FinalSun, Oct 18, 2026Watch on ESPN+

West Florida def. Lipscomb 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: West Florida 78.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 18, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

West Florida beat visiting Lipscomb 3-0 (25-23, 25-20, 25-23) on Sun, Oct 18, 2026. Kumara Flanagain led West Florida with 9 kills; Lipscomb's Anna Claire Brown had a match-high 12.

Data through · final Oct 18

Set123Sets
LIPSCO2320230
W FLA2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

All three sets were decided by five or fewer, and West Florida won each one, leading every phase.

Win probability never moved more than 6.6 points on one rally; Lipscomb topped out at 32% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had West Florida at 78%.

LipscombWest Florida
  • Longest run+0
    55

    5 straight West Florida points in the first set turned a 13–16 deficit into an 18–16 lead. That set ended 25–23.

West Florida above 50Lipscomb belowMax swing 6.6%

LipscombWest Florida

Hitting
Lipscomb .248·West Florida .274
Aces
Lipscomb 3·West Florida 6
Serve err
Lipscomb 10·West Florida 6
Blocks
Lipscomb 4·West Florida 52 BS · 4 BA vs 1 BS · 8 BA
Digs
Lipscomb 42·West Florida 44

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

West Florida above 50 · Lipscomb below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+6.6% W FLArally 141 · set 3

Biggest swing: 6.6% to West Florida — set 1, LIPSCO 23-25 W FLA. Kill by Kumara Flanagain. W FLA win probability 82% → 88%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LIPSCO 31.4%68.6% W FLA

Lipscomb wins

3-0
6.1%
3-1
11.1%
3-2
14.2%

West Florida wins

3-0
22.3%
3-1
26.3%
3-2
20.0%
LIPSCO break %
40.4% vs this opp
W FLA break %
44.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Kumara Flanagain

    Set 1 · LIPSCO 23-25 W FLA · W FLA 82% → 88%

  2. 02

    Sydney Strenger stuffed by Delaney Hanowell & Emily Breazeale

    Set 1 · LIPSCO 22-23 W FLA · W FLA 75% → 81%

  3. 03
    LipscombService error+5.6%

    Lipscomb service error

    Set 1 · LIPSCO 23-24 W FLA · W FLA 76% → 82%

  4. 04

    Kill by Madyson McCarthy

    Set 1 · LIPSCO 23-23 W FLA · LIPSCO 19% → 24%

  5. 05

    Kill by Anna Claire Brown (set by Kelsey Schenck)

    Set 1 · LIPSCO 20-18 W FLA · LIPSCO 27% → 32%

  6. 06

    Kill by Madyson McCarthy (set by Kelsey Schenck)

    Set 1 · LIPSCO 22-21 W FLA · LIPSCO 25% → 29%

  7. 07
    Kelsey SchenckBad set+4.2%

    Bad set by Kelsey Schenck

    Set 1 · LIPSCO 20-20 W FLA · W FLA 71% → 75%

  8. 08

    Kill by Anna Claire Brown (set by Grace Jones)

    Set 1 · LIPSCO 19-18 W FLA · LIPSCO 23% → 27%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310226.30810132111.511.5
38119.3680131002110
37515.133000000007
34322.04501131010.55.5
3103.33333121100002
3000–001100000
312424.3330025010113
3000–6001200000
3000–000630000
2000–000000000
Team totals4215109.2484031042624466
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39522.182100300009
38218.333000300219
38318.278101510219
37116.3752012500008
35112.333010001228
36118.278200200217
3012-.500010110001
3000–2111600001
3000–1411700001
3000–011210001
1000–000000000
Team totals4314106.274406644318575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Lipscomb vs West Florida

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 LIPSCO · W FLA 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 4 LIPSCOW FLA 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 2 LIPSCOW FLA 4

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 5 LIPSCOW FLA 4

Bars above the line = West Florida leads, below = Lipscomb leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Lipscomb

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%9/18
42%5/12
2
53%8/15
25%3/12
3
88%7/8
43%6/14
4
60%6/10
13%1/8
5
38%6/16
33%3/9
6
86%6/7
50%6/12
All
57%42/74
36%24/67

