NC State vs Wake Forest Volleyball: Wake Forest Wins 3-1

Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 25, 2026ACCNX

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: NC State 69.3% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 25, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Wake Forest beat visiting NC State 3-1 (21-25, 25-22, 25-21, 25-23) on Sun, Oct 25, 2026. Wake Forest's Lyla Stewart led with 14 kills, and Andrea Roman added 11 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 8:05 PM CT · final Oct 25

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
NC ST	25	22	21	23	1
WAKE	21	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

The upset: Wake Forest, a 31% pick, over NC State.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Wake Forest's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ had NC State at 69% before first serve.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · NC State 11–9 Wake Forest
Wake Forest's low point. Wake Forest then won 16 of the next 27 rallies and the set 25–22.
Wake Forest 14% → 35%
Turning point 2: Set 4 · NC State 18–15 Wake Forest
Wake Forest scored 5 straight to turn a 15–18 deficit into a 20–18 lead.
Wake Forest 50% → 82%
Turning point 3: Set 4 · NC State 22–22 Wake Forest
Wake Forest closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–23 and win the match 3–1.
Wake Forest 70% → >99%

Wake Forest above 50NC State belowMax swing 17.8%

NC StateWake Forest

Sideout %: NC State 57.9·Wake Forest 60.9
Break %: NC State 39.1·Wake Forest 42.1
Hitting: NC State .160·Wake Forest .161
Longest run: NC State 5·Wake Forest 6

Ryleigh Whitekettle
5 of her kills came in the stretches above. 12 K, .241, 14 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Wake Forest above 50 · NC State below

Biggest swing: 17.8% to Wake Forest — set 4, NC ST 23-25 WAKE. Attack error by Clara Vondran. WAKE win probability 82% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NC ST 63.5%36.5% WAKE

NC State wins

3-0

19.1%

3-1

24.3%

3-2

20.0%

Wake Forest wins

3-0

7.6%

3-1

13.2%

3-2

15.7%

NC ST break %: 43.1% vs this opp
WAKE break %: 40.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Clara VondranAttack error+17.8%
Attack error by Clara Vondran
Set 4 · NC ST 23-25 WAKE · WAKE 82% → 100%
02
NC StateService error+11.9%
NC State service error
Set 4 · NC ST 23-24 WAKE · WAKE 70% → 82%
03
Lyla StewartKill+9.5%
Kill by Lyla Stewart (set by Emma Keeping)
Set 4 · NC ST 22-23 WAKE · WAKE 70% → 79%
04
Jordan SmithKill+8.8%
Kill by Jordan Smith (set by Eva Long)
Set 4 · NC ST 23-23 WAKE · NC ST 21% → 30%
05
Britni SilverKill+8.3%
Kill by Britni Silver (set by Talia Francom)
Set 4 · NC ST 20-20 WAKE · NC ST 23% → 31%
06
Amina NdiayeKill+8.2%
Kill by Amina Ndiaye (set by Andrea Roman)
Set 4 · NC ST 18-20 WAKE · WAKE 74% → 82%
07
Zuzanna MaciejewiczBad set+8.0%
Bad set by Zuzanna Maciejewicz
Set 4 · NC ST 21-22 WAKE · WAKE 69% → 77%
08
Britni SilverAttack error+7.9%
Attack error by Britni Silver
Set 4 · NC ST 18-19 WAKE · WAKE 66% → 74%

Box score

Official NCAA box

NC Stateaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
42Britni SilverOH	4	13	12	53	.019	3	0	4	9	0	3	1.5	14.5
17Talia FrancomMB	4	7	1	19	.316	1	1	1	3	0	5	2.5	10.5
22Eva LongS	4	5	1	12	.333	43	0	2	14	0	1	0.5	5.5
31Elaisa VillarL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	4	10	0	0	0	0
7Kate KilpatrickL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	7	1	0	0	0
14Norah BuschMB	3	2	2	11	.000	0	0	1	2	0	3	1.5	3.5
3Clara VondranOH	4	14	5	34	.265	0	0	1	3	0	2	1	15
1Zuzanna MaciejewiczL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	3	3	12	0	0	0	3
4Sophia GroomMB	3	4	0	6	.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
12Makenna KowrenOPP	3	3	4	15	-.067	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
23Jordan SmithOPP	2	6	3	11	.273	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
27Rebecca RingOH	2	1	1	2	.000	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
11Laurna KerrL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		55	29	163	.160	53	4	16	61	1	16	8	91

