Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Sacramento St. def. UC Irvine 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Sacramento St. 54.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 6:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Sacramento St. won at UC Irvine 3-1 (26-24, 22-25, 25-19, 25-19) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Sacramento St.'s Victoria Marthaler led with 21 kills, and Makenna Wiepert added 19 digs.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set1234Sets
SAC ST262225253
UC IRV242519191

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Sacramento St. needed all of Victoria Marthaler's 22 points to get by UC Irvine.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Sacramento St.'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Sacramento St. went in as RallyIQ's 54% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Sacramento St. 20–21 UC Irvine

    Sacramento St. scored 3 straight to turn a 20–21 deficit into a 23–21 lead. The match swung to Sacramento St.

    Sacramento St. 48% → 66%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 1 · Sacramento St. 23–23 UC Irvine

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Sacramento St., enough to take the set 26–24 and lead 1–0.

    Sacramento St. 55% → 72%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Sacramento St. 8–8 UC Irvine

    From 8–8, Sacramento St. scored 5 straight to lead 13–8.

    Sacramento St. 77% → 93%

UC Irvine above 50Sacramento St. belowMax swing 9.6%

Sacramento St.UC Irvine

Sideout %
Sacramento St. 61.4·UC Irvine 54.6
Break %
Sacramento St. 45.4·UC Irvine 38.6
Hitting
Sacramento St. .235·UC Irvine .137
Longest run
Sacramento St. 5·UC Irvine 6

Victoria Marthaler
21 kills on .206, 22 points; 4 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UC Irvine above 50 · Sacramento St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.6% SAC STrally 185 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.6% to Sacramento St. — set 1, SAC ST 26-24 UC IRV. Attack error by Madison Triplett. UC IRV win probability 38% → 28%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SAC ST 51.7%48.3% UC IRV

Sacramento St. wins

3-0
13.2%
3-1
19.5%
3-2
19.0%

UC Irvine wins

3-0
11.8%
3-1
18.0%
3-2
18.5%
SAC ST break %
44.3% vs this opp
UC IRV break %
43.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Madison TriplettAttack error+9.6%

    Attack error by Madison Triplett

    Set 1 · SAC ST 26-24 UC IRV · SAC ST 62% → 72%

  2. 02

    Kill by Victoria Marthaler (set by Makenna Wiepert)

    Set 1 · SAC ST 24-23 UC IRV · SAC ST 55% → 62%

  3. 03
    Sacramento St.Service error+7.8%

    Sacramento St. service error

    Set 1 · SAC ST 24-24 UC IRV · UC IRV 38% → 45%

  4. 04

    Kill by Victoria Marthaler (set by Makenna Wiepert)

    Set 1 · SAC ST 25-24 UC IRV · SAC ST 55% → 62%

  5. 05
    Taylor BoiceKill+7.4%

    Kill by Taylor Boice (set by Angelina Dellutri)

    Set 1 · SAC ST 23-23 UC IRV · UC IRV 38% → 45%

  6. 06
    Skyler GartinKill+6.4%

    Kill by Skyler Gartin (set by Makenna Wiepert)

    Set 1 · SAC ST 22-21 UC IRV · SAC ST 53% → 59%

  7. 07

    Ava Gronemeyer stuffed by Skyler Gartin & Victoria Marthaler

    Set 1 · SAC ST 23-21 UC IRV · SAC ST 59% → 66%

  8. 08
    Keonahi'ilani SolaitaAttack error+4.7%

    Attack error by Keonahi'ilani Solaita

    Set 1 · SAC ST 18-19 UC IRV · UC IRV 46% → 51%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421768.2060035102122
49018.50021230174.514.5
46313.231200000217
4215.2004131190010.55.5
43110.200002910003
4000–2021320000
47217.29400020052.59.5
48431.12900061010.58.5
4000–6211610002
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–100000000
4000–000000000
Team totals5618162.235546117361181098
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410319.36810050132.512.5
47420.15029107004210
49627.111000200009
46423.087000100428
45328.0711101000217
46526.038001301017
4438.125000000004
4307.42900000010.53.5
4218.125000000002
4001.00014201000002
4000–012000001
4000–3112460001
4001.000000200000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–001800000
4000–000000000
Team totals5229168.1374865726214987

