FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayMEC

0:3

HomeASUN

West Florida def. Wheeling 3–0

(25-10, 25-15, 25-19)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
WHEELJ	10	15	19	0
W FLA	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

W FLA above 50 · WHEELJ below

Biggest swing: 0.1% to Wheeling — set 2, WHEELJ 11-10 W FLA. Delaney Hanowell stuffed by Tatum Creps & Faith Keifer. W FLA win probability 100% → 100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

WHEELJ 0.3%99.7% W FLA

Wheeling wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.2%

West Florida wins

3-0

83.9%

3-1

14.3%

3-2

1.5%

WHEELJ break %: 34.5% vs this opp
W FLA break %: 56.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Delaney HanowellAttack error+0.1%
Delaney Hanowell stuffed by Tatum Creps & Faith Keifer
Set 2 · WHEELJ 11-10 W FLA · WHEELJ 0% → 0%
02
Jenna PenceKill+0.1%
Kill by Jenna Pence (set by Faith Keifer)
Set 1 · WHEELJ 3-2 W FLA · WHEELJ 0% → 0%
03
WHEELJ serverAce+0.0%
Wheeling ace on Gabi Moulton
Set 2 · WHEELJ 10-10 W FLA · WHEELJ 0% → 0%
04
Jenna PenceAttack error+0.0%
Jenna Pence stuffed by Kumara Flanagain & Delaney Hanowell
Set 2 · WHEELJ 11-12 W FLA · W FLA 100% → 100%
05
Tatum CrepsAttack error+0.0%
Tatum Creps stuffed by Delaney Hanowell & Emily Breazeale
Set 2 · WHEELJ 11-11 W FLA · W FLA 100% → 100%
06
Ava DickersonAttack error+0.0%
Attack error by Ava Dickerson
Set 1 · WHEELJ 3-4 W FLA · W FLA 100% → 100%
07
Talya SampsonKill+0.0%
Kill by Talya Sampson (set by Gabi Moulton)
Set 1 · WHEELJ 3-3 W FLA · W FLA 100% → 100%
08
Emily BreazealeAttack error+0.0%
Attack error by Emily Breazeale
Set 2 · WHEELJ 2-0 W FLA · WHEELJ 0% → 0%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Wheelingaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
22Tatum CrepsOH	3	7	2	18	.278	1	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
18Ava DickersonMB	3	2	3	9	-.111	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	3.5
25Jenna PenceOH	3	1	3	12	-.167	0	1	2	3	2	1	0.5	2.5
23Emma ManserMB	3	1	1	7	.000	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	2
9Brooklyn BrennanS	3	0	0	2	.000	6	0	0	7	0	0	0	0
8Olivia BatchOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
3Faith KeiferS	3	0	0	2	.000	10	2	1	7	0	1	0.5	2.5
24Ava GreenOH	3	2	3	15	-.067	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2
12Bella DeBarrOH	3	0	1	1	-1.000	0	1	0	5	1	0	0	1
1Jade JasenovskyDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	0	3	0	0	0
13Kendall KupperL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	0
26Josie SchroderOH	2	4	3	13	.077	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	4.5
5Carmen MuzingoOH	1	1	0	5	.200	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
21Kamryn YanniS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		18	16	84	.024	18	4	6	33	9	12	6	44

West Floridahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
20Talya SampsonOH	3	11	5	18	.333	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	11
18Kumara FlanagainOH	3	9	1	21	.381	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
1Emily BreazealeOH	3	8	1	14	.500	0	0	1	8	1	0	3	1.5	9.5
7Delaney HanowellMB	3	5	3	11	.182	0	1	1	1	0	2	3	3.5	9.5
11Aniston CochranMB	3	4	0	9	.444	0	0	1	1	0	1	3	2.5	6.5
12Gabi MoultonS	3	4	2	14	.143	20	0	1	8	1	0	2	1	5
8Camryn BrooksL/DS	3	1	0	3	.333	1	2	0	3	0	0	0	0	3
6Madalyn MireL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	5	2	2	12	1	0	0	0	2
5Karyna WerleyS	3	1	0	2	.500	12	0	2	6	0	0	0	0	1
13Gracyn MarshallL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
2Madison JoynerL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
14Rowan KageL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		43	12	93	.333	39	9	8	44	4	3	12	9	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 WHEELJ · W FLA 7

