Final · 5 setsFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

SIUE def. Morehead St. 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Morehead St. 73.0% · upsetLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

SIUE beat visiting Morehead St. 3-2 (21-25, 25-22, 22-25, 25-19, 15-11) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Kennedy Pike led SIUE with 14 kills; Morehead St.'s Hollan Everett had a match-high 19.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set12345Sets
MOREST25222519112
SIUE21252225153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

The upset: SIUE, a 27% pick, over Morehead St.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are SIUE's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, Morehead St. was RallyIQ's 73% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Morehead St. 15–12 SIUE

    The bottom for SIUE, then 13 of the next 17 rallies and the set, 25–19.

    SIUE 7% → 40%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Morehead St. 7–10 SIUE

    3 straight Morehead St. points erased a 7–10 deficit: 10–10. The match swung to Morehead St.

    SIUE 77% → 45%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Morehead St. 10–12 SIUE

    SIUE closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 15–11 and win the match 3–2.

    SIUE 74% → >99%

SIUE above 50Morehead St. belowMax swing 16.2%

Morehead St.SIUE

Sideout %
Morehead St. 58.9·SIUE 62.1
Break %
Morehead St. 37.9·SIUE 41.1
Hitting
Morehead St. .233·SIUE .295
Longest run
Morehead St. 4·SIUE 5

Kennedy Pike
14 kills on .345, 16.5 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

SIUE above 50 · Morehead St. below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+16.2% SIUErally 210 · set 5

Biggest swing: 16.2% to SIUE — set 5, MOREST 10-12 SIUE. Kill by Kennedy Pike (set by Ally Hughes). SIUE win probability 58% → 74%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MOREST 69.0%31.0% SIUE

Morehead St. wins

3-0
22.5%
3-1
26.5%
3-2
19.9%

SIUE wins

3-0
6.0%
3-1
10.9%
3-2
14.1%
MOREST break %
46.4% vs this opp
SIUE break %
42.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kennedy PikeKill+16.2%

    Kill by Kennedy Pike (set by Ally Hughes)

    Set 5 · MOREST 10-12 SIUE · SIUE 58% → 74%

  2. 02
    Kennedy PikeKill+15.2%

    Kill by Kennedy Pike (set by Ally Hughes)

    Set 5 · MOREST 11-13 SIUE · SIUE 63% → 79%

  3. 03
    Ally HughesKill+14.7%

    Kill by Ally Hughes (set by Josie Certa)

    Set 5 · MOREST 11-14 SIUE · SIUE 79% → 93%

  4. 04
    Amelia NottKill+13.4%

    Kill by Amelia Nott (set by Josie Certa)

    Set 5 · MOREST 10-10 SIUE · MOREST 42% → 55%

  5. 05
    Josie CertaService error+12.7%

    Service error by Josie Certa

    Set 5 · MOREST 10-11 SIUE · SIUE 45% → 58%

  6. 06
    Josie CertaAce+11.5%

    Ace by Josie Certa on Sophie Robinson

    Set 5 · MOREST 9-10 SIUE · MOREST 30% → 42%

  7. 07

    Kill by Jehireh Williams

    Set 5 · MOREST 6-9 SIUE · SIUE 63% → 75%

  8. 08
    Ella WarrickKill+10.4%

    Kill by Ella Warrick (set by Josie Certa)

    Set 5 · MOREST 11-12 SIUE · MOREST 26% → 37%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5191063.14300041212.521.5
517329.48301230111.519.5
516336.3612219200018
53115.133000001225
5000–28341100003
5117.000000300212
58621.095100400008
5001.0002320400002
5000–4221500002
5000–104520000
Team totals6424172.233591013587467102
SIUEhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514429.34501171031.516.5
512333.27300030031.513.5
513530.26700013200013
59316.3751207004213
57215.33300000334.511.5
5103.33328111600002
58323.21700000010.58.5
5000–212900001
5000–17121000001
5000–600310000
4000–111610001
1000–000020000
Team totals6420149.2955577741031410108

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Morehead St. vs SIUE

Season series · SIUE leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MOREST · SIUE 5

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 MORESTSIUE 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 MORESTSIUE 3

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 MORESTSIUE 3

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 2 MORESTSIUE 5

Set 5

11-15

Longest run 3 MORESTSIUE 3

Bars above the line = SIUE leads, below = Morehead St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Morehead St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%14/23
43%9/21
2
46%12/26
30%6/20
3
63%10/16
31%5/16
4
60%9/15
44%7/16
5
69%9/13
44%7/16
6
64%9/14
36%5/14
All
59%63/107
38%39/103

SIUE

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%14/22
31%5/16
2
72%13/18
48%13/27
3
67%10/15
48%10/21
4
56%9/16
25%3/12
5
56%9/16
40%6/15
6
56%9/16
44%7/16
All
62%64/103
41%44/107

