FinalFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

FGCU def. West Florida 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: West Florida 64.6% · upsetLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

FGCU won at West Florida 3-0 (28-26, 25-9, 25-9) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. FGCU's Maju Hildebrand led with 9 kills, and Anna Marzella added 13 digs.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set123Sets
FGCU2825253
W FLA26990

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Katie Gielas served 4 aces, and FGCU needed every one.

One stretch decided it. Percentages are FGCU's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ had West Florida at 65% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · FGCU 25–25 West Florida

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to FGCU, enough to take the set 28–26 and lead 1–0. The match swung to FGCU.

    FGCU 36% → 56%

West Florida above 50FGCU belowMax swing 10.4%

FGCUWest Florida

Sideout %
FGCU 71.7·West Florida 40.8
Break %
FGCU 59.2·West Florida 28.3
Hitting
FGCU .337·West Florida -.010
Longest run
FGCU 12·West Florida 3

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

West Florida above 50 · FGCU below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+10.4% FGCUrally 122 · set 3

Biggest swing: 10.4% to FGCU — set 1, FGCU 28-26 W FLA. Elizabeth Kwiatkowski stuffed by Julija Grubisic Cabo & Amany Kuwa. W FLA win probability 55% → 44%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FGCU 48.0%52.0% W FLA

FGCU wins

3-0
11.7%
3-1
17.9%
3-2
18.4%

West Florida wins

3-0
13.4%
3-1
19.6%
3-2
19.1%
FGCU break %
43.1% vs this opp
W FLA break %
43.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Elizabeth Kwiatkowski stuffed by Julija Grubisic Cabo & Amany Kuwa

    Set 1 · FGCU 28-26 W FLA · FGCU 45% → 56%

  2. 02
    Katie GielasKill+9.7%

    Kill by Katie Gielas

    Set 1 · FGCU 26-25 W FLA · FGCU 36% → 45%

  3. 03
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+9.2%

    Point West Florida (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 1 · FGCU 23-24 W FLA · W FLA 62% → 71%

  4. 04
    Camila SotoBlock+7.7%

    Emily Breazeale stuffed by Camila Soto

    Set 1 · FGCU 23-22 W FLA · FGCU 36% → 44%

  5. 05
    Talya SampsonKill+7.4%

    Kill by Talya Sampson (set by Gabi Moulton)

    Set 1 · FGCU 26-26 W FLA · W FLA 55% → 62%

  6. 06
    Camila SotoKill+7.4%

    Kill by Camila Soto

    Set 1 · FGCU 27-26 W FLA · FGCU 38% → 45%

  7. 07
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+6.9%

    Point FGCU (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 1 · FGCU 24-24 W FLA · FGCU 29% → 36%

  8. 08

    Kill by Elizabeth Kwiatkowski (set by Gabi Moulton)

    Set 1 · FGCU 24-25 W FLA · W FLA 64% → 71%

Box score

Official NCAA box

FGCUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38421.19000150031.59.5
39019.474000200009
35112.333210400428
34212.16700000031.55.5
3001.0001810210001
3000–000500000
3719.6670422102112
36213.308000101228
3000–1812800001
3000–0021300000
1102.500000000001
Team totals401089.3373877422114878
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
35311.182000002027
36526.038000120006
35523.000100200005
3239-.111000221013
31210-.100002100001
2428.2501000500004
3000–012710001
3000–212220001
3001.0001100900000
2014-.250000000000
2000–000300000
2000–000000000
1013-.333000000000
1022-1.000000000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals232497-.010242632730344

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

FGCU vs West Florida

Season series · FGCU leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 12 FGCU · W FLA 3

Set 1

28-26

Longest run 3 FGCUW FLA 3

Set 2

25-9

Longest run 12 FGCUW FLA 2

Set 3

25-9

Longest run 9 FGCUW FLA 2

Bars above the line = West Florida leads, below = FGCU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

FGCU

No clean sets to split.

