Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 23, 2026Watch on MW+

New Mexico def. San Jose St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: New Mexico 79.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

New Mexico beat visiting San Jose St. 3-1 (25-16, 25-20, 23-25, 25-15) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. New Mexico's Seenane Brewer led with 17 kills, and Camila Canedo added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 23

Set1234Sets
SJSU162025151
N MEX252523253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

New Mexico won 49 of 97 points on its own serve.

Win probability never moved more than 2.8 points on one rally; San Jose St. topped out at 25% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave New Mexico 80% before first serve.

San Jose St.New Mexico
  • Break %+14.1 pts
    36.450.5

    Points won on own serve: 49 of 97 vs 28 of 77. San Jose St. sided out 49.5% of the time.

  • Hitting+.091
    .122.213

    59 K / 29 E against 40 K / 23 E.

New Mexico above 50San Jose St. belowMax swing 2.8%

San Jose St.New Mexico

Aces
San Jose St. 3·New Mexico 8
Serve err
San Jose St. 8·New Mexico 4
Blocks
San Jose St. 12·New Mexico 68 BS · 8 BA vs 3 BS · 6 BA
Digs
San Jose St. 42·New Mexico 64

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

New Mexico above 50 · San Jose St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.8% SJSUrally 174 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.8% to San Jose St. — set 3, SJSU 25-23 N MEX. Kill by Zuzana Kosikova (set by Fatimah Hall). N MEX win probability 92% → 89%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SJSU 19.5%80.5% N MEX

San Jose St. wins

3-0
3.1%
3-1
6.4%
3-2
9.9%

New Mexico wins

3-0
32.1%
3-1
30.4%
3-2
18.1%
SJSU break %
39.2% vs this opp
N MEX break %
45.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Zuzana Kosikova (set by Fatimah Hall)

    Set 3 · SJSU 25-23 N MEX · SJSU 8% → 11%

  2. 02
    Mina StanojevicAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Mina Stanojevic

    Set 4 · SJSU 1-0 N MEX · SJSU 11% → 13%

  3. 03

    Kill by Addison France (set by Madeleine Miller)

    Set 4 · SJSU 3-4 N MEX · N MEX 88% → 90%

  4. 04
    Addison FranceAttack error+2.1%

    Attack error by Addison France

    Set 1 · SJSU 3-0 N MEX · SJSU 23% → 25%

  5. 05
    Ava HewittKill+2.0%

    Kill by Ava Hewitt (set by Hanna Darvas)

    Set 3 · SJSU 24-22 N MEX · SJSU 7% → 9%

  6. 06
    Zoe LeonardAce+2.0%

    Ace by Zoe Leonard on Zuzana Kosikova

    Set 4 · SJSU 3-5 N MEX · N MEX 90% → 92%

  7. 07
    Ava HewittBlock+2.0%

    Campbell Hollister stuffed by Ava Hewitt

    Set 1 · SJSU 2-0 N MEX · SJSU 21% → 23%

  8. 08

    Ace by Addison France on Lolo Fonua

    Set 1 · SJSU 4-4 N MEX · N MEX 78% → 80%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411325.32000010233.514.5
4119.000011931013
4000–1601600000
38224.25000000111.59.5
3118.000011202024
23210.100100100003
46824-.08300061010.56.5
45318.11100050010.55.5
4000–012230001
4013-.3332000700000
4000–001100000
2207.28600010212.54.5
22210.00000010010.52.5
21011.000002010001
Team totals4023139.1223738428881276
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415635.2570406010120
417632.3441112100018
414632.250411150010.515.5
43212.08347001001225
33714-.28600000111.54.5
2125-.20000010010.51.5
4000–4012110000
36011.54502140010.58.5
3000–000510000
Team totals5929141.213568464336698

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

San Jose St. vs New Mexico

Season series · New Mexico leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 SJSU · N MEX 4

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 3 SJSUN MEX 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 SJSUN MEX 4

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 5 SJSUN MEX 4

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 3 SJSUN MEX 4

Bars above the line = New Mexico leads, below = San Jose St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

