Match story · written from the play-by-play
The upset: SIUE, a 27% pick, over Morehead St.
The match turned 3 times. Numbers are SIUE's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, Morehead St. was RallyIQ's 73% pick.
Turning point 1: Set 4 · Morehead St. 15–12 SIUE
The bottom for SIUE, then 13 of the next 17 rallies and the set, 25–19.
SIUE 7% → 40%
Turning point 2: Set 5 · Morehead St. 7–10 SIUE
3 straight Morehead St. points erased a 7–10 deficit: 10–10. The match swung to Morehead St.
SIUE 77% → 45%
Turning point 3: Set 5 · Morehead St. 10–12 SIUE
SIUE closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 15–11 and win the match 3–2.
SIUE 74% → >99%
Morehead St.SIUE
- Sideout %
- Morehead St. 58.9·SIUE 62.1
- Break %
- Morehead St. 37.9·SIUE 41.1
- Hitting
- Morehead St. .233·SIUE .295
- Longest run
- Morehead St. 4·SIUE 5
Kennedy Pike
14 kills on .345, 16.5 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.