West Florida

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

122 rallies

#FGCU-W FLASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0W FLAFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+1.8
21-1FGCUW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+1.7
32-1W FLAFGCUKillAmany Kuwaset Dinara Sabitova+1.8
43-1FGCUFGCUBlockedKumara Flanagainblk Katie Gielas, Abby Toeniskoetter+2.5
53-2FGCUW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+1.8
64-2W FLAFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Dinara Sabitova+1.9
74-3FGCUW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+1.8
85-3W FLAFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Eliska Vytiskova+2.0
95-4FGCUW FLAServe errFGCU+1.8
105-5W FLA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.5
116-5W FLAFGCUBlockedTalya Sampsonblk Abby Toeniskoetter, Camila Soto+2.0
126-6FGCUW FLAKillElizabeth Kwiatkowskiset Gabi Moulton+1.9
137-6W FLAFGCUServe errWest Florida+2.1
147-7W FLA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.0
158-7W FLAFGCU×3KillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+2.1
169-7FGCUFGCU×3KillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+2.9
1710-7FGCUFGCU×3Attack errDelaney Hanowell+2.9
1810-8FGCUW FLA×3Serve errFGCU+1.9
1910-9W FLAW FLA×3AceWest Floridaaced Katie Gielas+2.8
2010-10W FLAW FLA×3KillEmily Breazealeset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+2.9
2111-10W FLAFGCUServe errWest Florida+2.3
2212-10FGCUFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+3.2
2312-11FGCUW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+2.2
2412-12W FLAW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+3.1
2513-12W FLAFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+2.5
2613-13FGCUW FLAServe errFGCU+2.4
2714-13W FLAFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+2.6
2814-14FGCUW FLAAttack errAbby Toeniskoetter+2.5
2915-14W FLAFGCU×3KillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+2.8
3016-14FGCU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.8
3117-14FGCUFGCU×3KillAmany Kuwaset Eliska Vytiskova+3.6
3217-15FGCUW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Gabi Moulton+2.2
3318-15W FLAFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+2.8
3418-16FGCUW FLA×3KillElizabeth Kwiatkowski+2.3
3518-17W FLA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.7
3618-18W FLAW FLA×3KillDelaney Hanowellset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+4.2
3719-18W FLAFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+3.6
3820-18FGCUFGCUAttack errTalya Sampson+4.8
3920-19FGCUW FLAKillDelaney Hanowell+3.1
4021-19W FLAFGCUAttack errTalya Sampson+4.0
4121-20FGCUW FLA×3Serve errFGCU+3.2
4221-21W FLAW FLA×3KillKumara Flanagainset Madison Joyner+5.5
4321-22W FLAW FLA×3AceWest Floridaaced Dinara Sabitova+6.1
4422-22W FLAFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+4.5
4523-22FGCUFGCUBlockedEmily Breazealeblk Camila Soto+7.7
4623-23FGCUW FLAServe errFGCU+5.4
47–4824-24FGCU · W FLA
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.3
4924-25FGCUW FLAKillElizabeth Kwiatkowskiset Gabi Moulton+6.9
5025-25W FLAFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+6.9
5126-25FGCUFGCUKillKatie Gielas+9.7
5226-26FGCUW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Gabi Moulton+7.4
5327-26W FLAFGCUKillCamila Soto+7.4
5428-26FGCUFGCUBlockedElizabeth Kwiatkowskiblk Julija Grubisic Cabo, Amany Kuwa+10.4
Set 2
11-0FGCUFGCU×3AceFGCUaced Madison Joyner+2.8