San Jose St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
33%4/12
2
75%9/12
47%8/17
3
36%8/22
31%4/13
4
47%8/17
27%3/11
5
39%7/18
38%5/13
6
50%6/12
36%4/11
All
49%48/97
36%28/77

New Mexico

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%9/18
58%11/19
2
82%9/11
25%3/12
3
60%9/15
40%6/15
4
73%8/11
58%11/19
5
64%7/11
65%13/20
6
64%7/11
42%5/12
All
64%49/77
51%49/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

174 rallies

#SJSU-N MEXSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0N MEXSJSU×3KillMorgan Graves+1.4
22-0SJSUSJSU×3BlockedCampbell Hollisterblk Ava Hewitt+2.0
33-0SJSUSJSU×3Attack errAddison France+2.1
43-1SJSUN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+1.4
53-2N MEXN MEXAttack errTatiana Robinson+1.9
64-2N MEXSJSUKillAva Hewittset Hanna Darvas+1.6
74-3SJSUN MEX×4KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.4
84-4N MEXN MEX×4AceAddison Franceaced Lolo Fonua+1.9
94-5N MEXN MEX×4KillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+1.8
104-6N MEXN MEX×4AceAddison Franceaced Lolo Fonua+1.7
115-6N MEXSJSUKillTatiana Robinsonset Hanna Darvas+1.3
125-7SJSUN MEX×3KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.3
135-8N MEXN MEX×3KillReagan Miller+1.5
145-9N MEXN MEX×3KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+1.3
156-9N MEXSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Hanna Darvas+0.9
167-9SJSUSJSUAttack errMina Stanojevic+1.5
177-10SJSUN MEX×4KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.2
187-11N MEXN MEX×4Attack errNaima Foster+1.4
197-12N MEXN MEX×4KillMina Stanojevicset Camila Canedo+1.1
207-13N MEXN MEX×4KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+0.8
218-13N MEXSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+0.5
229-13SJSUSJSUAttack errMina Stanojevic+0.9
239-14SJSUN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+0.8
2410-14N MEXSJSUBlockedAddison Franceblk Lolo Fonua+0.7
2511-14SJSUSJSUAceLearden Leeaced Seenane Brewer+1.3
2611-15SJSUN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.1
2712-15N MEXSJSUAttack errCampbell Hollister+1.0
2812-16SJSUN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.1
2912-17N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.2
3013-17N MEXSJSUKillAva Hewittset Hanna Darvas+0.7
3113-18SJSUN MEX×3Serve errMariana Buchanan+0.9
3213-19N MEXN MEX×3KillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+0.8
3313-20N MEXN MEX×3AceAddison Franceaced Mariana Buchanan+0.4
3414-20N MEXSJSUKillMariana Buchanan+0.2
3515-20SJSUSJSUAceEva Vostrackaaced Camila Canedo+0.4
3615-21SJSUN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+0.5
3715-22N MEXN MEXAceSeenane Breweraced Lolo Fonua+0.3
3816-22N MEXSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Hanna Darvas+0.1
3916-23SJSUN MEX×3KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+0.2
4016-24N MEXN MEX×3KillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+0.1
4116-25N MEXN MEX×3KillAddison Franceset Camila Canedo·
Set 2
10-1SJSUN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Camila Canedo+0.9
21-1N MEXSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Fatimah Hall+1.0
31-2SJSUN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+0.9
42-2N MEXSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+1.0
52-3SJSUN MEX×4KillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+1.0
62-4N MEXN MEX×4KillSeenane Brewerset Mina Stanojevic+1.2
72-5N MEXN MEX×4KillMadeleine Millerset Zuzana Kosikova+1.1
82-6N MEXN MEX×4BlockedLolo Fonuablk Reagan Miller, Madeleine Miller+0.9
93-6N MEXSJSUKillNaima Fosterset Fatimah Hall+0.7
103-7SJSUN MEXServe errHanna Darvas+0.7
