FinalSat, Nov 7, 2026Watch on 3TV, Arizona's Family Sports, MW+, Arizona's Family 3TV

Grand Canyon def. San Jose St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Grand Canyon 89.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 12:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Grand Canyon beat visiting San Jose St. 3-0 (25-10, 25-10, 25-20) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Grand Canyon's Starr Williams led with 16 kills, and Nika Zupanic added 11 digs.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set123Sets
SJSU1010200
GCANYN2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Starr Williams hit .448 with 16 kills as Grand Canyon rolled past San Jose St.

Win probability never moved more than 1.3 points on one rally; San Jose St. topped out at 12% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Grand Canyon 89% before first serve.

San Jose St.Grand Canyon
  • Break %+32.9 pts
    29.362.2

    Points won on own serve: 46 of 74 vs 12 of 41. San Jose St. sided out 37.8% of the time.

  • Hitting+.309
    .000.309

    Kills and errors: 41–11 vs 20–20.

Grand Canyon above 50San Jose St. belowMax swing 1.3%

San Jose St.Grand Canyon

Aces
San Jose St. 2·Grand Canyon 9
Serve err
San Jose St. 5·Grand Canyon 7
Blocks
San Jose St. 4·Grand Canyon 90 BS · 8 BA vs 0 BS · 18 BA
Digs
San Jose St. 35·Grand Canyon 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Grand Canyon above 50 · San Jose St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.3% SJSUrally 115 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.3% to San Jose St. — set 1, SJSU 2-1 GCANYN. Point San Jose St. (not logged in NCAA feed). GCANYN win probability 89% → 88%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SJSU 8.4%91.6% GCANYN

San Jose St. wins

3-0
1.1%
3-1
2.5%
3-2
4.8%

Grand Canyon wins

3-0
47.4%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
12.9%
SJSU break %
36.8% vs this opp
GCANYN break %
47.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+1.3%

    Point San Jose St. (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 1 · SJSU 2-1 GCANYN · SJSU 11% → 12%

  2. 02
    Bella NunezKill+1.1%

    Kill by Bella Nunez (set by Nika Zupanic)

    Set 1 · SJSU 2-3 GCANYN · GCANYN 89% → 90%

  3. 03

    Kill by Aubrey Goodere (set by Taylor Kubacak)

    Set 1 · SJSU 0-1 GCANYN · GCANYN 89% → 90%

  4. 04
    Morgan GravesAttack error+1.0%

    Attack error by Morgan Graves

    Set 1 · SJSU 2-4 GCANYN · GCANYN 90% → 91%

  5. 05
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+0.9%

    Point Grand Canyon (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 1 · SJSU 2-5 GCANYN · GCANYN 91% → 92%

  6. 06

    Kill by Starr Williams

    Set 1 · SJSU 2-2 GCANYN · GCANYN 88% → 89%

  7. 07
    Morgan GravesKill+0.8%

    Kill by Morgan Graves (set by Fatimah Hall)

    Set 1 · SJSU 1-1 GCANYN · SJSU 10% → 11%

  8. 08
    Aubrey BellusKill+0.7%

    Kill by Aubrey Bellus (set by Taylor Kubacak)

    Set 1 · SJSU 2-6 GCANYN · GCANYN 92% → 93%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
34210.20000010031.55.5
34414.00000000010.54.5
32411-.18210020031.53.5
3016-.16711210010.51.5
3000–700700000
23418-.056001010003
3116.000001200001
3000–610600001
3000–300510000
26217.235001900006
2000–100120000
1026-.333000100000
Team totals202088.000192535908440
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
316329.4480000204218
38015.53310130052.510.5
3319.222164260010.57.5
36419.10500150010.56.5
3338.000000000425
31011.0001221800003
33011.273000300214
3000–020500002
3000–4111100001
1105.20000000010.51.5
1000–001100000
Team totals411197.3093397422018975

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

San Jose St. vs Grand Canyon

Season series · Grand Canyon leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 SJSU · GCANYN 10

Set 1

10-25

Longest run 3 SJSUGCANYN 8

Set 2

10-25

Longest run 4 SJSUGCANYN 10

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 SJSUGCANYN 4

Bars above the line = Grand Canyon leads, below = San Jose St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

San Jose St.

