West Florida vs Lipscomb Volleyball: Lipscomb Wins 3-0

FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: West Florida 61.5% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Lipscomb beat visiting West Florida 3-0 (25-11, 25-15, 25-23) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026.

Data through Nov 3, 10:20 PM CT · final Oct 30

Set	1	2	3	Sets
W FLA	11	15	23	0
LIPSCO	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Lipscomb held off West Florida.

The match turned twice. Numbers are Lipscomb's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. West Florida went in at 61% by RallyIQ.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · West Florida 2–0 Lipscomb
Lipscomb scored 9 straight to turn a 0–2 deficit into a 9–2 lead.
Lipscomb 54% → 77%
Turning point 2: Set 3 · West Florida 18–17 Lipscomb
5 straight Lipscomb points turned a 17–18 deficit into a 22–18 lead.
Lipscomb 80% → 98%

Lipscomb above 50West Florida belowMax swing 6.7%

West FloridaLipscomb

Sideout %: West Florida 52.1·Lipscomb 78.4
Break %: West Florida 21.6·Lipscomb 47.9
Hitting: West Florida .124·Lipscomb .337
Longest run: West Florida 2·Lipscomb 9

Ella Durham
3 of her kills came in the stretches above. 10 K, .219, 12 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Lipscomb above 50 · West Florida below

Biggest swing: 6.7% to Lipscomb — set 3, W FLA 23-25 LIPSCO. Kill by Sydney Strenger (set by Kelsey Schenck). LIPSCO win probability 93% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W FLA 54.2%45.8% LIPSCO

West Florida wins

3-0

14.3%

3-1

20.5%

3-2

19.4%

Lipscomb wins

3-0

10.8%

3-1

17.0%

3-2

18.0%

W FLA break %: 42.6% vs this opp
LIPSCO break %: 41.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Sydney StrengerKill+6.7%
Kill by Sydney Strenger (set by Kelsey Schenck)
Set 3 · W FLA 23-25 LIPSCO · LIPSCO 93% → 100%
02
Lexi GuinnKill+5.0%
Kill by Lexi Guinn (set by Grace Jones)
Set 3 · W FLA 22-24 LIPSCO · LIPSCO 91% → 96%
03
Talya SampsonAttack error+4.2%
Attack error by Talya Sampson
Set 3 · W FLA 18-20 LIPSCO · LIPSCO 87% → 91%
04
Ella DurhamKill+4.2%
Kill by Ella Durham (set by Kelsey Schenck)
Set 3 · W FLA 18-19 LIPSCO · LIPSCO 83% → 87%
05
Talya SampsonAce+4.1%
Ace by Talya Sampson on Grace Jones
Set 3 · W FLA 22-23 LIPSCO · W FLA 5% → 9%
06
Brooklyn FuchsKill+3.8%
Kill by Brooklyn Fuchs (set by Kelsey Schenck)
Set 3 · W FLA 18-21 LIPSCO · LIPSCO 91% → 95%
07
Sydney StrengerBlock+3.2%
Aniston Cochran stuffed by Sydney Strenger
Set 3 · W FLA 15-15 LIPSCO · LIPSCO 79% → 82%
08
Brooklyn FuchsKill+3.1%
Kill by Brooklyn Fuchs (set by Kelsey Schenck)
Set 3 · W FLA 20-23 LIPSCO · LIPSCO 94% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

West Floridaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
18Kumara FlanagainOH	3	11	3	26	.308	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
7Delaney HanowellMB	3	5	1	13	.308	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	6
20Talya SampsonOH	3	3	2	14	.071	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	4
11Aniston CochranMB	3	1	3	12	-.167	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
2Madison JoynerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	10	2	0	0	0
5Karyna WerleyS	1	0	2	5	-.400	3	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
1Emily BreazealeOH	3	6	1	13	.385	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	6
8Camryn BrooksL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	1	0	0	11	2	0	0	0
6Madalyn MireL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	0
12Gabi MoultonS	2	1	1	4	.000	18	0	1	7	0	0	0	1
9Elizabeth KwiatkowskiOH	2	0	0	0	–	6	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
17Libby TulipOH	1	1	3	6	-.333	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	1
10Kendra HowseMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
14Rowan KageL/DS	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	17	97	.124	29	1	6	42	7	3	1.5	49

Lipscombhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Sydney StrengerMB	3	10	2	19	.421	0	1	3	0	0	1	1	1.5	12.5
18Ella DurhamOH	3	10	3	32	.219	0	1	3	1	0	1	0	1	12
17Madyson McCarthyOH	3	4	2	12	.167	1	3	0	5	0	0	0	0	7
11Brooklyn FuchsMB	3	6	0	10	.600	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
10Kelsey SchenckS	3	2	0	5	.400	34	1	2	8	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
13Makenna KirlinS	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	10	0	0	0	0	1
7Anna Claire BrownOH	3	10	2	20	.400	2	1	1	8	0	1	1	1.5	12.5
15Grace JonesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	10	1	0	0	0	0
8Kenzie KucksL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
5Lexi GuinnOH	2	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
9Charlotte RouthMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	9	104	.337	42	7	9	45	1	3	4	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