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Sacramento St. vs UC Irvine

Season series · Sacramento St. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 SAC ST · UC IRV 6

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 3 SAC STUC IRV 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 5 SAC STUC IRV 6

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 SAC STUC IRV 3

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 5 SAC STUC IRV 4

Bars above the line = UC Irvine leads, below = Sacramento St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Sacramento St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%5/11
67%8/12
2
80%4/5
33%2/6
3
57%4/7
60%6/10
4
80%4/5
33%2/6
5
67%4/6
43%3/7
6
80%4/5
50%4/8
All
64%25/39
51%25/49

UC Irvine

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%5/11
43%3/7
2
50%4/8
38%3/8
3
67%4/6
50%4/8
4
44%4/9
0%0/4
5
100%4/4
33%2/6
6
27%3/11
33%2/6
All
49%24/49
36%14/39

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

185 rallies

#SAC ST-UC IRVSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UC IRVSAC STKillKeonahi'ilani Solaitaset Reese Ampi+1.9
21-1SAC STUC IRVKillAbby Pekrulset Nicole Feliciano+1.9
32-1UC IRVSAC ST×3Attack errTaylor Boiceset Nicole Feliciano+1.9
43-1SAC STSAC ST×3KillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+2.4
54-1SAC ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.3
64-2SAC STUC IRVKillAva Gronemeyerset Nicole Feliciano+1.7
75-2UC IRVSAC STKillMia Molnarset Makenna Wiepert+1.9
86-2SAC STSAC STAttack errNicole Feliciano+2.2
96-3SAC STUC IRVBlockedVictoria Marthalerblk Nicole Feliciano, Taylor Boice+1.6
107-3UC IRVSAC STServe errUC Irvine+1.8
117-4SAC STUC IRV×3Serve errSacramento St.+1.6
127-5UC IRVUC IRV×3KillAbby Pekrul+2.3
137-6UC IRVUC IRV×3AceUC Irvineaced Keonahi'ilani Solaita+2.5
148-6UC IRVSAC STServe errUC Irvine+2.2
158-7SAC STUC IRV×5Serve errSacramento St.+2.1
168-8UC IRVUC IRV×5KillKendra Macdonald+2.8
178-9UC IRVUC IRV×5AceUC Irvineaced Amy Ito+2.9
188-10UC IRVUC IRV×5KillAva Gronemeyerset Whitney Wallace+3.0
198-11UC IRVUC IRV×5Attack errVictoria Marthaler+2.9
209-11UC IRVSAC STKillNikola Gamlinset Makenna Wiepert+2.1
219-12SAC STUC IRVKillAva Gronemeyerset Nicole Feliciano+2.3
2210-12UC IRVSAC STKillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+2.1
2310-13SAC STUC IRVKillMemphis Burnett+2.4
2411-13UC IRVSAC STKillMia Molnarset Makenna Wiepert+2.2
2512-13SAC STSAC STKillMakenna Wiepertset Reese Ampi+3.1
2612-14SAC STUC IRVServe errSacramento St.+2.7
2713-14UC IRVSAC ST×3Attack errMemphis Burnettset Nicole Feliciano+2.5
2814-14SAC STSAC ST×3AceSacramento St.aced Whitney Wallace+3.5
2915-14SAC STSAC ST×3Attack errTaylor Boice+3.6
3015-15SAC STUC IRVKillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+2.9
3116-15UC IRVSAC STAttack errMemphis Burnettset Angelina Dellutri+3.1
3216-16SAC STUC IRVKillKendra Macdonaldset Angelina Dellutri+3.1
3317-16UC IRVSAC STKillVictoria Marthaler+3.2
3418-16SAC STSAC STAttack errKendra Macdonald+4.0
3518-17SAC STUC IRV×3Serve errSacramento St.+2.9
3618-18UC IRVUC IRV×3KillAbby Pekrulset Nicole Feliciano+4.3
3718-19UC IRVUC IRV×3Attack errKeonahi'ilani Solaita+4.7