Wake Foresthome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
21Lyla StewartOH	4	14	6	43	.186	1	0	3	9	1	0	1	0.5	14.5
10Catherine BurkeMB	4	4	2	13	.154	0	0	0	3	0	1	4	3	7
23Sanaa WilliamsMB	4	4	2	16	.125	0	0	1	1	0	0	4	2	6
8Emma KeepingS	4	1	0	2	.500	21	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
13Mattea SaundersL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	0	0
16Laiya EboOH	1	0	2	2	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Ryleigh WhitekettleOH	4	12	5	29	.241	0	0	0	4	0	0	4	2	14
11Sadie PoeckOH	4	9	4	22	.227	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	10.5
15Amina NdiayeOH	4	4	3	20	.050	1	0	0	10	1	0	0	0	4
18Becca BellowsS	4	0	0	2	.000	19	1	1	10	0	0	0	0	1
9Andrea RomanDS	4	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	11	1	0	0	0	0
1Dhru LalajiDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	24	149	.161	45	1	7	66	4	1	16	9	96

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

NC State vs Wake Forest

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Fri, Oct 23, 2026Wake Forest at NC State · NC State won 3-0Result →
Sun, Oct 25, 2026NC State at Wake Forest · Wake Forest won 3-1This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 NC ST · WAKE 6

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 5 NC STWAKE 6

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 2 NC STWAKE 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 NC STWAKE 6

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 3 NC STWAKE 5

Bars above the line = Wake Forest leads, below = NC State leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

NC State

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	70%7/10	56%9/16
2	88%7/8	13%1/8
3	44%7/16	30%3/10
4	64%7/11	22%2/9
5	47%7/15	46%6/13
6	60%6/10	46%6/13
All	59%41/70	39%27/69

Wake Forest

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%8/17	36%4/11
2	78%7/9	30%3/10
3	64%7/11	22%2/9
4	88%7/8	59%10/17
5	54%7/13	13%1/8
6	55%6/11	60%9/15
All	61%42/69	41%29/70

