena Cordero Barr	·
Set 2
1	0-1	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Fatimah Hall	+0.7
2	1-1	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+0.7
3	2-1	UC DAV	UC DAV	Ace	UC Davis	aced Lolo Fonua	+0.9
4	2-2	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Fatimah Hall	+0.7
5	3-2	SJSU	UC DAV×3	Kill	Gianna Bogan	set Ximena Cordero Barr	+0.6
6	4-2	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Ace	UC Davis	aced Lolo Fonua	+0.8
7	5-2	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Attack err	Morgan Graves		+0.7
8	5-3	UC DAV	SJSU×3	Serve err	UC Davis		+0.5
9	5-4	SJSU	SJSU×3	Attack err	Brooke Hibino		+0.8
10	5-5	SJSU	SJSU×3	Ace	Hanna Darvas	aced Ximena Cordero Barr	+1.0
11	6-5	SJSU	UC DAV×3	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+0.7
12	7-5	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Kill	Allie Caldwell	set Mia Starr	+0.9
13	8-5	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Ace	UC Davis		+0.8
14	8-6	UC DAV	SJSU	Serve err	UC Davis		+0.6
15	9-6	SJSU	UC DAV	Serve err	Naima Foster		+0.6
16	9-7	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Hanna Darvas	+0.6
17	9-8	SJSU	SJSU	Ace	Ava Hewitt	aced Ximena Cordero Barr	+0.9
18	10-8	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+0.7
19	10-9	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Aniyah Hall	set Hanna Darvas	+0.7
20	11-9	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+0.7
21	12-9	UC DAV	UC DAV	Ace	UC Davis	aced Orian Drore	+0.9
22	12-10	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Naima Foster	set Fatimah Hall	+0.6
23	13-10	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Gianna Bogan	set Mia Starr	+0.6
24	14-10	UC DAV	UC DAV	Attack err	Aniyah Hall		+0.7
25	14-11	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Naima Foster	set Fatimah Hall	+0.5
26	15-11	SJSU	UC DAV	Serve err	Eva Vostracka		+0.5
27	15-12	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Naima Foster	set Fatimah Hall	+0.5
28	16-12	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+0.5
29	16-13	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Devon DeNecochea	set Hanna Darvas	+0.5
30	16-14	SJSU	SJSU	Kill	Devon DeNecochea	set Hanna Darvas	+0.9
31	17-14	SJSU	UC DAV	Attack err	Devon DeNecochea		+0.8
32	17-15	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Hanna Darvas	+0.7
33	18-15	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Mia Starr	set Khloe Wong	+0.8
34	18-16	UC DAV	SJSU×7	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Hanna Darvas	+0.7
35	18-17	SJSU	SJSU×7	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Fatimah Hall	+1.3
36	18-18	SJSU	SJSU×7	Kill	Lolo Fonua		+1.8
37	18-19	SJSU	SJSU×7	Kill	Naima Foster	set Fatimah Hall	+2.2
38	18-20	SJSU	SJSU×7	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Orian Drore	+2.4
39	18-21	SJSU	SJSU×7	Kill	Naima Foster	set Fatimah Hall	+2.4
40	18-22	SJSU	SJSU×7	Attack err	Isabella Umpierre		+1.9
41	19-22	SJSU	UC DAV	Serve err	Fatimah Hall		+0.8
42	19-23	UC DAV	SJSU	Serve err	UC Davis		+1.4
43	20-23	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+0.6
44	20-24	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Naima Foster	set Fatimah Hall	+1.3
45	21-24	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Gianna Bogan	set Mia Starr	+0.4
46	21-25	UC DAV	SJSU	Serve err	UC Davis		+1.0
Set 3
1	1-0	SJSU	UC DAV×3	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+1.5
2	2-0	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Ace	UC Davis	aced Morgan Graves	+1.9
3	3-0	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Bad set	Fatimah Hall		+1.6
4	3-1	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Fatimah Hall	+1.2
5	4-1	SJSU	UC DAV	Serve err	Lolo Fonua		+1.2