3819-19UC IRVSAC STKillNikola Gamlinset Makenna Wiepert+3.7
3919-20SAC STUC IRVKillAva Gronemeyerset Nicole Feliciano+4.1
4020-20UC IRVSAC STAttack errAbby Pekrulset Nicole Feliciano+4.0
4120-21SAC STUC IRVKillMemphis Burnettset Nicole Feliciano+4.6
4221-21UC IRVSAC ST×3KillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+4.5
4322-21SAC STSAC ST×3KillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+6.4
4423-21SAC STSAC ST×3BlockedAva Gronemeyerblk Skyler Gartin, Victoria Marthaler+6.2
4523-22SAC STUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Nicole Feliciano+3.7
4623-23UC IRVUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+7.4
4724-23UC IRVSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+7.8
4824-24SAC STUC IRVServe errSacramento St.+7.8
4925-24UC IRVSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+7.8
5026-24SAC STSAC STAttack errMadison Triplett+9.6
Set 2
11-0SAC STSAC STKillKeonahi'ilani Solaitaset Makenna Wiepert+2.3
21-1SAC STUC IRVKillAbby Pekrulset Nicole Feliciano+1.8
32-1UC IRVSAC STServe errUC Irvine+1.8
42-2SAC STUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Nicole Feliciano+1.9
53-2UC IRVSAC STKillMia Molnarset Makenna Wiepert+1.9
63-3SAC STUC IRV×3Attack errNikola Gamlinset Victoria Marthaler+1.9
73-4UC IRVUC IRV×3KillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+2.5
83-5UC IRVUC IRV×3BlockedMia Molnarblk Taylor Boice, Madison Triplett+2.5
94-5UC IRVSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+1.9
104-6SAC STUC IRVServe errSacramento St.+2.0
114-7UC IRVUC IRVKillNicole Felicianoset Amy Ito+2.5
125-7UC IRVSAC STServe errUC Irvine+1.8
13–146-8SAC ST · UC IRV
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
156-9SAC STUC IRVAttack errNikola Gamlin+2.1
166-10UC IRVUC IRVKillMadison Triplettset Nicole Feliciano+2.4
177-10UC IRVSAC STKillKeonahi'ilani Solaitaset Reese Ampi+1.7
187-11SAC STUC IRV×6Serve errSacramento St.+2.0
197-12UC IRVUC IRV×6KillAva Gronemeyerset Nicole Feliciano+2.2
207-13UC IRVUC IRV×6BlockedVictoria Marthalerblk Memphis Burnett+1.8
217-14UC IRVUC IRV×6KillMemphis Burnettset Nicole Feliciano+1.5
227-15UC IRVUC IRV×6Attack errCharlee Lepp+1.1
237-16UC IRVUC IRV×6KillMemphis Burnettset Nicole Feliciano+0.7
248-16UC IRVSAC ST×5KillSkyler Gartinset Kaylee Piepho+0.4
259-16SAC STSAC ST×5KillMia Molnarset Makenna Wiepert+0.7
2610-16SAC ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.0
2711-16SAC STSAC ST×5BlockedMemphis Burnettblk Mia Molnar, Skyler Gartin+1.3
2812-16SAC STSAC ST×5KillCharlee Leppset Reese Ampi+1.7
2912-17SAC STUC IRVKillMemphis Burnettset Nicole Feliciano+1.8
3012-18UC IRVUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Nicole Feliciano+1.7
3113-18UC IRVSAC STAttack errAva Gronemeyerset Taylor Boice+0.9
3213-19SAC STUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Nicole Feliciano+1.3
3314-19UC IRVSAC STKillMia Molnarset Makenna Wiepert+0.9
3415-19SAC STSAC STBlockedNicole Felicianoblk Mia Molnar, Nikola Gamlin+1.6
3515-20SAC STUC IRVServe errSacramento St.+1.8
3616-20UC IRVSAC STAttack errNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+1.2
3717-20SAC STSAC STKillNikola Gamlin+2.1