West Florida vs Lipscomb

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Sun, Oct 18, 2026Lipscomb at West Florida · West Florida won 3-0Result →
Fri, Oct 30, 2026West Florida at Lipscomb · Lipscomb won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 2 W FLA · LIPSCO 9

Set 1

11-25

Longest run 2 W FLALIPSCO 6

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 2 W FLALIPSCO 9

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 2 W FLALIPSCO 5

Bars above the line = Lipscomb leads, below = West Florida leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

West Florida

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	70%7/10	22%2/9
2	39%7/18	30%3/10
3	54%7/13	22%2/9
4	43%6/14	22%2/9
5	86%6/7	14%1/7
6	45%5/11	14%1/7
All	52%38/73	22%11/51

Lipscomb

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	58%7/12
2	78%7/9	61%11/18
3	70%7/10	22%2/9
4	88%7/8	56%9/16
5	86%6/7	45%5/11
6	75%6/8	14%1/7
All	78%40/51	48%35/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

124 rallies

#	W FLA-LIPSCO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	W FLA	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Madison Joyner	+2.3
2	1-1	W FLA	LIPSCO	Serve err	West Florida		+1.8
3	2-1	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Karyna Werley	+1.8
4	3-1	W FLA	W FLA	Bad set	Makenna Kirlin		+2.3
5	3-2	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Kelsey Schenck	set Madyson McCarthy	+1.7
6	3-3	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Attack err	Kumara Flanagain		+2.5
7	4-3	LIPSCO	W FLA	Serve err	Lipscomb		+1.8
8	4-4	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.9
9	5-4	LIPSCO	W FLA	Serve err	Lipscomb		+1.9
10	5-5	W FLA	LIPSCO×4	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.9
11	5-6	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×4	Ace	Lipscomb	aced Emily Breazeale	+2.7
12	5-7	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×4	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Grace Jones	+2.8
13	5-8	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×4	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kelsey Schenck	+2.8
14	6-8	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Elizabeth Kwiatkowski	+1.8
15	6-9	W FLA	LIPSCO	Blocked	Emily Breazeale	blk Anna Claire Brown	+2.1
16	6-10	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kenzie Kucks	+2.7
17	7-10	LIPSCO	W FLA	Attack err	Madyson McCarthy		+1.7
18	7-11	W FLA	LIPSCO×6	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kelsey Schenck	+2.0
19	7-12	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×6	Kill	Madyson McCarthy	set Kelsey Schenck	+2.4
20	7-13	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×6	Kill	Kelsey Schenck	set Anna Claire Brown	+2.0
21	7-14	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×6	Ace	Lipscomb	aced Madalyn Mire	+1.6
22	7-15	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×6	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.2
23	7-16	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×6	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.8
24	8-16	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Camryn Brooks	+0.4
25	8-17	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Makenna Kirlin	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.5
26	8-18	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Attack err	Kumara Flanagain		+0.4
27	9-18	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Karyna Werley	+0.2
28	9-19	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.3
29	10-19	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Karyna Werley	+0.1
30	10-20	W FLA	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.2
31	10-21	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Attack err	Karyna Werley		+0.1
32	10-22	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Blocked	Karyna Werley	blk Brooklyn Fuchs, Anna Claire Brown	·
33	11-22	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Elizabeth Kwiatkowski	·
34	11-23	W FLA	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	·
35	11-24	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Madyson McCarthy	set Grace Jones	·
36	11-25	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	·
Set 2
1	1-0	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+2.0
2	2-0	W FLA	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+2.6
3	2-1	W FLA	LIPSCO×9	Serve err	West Florida		+1.9
4	2-2	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×9	Attack err	Libby Tulip		+2.7
5	2-3	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×9	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+2.9
6	2-4	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×9	Attack err	Libby Tulip		+3.0
7	2-5	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×9	Ace	Lipscomb	aced Camryn Brooks	+2.9
8	2-6	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×9	Attack err	Delaney Hanowell		+2.8
9	2-7	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×9	Ace	Lipscomb	aced Libby Tulip	+2.6
10	2-8	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×9	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+2.3
11	2-9	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×9	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+2.0
12	3-9	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Gabi Moulton	+1.1
13	3-10	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.4
14	4-10	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+1.1
15	5-10	W FLA	W FLA	Kill	Aniston Cochran	set Gabi Moulton	+1.9