West Florida

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
43%6/14
2
56%9/16
40%6/15
3
88%7/8
42%5/12
4
75%6/8
33%3/9
5
50%6/12
57%8/14
6
75%6/8
40%4/10
All
64%43/67
43%32/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

141 rallies

#LIPSCO-W FLASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1W FLAW FLA×3KillKumara Flanagainset Karyna Werley+1.7
20-2W FLAW FLA×3KillDelaney Hanowellset Karyna Werley+1.6
30-3W FLAW FLA×3KillKumara Flanagainset Talya Sampson+1.4
41-3W FLALIPSCOKillMadyson McCarthyset Grace Jones+1.1
51-4LIPSCOW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Karyna Werley+1.1
62-4W FLALIPSCOBlockedKumara Flanagainblk Ella Durham, Sydney Strenger+1.1
73-4LIPSCOLIPSCOAceSydney Strengeraced Madalyn Mire+1.7
83-5LIPSCOW FLAAttack errElla Durham+1.3
94-5W FLALIPSCOKillBrooklyn Fuchsset Kelsey Schenck+1.3
104-6LIPSCOW FLAServe errLipscomb+1.3
114-7W FLAW FLABlockedAnna Claire Brownblk Aniston Cochran+1.6
125-7W FLALIPSCOKillAnna Claire Brownset Kelsey Schenck+1.2
136-7LIPSCOLIPSCOKillMadyson McCarthyset Grace Jones+1.8
146-8LIPSCOW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+1.4
157-8W FLALIPSCO×3Serve errEmily Breazeale+1.4
168-8LIPSCOLIPSCO×3KillSydney Strengerset Kelsey Schenck+2.2
179-8LIPSCOLIPSCO×3KillAnna Claire Brownset Kelsey Schenck+2.4
189-9LIPSCOW FLAKillKaryna Werleyset Talya Sampson+1.7
1910-9W FLALIPSCOKillAnna Claire Brownset Kelsey Schenck+1.9
2011-9LIPSCOLIPSCOBlockedKaryna Werleyblk Sydney Strenger, Madyson McCarthy+2.7
2111-10LIPSCOW FLAAttack errMadyson McCarthy+1.8
2212-10W FLALIPSCOKillMadyson McCarthyset Kelsey Schenck+2.1
2312-11LIPSCOW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Karyna Werley+1.9
2413-11W FLALIPSCOKillElla Durhamset Kelsey Schenck+2.2
2513-12LIPSCOW FLAServe errLipscomb+1.9
2614-12W FLALIPSCOKillBrooklyn Fuchsset Kelsey Schenck+2.3
2714-13LIPSCOW FLAServe errLipscomb+2.0
2815-13W FLALIPSCOAttack errEmily Breazeale+2.4
2916-13LIPSCOLIPSCOAttack errAniston Cochran+3.1
3016-14LIPSCOW FLA×5KillAniston Cochranset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+2.0
3116-15W FLAW FLA×5Attack errBrooklyn Fuchs+3.0
3216-16W FLAW FLA×5KillAniston Cochranset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+3.1
3316-17W FLAW FLA×5AceMadison Joyneraced Kenzie Kucks+3.1
3416-18W FLAW FLA×5Attack errBrooklyn Fuchs+2.9
3517-18W FLALIPSCO×4KillAnna Claire Brownset Grace Jones+2.0
3618-18LIPSCOLIPSCO×4KillAnna Claire Brownset Kelsey Schenck+3.4
3719-18LIPSCOLIPSCO×4KillAnna Claire Brownset Grace Jones+4.0
3820-18LIPSCOLIPSCO×4KillAnna Claire Brownset Kelsey Schenck+4.3
3920-19LIPSCOW FLAKillKaryna Werleyset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+2.7
4020-20W FLAW FLABad setKelsey Schenck+4.2
4121-20W FLALIPSCOKillSydney Strengerset Kelsey Schenck+3.7
4221-21LIPSCOW FLAServe errLipscomb+3.4
4322-21W FLALIPSCOKillMadyson McCarthyset Kelsey Schenck+4.2
4422-22LIPSCOW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Karyna Werley+3.9