Set 1

10-25

Longest run 2 WHEELJW FLA 7

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 3 WHEELJW FLA 6

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 WHEELJW FLA 4

Bars above the line = West Florida leads, below = Wheeling leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Wheeling

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	40%6/15	50%5/10
2	60%6/10	14%1/7
3	31%5/16	60%9/15
4	24%4/17	29%2/7
5	43%3/7	0%0/4
6	38%3/8	0%0/3
All	37%27/73	37%17/46

West Florida

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%6/10	69%9/13
2	75%6/8	57%8/14
3	43%6/14	45%5/11
4	80%4/5	75%12/16
5	100%4/4	67%8/12
6	60%3/5	57%4/7
All	63%29/46	63%46/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

119 rallies

Rally log

#	WHEELJ-W FLA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	WHEELJ	W FLA	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Madalyn Mire	+0.0
2	1-1	W FLA	WHEELJ	Kill	Tatum Creps	set Brooklyn Brennan	+0.0
3	1-2	WHEELJ	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
4	2-2	W FLA	WHEELJ	Attack err	Talya Sampson	blk Ava Dickerson, Tatum Creps	+0.0
5	3-2	WHEELJ	WHEELJ	Kill	Jenna Pence	set Faith Keifer	+0.1
6	3-3	WHEELJ	W FLA×6	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
7	3-4	W FLA	W FLA×6	Attack err	Ava Dickerson		+0.0
8	3-5	W FLA	W FLA×6	Kill	Gabi Moulton	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
9	3-6	W FLA	W FLA×6	Kill	Gabi Moulton	set Faith Keifer	+0.0
10	3-7	W FLA	W FLA×6	Attack err	Jenna Pence	blk Gabi Moulton, Aniston Cochran	+0.0
11	3-8	W FLA	W FLA×6	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
12	4-8	W FLA	WHEELJ	Serve err	W FLA server		+0.0
13	4-9	WHEELJ	W FLA×7	Serve err	WHEELJ server		+0.0
14	4-10	W FLA	W FLA×7	Kill	Camryn Brooks	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
15	4-11	W FLA	W FLA×7	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
16	4-12	W FLA	W FLA×7	Attack err	Ava Green	blk Gabi Moulton, Aniston Cochran	+0.0
17	4-13	W FLA	W FLA×7	Ace	W FLA server	aced Jenna Pence	+0.0
18	4-14	W FLA	W FLA×7	Kill	Aniston Cochran	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
19	4-15	W FLA	W FLA×7	Ace	W FLA server	aced Team	+0.0
20	5-15	W FLA	WHEELJ	Bad set	Karyna Werley		+0.0
21	5-16	WHEELJ	W FLA	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
22	5-17	W FLA	W FLA	Kill	Delaney Hanowell		+0.0
23	6-17	W FLA	WHEELJ	Kill	Carmen Muzingo	set Faith Keifer	+0.0
24	6-18	WHEELJ	W FLA×3	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
25	6-19	W FLA	W FLA×3	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Camryn Brooks	+0.0
26	6-20	W FLA	W FLA×3	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
27	7-20	W FLA	WHEELJ	Attack err	Delaney Hanowell		+0.0
28	7-21	WHEELJ	W FLA×3	Serve err	WHEELJ server		+0.0
29	7-22	W FLA	W FLA×3	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
30	7-23	W FLA	W FLA×3	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
31	8-23	W FLA	WHEELJ	Serve err	W FLA server		+0.0
32	8-24	WHEELJ	W FLA	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
