Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 25, 2026Watch on MW+

New Mexico def. San Jose St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: New Mexico 81.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 25, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

New Mexico beat visiting San Jose St. 3-1 (23-25, 25-18, 26-24, 25-19) on Sun, Oct 25, 2026. New Mexico's Reagan Miller and Addison France led with 14 kills each, and Camila Canedo added 24 digs.

Data through · final Oct 25

Set1234Sets
SJSU251824191
N MEX232526253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Madeleine Miller set 55 assists as New Mexico outlasted San Jose St.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are New Mexico's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ gave New Mexico 82% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · San Jose St. 19–23 New Mexico

    San Jose St. scored 4 straight to erase a 19–23 deficit and tie it at 23.

    New Mexico 88% → 72%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · San Jose St. 23–23 New Mexico

    New Mexico closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 26–24 and lead 2–1.

    New Mexico 72% → 90%

New Mexico above 50San Jose St. belowMax swing 9.2%

San Jose St.New Mexico

Sideout %
San Jose St. 64.3·New Mexico 73.6
Break %
San Jose St. 26.4·New Mexico 35.7
Hitting
San Jose St. .267·New Mexico .336
Longest run
San Jose St. 5·New Mexico 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

New Mexico above 50 · San Jose St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.2% N MEXrally 185 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.2% to New Mexico — set 3, SJSU 24-26 N MEX. Kill by Reagan Miller (set by Madeleine Miller). N MEX win probability 80% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SJSU 19.5%80.5% N MEX

San Jose St. wins

3-0
3.1%
3-1
6.4%
3-2
9.9%

New Mexico wins

3-0
32.1%
3-1
30.4%
3-2
18.1%
SJSU break %
39.2% vs this opp
N MEX break %
45.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Reagan MillerKill+9.2%

    Kill by Reagan Miller (set by Madeleine Miller)

    Set 3 · SJSU 24-26 N MEX · N MEX 80% → 90%

  2. 02

    Kill by Zuzana Kosikova

    Set 3 · SJSU 23-23 N MEX · SJSU 20% → 28%

  3. 03
    Learden LeeKill+8.1%

    Kill by Learden Lee (set by Hanna Darvas)

    Set 3 · SJSU 24-24 N MEX · SJSU 20% → 28%

  4. 04

    Kill by Addison France (set by Madeleine Miller)

    Set 3 · SJSU 24-25 N MEX · N MEX 72% → 80%

  5. 05

    Kill by Mina Stanojevic (set by Madeleine Miller)

    Set 3 · SJSU 23-24 N MEX · N MEX 72% → 80%

  6. 06
    Seenane BrewerAttack error+7.1%

    Attack error by Seenane Brewer

    Set 1 · SJSU 25-23 N MEX · SJSU 31% → 38%

  7. 07
    Ava HewittKill+5.1%

    Kill by Ava Hewitt (set by Fatimah Hall)

    Set 1 · SJSU 24-22 N MEX · SJSU 28% → 33%

  8. 08
    Morgan GravesKill+4.6%

    Kill by Morgan Graves (set by Hanna Darvas)

    Set 3 · SJSU 22-23 N MEX · SJSU 15% → 20%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412528.250015110010.513.5
411435.2000009210112
410222.3640000010111
49124.333000300009
48113.538003200219
4000–2401800000
49527.14800010111.510.5
4011-1.0002432200003
4000–002000000
4000–7001200000
2000–000100000
1000–000000000
Team totals5919150.2675541349234586
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414424.4170010012216
414431.323001130010.514.5
410224.333211130010.511.5
411119.52600200010.511.5
411631.1610001000011
4308.3755500700214
4000–300243010.50.5
4000–100510000
3000–011200001
Team totals6317137.336612665418599

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

San Jose St. vs New Mexico

Season series · New Mexico leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 SJSU · N MEX 5

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 5 SJSUN MEX 4

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 SJSUN MEX 4

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 4 SJSUN MEX 4

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 3 SJSUN MEX 5

Bars above the line = New Mexico leads, below = San Jose St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

San Jose St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%13/20
27%4/15
2
60%12/20
35%7/20
3
73%11/15
8%1/13
4
82%9/11
41%7/17
5
47%9/19
31%4/13
6
69%9/13
0%0/9
All
64%63/98
26%23/87

