Final · 5 setsSun, Oct 4, 2026Watch on ESPN+

FGCU def. West Florida 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: West Florida 58.5% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 4, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

FGCU beat visiting West Florida 3-2 (18-25, 25-23, 25-18, 17-25, 15-11) on Sun, Oct 4, 2026. FGCU's Julija Grubisic Cabo led with 14 kills, and Anna Marzella added 16 digs.

Data through · final Oct 4

Set12345Sets
W FLA25231825112
FGCU18252517153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

FGCU trailed 4–9 in the third and took that set, dropped the fourth, and won the match 3–2.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are FGCU's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. West Florida went in at 58% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · West Florida 11–10 FGCU

    7 straight FGCU points turned a 10–11 deficit into a 17–11 lead. The match swung to FGCU.

    FGCU 41% → 67%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · West Florida 0–0 FGCU

    FGCU opened the set with 6 straight points for a 6–0 lead. The match swung to FGCU.

    FGCU 45% → 91%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · West Florida 10–12 FGCU

    FGCU won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 15–11 and win the match 3–2.

    FGCU 81% → >99%

FGCU above 50West Florida belowMax swing 12.3%

West FloridaFGCU

Sideout %
West Florida 54.0·FGCU 52.9
Break %
West Florida 47.1·FGCU 46.0
Hitting
West Florida .135·FGCU .176
Longest run
West Florida 6·FGCU 7

Camila Soto
12 kills on .259, 14.5 points; 4 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

FGCU above 50 · West Florida below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+12.3% FGCUrally 202 · set 5

Biggest swing: 12.3% to FGCU — set 5, W FLA 9-12 FGCU. Kill by Julija Grubisic Cabo (set by Anna Marzella). FGCU win probability 74% → 87%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W FLA 49.6%50.4% FGCU

West Florida wins

3-0
12.3%
3-1
18.6%
3-2
18.7%

FGCU wins

3-0
12.7%
3-1
18.9%
3-2
18.8%
W FLA break %
42.9% vs this opp
FGCU break %
43.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Julija Grubisic Cabo (set by Anna Marzella)

    Set 5 · W FLA 9-12 FGCU · FGCU 74% → 87%

  2. 02
    Dinara SabitovaBad set+11.4%

    Bad set by Dinara Sabitova

    Set 5 · W FLA 9-10 FGCU · W FLA 25% → 36%

  3. 03
    Maju HildebrandKill+10.6%

    Kill by Maju Hildebrand (set by Dinara Sabitova)

    Set 5 · W FLA 9-11 FGCU · FGCU 64% → 74%

  4. 04
    West FloridaService error+9.7%

    West Florida service error

    Set 5 · W FLA 11-14 FGCU · FGCU 85% → 95%

  5. 05

    Kill by Maju Hildebrand (set by Anna Marzella)

    Set 5 · W FLA 10-13 FGCU · FGCU 81% → 90%

  6. 06

    Kill by Julija Grubisic Cabo (set by Eliska Vytiskova)

    Set 5 · W FLA 0-2 FGCU · FGCU 54% → 63%

  7. 07
    Gabi MoultonAttack error+8.8%

    Attack error by Gabi Moulton

    Set 5 · W FLA 0-1 FGCU · FGCU 45% → 54%

  8. 08
    FGCUAce+8.6%

    FGCU ace on Camryn Brooks

    Set 5 · W FLA 0-3 FGCU · FGCU 63% → 71%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
510328.25000040153.513.5
57418.167200001116.513.5
511327.2961006004213
54318.05603040233.510.5
56420.100231180031.58.5
52615-.267120160010.52.5
5000–034710003
5000–011310001
5000–1001310000
46517.05900001010.56.5
3205.400511300003
1000–000000000
Team totals4828148.135449854642818102
FGCUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514837.16201283010.515.5
511428.25000020031.512.5
56320.150200101439
58620.100004430219
52212.000000200846
5000–17001300000
512527.25900030052.514.5
5000–26341200003
5000–6111600001
5000–001100000
4209.22201112010.53.5
Team totals5528153.1765161363912413100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