33	9-24	W FLA	WHEELJ	Kill	Tatum Creps	set Brooklyn Brennan	+0.0
34	10-24	WHEELJ	WHEELJ	Attack err	Talya Sampson	blk Ava Dickerson, Carmen Muzingo	+0.0
35	10-25	WHEELJ	W FLA	Attack err	Jenna Pence		+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	W FLA	WHEELJ	Kill	Tatum Creps	set Brooklyn Brennan	+0.0
2	2-0	WHEELJ	WHEELJ	Attack err	Emily Breazeale		+0.0
3	2-1	WHEELJ	W FLA×3	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
4	2-2	W FLA	W FLA×3	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
5	2-3	W FLA	W FLA×3	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Kendall Kupper	+0.0
6	3-3	W FLA	WHEELJ	Kill	Tatum Creps	set Brooklyn Brennan	+0.0
7	4-3	WHEELJ	WHEELJ	Attack err	Talya Sampson		+0.0
8	4-4	WHEELJ	W FLA×4	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
9	4-5	W FLA	W FLA×4	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Madalyn Mire	+0.0
10	4-6	W FLA	W FLA×4	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
11	4-7	W FLA	W FLA×4	Ace	W FLA server	aced Bella DeBarr	+0.0
12	5-7	W FLA	WHEELJ	Serve err	W FLA server		+0.0
13	6-7	WHEELJ	WHEELJ	Ace	WHEELJ server	aced Madalyn Mire	+0.0
14	6-8	WHEELJ	W FLA	Kill	Aniston Cochran	set Talya Sampson	+0.0
15	7-8	W FLA	WHEELJ	Kill	Josie Schroder	set Faith Keifer	+0.0
16	7-9	WHEELJ	W FLA	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
17	8-9	W FLA	WHEELJ	Kill	Josie Schroder	set Faith Keifer	+0.0
18	8-10	WHEELJ	W FLA	Kill	Gabi Moulton	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
19	9-10	W FLA	WHEELJ×3	Serve err	W FLA server		+0.0
20	10-10	WHEELJ	WHEELJ×3	Ace	WHEELJ server	aced Gabi Moulton	+0.0
21	11-10	WHEELJ	WHEELJ×3	Attack err	Delaney Hanowell	blk Tatum Creps, Faith Keifer	+0.1
22	11-11	WHEELJ	W FLA×5	Attack err	Tatum Creps	blk Delaney Hanowell, Emily Breazeale	+0.0
23	11-12	W FLA	W FLA×5	Attack err	Jenna Pence	blk Kumara Flanagain, Delaney Hanowell	+0.0
24	11-13	W FLA	W FLA×5	Attack err	Emma Manser	blk Delaney Hanowell	+0.0
25	11-14	W FLA	W FLA×5	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Madalyn Mire	+0.0
26	11-15	W FLA	W FLA×5	Attack err	Tatum Creps		+0.0
27	12-15	W FLA	WHEELJ	Attack err	Kumara Flanagain	blk Jenna Pence, Emma Manser	+0.0
28	12-16	WHEELJ	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
29	12-17	W FLA	W FLA	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
30	13-17	W FLA	WHEELJ	Bad set	Gabi Moulton		+0.0
31	14-17	WHEELJ	WHEELJ	Kill	Josie Schroder	set Faith Keifer	+0.0
32	14-18	WHEELJ	W FLA	Serve err	WHEELJ server		+0.0
33	14-19	W FLA	W FLA	Attack err	Ava Dickerson	blk Aniston Cochran	+0.0
34	15-19	W FLA	WHEELJ	Kill	Josie Schroder	set Faith Keifer	+0.0
35	15-20	WHEELJ	W FLA×6	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Madalyn Mire	+0.0
36	15-21	W FLA	W FLA×6	Attack err	Josie Schroder		+0.0
37	15-22	W FLA	W FLA×6	Attack err	Ava Dickerson		+0.0
38	15-23	W FLA	W FLA×6	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
39	15-24	W FLA	W FLA×6	Attack err	Ava Green		+0.0