6	4-2	UC DAV	SJSU	Blocked	Ana Stojanovic	blk Aniyah Hall, Naima Foster	+1.3
7	4-3	SJSU	SJSU	Attack err	Ally Chandler		+2.0
8	5-3	SJSU	UC DAV	Serve err	Eva Vostracka		+1.5
9	6-3	UC DAV	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+1.8
10	6-4	UC DAV	SJSU×6	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Fatimah Hall	+1.3
11	6-5	SJSU	SJSU×6	Blocked	Ana Stojanovic	blk Ava Hewitt, Devon DeNecochea	+2.1
12	6-6	SJSU	SJSU×6	Kill	Devon DeNecochea	set Orian Drore	+2.5
13	6-7	SJSU	SJSU×6	Blocked	Isabella Umpierre	blk Ava Hewitt	+2.9
14	6-8	SJSU	SJSU×6	Kill	Ava Hewitt	set Hanna Darvas	+3.2
15	6-9	SJSU	SJSU×6	Attack err	Isabella Umpierre		+3.4
16	7-9	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Ana Stojanovic	set Mia Starr	+2.2
17	8-9	UC DAV	UC DAV	Ace	UC Davis	aced Lolo Fonua	+3.1
18	8-10	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Ava Hewitt	set Hanna Darvas	+2.6
19	9-10	SJSU	UC DAV	Serve err	Morgan Graves		+2.3
20	9-11	UC DAV	SJSU	Serve err	UC Davis		+2.8
21	10-11	SJSU	UC DAV×5	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+2.4
22	11-11	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Attack err	Morgan Graves		+3.2
23	12-11	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Blocked	Aniyah Hall	blk Ally Chandler	+3.0
24	13-11	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Ximena Cordero Barr	+2.7
25	14-11	UC DAV	UC DAV×5	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+2.3
26	14-12	UC DAV	SJSU×4	Kill	Devon DeNecochea	set Hanna Darvas	+1.6
27	14-13	SJSU	SJSU×4	Blocked	Gianna Bogan	blk Naima Foster	+2.8
28	14-14	SJSU	SJSU×4	Ace	Fatimah Hall	aced Ana Stojanovic	+3.5
29	14-15	SJSU	SJSU×4	Blocked	Isabella Umpierre	blk Lolo Fonua	+4.1
30	15-15	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+2.8
31	15-16	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Naima Foster	set Fatimah Hall	+3.3
32	16-16	SJSU	UC DAV	Attack err	Morgan Graves		+3.0
33	16-17	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Fatimah Hall	+3.5
34	17-17	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+3.2
35	18-17	UC DAV	UC DAV	Blocked	Morgan Graves	blk Mia Starr, Allie Caldwell	+4.3
36	18-18	UC DAV	SJSU	Serve err	UC Davis		+3.4
37	19-18	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Ana Stojanovic	set Mia Starr	+3.4
38	19-19	UC DAV	SJSU×3	Kill	Devon DeNecochea	set Hanna Darvas	+3.6
39	19-20	SJSU	SJSU×3	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Orian Drore	+5.9
40	19-21	SJSU	SJSU×3	Blocked	Isabella Umpierre	blk Ava Hewitt, Devon DeNecochea	+6.6
41	20-21	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+3.9
42	20-22	UC DAV	SJSU	Serve err	UC Davis		+5.6
43	21-22	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+4.1
44	21-23	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Devon DeNecochea	set Hanna Darvas	+6.4
45	21-24	SJSU	SJSU	Blocked	Gianna Bogan	blk Aniyah Hall, Naima Foster	+6.9
46	22-24	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+2.0
47	23-24	UC DAV	UC DAV	Ace	UC Davis	aced Morgan Graves	+5.7
48	23-25	UC DAV	SJSU	Attack err	Ally Chandler		+10.9
Set 4
1	0-1	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Fatimah Hall	+3.1
2	0-2	SJSU	SJSU	Bad set	Mia Starr		+4.5
3	1-2	SJSU	UC DAV×8	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+3.0
4	2-2	UC DAV	UC DAV×8	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Ximena Cordero Barr	+4.0
5	3-2	UC DAV	UC DAV×8	Kill	Ally Chandler		+3.7
6	4-2	UC DAV	UC DAV×8	Ace	UC Davis	aced Orian Drore	+3.3
7	5-2	UC DAV	UC DAV×8	Bad set	Fatimah Hall		+2.9
8	6-2	UC DAV	UC DAV×8	Kill	Gianna Bogan	set Mia Starr	+2.4
9	7-2	UC DAV	UC DAV×8	Kill	Gianna Bogan	set Ana Stojanovic	+2.0
10	8-2	UC DAV	UC DAV×8	Blocked	Naima Foster	blk Mia Starr	+1.5
11	8-3	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Aniyah Hall	set Fatimah Hall	+1.0