West Florida vs FGCU

Season series · FGCU leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 W FLA · FGCU 7

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 6 W FLAFGCU 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 W FLAFGCU 4

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 W FLAFGCU 7

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 5 W FLAFGCU 2

Set 5

11-15

Longest run 3 W FLAFGCU 6

Bars above the line = FGCU leads, below = West Florida leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

West Florida

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%11/22
44%7/16
2
39%9/23
33%5/15
3
75%9/12
59%13/22
4
69%9/13
50%9/18
5
56%9/16
18%2/11
6
50%7/14
60%12/20
All
54%54/100
47%48/102

FGCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%12/18
57%13/23
2
47%9/19
52%11/21
3
41%9/22
31%4/13
4
69%9/13
31%4/13
5
67%8/12
47%8/17
6
39%7/18
46%6/13
All
53%54/102
46%46/100

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

202 rallies

#W FLA-FGCUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0FGCUW FLAAttack errJulija Grubisic Cabo+1.8
22-0W FLAW FLABlockedMaju Hildebrandblk Delaney Hanowell, Kumara Flanagain+2.4
32-1W FLAFGCU×4KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+1.7
42-2FGCUFGCU×4KillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+2.5
52-3FGCUFGCU×4BlockedGabi Moultonblk Amany Kuwa, Katie Gielas+2.6
62-4FGCUFGCU×4BlockedDelaney Hanowellblk Katie Gielas, Amany Kuwa+2.6
73-4FGCUW FLAAttack errKatie Gielas+1.8
83-5W FLAFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Camryn Brooks+2.0
94-5FGCUW FLA×5KillKumara Flanagainset Karyna Werley+1.9
105-5W FLAW FLA×5Attack errKatie Gielas+2.7
116-5W FLAW FLA×5Attack errKatie Gielas+2.7
127-5W FLAW FLA×5Bad setDinara Sabitova+2.7
138-5W FLAW FLA×5KillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley+2.5
148-6W FLAFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Anna Marzella+1.7
159-6FGCUW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Karyna Werley+1.9
169-7W FLAFGCU×3BlockedAniston Cochranblk Abby Toeniskoetter+1.7
179-8FGCUFGCU×3BlockedKaryna Werleyblk Camila Soto, Abby Toeniskoetter+2.7
189-9FGCUFGCU×3Bad setElizabeth Kwiatkowski+3.0
1910-9FGCUW FLAServe errFGCU+2.2
2010-10W FLAFGCUServe errWest Florida+2.2
2110-11FGCUFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+3.3
2211-11FGCUW FLA×4KillKaryna Werleyset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+2.3
2312-11W FLAW FLA×4KillKaryna Werleyset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+3.3
2413-11W FLAW FLA×4AceWest Floridaaced Katie Gielas+3.2
2514-11W FLAW FLA×4BlockedJulija Grubisic Caboblk Karyna Werley, Delaney Hanowell+2.9
2614-12W FLAFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+1.9
2715-12FGCUW FLAKillKaryna Werleyset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+2.2
2816-12W FLAW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Karyna Werley+2.6
2916-13W FLAFGCUServe errWest Florida+1.5
3017-13FGCUW FLA×6KillDelaney Hanowellset Karyna Werley+1.9
3118-13W FLAW FLA×6BlockedKatie Gielasblk Delaney Hanowell, Kumara Flanagain+2.0
3219-13W FLAW FLA×6AceWest Floridaaced Shay Heaney+1.4
3320-13W FLAW FLA×6KillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley+0.8
3421-13W FLAW FLA×6KillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley+0.4
3522-13W FLAW FLA×6BlockedMaju Hildebrandblk Emily Breazeale, Delaney Hanowell+0.2
3622-14W FLAFGCUServe errWest Florida·
3723-14FGCUW FLAKillKaryna Werleyset Emily Breazeale+0.1