No clean sets to split.

Grand Canyon

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

115 rallies

#SJSU-GCANYNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1GCANYNGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Taylor Kubacak+1.1
21-1GCANYNSJSUKillMorgan Gravesset Fatimah Hall+0.8
32-1SJSU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.3
42-2SJSUGCANYN×8KillStarr Williams+0.9
52-3GCANYNGCANYN×8KillBella Nunezset Nika Zupanic+1.1
62-4GCANYNGCANYN×8Attack errMorgan Graves+1.0
72-5GCANYN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.9
82-6GCANYNGCANYN×8KillAubrey Bellusset Taylor Kubacak+0.7
92-7GCANYNGCANYN×8Attack errMorgan Graves+0.6
102-8GCANYN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
112-9GCANYNGCANYN×8BlockedTatiana Robinsonblk Aubrey Bellus, Starr Williams+0.3
123-9GCANYNSJSUKillLolo Fonuaset Tatiana Robinson+0.2
133-10SJSUGCANYN×6Attack errLolo Fonua+0.2
143-11GCANYNGCANYN×6KillStarr Williamsset Aubrey Bellus+0.2
153-12GCANYN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
163-13GCANYNGCANYN×6KillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+0.1
173-14GCANYNGCANYN×6KillAubrey Bellus+0.1
183-15GCANYN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
194-15GCANYNSJSU×3KillLolo Fonuaset Kylee Sells·
205-15SJSU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
216-15SJSUSJSU×3KillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall·
226-16SJSUGCANYN×5Serve errSan Jose St.·
236-17GCANYNGCANYN×5KillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez·
246-18GCANYN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
256-19GCANYNGCANYN×5KillKatie Schulzset Lolo Fonua·
266-20GCANYNGCANYN×5AceGrand Canyon·
277-20GCANYNSJSUKillTatiana Robinsonset Naima Foster·
287-21SJSUGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez·
298-21GCANYNSJSUKillLolo Fonuaset Hanna Darvas·
309-21SJSUSJSUAttack errAubrey Goodere·
319-22SJSUGCANYNServe errSan Jose St.·
329-23GCANYNGCANYNAceGrand Canyon·
3310-23GCANYNSJSUServe errGrand Canyon·
3410-24SJSUGCANYNAttack errLolo Fonua·
3510-25GCANYNGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Nika Zupanic·
Set 2
10-1SJSUGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Taylor Kubacak+0.5
21-1GCANYNSJSUServe errGrand Canyon+0.6
31-2SJSUGCANYN×10KillStarr Williamsset Nika Zupanic+0.5
41-3GCANYNGCANYN×10KillStarr Williams+0.7
51-4GCANYN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
61-5GCANYNGCANYN×10KillStarr Williams+0.5
71-6GCANYN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
81-7GCANYNGCANYN×10KillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+0.3
91-8GCANYN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
101-9GCANYNGCANYN×10KillStarr Williamsset Fatimah Hall+0.2
11–142-12SJSU · GCANYN 3
NCAA feed gap4 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
152-13GCANYNGCANYNAttack errLolo Fonua·
163-13GCANYNSJSU×4Attack errKatie Schulz·
174-13SJSUSJSU×4KillMorgan Graves·
185-13SJSUSJSU×4Attack errKatie Schulz+0.1
196-13SJSUSJSU×4Attack errKatie Schulz+0.1
206-14SJSUGCANYNKillAubrey Bellus+0.1
216-15GCANYNGCANYNBlockedLearden Leeblk Macey Hughes, Aubrey Goodere+0.1
227-15GCANYNSJSUKillMorgan Graves·
237-16SJSUGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Bella Nunez+0.1
247-17GCANYNGCANYNAceGrand Canyon·