New Mexico

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%13/20
42%8/19
2
92%12/13
29%5/17
3
73%11/15
45%10/22
4
59%10/17
9%1/11
5
90%9/10
40%6/15
6
75%9/12
36%5/14
All
74%64/87
36%35/98

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

185 rallies

#SJSU-N MEXSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.5
21-1N MEXSJSU×5KillZuzana Kosikovaset Fatimah Hall+1.2
32-1SJSUSJSU×5KillNaima Fosterset Fatimah Hall+1.8
43-1SJSUSJSU×5KillNaima Fosterset Fatimah Hall+1.9
54-1SJSUSJSU×5Attack errSeenane Brewer+2.0
65-1SJSUSJSU×5AceZuzana Kosikovaaced Camila Canedo+2.1
75-2SJSUN MEXServe errZuzana Kosikova+1.3
86-2N MEXSJSUServe errCampbell Hollister+1.6
96-3SJSUN MEXServe errKylee Sells+1.4
107-3N MEXSJSU×3KillLolo Fonuaset Orian Drore+1.7
118-3SJSUSJSU×3AceHanna Darvasaced Camila Canedo+2.1
129-3SJSUSJSU×3Attack errSeenane Brewer+2.0
139-4SJSUN MEXServe errHanna Darvas+1.2
1410-4N MEXSJSU×3KillNaima Fosterset Hanna Darvas+1.5
1511-4SJSUSJSU×3KillMorgan Gravesset Hanna Darvas+1.8
1612-4SJSUSJSU×3KillZuzana Kosikovaset Hanna Darvas+1.5
1712-5SJSUN MEX×3KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+0.8
1812-6N MEXN MEX×3KillMina Stanojevic+1.3
1912-7N MEXN MEX×3BlockedZuzana Kosikovablk Madeleine Miller, Camila Canedo+1.5
2013-7N MEXSJSUAttack errAddison France+1.6
2113-8SJSUN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+1.1
2214-8N MEXSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Hanna Darvas+1.6
2314-9SJSUN MEXServe errFatimah Hall+1.1
2415-9N MEXSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+1.6
2516-9SJSUSJSUKillNaima Foster+1.6
2616-10SJSUN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+0.8
2716-11N MEXN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+1.4
2817-11N MEXSJSUServe errCampbell Hollister+1.5
2917-12SJSUN MEXServe errKylee Sells+1.0
3018-12N MEXSJSUServe errAddison France+1.5
3118-13SJSUN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+0.9
3218-14N MEXN MEXAttack errMorgan Graves+1.7
3319-14N MEXSJSUKillLearden Leeset Hanna Darvas+1.9
3420-14SJSUSJSUBlockedMina Stanojevicblk Morgan Graves, Learden Lee+1.8
3520-15SJSUN MEXBlockedLearden Leeblk Reagan Miller+0.8
3620-16N MEXN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+1.5
3721-16N MEXSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Hanna Darvas+1.8
3821-17SJSUN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+1.0
3922-17N MEXSJSUKillAva Hewittset Hanna Darvas+1.7
4022-18SJSUN MEX×4KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+0.8
4122-19N MEXN MEX×4Attack errZuzana Kosikova+1.7
4222-20N MEXN MEX×4Attack errZuzana Kosikova+2.6
4322-21N MEXN MEX×4Attack errZuzana Kosikova+3.8
4423-21N MEXSJSUKillLolo Fonuaset Orian Drore+4.3
4523-22SJSUN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+2.9
4624-22N MEXSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+5.1
4724-23SJSUN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.8
4825-23N MEXSJSUAttack errSeenane Brewer+7.1
Set 2
10-1SJSUN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+1.8
21-1N MEXSJSUServe errReagan Miller+2.0
31-2SJSUN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Camila Canedo+1.9
42-2N MEXSJSUKillLolo Fonuaset Fatimah Hall+2.0
52-3SJSUN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.9
63-3N MEXSJSUKillNaima Fosterset Fatimah Hall+2.1
73-4SJSUN MEXKillMadeleine Millerset Ella Joesting+2.0
84-4N MEXSJSUKillLearden Leeset Hanna Darvas+2.1
94-5SJSUN MEXAttack errMorgan Graves+2.0
105-5N MEXSJSUKillLearden Leeset Hanna Darvas+2.2
115-6SJSUN MEXServe errLearden Lee+2.1
125-7N MEXN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+2.6
136-7N MEXSJSUKillAva Hewittset Hanna Darvas+2.0
146-8SJSUN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.0
157-8N MEXSJSUServe errZoe Leonard+2.0