3823-15W FLAFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova·
3924-15FGCUW FLAServe errFGCU·
4024-16W FLAFGCU×3Attack errAniston Cochran·
4124-17FGCUFGCU×3AceFGCU·
4224-18FGCUFGCU×3KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Eliska Vytiskova·
4325-18FGCUW FLABlockedJulija Grubisic Caboblk Karyna Werley, Aniston Cochran+0.1
Set 2
11-0W FLAW FLAKillGabi Moultonset Karyna Werley+2.2
21-1W FLAFGCUKillAmany Kuwaset Eliska Vytiskova+1.6
32-1FGCUW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley+1.7
43-1W FLAW FLABlockedCamila Sotoblk Emily Breazeale, Aniston Cochran+2.2
53-2W FLAFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Anna Marzella+1.6
64-2FGCUW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Karyna Werley+1.6
74-3W FLAFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Eliska Vytiskova+1.6
85-3FGCUW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+1.7
95-4W FLAFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Dinara Sabitova+1.7
106-4FGCUW FLAServe errFGCU+1.7
116-5W FLAFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+1.7
127-5FGCUW FLAServe errFGCU+1.8
138-5W FLAW FLAAttack errMaju Hildebrand+2.3
148-6W FLAFGCU×4KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+1.6
158-7FGCUFGCU×4BlockedKumara Flanagainblk Amany Kuwa, Camila Soto+2.4
168-8FGCUFGCU×4Attack errGabi Moulton+2.6
178-9FGCUFGCU×4KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Eliska Vytiskova+2.8
189-9FGCUW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Karyna Werley+2.0
1910-9W FLAW FLABlockedCamila Sotoblk Kumara Flanagain, Delaney Hanowell+2.8
2010-10W FLAFGCUAttack errEmily Breazeale+2.1
2111-10FGCUW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley+2.1
2212-10W FLAW FLAAttack errJulija Grubisic Cabo+2.8
2312-11W FLAFGCU×4KillShay Heaneyset Eliska Vytiskova+2.0
2412-12FGCUFGCU×4AceFGCUaced Madalyn Mire+3.0
2512-13FGCUFGCU×4Attack errKumara Flanagain+3.2
2612-14FGCUFGCU×4KillAbby Toeniskoetterset Eliska Vytiskova+3.3
2713-14FGCUW FLA×3KillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley+2.2
2814-14W FLAW FLA×3BlockedAbby Toeniskoetterblk Aniston Cochran+3.3
2915-14W FLAW FLA×3AceWest Floridaaced Shay Heaney+3.4
3015-15W FLAFGCU×3Serve errWest Florida+2.5
3115-16FGCUFGCU×3Bad setElizabeth Kwiatkowski+3.7
3215-17FGCUFGCU×3BlockedEmily Breazealeblk Abby Toeniskoetter, Shay Heaney+3.7
3316-17FGCUW FLABad setAnna Marzella+2.5
3417-17W FLAW FLAKillKaryna Werleyset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+3.8
3517-18W FLAFGCU×4BlockedGabi Moultonblk Abby Toeniskoetter, Maju Hildebrand+3.1
3617-19FGCUFGCU×4Attack errKaryna Werley+4.2
3717-20FGCUFGCU×4KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Abby Toeniskoetter+3.8
3817-21FGCUFGCU×4KillAbby Toeniskoetterset Dinara Sabitova+3.0
3918-21FGCUW FLAServe errFGCU+1.4
4018-22W FLAFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Abby Toeniskoetter+2.2
4118-23FGCUFGCUAttack errTalya Sampson+1.7
4219-23FGCUW FLA×3BlockedAmany Kuwablk Karyna Werley, Delaney Hanowell+0.5
4320-23W FLAW FLA×3BlockedJulija Grubisic Caboblk Delaney Hanowell, Kumara Flanagain+1.3
4421-23W FLAW FLA×3AceWest Floridaaced Julija Grubisic Cabo+2.4
4521-24W FLAFGCUBlockedDelaney Hanowellblk Maju Hildebrand, Amany Kuwa+3.3
4622-24FGCUW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Karyna Werley+1.3
4723-24W FLAW FLABlockedAmany Kuwablk Delaney Hanowell+4.0
4823-25W FLAFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Eliska Vytiskova+7.0