114-7N MEXSJSUKillTatiana Robinsonset Hanna Darvas+0.7
124-8SJSUN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+0.7
135-8N MEXSJSUServe errCamila Canedo+0.7
146-8SJSUSJSUAttack errMadeleine Miller+1.1
156-9SJSUN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+0.9
167-9N MEXSJSUKillTatiana Robinsonset Hanna Darvas+0.9
177-10SJSUN MEXKillZoe Leonardset Madeleine Miller+0.9
188-10N MEXSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+0.9
199-10SJSUSJSUAttack errSeenane Brewer+1.4
209-11SJSUN MEXServe errOrian Drore+1.1
2110-11N MEXSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+1.1
2210-12SJSUN MEX×3BlockedLearden Leeblk Reagan Miller+1.1
2310-13N MEXN MEX×3KillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+1.4
2410-14N MEXN MEX×3KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.1
2511-14N MEXSJSUAttack errReagan Miller+0.7
2611-15SJSUN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+0.8
2711-16N MEXN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+0.9
2812-16N MEXSJSUServe errSeenane Brewer+0.5
2912-17SJSUN MEX×4Serve errLolo Fonua+0.7
3012-18N MEXN MEX×4BlockedZuzana Kosikovablk Madeleine Miller+0.6
3112-19N MEXN MEX×4KillZoe Leonardset Madeleine Miller+0.4
3212-20N MEXN MEX×4Attack errTatiana Robinson+0.2
3313-20N MEXSJSUKillLearden Leeset Hanna Darvas+0.1
3413-21SJSUN MEXServe errLearden Lee+0.1
3513-22N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+0.1
3614-22N MEXSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Tatiana Robinson·
3715-22SJSUSJSUBlockedAddison Franceblk Ava Hewitt, Zuzana Kosikova·
3815-23SJSUN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Camila Canedo+0.1
3916-23N MEXSJSUAttack errSeenane Brewer·
4016-24SJSUN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Mina Stanojevic·
4117-24N MEXSJSU×4KillLolo Fonuaset Fatimah Hall·
4218-24SJSUSJSU×4BlockedReagan Millerblk Learden Lee·
4319-24SJSUSJSU×4Attack errMadeleine Miller+0.1
4420-24SJSUSJSU×4Attack errReagan Miller+0.1
4520-25SJSUN MEXServe errEva Vostracka+0.2
Set 3
10-1N MEXN MEX×3Attack errZuzana Kosikova+0.6
20-2N MEXN MEX×3KillZoe Leonard+0.6
30-3N MEXN MEX×3Attack errAva Hewitt+0.5
41-3N MEXSJSUKillNaima Fosterset Fatimah Hall+0.4
52-3SJSUSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+0.6
62-4SJSUN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+0.4
72-5N MEXN MEXAttack errMorgan Graves+0.5
83-5N MEXSJSUServe errZoe Leonard+0.4
94-5SJSUSJSUBlockedReagan Millerblk Aniyah Hall+0.6
104-6SJSUN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+0.5
115-6N MEXSJSUBlockedReagan Millerblk Morgan Graves+0.5
126-6SJSUSJSUKillAniyah Hallset Hanna Darvas+0.7
136-7SJSUN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+0.5
147-7N MEXSJSUBlockedReagan Millerblk Aniyah Hall+0.6
157-8SJSUN MEXAttack errZuzana Kosikova+0.6
168-8N MEXSJSUKillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas+0.6
178-9SJSUN MEXKillZoe Leonardset Madeleine Miller+0.6
189-9N MEXSJSUBlockedAddison Franceblk Ava Hewitt+0.6
1910-9SJSUSJSUAttack errMina Stanojevic+0.9
2010-10SJSUN MEX×4Attack errAva Hewitt+0.6
2110-11N MEXN MEX×4BlockedZuzana Kosikovablk Addison France+0.8
2210-12N MEXN MEX×4AceMina Stanojevicaced Eva Vostracka+0.8
2310-13N MEXN MEX×4Attack errNaima Foster+0.7
2411-13N MEXSJSU×5KillNaima Fosterset Fatimah Hall+0.5
2512-13SJSUSJSU×5Attack errSeenane Brewer+0.8
2613-13SJSUSJSU×5KillMorgan Graves+0.9
2714-13SJSUSJSU×5KillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+1.1
2815-13SJSUSJSU×5BlockedSeenane Brewerblk Naima Foster, Ava Hewitt+1.2
2915-14SJSUN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+0.8
3016-14N MEXSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+0.9