2–33-0FGCU 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+5.8
43-1FGCUW FLAAttack errJulija Grubisic Cabo+2.0
54-1W FLAFGCUServe errWest Florida+2.2
65-1FGCUFGCUServe errFGCU+2.9
75-2FGCUW FLABad setDinara Sabitova+1.9
85-3W FLAW FLAAttack errKatie Gielas+2.8
96-3W FLAFGCUKillMaju Hildebrand+2.3
106-4FGCUW FLAAttack errMaju Hildebrand+2.1
117-4FGCU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.4
127-5FGCUW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+2.1
138-5W FLAFGCU×12Attack errTalya Sampson+2.4
149-5FGCUFGCU×12Attack errEmily Breazeale+3.1
1510-5FGCUFGCU×12AceFGCUaced Talya Sampson+2.8
1611-5FGCUFGCU×12KillAbby Toeniskoetterset Eliska Vytiskova+2.5
1712-5FGCU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.0
1813-5FGCUFGCU×12KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Eliska Vytiskova+1.6
1914-5FGCUFGCU×12AceFGCUaced Camryn Brooks+1.2
2015-5FGCUFGCU×12Attack errElizabeth Kwiatkowski+0.8
2116-5FGCUFGCU×12BlockedKennedy Plummerblk Camila Soto, Abby Toeniskoetter+0.5
2217-5FGCUFGCU×12KillAbby Toeniskoetter+0.3
2318-5FGCUFGCU×12AceFGCUaced Emily Breazeale+0.2
2419-5FGCUFGCU×12Attack errEmily Breazeale+0.1
2519-6FGCUW FLAAttack errCamila Soto·
2620-6FGCU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
2720-7FGCUW FLAKillKumara Flanagain·
2821-7W FLAFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Cabo·
2922-7FGCUFGCUAttack errEmily Breazeale·
3022-8FGCUW FLAAttack errJulija Grubisic Cabo·
3122-9W FLAW FLAAttack errAmany Kuwa·
3223-9W FLAFGCU×3KillMaju Hildebrand·
3324-9FGCUFGCU×3Attack errKumara Flanagain·
3425-9FGCUFGCU×3BlockedKumara Flanagainblk Katie Gielas, Amany Kuwa·
Set 3
11-0W FLAFGCUAttack errDelaney Hanowell+1.7
22-0FGCUFGCUKillAmany Kuwaset Dinara Sabitova+2.3
32-1FGCUW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Gabi Moulton+1.6
43-1W FLAFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+1.8
53-2FGCUW FLAAttack errEmily Breazeale+1.7
63-3W FLAW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Kumara Flanagain+2.3
74-3W FLAFGCU×4KillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+1.8
85-3FGCUFGCU×4Attack errEmily Breazeale+2.4
96-3FGCUFGCU×4AceFGCUaced Madison Joyner+2.4
107-3FGCUFGCU×4KillKatie Gielas+2.3
117-4W FLA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.5
128-4W FLAFGCU×3KillCamila Soto+1.8
139-4FGCUFGCU×3Attack errAniston Cochran+2.2
1410-4FGCUFGCU×3BlockedKumara Flanagainblk Abby Toeniskoetter, Julija Grubisic Cabo+1.9
1510-5FGCUW FLAServe errFGCU+1.2
1611-5W FLAFGCU×9Serve errWest Florida+1.5
1712-5FGCUFGCU×9Attack errJulija Grubisic Cabo+1.6
1813-5FGCU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.3
1914-5FGCUFGCU×9AceFGCUaced Talya Sampson+0.9
2015-5FGCUFGCU×9Attack errDelaney Hanowell+0.6
2116-5FGCU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
2217-5FGCUFGCU×9KillAmany Kuwaset Eliska Vytiskova+0.2
2318-5FGCUFGCU×9Attack errLibby Tulip+0.1
2419-5FGCUFGCU×9Attack errLiliana Gegovic+0.1
25–2620-6FGCU · W FLA
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
2721-6FGCUFGCUAttack errLibby Tulip·
2821-7FGCUW FLAServe errFGCU·
2921-8W FLAW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Gabi Moulton·
3022-8W FLAFGCUServe errWest Florida·
3123-8FGCUFGCUKillKatie Gielas·
3223-9FGCUW FLAKillEmily Breazeale·
3324-9W FLAFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova·
3425-9FGCUFGCUKillCatharina Scorzaset Dinara Sabitova·

Score shown after each rally, FGCU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).