Set 3
11-0FGCUW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Delaney Hanowell+2.4
21-1W FLAFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Eliska Vytiskova+2.4
32-1FGCUW FLAServe errFGCU+2.4
42-2W FLAFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+2.5
53-2FGCUW FLA×3KillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley+2.5
64-2W FLAW FLA×3BlockedAbby Toeniskoetterblk Aniston Cochran+3.3
75-2W FLAW FLA×3KillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley+3.1
85-3W FLAFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+2.2
96-3FGCUW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Karyna Werley+2.3
106-4W FLAFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+2.2
117-4FGCUW FLA×3Serve errFGCU+2.4
128-4W FLAW FLA×3KillAniston Cochranset Gabi Moulton+3.0
139-4W FLAW FLA×3AceWest Florida+2.6
149-5W FLAFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+1.6
1510-5FGCUW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Gabi Moulton+1.9
1610-6W FLAFGCU×5KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+1.6
1710-7FGCUFGCU×5Attack errKaryna Werley+2.7
1810-8FGCUFGCU×5KillCamila Sotoset Anna Marzella+3.2
1910-9FGCUFGCU×5Attack errDelaney Hanowell+3.7
2010-10FGCUFGCU×5AceFGCU+4.1
2111-10FGCUW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Gabi Moulton+3.1
2211-11W FLAFGCU×7KillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+3.1
2311-12FGCUFGCU×7BlockedKumara Flanagainblk Camila Soto, Amany Kuwa+4.5
2411-13FGCUFGCU×7KillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+4.6
2511-14FGCUFGCU×7KillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+4.4
2611-15FGCUFGCU×7KillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+4.0
2711-16FGCUFGCU×7KillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+3.3
2811-17FGCUFGCU×7AceFGCUaced Madison Joyner+2.5
2912-17FGCUW FLAServe errFGCU+1.3
3013-17W FLAW FLAAceWest Floridaaced Julija Grubisic Cabo+2.4
3113-18W FLAFGCUAttack errDelaney Hanowell+2.4
3214-18FGCUW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley+1.7
3315-18W FLAW FLAKillKaryna Werleyset Camryn Brooks+3.2
3415-19W FLAFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+3.1
3515-20FGCUFGCUAttack errAniston Cochran+3.2
3616-20FGCUW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Karyna Werley+1.4
3716-21W FLAFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Dinara Sabitova+2.2
3816-22FGCUFGCUAttack errAniston Cochran+1.8
3917-22FGCUW FLAServe errFGCU+0.6
4018-22W FLAW FLAKillAniston Cochran+1.4
4118-23W FLAFGCU×3KillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+1.8
4218-24FGCUFGCU×3BlockedKaryna Werleyblk Julija Grubisic Cabo, Amany Kuwa+1.0
4318-25FGCUFGCU×3KillAmany Kuwa+0.2
Set 4
10-1W FLAFGCUAttack errTalya Sampson+2.7
21-1FGCUW FLAServe errFGCU+2.6
31-2W FLAFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Eliska Vytiskova+2.7
42-2FGCUW FLA×4Attack errJulija Grubisic Cabo+2.7
53-2W FLAW FLA×4AceWest Floridaaced Katie Gielas+3.7
64-2W FLAW FLA×4KillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley+3.6
75-2W FLAW FLA×4AceWest Floridaaced Julija Grubisic Cabo+3.4
85-3W FLAFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+2.3
95-4FGCUFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetter+3.6
106-4FGCUW FLAServe errFGCU+2.7
117-4W FLAW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+3.5
127-5W FLAFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+2.4
138-5FGCUW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Gabi Moulton+2.6