16	5-11	W FLA	LIPSCO	Attack err	Libby Tulip		+1.7
17	6-11	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Libby Tulip	set Gabi Moulton	+1.3
18	6-12	W FLA	LIPSCO	Serve err	West Florida		+1.7
19	7-12	LIPSCO	W FLA	Serve err	Lipscomb		+1.3
20	7-13	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.7
21	8-13	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Gabi Moulton	+1.3
22	8-14	W FLA	LIPSCO	Serve err	West Florida		+1.7
23	9-14	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+1.3
24	9-15	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Madyson McCarthy	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.7
25	9-16	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.7
26	10-16	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+0.8
27	10-17	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.2
28	11-17	LIPSCO	W FLA	Serve err	Lipscomb		+0.8
29	11-18	W FLA	LIPSCO×4	Bad set	Aniston Cochran		+1.2
30	11-19	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×4	Kill	Ella Durham		+1.0
31	11-20	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×4	Attack err	Aniston Cochran		+0.5
32	11-21	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×4	Ace	Lipscomb	aced Madison Joyner	+0.3
33	12-21	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Gabi Moulton	+0.1
34	12-22	W FLA	LIPSCO	Attack err	Aniston Cochran		+0.1
35	13-22	LIPSCO	W FLA	Serve err	Lipscomb		·
36	13-23	W FLA	LIPSCO	Attack err	Rowan Kage		+0.1
37	14-23	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Gabi Moulton	·
38	15-23	W FLA	W FLA	Attack err	Sydney Strenger		+0.1
39	15-24	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.1
40	15-25	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Blocked	Kumara Flanagain	blk Sydney Strenger, Kelsey Schenck	·
Set 3
1	0-1	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.6
2	1-1	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Gabi Moulton	+1.5
3	2-1	W FLA	W FLA	Attack err	Sydney Strenger		+2.1
4	2-2	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.6
5	2-3	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Ace	Lipscomb	aced Madison Joyner	+2.2
6	3-3	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Kendra Howse	set Gabi Moulton	+1.6
7	4-3	W FLA	W FLA	Attack err	Ella Durham		+2.2
8	4-4	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.6
9	5-4	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Delaney Hanowell	set Gabi Moulton	+1.6
10	5-5	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.7
11	6-5	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Elizabeth Kwiatkowski	+1.7
12	6-6	W FLA	LIPSCO	Serve err	West Florida		+1.7
13	7-6	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Gabi Moulton	set Elizabeth Kwiatkowski	+1.7
14	8-6	W FLA	W FLA	Attack err	Anna Claire Brown		+2.3
15	8-7	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.6
16	9-7	LIPSCO	W FLA	Serve err	Lipscomb		+1.7
17	9-8	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger		+1.7
18	9-9	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Ace	Lipscomb	aced Camryn Brooks	+2.5
19	10-9	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+1.9
20	10-10	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.9
21	11-10	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Gabi Moulton	+2.0
22	12-10	W FLA	W FLA	Blocked	Ella Durham	blk Delaney Hanowell, Kumara Flanagain	+2.6
23	12-11	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.8
24	13-11	LIPSCO	W FLA	Serve err	Lipscomb		+2.0
25	13-12	W FLA	LIPSCO	Blocked	Gabi Moulton	blk Ella Durham	+1.9
26	14-12	LIPSCO	W FLA	Serve err	Lipscomb		+2.0
27	14-13	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Grace Jones	+1.9
28	15-13	LIPSCO	W FLA	Attack err	Madyson McCarthy		+2.1
29	15-14	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+2.0
30	15-15	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Blocked	Aniston Cochran	blk Sydney Strenger	+3.2
31	16-15	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Elizabeth Kwiatkowski	+2.4
32	16-16	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Madyson McCarthy	set Anna Claire Brown	+2.5
33	17-16	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Emily Breazeale	set Gabi Moulton	+2.6
34	17-17	W FLA	LIPSCO	Serve err	West Florida		+2.6
35	18-17	LIPSCO	W FLA	Serve err	Lipscomb		+2.7
36	18-18	W FLA	LIPSCO×5	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+2.8
37	18-19	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×5	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+4.2
38	18-20	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×5	Attack err	Talya Sampson		+4.2
39	18-21	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×5	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	+3.8
40	18-22	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×5	Attack err	Talya Sampson		+2.8
41	19-22	LIPSCO	W FLA	Kill	Talya Sampson	set Gabi Moulton	+1.2
42	20-22	W FLA	W FLA	Kill	Kumara Flanagain	set Elizabeth Kwiatkowski	+2.6
43	20-23	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	+3.1
44	21-23	LIPSCO	W FLA	Attack err	Ella Durham		+1.7
45	22-23	W FLA	W FLA	Ace	Talya Sampson	aced Grace Jones	+4.1
46	22-24	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Lexi Guinn	set Grace Jones	+5.0
47	23-24	LIPSCO	W FLA	Blocked	Anna Claire Brown	blk Emily Breazeale, Delaney Hanowell	+2.8
48	23-25	W FLA	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+6.7

Score shown after each rally, West Florida first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Lipscomb def. West Florida 3–0

Lipscomb held off West Florida.