4522-23W FLAW FLABlockedSydney Strengerblk Delaney Hanowell, Emily Breazeale+5.9
4623-23W FLALIPSCOKillMadyson McCarthy+4.4
4723-24LIPSCOW FLAServe errLipscomb+5.6
4823-25W FLAW FLAKillKumara Flanagain+6.6
Set 2
11-0LIPSCOLIPSCOAttack errKumara Flanagain+1.5
22-0LIPSCOLIPSCOAttack errEmily Breazeale+1.6
32-1LIPSCOW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Karyna Werley+1.1
43-1W FLALIPSCOKillBrooklyn Fuchsset Kelsey Schenck+1.2
54-1LIPSCOLIPSCOKillSydney Strengerset Grace Jones+1.7
64-2LIPSCOW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley+1.1
75-2W FLALIPSCOServe errCamryn Brooks+1.3
85-3LIPSCOW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Karyna Werley+1.2
96-3W FLALIPSCOAttack errMadalyn Mire+1.4
106-4LIPSCOW FLAServe errLipscomb+1.2
117-4W FLALIPSCOServe errMadison Joyner+1.4
128-4LIPSCOLIPSCOAttack errTalya Sampson+1.8
138-5LIPSCOW FLAServe errLipscomb+1.2
148-6W FLAW FLAAceAniston Cochranaced Madyson McCarthy+1.7
159-6W FLALIPSCOKillBrooklyn Fuchsset Kelsey Schenck+1.5
169-7LIPSCOW FLAAttack errAnna Claire Brown+1.3
1710-7W FLALIPSCOKillAnna Claire Brownset Kelsey Schenck+1.5
1811-7LIPSCOLIPSCOKillAnna Claire Brownset Kelsey Schenck+1.9
1911-8LIPSCOW FLA×3KillDelaney Hanowellset Karyna Werley+1.2
2011-9W FLAW FLA×3AceMadalyn Mireaced Kenzie Kucks+1.8
2111-10W FLAW FLA×3KillEmily Breazealeset Kumara Flanagain+1.9
2212-10W FLALIPSCOAttack errKumara Flanagain+1.6
2312-11LIPSCOW FLA×4KillKaryna Werleyset Emily Breazeale+1.5
2412-12W FLAW FLA×4KillKumara Flanagainset Karyna Werley+2.0
2512-13W FLAW FLA×4KillKumara Flanagain+1.9
2612-14W FLAW FLA×4AceCamryn Brooksaced Kenzie Kucks+1.8
2713-14W FLALIPSCOKillSydney Strengerset Kelsey Schenck+1.3
2813-15LIPSCOW FLAServe errLipscomb+1.4
2914-15W FLALIPSCOServe errElizabeth Kwiatkowski+1.4
3014-16LIPSCOW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+1.5
3114-17W FLAW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+1.7
3215-17W FLALIPSCOKillSydney Strengerset Kelsey Schenck+1.1
3315-18LIPSCOW FLA×3BlockedBrooklyn Fuchsblk Aniston Cochran, Talya Sampson+1.3
3415-19W FLAW FLA×3Attack errBrooklyn Fuchs+1.4
3515-20W FLAW FLA×3KillDelaney Hanowellset Karyna Werley+0.9
3616-20W FLALIPSCOKillElla Durhamset Kelsey Schenck+0.5
3717-20LIPSCOLIPSCOAceKelsey Schenckaced Madison Joyner+1.0
3817-21LIPSCOW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+1.0
3918-21W FLALIPSCOServe errKaryna Werley+0.7
4019-21LIPSCOLIPSCOKillAnna Claire Brownset Grace Jones+1.5
4119-22LIPSCOW FLABlockedAnna Claire Brownblk Delaney Hanowell, Talya Sampson+1.6
4219-23W FLAW FLAKillEmily Breazeale+1.3
4320-23W FLALIPSCOKillMadyson McCarthyset Kelsey Schenck+0.5
4420-24LIPSCOW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley+0.9
4520-25W FLAW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Camryn Brooks+0.3
Set 3
10-1W FLAW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Karyna Werley+0.7
20-2W FLAW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Karyna Werley+0.6