3116-15SJSUN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+0.8
3216-16N MEXN MEXAceAddison Franceaced Eva Vostracka+1.2
3317-16N MEXSJSUAttack errSeenane Brewer+1.0
3418-16SJSUSJSUAttack errReagan Miller+1.4
3518-17SJSUN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Mina Stanojevic+0.9
3619-17N MEXSJSU×3BlockedAddison Franceblk Aniyah Hall, Morgan Graves+1.1
3720-17SJSUSJSU×3KillZuzana Kosikovaset Hanna Darvas+1.4
3821-17SJSUSJSU×3AceLolo Fonuaaced Ella Joesting+1.2
3921-18SJSUN MEX×3KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+0.6
4021-19N MEXN MEX×3KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+1.1
4121-20N MEXN MEX×3Attack errZuzana Kosikova+1.4
4222-20N MEXSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Hanna Darvas+1.5
4323-20SJSUSJSUAttack errMina Stanojevic+1.7
4423-21SJSUN MEXServe errEva Vostracka+0.7
4523-22N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.6
4624-22N MEXSJSUKillAva Hewittset Hanna Darvas+2.0
4724-23SJSUN MEXKillZoe Leonardset Madeleine Miller+1.1
4825-23N MEXSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Fatimah Hall+2.8
Set 4
11-0SJSUSJSUAttack errMina Stanojevic+2.2
21-1SJSUN MEXKillMadeleine Millerset Mina Stanojevic+1.6
32-1N MEXSJSUKillNaima Fosterset Fatimah Hall+1.8
42-2SJSUN MEXAttack errAva Hewitt+1.6
53-2N MEXSJSUServe errMina Stanojevic+1.8
63-3SJSUN MEX×4KillZoe Leonardset Madeleine Miller+1.7
73-4N MEXN MEX×4KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.2
83-5N MEXN MEX×4AceZoe Leonardaced Zuzana Kosikova+2.0
93-6N MEXN MEX×4AceZoe Leonardaced Eva Vostracka+1.8
104-6N MEXSJSUKillNaima Fosterset Fatimah Hall+1.3
114-7SJSUN MEX×4KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.4
124-8N MEXN MEX×4KillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+1.6
134-9N MEXN MEX×4Attack errMorgan Graves+1.3
144-10N MEXN MEX×4Attack errDevon DeNecochea+1.0
155-10N MEXSJSUKillAniyah Hallset Hanna Darvas+0.7
165-11SJSUN MEXKillMadeleine Millerset Seenane Brewer+0.8
176-11N MEXSJSUKillDevon DeNecocheaset Hanna Darvas+0.7
187-11SJSUSJSUBlockedMina Stanojevicblk Devon DeNecochea, Ava Hewitt+1.2
197-12SJSUN MEXAttack errZuzana Kosikova+1.0
207-13N MEXN MEXBlockedDevon DeNecocheablk Zoe Leonard, Mina Stanojevic+1.0
218-13N MEXSJSUKillAva Hewittset Hanna Darvas+0.6
228-14SJSUN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+0.8
239-14N MEXSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+0.6
249-15SJSUN MEXAttack errNaima Foster+0.8
2510-15N MEXSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+0.6
2610-16SJSUN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+0.7
2711-16N MEXSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+0.6
2811-17SJSUN MEX×3Serve errMariana Buchanan+0.7
2911-18N MEXN MEX×3KillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+0.6
3011-19N MEXN MEX×3KillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+0.4
3112-19N MEXSJSU×3KillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+0.2
3213-19SJSUSJSU×3Attack errSeenane Brewer+0.4
3314-19SJSUSJSU×3BlockedAddison Franceblk Learden Lee+0.6
3414-20SJSUN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+0.7
3514-21N MEXN MEXBlockedZuzana Kosikovablk Campbell Hollister, Madeleine Miller+0.5
3615-21N MEXSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Fatimah Hall+0.2
3715-22SJSUN MEX×4KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+0.3
3815-23N MEXN MEX×4KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+0.1
3915-24N MEXN MEX×4Attack errZuzana Kosikova·
4015-25N MEXN MEX×4Attack errFatimah Hall·

Score shown after each rally, San Jose St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).