3817-21SAC STUC IRVBlockedVictoria Marthalerblk Taylor Boice, Nicole Feliciano+2.4
3917-22UC IRVUC IRVKillMadison Triplettset Angelina Dellutri+2.0
4018-22UC IRVSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+0.8
4118-23SAC STUC IRVAttack errCharlee Leppset Madison Triplett+1.5
4219-23UC IRVSAC STAttack errAva Gronemeyerset Nicole Feliciano+0.6
4320-23SAC STSAC STKillCharlee Leppset Makenna Wiepert+1.4
4420-24SAC STUC IRVKillAva Gronemeyerset Nicole Feliciano+2.1
4521-24UC IRVSAC STKillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+0.7
4622-24SAC STSAC STAttack errAbby Pekrul+1.9
4722-25SAC STUC IRVKillAbby Pekrulset Nicole Feliciano+3.5
Set 3
10-1UC IRVUC IRV×3KillAva Gronemeyerset Nicole Feliciano+3.2
20-2UC IRVUC IRV×3AceUC Irvineaced Amy Ito+3.2
30-3UC IRVUC IRV×3KillAva Gronemeyer+3.2
41-3UC IRVSAC STAttack errAbby Pekrulset Nicole Feliciano+2.4
52-3SAC STSAC STAceSacramento St.aced Whitney Wallace+3.2
62-4SAC STUC IRVKillAva Gronemeyerset Nicole Feliciano+2.7
73-4UC IRVSAC ST×3BlockedAva Gronemeyerblk Skyler Gartin, Mia Molnar+2.6
84-4SAC STSAC ST×3KillVictoria Marthalerset Reese Ampi+3.4
95-4SAC STSAC ST×3Attack errMemphis Burnett+3.5
105-5SAC STUC IRVServe errSacramento St.+2.8
115-6UC IRVUC IRVAttack errVictoria Marthaler+3.6
126-6UC IRVSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Reese Ampi+2.9
136-7SAC STUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+3.0
147-7UC IRVSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+2.9
157-8SAC STUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+3.1
168-8UC IRVSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+3.0
178-9SAC STUC IRVBlockedCharlee Leppblk Nicole Feliciano, Abby Pekrul+3.1
189-9UC IRVSAC ST×4KillMakenna Wiepertset Amy Ito+3.1
1910-9SAC STSAC ST×4Attack errAva Gronemeyer+4.0
2011-9SAC STSAC ST×4AceSacramento St.aced Whitney Wallace+3.9
2112-9SAC STSAC ST×4BlockedAva Gronemeyerblk Skyler Gartin, Makenna Wiepert+3.7
2212-10SAC STUC IRVKillMadison Triplettset Nicole Feliciano+2.7
2313-10UC IRVSAC STKillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+3.1
2414-10SAC STSAC STKillCharlee Leppset Makenna Wiepert+3.4
2514-11SAC STUC IRVKillMemphis Burnettset Nicole Feliciano+2.3
2615-11UC IRVSAC ST×3KillMia Molnarset Makenna Wiepert+2.8
2716-11SAC STSAC ST×3KillMemphis Burnett+2.9
2817-11SAC STSAC ST×3Attack errMemphis Burnett+2.2
2917-12SAC STUC IRV×3KillBrianna Brewerset Nicole Feliciano+1.3
3017-13UC IRVUC IRV×3AceUC Irvineaced Victoria Marthaler+2.2
3117-14UC IRVUC IRV×3AceUC Irvineaced Reese Ampi+2.9
3218-14UC IRVSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+3.0
3318-15SAC STUC IRVKillNicole Felicianoset Whitney Wallace+2.3
3419-15UC IRVSAC ST×4KillMia Molnarset Makenna Wiepert+3.0
3520-15SAC STSAC ST×4KillNikola Gamlin+2.8
3621-15SAC STSAC ST×4KillVictoria Marthalerset Nikola Gamlin+1.8
3722-15SAC STSAC ST×4Attack errMadison Triplett+1.0
3822-16SAC STUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+0.3
3922-17UC IRVUC IRVBlockedVictoria Marthalerblk Nicole Feliciano, Abby Pekrul+0.8
4023-17UC IRVSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Nikola Gamlin+1.1