31-2W FLALIPSCOServe errKaryna Werley+0.5
41-3LIPSCOW FLAKillTalya Sampsonset Karyna Werley+0.5
52-3W FLALIPSCO×5Attack errKumara Flanagain+0.5
63-3LIPSCOLIPSCO×5KillBrooklyn Fuchs+0.7
74-3LIPSCOLIPSCO×5KillBrooklyn Fuchsset Kelsey Schenck+0.8
85-3LIPSCOLIPSCO×5BlockedDelaney Hanowellblk Madyson McCarthy+0.9
96-3LIPSCOLIPSCO×5AceElla Durhamaced Emily Breazeale+0.9
106-4LIPSCOW FLAServe errLipscomb+0.6
117-4W FLALIPSCOKillMadyson McCarthyset Kelsey Schenck+0.7
127-5LIPSCOW FLA×3KillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley+0.6
137-6W FLAW FLA×3Attack errMadyson McCarthy+0.9
147-7W FLAW FLA×3AceElizabeth Kwiatkowskiaced Madyson McCarthy+0.9
158-7W FLALIPSCOKillSydney Strengerset Kelsey Schenck+0.7
168-8LIPSCOW FLA×4KillKaryna Werleyset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+0.7
178-9W FLAW FLA×4Attack errElla Durham+0.9
188-10W FLAW FLA×4KillAniston Cochranset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+0.8
198-11W FLAW FLA×4KillTalya Sampsonset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+0.7
209-11W FLALIPSCOKillMadyson McCarthyset Kelsey Schenck+0.5
219-12LIPSCOW FLAKillAniston Cochranset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+0.5
2210-12W FLALIPSCOKillElla Durhamset Kelsey Schenck+0.5
2310-13LIPSCOW FLAKillKaryna Werleyset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+0.6
2410-14W FLAW FLAAceKaryna Werleyaced Ella Durham+0.6
2511-14W FLALIPSCOKillKelsey Schenckset Madyson McCarthy+0.4
2611-15LIPSCOW FLA×3KillTalya Sampsonset Karyna Werley+0.5
2711-16W FLAW FLA×3Attack errBrooklyn Fuchs+0.5
2811-17W FLAW FLA×3Attack errElla Durham+0.3
2912-17W FLALIPSCOKillBrooklyn Fuchsset Kelsey Schenck+0.2
3012-18LIPSCOW FLAKillEmily Breazealeset Karyna Werley+0.3
3113-18W FLALIPSCOKillMadyson McCarthyset Kelsey Schenck+0.2
3213-19LIPSCOW FLABlockedAnna Claire Brownblk Emily Breazeale, Aniston Cochran+0.2
3314-19W FLALIPSCOKillMadyson McCarthyset Kelsey Schenck+0.2
3414-20LIPSCOW FLAServe errLipscomb+0.2
3515-20W FLALIPSCOKillSydney Strengerset Kelsey Schenck+0.1
3615-21LIPSCOW FLAKillKaryna Werleyset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+0.2
3716-21W FLALIPSCOKillSydney Strengerset Kelsey Schenck+0.1
3816-22LIPSCOW FLAKillKaryna Werleyset Elizabeth Kwiatkowski+0.2
3917-22W FLALIPSCO×3KillElla Durhamset Kelsey Schenck+0.1
4018-22LIPSCOLIPSCO×3Attack errKumara Flanagain+0.2
4119-22LIPSCOLIPSCO×3KillAnna Claire Brownset Kelsey Schenck+0.4
4219-23LIPSCOW FLAKillDelaney Hanowellset Camryn Brooks+0.5
4320-23W FLALIPSCOBad setKaryna Werley+0.3
4421-23LIPSCOLIPSCOAttack errDelaney Hanowell+0.7
4521-24LIPSCOW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Karyna Werley+0.9
4622-24W FLALIPSCOKillAnna Claire Brownset Kelsey Schenck+0.4
4723-24LIPSCOLIPSCOBlockedEmily Breazealeblk Anna Claire Brown+1.2
4823-25LIPSCOW FLAKillKumara Flanagainset Karyna Werley+1.9

Score shown after each rally, Lipscomb first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).