12	9-3	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+1.1
13	9-4	UC DAV	SJSU	Serve err	UC Davis		+1.0
14	10-4	SJSU	UC DAV×3	Serve err	Eva Vostracka		+1.1
15	11-4	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Ace	UC Davis	aced Eva Vostracka	+1.1
16	12-4	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Ace	UC Davis	aced Lolo Fonua	+0.8
17	12-5	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Ava Hewitt	set Fatimah Hall	+0.5
18	13-5	SJSU	UC DAV×4	Kill	Ana Stojanovic	set Mia Starr	+0.6
19	14-5	UC DAV	UC DAV×4	Attack err	Ava Hewitt		+0.5
20	15-5	UC DAV	UC DAV×4	Blocked	Learden Lee	blk Allie Caldwell	+0.3
21	16-5	UC DAV	UC DAV×4	Ace	UC Davis	aced Eva Vostracka	+0.2
22	16-6	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Hanna Darvas	+0.1
23	16-7	SJSU	SJSU	Blocked	Isabella Umpierre	blk Devon DeNecochea, Learden Lee	+0.2
24	17-7	SJSU	UC DAV×4	Kill	Ana Stojanovic	set Mia Starr	+0.2
25	18-7	UC DAV	UC DAV×4	Ace	UC Davis	aced Morgan Graves	+0.1
26	19-7	UC DAV	UC DAV×4	Ace	UC Davis	aced Orian Drore	+0.1
27	20-7	UC DAV	UC DAV×4	Kill	Allie Caldwell	set Mia Starr	·
28	20-8	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Lolo Fonua	set Hanna Darvas	·
29	21-8	SJSU	UC DAV×3	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	·
30	22-8	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Kill	Ally Chandler		·
31	23-8	UC DAV	UC DAV×3	Attack err	Devon DeNecochea		·
32	23-9	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Devon DeNecochea	set Hanna Darvas	·
33	24-9	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	·
34	24-10	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Aniyah Hall	set Fatimah Hall	·
35	25-10	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Isabella Umpierre	set Mia Starr	+1.0
Set 5
1	1-0	UC DAV	UC DAV	Blocked	Morgan Graves	blk Ally Chandler, Mia Starr	+7.1
2	1-1	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Fatimah Hall	+5.6
3	2-1	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+5.3
4	2-2	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Hanna Darvas	+5.9
5	3-2	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+5.6
6	3-3	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Devon DeNecochea	set Hanna Darvas	+6.2
7	4-3	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+5.9
8	4-4	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Ava Hewitt	set Hanna Darvas	+6.5
9	5-4	SJSU	UC DAV	Serve err	Fatimah Hall		+6.2
10	6-4	UC DAV	UC DAV	Kill	Ana Stojanovic	set Mia Starr	+7.7
11	6-5	UC DAV	SJSU×3	Kill	Naima Foster	set Fatimah Hall	+5.6
12	6-6	SJSU	SJSU×3	Ace	Lolo Fonua	aced Ana Stojanovic	+9.4
13	6-7	SJSU	SJSU×3	Ace	Lolo Fonua	aced Khloe Wong	+11.3
14	7-7	SJSU	UC DAV	Serve err	Lolo Fonua		+7.8
15	7-8	UC DAV	SJSU	Serve err	UC Davis		+9.3
16	8-8	SJSU	UC DAV	Serve err	Kylee Sells		+8.4
17	8-9	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Naima Foster	set Fatimah Hall	+10.1
18	9-9	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Ally Chandler	set Mia Starr	+9.1
19	9-10	UC DAV	SJSU	Kill	Morgan Graves	set Hanna Darvas	+11.0
20	10-10	SJSU	UC DAV	Attack err	Lolo Fonua		+10.0
21	10-11	UC DAV	SJSU	Serve err	UC Davis		+12.3
22	11-11	SJSU	UC DAV	Serve err	Eva Vostracka		+11.1
23	11-12	UC DAV	SJSU	Blocked	Ana Stojanovic	blk Devon DeNecochea	+14.1
24	12-12	SJSU	UC DAV	Kill	Ana Stojanovic	set Mia Starr	+12.7
25	12-13	UC DAV	SJSU×3	Kill	Naima Foster	set Fatimah Hall	+16.9
26	12-14	SJSU	SJSU×3	Ace	Lolo Fonua	aced Ana Stojanovic	+24.6
27	12-15	SJSU	SJSU×3	Attack err	Brooke Hibino		+16.3

Score shown after each rally, UC Davis first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

San Jose St. def. UC Davis 3–2

Lolo Fonua served 4 aces, and San Jose St. needed every one.