4123-18SAC STUC IRVKillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+0.4
4223-19UC IRVUC IRVBlockedNikola Gamlinblk Abby Pekrul, Madison Triplett+1.0
4324-19UC IRVSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+1.5
4425-19SAC STSAC STAceSacramento St.aced Whitney Wallace+0.5
Set 4
10-1SAC STUC IRVBlockedCharlee Leppblk Abby Pekrul, Lois Hansen+2.5
21-1UC IRVSAC STKillCharlee Leppset Makenna Wiepert+2.5
31-2SAC STUC IRVKillLois Hansenset Nicole Feliciano+2.5
41-3UC IRVUC IRVKillBrianna Brewerset Angelina Dellutri+3.2
52-3UC IRVSAC ST×3BlockedBrianna Brewerblk Mia Molnar, Skyler Gartin+2.4
63-3SAC STSAC ST×3KillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+3.2
74-3SAC STSAC ST×3Attack errNicole Feliciano+3.3
84-4SAC STUC IRVKillBrianna Brewerset Madison Triplett+2.6
95-4UC IRVSAC ST×3KillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+2.7
106-4SAC STSAC ST×3BlockedTaylor Boiceblk Victoria Marthaler, Nikola Gamlin+3.3
117-4SAC STSAC ST×3KillNikola Gamlinset Makenna Wiepert+3.1
127-5SAC STUC IRVKillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+2.4
137-6UC IRVUC IRVKillAbby Pekrul+3.3
148-6UC IRVSAC STKillNikola Gamlinset Makenna Wiepert+2.8
158-7SAC STUC IRVKillMadison Triplettset Angelina Dellutri+2.7
168-8UC IRVUC IRVAttack errVictoria Marthaler+3.6
179-8UC IRVSAC ST×5KillCharlee Leppset Makenna Wiepert+3.0
1810-8SAC STSAC ST×5KillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+3.7
1911-8SAC STSAC ST×5Attack errMadison Triplett+3.5
2012-8SAC STSAC ST×5KillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+3.1
2113-8SAC STSAC ST×5KillCharlee Leppset Makenna Wiepert+2.7
2213-9SAC STUC IRVKillMadison Triplettset Nicole Feliciano+1.8
2314-9UC IRVSAC STKillCharlee Leppset Skyler Gartin+2.2
2415-9SAC STSAC STBlockedAbby Pekrulblk Skyler Gartin+2.2
2515-10SAC STUC IRVKillLois Hansenset Nicole Feliciano+1.3
2616-10UC IRVSAC STBlockedBrianna Brewerblk Skyler Gartin, Charlee Lepp+1.7
2716-11SAC STUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Nicole Feliciano+1.3
2817-11UC IRVSAC STBlockedBrianna Brewerblk Skyler Gartin, Mia Molnar+1.7
2917-12SAC STUC IRVKillTaylor Boiceset Angelina Dellutri+1.2
3018-12UC IRVSAC STServe errUC Irvine+1.7
3118-13SAC STUC IRVAttack errMakenna Wiepertset Victoria Marthaler+1.1
3219-13UC IRVSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Amy Ito+1.6
3319-14SAC STUC IRVKillNicole Felicianoset Angelina Dellutri+1.0
3420-14UC IRVSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+1.5
3520-15SAC STUC IRVKillLois Hansenset Nicole Feliciano+0.9
3621-15UC IRVSAC ST×4KillVictoria Marthaler+1.4
3722-15SAC STSAC ST×4AceSacramento St.aced Whitney Wallace+0.9
3823-15SAC STSAC ST×4AceSacramento St.aced Whitney Wallace+0.4
3924-15SAC STSAC ST×4KillSkyler Gartinset Makenna Wiepert+0.1
4024-16SAC STUC IRV×4Serve errSacramento St.·
4124-17UC IRVUC IRV×4BlockedMia Molnarblk Taylor Boice·
4224-18UC IRVUC IRV×4AceUC Irvineaced Charlee Lepp+0.1
4324-19UC IRVUC IRV×4KillBrianna Brewerset Taylor Boice+0.2
4425-19UC IRVSAC STKillVictoria Marthalerset Makenna Wiepert+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Sacramento St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).