148-6W FLAFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+2.5
158-7FGCUFGCUAttack errTalya Sampson+3.8
169-7FGCUW FLA×5KillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+3.0
1710-7W FLAW FLA×5KillTalya Sampson+3.8
1811-7W FLAW FLA×5KillAniston Cochranset Gabi Moulton+3.4
1912-7W FLAW FLA×5Attack errAbby Toeniskoetter+2.9
2013-7W FLAW FLA×5KillTalya Sampsonset Gabi Moulton+2.3
2113-8W FLAFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+1.3
2214-8FGCUW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Gabi Moulton+1.7
2314-9W FLAFGCUAttack errGabi Moulton+1.3
2414-10FGCUFGCUAceFGCUaced Talya Sampson+2.3
2515-10FGCUW FLAKillGabi Moultonset Karyna Werley+2.1
2616-10W FLAW FLAAceWest Floridaaced Katie Gielas+2.2
2716-11W FLAFGCUServe errWest Florida+1.2
2816-12FGCUFGCUKillShay Heaneyset Eliska Vytiskova+2.2
2917-12FGCUW FLAAttack errCamila Soto+2.1
3018-12W FLAW FLABlockedCamila Sotoblk Emily Breazeale, Delaney Hanowell+2.1
3118-13W FLAFGCUBlockedEmily Breazealeblk Camila Soto, Amany Kuwa+1.0
3219-13FGCUW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Karyna Werley+1.5
3319-14W FLAFGCUServe errWest Florida+0.9
3420-14FGCUW FLABad setDinara Sabitova+1.4
3520-15W FLAFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+0.8
3621-15FGCUW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Gabi Moulton+1.3
3722-15W FLAW FLAAttack errKatie Gielas+0.9
3822-16W FLAFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+0.3
3923-16FGCUW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Gabi Moulton+0.5
4024-16W FLAW FLABlockedJulija Grubisic Caboblk Aniston Cochran, Gabi Moulton+0.2
4124-17W FLAFGCUBlockedTalya Sampsonblk Amany Kuwa, Maju Hildebrand·
4225-17FGCUW FLAServe errFGCU+1.2
Set 5
10-1FGCUFGCU×6Attack errGabi Moulton+8.8
20-2FGCUFGCU×6KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Eliska Vytiskova+8.9
30-3FGCUFGCU×6AceFGCUaced Camryn Brooks+8.6
40-4FGCUFGCU×6Attack errGabi Moulton+7.8
50-5FGCUFGCU×6KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Eliska Vytiskova+6.6
60-6FGCUFGCU×6BlockedTalya Sampsonblk Camila Soto, Abby Toeniskoetter+5.2
71-6FGCUW FLAServe errFGCU+2.7
81-7W FLAFGCUServe errWest Florida+3.8
92-7FGCUW FLAKillElizabeth Kwiatkowskiset Karyna Werley+2.5
103-7W FLAW FLAKillDelaney Hanowell+4.8
113-8W FLAFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+4.9
124-8FGCUW FLABlockedCamila Sotoblk Emily Breazeale, Delaney Hanowell+3.4
134-9W FLAFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+4.8
145-9FGCUW FLA×3BlockedKatie Gielasblk Delaney Hanowell, Kumara Flanagain+3.2
156-9W FLAW FLA×3KillKumara Flanagainset Delaney Hanowell+6.2
167-9W FLAW FLA×3BlockedMaju Hildebrandblk Talya Sampson, Delaney Hanowell+8.5
177-10W FLAFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+8.2
188-10FGCUW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Gabi Moulton+6.2
199-10W FLAW FLABad setDinara Sabitova+11.4
209-11W FLAFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+10.6
219-12FGCUFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Anna Marzella+12.3
2210-12FGCUW FLABlockedJulija Grubisic Caboblk Kumara Flanagain+5.9
2310-13W FLAFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Anna Marzella+9.4
2411-13FGCUW FLAKillElizabeth Kwiatkowskiset Karyna Werley+5.2
2511-14W FLAFGCUServe errWest Florida+9.7
2611-15FGCUFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Anna Marzella+5.2

Score shown after each rally, West Florida first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).