40	15-25	W FLA	W FLA×6	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	WHEELJ	WHEELJ×3	Kill	Tatum Creps	set Jade Jasenovsky	+0.0
2	2-0	WHEELJ	WHEELJ×3	Attack err	Gabi Moulton	blk Tatum Creps, Emma Manser	+0.0
3	3-0	WHEELJ	WHEELJ×3	Attack err	Gabi Moulton		+0.0
4	3-1	WHEELJ	W FLA	Kill	Aniston Cochran	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
5	4-1	W FLA	WHEELJ	Kill	Tatum Creps	set Brooklyn Brennan	+0.0
6	4-2	WHEELJ	W FLA	Serve err	WHEELJ server		+0.0
7	4-3	W FLA	W FLA	Ace	W FLA server	aced Jenna Pence	+0.0
8	5-3	W FLA	WHEELJ×3	Serve err	W FLA server		+0.0
9	6-3	WHEELJ	WHEELJ×3	Ace	WHEELJ server	aced Emily Breazeale	+0.0
10	7-3	WHEELJ	WHEELJ×3	Kill	Ava Dickerson	set Faith Keifer	+0.0
11	7-4	WHEELJ	W FLA	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
12	7-5	W FLA	W FLA	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
13	8-5	W FLA	WHEELJ	Serve err	W FLA server		+0.0
14	9-5	WHEELJ	WHEELJ	Attack err	Delaney Hanowell		+0.0
15	9-6	WHEELJ	W FLA	Serve err	WHEELJ server		+0.0
16	10-6	W FLA	WHEELJ	Kill	Ava Green	set Faith Keifer	+0.0
17	10-7	WHEELJ	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
18	10-8	W FLA	W FLA	Ace	W FLA server	aced Ava Green	+0.0
19	11-8	W FLA	WHEELJ	Serve err	W FLA server		+0.0
20	11-9	WHEELJ	W FLA×4	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
21	11-10	W FLA	W FLA×4	Kill	Emily Breazeale		+0.0
22	11-11	W FLA	W FLA×4	Attack err	Josie Schroder	blk Aniston Cochran, Emily Breazeale	+0.0
23	11-12	W FLA	W FLA×4	Kill	Aniston Cochran	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
24	12-12	W FLA	WHEELJ	Serve err	W FLA server		+0.0
25	12-13	WHEELJ	W FLA×4	Kill	Gabi Moulton	set Karyna Werley	+0.0
26	12-14	W FLA	W FLA×4	Ace	W FLA server	aced Jade Jasenovsky	+0.0
27	12-15	W FLA	W FLA×4	Ace	W FLA server	aced Kendall Kupper	+0.0
28	12-16	W FLA	W FLA×4	Ace	W FLA server	aced Jade Jasenovsky	+0.0
29	13-16	W FLA	WHEELJ	Kill	Emma Manser	set Tatum Creps	+0.0
30	13-17	WHEELJ	W FLA	Kill	Karyna Werley	set Madalyn Mire	+0.0
31	14-17	W FLA	WHEELJ×4	Kill	Tatum Creps	set Brooklyn Brennan	+0.0
32	15-17	WHEELJ	WHEELJ×4	Ace	WHEELJ server	aced Madison Joyner	+0.0
33	16-17	WHEELJ	WHEELJ×4	Attack err	Talya Sampson		+0.0
34	17-17	WHEELJ	WHEELJ×4	Attack err	Talya Sampson	blk Ava Dickerson, Josie Schroder	+0.0
35	17-18	WHEELJ	W FLA	Attack err	Bella DeBarr	blk Delaney Hanowell	+0.0
36	17-19	W FLA	W FLA	Bad set	Faith Keifer		+0.0
37	18-19	W FLA	WHEELJ	Kill	Ava Dickerson	set Faith Keifer	+0.0
38	18-20	WHEELJ	W FLA×3	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
39	18-21	W FLA	W FLA×3	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Gabi Moulton	+0.0
40	18-22	W FLA	W FLA×3	Attack err	Josie Schroder	blk Delaney Hanowell, Emily Breazeale	+0.0
41	19-22	W FLA	WHEELJ	Kill	Ava Green	set Faith Keifer	+0.0
42	19-23	WHEELJ	W FLA×3	Serve err	WHEELJ server		+0.0
43	19-24	W FLA	W FLA×3	Ace	W FLA server	aced Jade Jasenovsky	+0.0
44	19-25	W FLA	W FLA×3	Attack err	Ava Green		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Wheeling first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.