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

187 rallies

#	NC ST-WAKE	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NC ST	NC ST×5	Kill	Britni Silver	set Elaisa Villar	+2.1
2	2-0	NC ST	NC ST×5	Blocked	Laiya Ebo	blk Norah Busch, Britni Silver	+2.0
3	3-0	NC ST	NC ST×5	Attack err	Laiya Ebo		+1.9
4	4-0	NC ST	NC ST×5	Attack err	Lyla Stewart		+1.7
5	5-0	NC ST	NC ST×5	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+1.4
6	5-1	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Lyla Stewart	set Emma Keeping	+0.9
7	5-2	WAKE	WAKE	Kill	Lyla Stewart	set Emma Keeping	+1.6
8	6-2	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Norah Busch	set Eva Long	+1.2
9	6-3	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Sadie Poeck	set Emma Keeping	+1.2
10	7-3	WAKE	NC ST	Attack err	Lyla Stewart		+1.3
11	7-4	NC ST	WAKE	Blocked	Jordan Smith	blk Catherine Burke, Lyla Stewart	+1.2
12	8-4	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+1.3
13	8-5	NC ST	WAKE	Serve err	NC State		+1.2
14	8-6	WAKE	WAKE	Attack err	Jordan Smith		+2.0
15	9-6	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Jordan Smith	set Eva Long	+1.5
16	9-7	NC ST	WAKE	Serve err	NC State		+1.5
17	10-7	WAKE	NC ST×4	Attack err	Amina Ndiaye		+1.6
18	11-7	NC ST	NC ST×4	Attack err	Sadie Poeck		+1.9
19	12-7	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+1.6
20	13-7	NC ST	NC ST×4	Blocked	Amina Ndiaye	blk Norah Busch, Eva Long	+1.2
21	13-8	NC ST	WAKE	Serve err	NC State		+0.7
22	13-9	WAKE	WAKE	Attack err	Clara Vondran		+1.3
23	14-9	WAKE	NC ST	Attack err	Lyla Stewart		+1.1
24	14-10	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Sadie Poeck	set Emma Keeping	+0.9
25	15-10	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+1.2
26	15-11	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Lyla Stewart	set Emma Keeping	+0.9
27	16-11	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+1.2
28	16-12	NC ST	WAKE×6	Kill	Catherine Burke	set Becca Bellows	+0.9
29	16-13	WAKE	WAKE×6	Attack err	Jordan Smith		+1.7
30	16-14	WAKE	WAKE×6	Kill	Lyla Stewart	set Becca Bellows	+2.3
31	16-15	WAKE	WAKE×6	Kill	Amina Ndiaye	set Becca Bellows	+2.9
32	16-16	WAKE	WAKE×6	Attack err	Rebecca Ring		+3.5
33	16-17	WAKE	WAKE×6	Attack err	Britni Silver		+4.0
34	17-17	WAKE	NC ST	Blocked	Ryleigh Whitekettle	blk Talia Francom, Britni Silver	+2.8
35	17-18	NC ST	WAKE	Serve err	NC State		+3.1
36	18-18	WAKE	NC ST×3	Attack err	Ryleigh Whitekettle		+3.0
37	19-18	NC ST	NC ST×3	Ace	Zuzanna Maciejewicz	aced Amina Ndiaye	+4.3
38	20-18	NC ST	NC ST×3	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Zuzanna Maciejewicz	+4.0
39	20-19	NC ST	WAKE	Serve err	Zuzanna Maciejewicz		+2.6
40	21-19	WAKE	NC ST	Blocked	Amina Ndiaye	blk Norah Busch, Makenna Kowren	+3.1
41	21-20	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Sadie Poeck	set Emma Keeping	+2.7
42	21-21	WAKE	WAKE	Kill	Lyla Stewart	set Emma Keeping	+5.1
43	22-21	WAKE	NC ST×4	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+4.2
44	23-21	NC ST	NC ST×4	Attack err	Sanaa Williams		+5.4
45	24-21	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Norah Busch	set Eva Long	+3.6
46	25-21	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Eva Long	set Kate Kilpatrick	+1.3
Set 2
1	0-1	WAKE	WAKE	Attack err	Britni Silver		+1.9
2	1-1	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Eva Long	set Britni Silver	+1.3
3	1-2	NC ST	WAKE	Blocked	Britni Silver	blk Sadie Poeck, Sanaa Williams	+1.4
4	2-2	WAKE	NC ST	Serve err	Sanaa Williams		+1.4
5	2-3	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Sadie Poeck	set Emma Keeping	+1.5
6	3-3	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+1.4
7	3-4	NC ST	WAKE	Attack err	Clara Vondran		+1.5
8	4-4	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+1.4
9	5-4	NC ST	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Zuzanna Maciejewicz	+2.0
10	5-5	NC ST	WAKE	Attack err	Makenna Kowren		+1.5
11	6-5	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+1.4
12	7-5	NC ST	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+1.9
13	7-6	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Ryleigh Whitekettle	set Becca Bellows	+1.4
14	8-6	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Eva Long	set Britni Silver	+1.4
15	8-7	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Amina Ndiaye	set Emma Keeping	+1.4
16	9-7	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+1.4