167-9SJSUN MEXServe errZuzana Kosikova+2.0
177-10N MEXN MEXBlockedNaima Fosterblk Madeleine Miller, Reagan Miller+2.4
188-10N MEXSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+1.8
198-11SJSUN MEXAttack errLolo Fonua+1.9
209-11N MEXSJSU×3KillLolo Fonuaset Fatimah Hall+1.8
2110-11SJSUSJSU×3AceHanna Darvasaced Ella Joesting+2.9
2211-11SJSUSJSU×3BlockedReagan Millerblk Naima Foster+3.4
2311-12SJSUN MEXServe errHanna Darvas+2.6
2412-12N MEXSJSUBlockedCampbell Hollisterblk Morgan Graves+2.8
2513-12SJSUSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Hanna Darvas+4.1
2613-13SJSUN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+2.9
2713-14N MEXN MEXAttack errMina Stanojevic+3.8
2814-14N MEXSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Orian Drore+3.0
2914-15SJSUN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+3.0
3014-16N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+3.6
3115-16N MEXSJSUServe errMina Stanojevic+2.7
3215-17SJSUN MEX×3KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.9
3315-18N MEXN MEX×3BlockedZuzana Kosikovablk Reagan Miller, Addison France+3.2
3415-19N MEXN MEX×3KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+2.5
3516-19N MEXSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Fatimah Hall+1.5
3616-20SJSUN MEX×4Serve errZuzana Kosikova+1.9
3716-21N MEXN MEX×4KillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+1.6
3816-22N MEXN MEX×4KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+0.9
3916-23N MEXN MEX×4Attack errAva Hewitt+0.4
4017-23N MEXSJSUKillNaima Fosterset Fatimah Hall+0.1
4117-24SJSUN MEXKillMadeleine Millerset Mina Stanojevic+0.2
4218-24N MEXSJSUKillNaima Fosterset Orian Drore·
4318-25SJSUN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+0.1
Set 3
11-0N MEXSJSUKillLearden Leeset Fatimah Hall+2.1
21-1SJSUN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.9
32-1N MEXSJSUKillLearden Leeset Fatimah Hall+2.1
42-2SJSUN MEXServe errSan Jose St.+2.0
53-2N MEXSJSUAttack errReagan Miller+2.2
63-3SJSUN MEXServe errSan Jose St.+2.0
74-3N MEXSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall+2.3
84-4SJSUN MEX×3KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+2.1
94-5N MEXN MEX×3KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.7
104-6N MEXN MEX×3KillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+2.5
115-6N MEXSJSUKillNaima Fosterset Hanna Darvas+1.9
125-7SJSUN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+1.9
136-7N MEXSJSUKillAva Hewittset Hanna Darvas+2.0
146-8SJSUN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+1.9
157-8N MEXSJSUKillLearden Leeset Hanna Darvas+2.0
167-9SJSUN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.0
178-9N MEXSJSUKillLearden Leeset Fatimah Hall+2.1
188-10SJSUN MEX×4KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+2.1
198-11N MEXN MEX×4Attack errNaima Foster+2.5
208-12N MEXN MEX×4KillMadeleine Millerset Camila Canedo+2.1
218-13N MEXN MEX×4KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.6
229-13N MEXSJSUKillLolo Fonuaset Orian Drore+1.1
2310-13SJSUSJSUAttack errSeenane Brewer+1.9
2410-14SJSUN MEXServe errLearden Lee+1.6
2511-14N MEXSJSUBlockedReagan Millerblk Ava Hewitt+1.5
2611-15SJSUN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+1.7
2712-15N MEXSJSUKillAva Hewittset Hanna Darvas+1.5
2812-16SJSUN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+1.7
2913-16N MEXSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Hanna Darvas+1.5
3013-17SJSUN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+1.7
3114-17N MEXSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Hanna Darvas+1.5
3215-17SJSUSJSUKillLolo Fonuaset Fatimah Hall+2.7
3315-18SJSUN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+2.4
