UC Irvine vs Sacramento State Prediction

ScheduledThu, Nov 5, 2026ESPN+

–:–

UC Irvine (9-14) at Sacramento St. (12-11), Thu, Nov 5, 2026, 9:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives Sacramento St. a 66% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Sacramento St. won 3-1 on Oct 10.

Data through Nov 3, 9:25 PM CT

Match prediction

UC IRV 33.6%66.4% SAC ST

UC Irvine wins

3-0

6.7%

3-1

12.0%

3-2

14.9%

Sacramento St. wins

3-0

20.9%

3-1

25.5%

3-2

20.0%

UC IRV break %: 42.5% vs this opp
SAC ST break %: 45.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.