258-17GCANYNSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Hanna Darvas·
268-18SJSUGCANYN×4KillKatie Schulzset Taylor Kubacak·
278-19GCANYNGCANYN×4Attack errAva Hewitt·
288-20GCANYNGCANYN×4BlockedZuzana Kosikovablk Aubrey Goodere, Bella Nunez·
298-21GCANYNGCANYN×4KillStarr Williamsset Nika Zupanic·
309-21GCANYNSJSUServe errGrand Canyon·
319-22SJSUGCANYNBlockedDevon DeNecocheablk Aubrey Goodere, Milica Zigic·
3210-22GCANYNSJSUKillAva Hewittset Fatimah Hall·
3310-23SJSUGCANYN×3KillTaylor Kubacakset Naima Foster·
3410-24GCANYNGCANYN×3KillMilica Zigicset Nika Zupanic·
3510-25GCANYNGCANYN×3AceGrand Canyon·
Set 3
11-0GCANYNSJSU×3KillZuzana Kosikova+0.3
22-0SJSUSJSU×3BlockedStarr Williamsblk Ava Hewitt, Tatiana Robinson+0.5
33-0SJSUSJSU×3Attack errAubrey Goodere+0.5
43-1SJSUGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak+0.3
54-1GCANYNSJSUBlockedStarr Williamsblk Ava Hewitt, Tatiana Robinson+0.4
64-2SJSUGCANYN×4Attack errZuzana Kosikova+0.3
74-3GCANYN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
84-4GCANYNGCANYN×4KillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+0.4
9–105-5SJSU · GCANYN
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
116-5SJSUSJSUAceSan Jose St.aced Starr Williams+0.5
126-6SJSUGCANYNKillStarr Williams+0.3
137-6GCANYNSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Naima Foster+0.4
147-7SJSUGCANYNServe errSan Jose St.+0.3
15–168-8SJSU · GCANYN
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
178-9SJSUGCANYNAttack errMariana Buchanan+0.3
188-10GCANYN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
199-10GCANYNSJSUKillAva Hewittset Hanna Darvas+0.3
209-11SJSUGCANYNKillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+0.3
219-12GCANYNGCANYNAttack errTatiana Robinson+0.4
2210-12GCANYNSJSUServe errGrand Canyon+0.2
2310-13SJSUGCANYNKillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+0.3
2410-14GCANYNGCANYNAceGrand Canyon+0.3
2511-14GCANYNSJSUAttack errStarr Williams+0.2
2611-15SJSUGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak+0.2
2712-15GCANYNSJSUKillTatiana Robinsonset Fatimah Hall+0.2
2812-16SJSUGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+0.2
2913-16GCANYNSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Hanna Darvas+0.2
3013-17GCANYN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
3113-18GCANYNGCANYNKillKatie Schulz+0.2
3214-18GCANYNSJSUAttack errKatie Schulz+0.1
3314-19SJSUGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Bella Nunez+0.2
3415-19GCANYNSJSU×3KillAva Hewittset Hanna Darvas+0.1
3516-19SJSUSJSU×3Serve errSan Jose St.+0.2
3617-19SJSUSJSU×3BlockedKatie Schulzblk Ava Hewitt, Tatiana Robinson+0.4
3717-20SJSUGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Taylor Kubacak+0.3
3818-20GCANYNSJSUKillMariana Buchanan+0.3
3918-21SJSUGCANYN×3Attack errMariana Buchanan+0.4
4018-22GCANYNGCANYN×3Attack errTatiana Robinson+0.3
4118-23GCANYN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
4219-23GCANYNSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Fatimah Hall·
4319-24SJSUGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak+0.1
4420-24GCANYNSJSUKillZuzana Kosikovaset Learden Lee·
4520-25SJSUGCANYNAttack errMorgan Graves·

Score shown after each rally, San Jose St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).