17	9-8	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Sanaa Williams	set Emma Keeping	+1.4
18	9-9	WAKE	WAKE	Blocked	Britni Silver	blk Sadie Poeck, Catherine Burke	+2.2
19	10-9	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+1.6
20	11-9	NC ST	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver		+2.2
21	11-10	NC ST	WAKE×3	Kill	Sadie Poeck	set Emma Keeping	+1.5
22	11-11	WAKE	WAKE×3	Attack err	Britni Silver		+2.4
23	11-12	WAKE	WAKE×3	Attack err	Makenna Kowren		+2.6
24	12-12	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+1.8
25	13-12	NC ST	NC ST	Blocked	Catherine Burke	blk Clara Vondran, Talia Francom	+2.5
26	13-13	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Lyla Stewart	set Becca Bellows	+1.9
27	14-13	WAKE	NC ST	Serve err	Lyla Stewart		+1.9
28	14-14	NC ST	WAKE	Serve err	NC State		+2.0
29	15-14	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Makenna Kowren	set Eva Long	+2.0
30	15-15	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Ryleigh Whitekettle	set Becca Bellows	+2.1
31	15-16	WAKE	WAKE	Attack err	Norah Busch		+3.1
32	16-16	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Eva Long	set Britni Silver	+2.2
33	16-17	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Lyla Stewart	set Emma Keeping	+2.4
34	17-17	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+2.3
35	17-18	NC ST	WAKE	Serve err	NC State		+2.6
36	18-18	WAKE	NC ST	Attack err	Sadie Poeck		+2.5
37	18-19	NC ST	WAKE	Serve err	NC State		+2.8
38	19-19	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+2.7
39	20-19	NC ST	NC ST	Attack err	Ryleigh Whitekettle		+3.9
40	20-20	NC ST	WAKE×4	Kill	Catherine Burke	set Becca Bellows	+2.9
41	20-21	WAKE	WAKE×4	Kill	Ryleigh Whitekettle	set Britni Silver	+4.6
42	20-22	WAKE	WAKE×4	Blocked	Clara Vondran	blk Ryleigh Whitekettle, Catherine Burke	+4.8
43	20-23	WAKE	WAKE×4	Kill	Ryleigh Whitekettle	set Amina Ndiaye	+4.0
44	21-23	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+1.6
45	21-24	NC ST	WAKE	Blocked	Norah Busch	blk Catherine Burke, Ryleigh Whitekettle	+3.0
46	22-24	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Makenna Kowren	set Eva Long	+1.1
47	22-25	NC ST	WAKE	Serve err	NC State		+2.8
Set 3
1	0-1	NC ST	WAKE	Serve err	NC State		+2.3
2	1-1	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+2.2
3	2-1	NC ST	NC ST	Attack err	Sadie Poeck		+3.1
4	2-2	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Sadie Poeck	set Emma Keeping	+2.3
5	3-2	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+2.2
6	4-2	NC ST	NC ST	Bad set	Emma Keeping		+3.0
7	4-3	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Lyla Stewart	set Emma Keeping	+2.2
8	5-3	WAKE	NC ST	Serve err	Becca Bellows		+2.2
9	5-4	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Lyla Stewart	set Becca Bellows	+2.2
10	6-4	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Sophia Groom	set Eva Long	+2.2
11	6-5	NC ST	WAKE×4	Kill	Catherine Burke	set Becca Bellows	+2.3
12	6-6	WAKE	WAKE×4	Kill	Ryleigh Whitekettle	set Becca Bellows	+3.4
13	6-7	WAKE	WAKE×4	Attack err	Britni Silver		+3.7
14	6-8	WAKE	WAKE×4	Blocked	Britni Silver	blk Sanaa Williams, Ryleigh Whitekettle	+3.9
15	7-8	WAKE	NC ST	Blocked	Ryleigh Whitekettle	blk Britni Silver, Talia Francom	+2.6
16	8-8	NC ST	NC ST	Attack err	Sanaa Williams		+3.7
17	8-9	NC ST	WAKE	Serve err	NC State		+2.9
18	9-9	WAKE	NC ST	Serve err	Emma Keeping		+2.8
19	9-10	NC ST	WAKE	Serve err	NC State		+3.0
20	9-11	WAKE	WAKE	Attack err	Makenna Kowren		+4.3
21	10-11	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+2.8
22	10-12	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Sadie Poeck	set Emma Keeping	+3.2
23	11-12	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+2.9
24	12-12	NC ST	NC ST	Attack err	Catherine Burke		+4.3
25	12-13	NC ST	WAKE×3	Kill	Sadie Poeck	set Emma Keeping	+3.4
26	12-14	WAKE	WAKE×3	Kill	Ryleigh Whitekettle	set Becca Bellows	+4.8
27	12-15	WAKE	WAKE×3	Bad set	Eva Long		+4.7
28	13-15	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+2.9
29	13-16	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Catherine Burke	set Becca Bellows	+3.6
30	14-16	WAKE	NC ST×4	Serve err	Lyla Stewart		+2.9
31	15-16	NC ST	NC ST×4	Ace	Zuzanna Maciejewicz	aced Lyla Stewart	+4.7
32	16-16	NC ST	NC ST×4	Kill	Talia Francom	set Zuzanna Maciejewicz	+5.1
33	17-16	NC ST	NC ST×4	Ace	Zuzanna Maciejewicz	aced Andrea Roman	+5.2