3416-18N MEXSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Fatimah Hall+2.1
3516-19SJSUN MEXServe errZuzana Kosikova+2.5
3616-20N MEXN MEXAttack errNaima Foster+2.5
3717-20N MEXSJSUKillNaima Fosterset Fatimah Hall+1.4
3817-21SJSUN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.9
3918-21N MEXSJSUKillNaima Fosterset Fatimah Hall+1.3
4018-22SJSUN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.8
4119-22N MEXSJSUKillAva Hewittset Hanna Darvas+1.1
4219-23SJSUN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+1.8
4320-23N MEXSJSU×4KillZuzana Kosikovaset Orian Drore+0.9
4421-23SJSUSJSU×4BlockedAddison Franceblk Learden Lee, Zuzana Kosikova+2.4
4522-23SJSUSJSU×4KillMorgan Gravesset Hanna Darvas+4.6
4623-23SJSUSJSU×4KillZuzana Kosikova+8.2
4723-24SJSUN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+8.1
4824-24N MEXSJSUKillLearden Leeset Hanna Darvas+8.1
4924-25SJSUN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+8.1
5024-26N MEXN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+9.2
Set 4
10-1SJSUN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+1.4
21-1N MEXSJSUAttack errSeenane Brewer+1.5
31-2SJSUN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.4
42-2N MEXSJSUKillLolo Fonuaset Fatimah Hall+1.6
53-2SJSUSJSUAttack errSeenane Brewer+2.3
63-3SJSUN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Mina Stanojevic+1.6
74-3N MEXSJSUKillNaima Fosterset Fatimah Hall+1.8
84-4SJSUN MEXAttack errMorgan Graves+1.7
95-4N MEXSJSUKillAva Hewittset Hanna Darvas+1.8
105-5SJSUN MEX×5Attack errMina Stanojevic+1.7
115-6N MEXN MEX×5KillCampbell Hollister+2.2
125-7N MEXN MEX×5KillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+2.0
135-8N MEXN MEX×5Attack errHanna Darvas+1.8
145-9N MEXN MEX×5Attack errMorgan Graves+1.5
156-9N MEXSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Hanna Darvas+1.1
166-10SJSUN MEX×3Attack errMorgan Graves+1.2
176-11N MEXN MEX×3KillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+1.3
186-12N MEXN MEX×3AceMina Stanojevicaced Naima Foster+1.0
197-12N MEXSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Hanna Darvas+0.6
207-13SJSUN MEXKillAddison Franceset Camila Canedo+0.7
218-13N MEXSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Orian Drore+0.6
229-13SJSUSJSUAttack errAddison France+1.1
239-14SJSUN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.0
2410-14N MEXSJSUAttack errReagan Miller+0.8
2510-15SJSUN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+1.0
2611-15N MEXSJSU×3KillLolo Fonuaset Fatimah Hall+0.8
2712-15SJSUSJSU×3KillMorgan Gravesset Hanna Darvas+1.5
2813-15SJSUSJSU×3AceHanna Darvasaced Camila Canedo+2.0
2913-16SJSUN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.7
3013-17N MEXN MEXBlockedAva Hewittblk Campbell Hollister, Mina Stanojevic+1.8
3114-17N MEXSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Hanna Darvas+1.2
3214-18SJSUN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+1.4
3315-18N MEXSJSUAttack errMina Stanojevic+1.2
3415-19SJSUN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.4
3516-19N MEXSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Hanna Darvas+1.1
3617-19SJSUSJSUAttack errAddison France+2.2
3717-20SJSUN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.1
3817-21N MEXN MEXAceZoe Leonardaced Naima Foster+2.0
3918-21N MEXSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Fatimah Hall+1.0
4018-22SJSUN MEX×3KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.5
4118-23N MEXN MEX×3KillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+1.0
4218-24N MEXN MEX×3Attack errNaima Foster+0.4
4319-24N MEXSJSUKillLolo Fonuaset Fatimah Hall+0.1
4419-25SJSUN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+0.1

Score shown after each rally, San Jose St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).