34	17-17	NC ST	WAKE×6	Attack err	Britni Silver		+3.9
35	17-18	WAKE	WAKE×6	Kill	Lyla Stewart	set Becca Bellows	+6.0
36	17-19	WAKE	WAKE×6	Attack err	Talia Francom		+6.2
37	17-20	WAKE	WAKE×6	Kill	Sanaa Williams		+5.7
38	17-21	WAKE	WAKE×6	Kill	Ryleigh Whitekettle	set Andrea Roman	+4.6
39	17-22	WAKE	WAKE×6	Attack err	Britni Silver		+3.1
40	18-22	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Eva Long	set Rebecca Ring	+1.1
41	19-22	NC ST	NC ST	Kill	Makenna Kowren	set Kate Kilpatrick	+2.6
42	19-23	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Ryleigh Whitekettle	set Becca Bellows	+3.2
43	19-24	WAKE	WAKE	Attack err	Makenna Kowren		+2.2
44	20-24	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Rebecca Ring	set Eva Long	+0.4
45	21-24	NC ST	NC ST	Attack err	Lyla Stewart		+1.2
46	21-25	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Amina Ndiaye	set Emma Keeping	+2.1
Set 4
1	1-0	WAKE	NC ST×3	Blocked	Lyla Stewart	blk Talia Francom, Jordan Smith	+2.6
2	2-0	NC ST	NC ST×3	Ace	Talia Francom	aced Mattea Saunders	+3.5
3	3-0	NC ST	NC ST×3	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+3.2
4	3-1	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Lyla Stewart	set Emma Keeping	+2.3
5	4-1	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Jordan Smith	set Eva Long	+2.4
6	5-1	NC ST	NC ST	Attack err	Lyla Stewart		+2.9
7	5-2		WAKE	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+2.0
8	6-2	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Sophia Groom	set Eva Long	+2.1
9	6-3	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Lyla Stewart	set Becca Bellows	+2.0
10	7-3	WAKE	NC ST	Serve err	Lyla Stewart		+2.2
11	7-4	NC ST	WAKE	Attack err	Britni Silver		+2.0
12	8-4	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+2.2
13	9-4	NC ST	NC ST	Kill	Jordan Smith	set Eva Long	+2.6
14	9-5	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Sanaa Williams	set Becca Bellows	+1.7
15	10-5	WAKE	NC ST×3	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+1.9
16	11-5	NC ST	NC ST×3	Blocked	Sadie Poeck	blk Clara Vondran, Talia Francom	+2.1
17	12-5	NC ST	NC ST×3	Kill	Jordan Smith	set Eva Long	+1.6
18	12-6	NC ST	WAKE×3	Kill	Sanaa Williams	set Emma Keeping	+0.9
19	12-7	WAKE	WAKE×3	Kill	Sadie Poeck	set Emma Keeping	+1.7
20	12-8	WAKE	WAKE×3	Blocked	Clara Vondran	blk Sadie Poeck, Sanaa Williams	+2.3
21	13-8	WAKE	NC ST	Serve err	Mattea Saunders		+2.0
22	13-9	NC ST	WAKE	Serve err	NC State		+1.6
23	13-10	WAKE	WAKE	Kill	Lyla Stewart	set Sadie Poeck	+2.9
24	14-10	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Clara Vondran	set Eva Long	+2.5
25	14-11	NC ST	WAKE×4	Kill	Emma Keeping	set Lyla Stewart	+2.2
26	14-12	WAKE	WAKE×4	Blocked	Eva Long	blk Catherine Burke	+3.8
27	14-13	WAKE	WAKE×4	Ace	Becca Bellows	aced Kate Kilpatrick	+4.7
28	14-14	WAKE	WAKE×4	Kill	Ryleigh Whitekettle	set Becca Bellows	+5.5
29	15-14	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Sophia Groom	set Eva Long	+4.1
30	15-15	NC ST	WAKE	Serve err	NC State		+4.3
31	16-15	WAKE	NC ST×3	Kill	Sophia Groom	set Eva Long	+4.3
32	17-15	NC ST	NC ST×3	Attack err	Ryleigh Whitekettle		+5.7
33	18-15	NC ST	NC ST×3	Kill	Britni Silver	set Eva Long	+4.9
34	18-16	NC ST	WAKE×5	Kill	Ryleigh Whitekettle	set Becca Bellows	+3.0
35	18-17	WAKE	WAKE×5	Kill	Ryleigh Whitekettle	set Eva Long	+5.5
36	18-18	WAKE	WAKE×5	Blocked	Britni Silver	blk Ryleigh Whitekettle, Sanaa Williams	+6.9
37	18-19	WAKE	WAKE×5	Attack err	Britni Silver		+7.9
38	18-20	WAKE	WAKE×5	Kill	Amina Ndiaye	set Andrea Roman	+8.2
39	19-20	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+5.0
40	20-20	NC ST	NC ST	Kill	Britni Silver	set Talia Francom	+8.3
41	20-21	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Ryleigh Whitekettle	set Becca Bellows	+7.0
42	21-21	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Talia Francom	set Eva Long	+6.6
43	21-22	NC ST	WAKE	Bad set	Zuzanna Maciejewicz		+8.0
44	22-22	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Jordan Smith	set Eva Long	+7.5
45	22-23	NC ST	WAKE	Kill	Lyla Stewart	set Emma Keeping	+9.5
46	23-23	WAKE	NC ST	Kill	Jordan Smith	set Eva Long	+8.8
47	23-24	NC ST	WAKE	Serve err	NC State		+11.9
48	23-25	WAKE	WAKE	Attack err	Clara Vondran		+17.8

Score shown after each rally, NC State first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Wake Forest def. NC State 3–1

The upset: Wake Forest, a 31% pick, over NC State.