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

210 rallies

#MOREST-SIUESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SIUEMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+1.5
22-0MORESTMORESTBlockedKennedy Pikeblk Hollan Everett+1.8
32-1MORESTSIUEKillKennedy Pikeset Ally Hughes+1.5
43-1SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+1.5
53-2MORESTSIUEKillVienna Elliottset Ally Hughes+1.5
63-3SIUESIUEAceSIUEaced Hollan Everett+2.0
74-3SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+1.6
84-4MORESTSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+1.7
95-4SIUEMORESTServe errSIUE+1.7
105-5MORESTSIUEKillKarli Mannset Paige Bernstein+1.8
116-5SIUEMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+1.7
126-6MORESTSIUEServe errMorehead St.+1.8
137-6SIUEMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+1.8
148-6MORESTMORESTKillAmelia Nott+2.1
158-7MORESTSIUEAttack errHollan Everett+1.7
169-7SIUEMOREST×4Attack errKennedy Pike+1.7
1710-7MORESTMOREST×4KillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+2.0
1811-7MORESTMOREST×4KillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+1.7
1912-7MORESTMOREST×4Attack errVienna Elliott+1.4
2012-8MORESTSIUE×3KillKennedy Pikeset Claire Jones+1.0
2112-9SIUESIUE×3KillVienna Elliott+1.6
2212-10SIUESIUE×3KillMaddie Determanset Mackenzie Higgins+1.9
2313-10SIUEMORESTAttack errVienna Elliott+1.7
2414-10MORESTMORESTAceMorehead St.aced Georgia Bresnahan+1.8
2514-11MORESTSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+1.3
2614-12SIUESIUEAttack errRiley McCloskey+2.0
2715-12SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+1.9
2816-12MORESTMORESTAttack errSophie Robinson+1.9
2916-13MORESTSIUEServe errMorehead St.+1.3
3017-13SIUEMORESTKillRiley McCloskeyset Sydney Sennett+1.6
3118-13MORESTMORESTAceMorehead St.aced Georgia Bresnahan+1.5
3218-14MORESTSIUEKillJehireh Williamsset Paige Bernstein+0.9
3319-14SIUEMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+1.2
3419-15MORESTSIUEKillKarli Mannset Claire Jones+0.9
3519-16SIUESIUEKillKennedy Pikeset Tinsley Brown+1.6
3620-16SIUEMOREST×4KillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+1.7
3721-16MORESTMOREST×4Attack errVienna Elliott+1.4
3822-16MORESTMOREST×4AceMorehead St.aced Kennedy Pike+0.8
3923-16MORESTMOREST×4KillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+0.4
4023-17MORESTSIUEKillKarli Mannset Paige Bernstein+0.1
4123-18SIUESIUEBlockedAmelia Nottblk Vienna Elliott, Kennedy Pike+0.3
4224-18SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+0.4
4324-19MORESTSIUE×3Serve errMorehead St.+0.1
4424-20SIUESIUE×3KillVienna Elliott+0.3
4524-21SIUESIUE×3Attack errHollan Everett+0.6
4625-21SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+1.1
Set 2
10-1MORESTSIUEBlockedHollan Everettblk Vienna Elliott, Kennedy Pike+1.4
21-1SIUEMORESTServe errSIUE+1.3
31-2MORESTSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+1.4
42-2SIUEMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+1.3
52-3MORESTSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+1.4
62-4SIUESIUEAceSIUEaced Ella Warrick+1.8
73-4SIUEMOREST×4KillRiley McCloskeyset Sydney Sennett+1.4
84-4MORESTMOREST×4Attack errSophie Robinson+1.7
95-4MORESTMOREST×4KillRiley McCloskeyset Jehireh Williams+1.7
106-4MORESTMOREST×4Attack errSophie Robinson+1.6
116-5MORESTSIUE×3KillKarli Mannset Paige Bernstein+1.3
126-6SIUESIUE×3BlockedElla Warrickblk Jehireh Williams, Karli Mann+1.8
136-7SIUESIUE×3KillKennedy Pike+1.9
147-7SIUEMOREST×3KillRiley McCloskeyset Sydney Sennett+1.5
158-7MORESTMOREST×3BlockedJehireh Williamsblk Amelia Nott+1.8
169-7MORESTMOREST×3Attack errKarli Mann+1.7
179-8MORESTSIUEKillKarli Mannset Paige Bernstein+1.4
189-9SIUESIUEBlockedRiley McCloskeyblk Vienna Elliott, Kennedy Pike+1.9
1910-9SIUEMORESTServe errSIUE+1.6
2011-9MORESTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Courtney Fitzgerald+1.8
2111-10MORESTSIUEKillKennedy Pikeset Claire Jones+1.5
2211-11SIUESIUEKillMaddie Determanset Mackenzie Higgins+2.1
2312-11SIUEMORESTKillKylie Sharpset Josie Certa+1.7
2412-12MORESTSIUEServe errMorehead St.+1.8
2512-13SIUESIUEAttack errAmelia Nott+2.4
2613-13SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+1.9
2713-14MORESTSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+2.1
2814-14SIUEMORESTBlockedSophie Robinsonblk Kylie Sharp, Haidyn Carter+1.9
2915-14MORESTMORESTAceMorehead St.aced Kinley Quast+2.4
3015-15MORESTSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+2.0
3115-16SIUESIUEKillJehireh Williamsset Paige Bernstein+2.8
3216-16SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+2.2
3316-17MORESTSIUE×3KillKarli Mannset Claire Jones+2.4
3416-18SIUESIUE×3Attack errRiley McCloskey+3.1
3516-19SIUESIUE×3KillSophie Robinsonset Paige Bernstein+3.0
3617-19SIUEMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+1.9
3717-20MORESTSIUEServe errMorehead St.+2.6
3818-20SIUEMORESTKillElla Warrickset Vienna Elliott+1.9
3919-20MORESTMORESTAttack errKennedy Pike+3.0
4019-21MORESTSIUEServe errMorehead St.+3.2
4120-21SIUEMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+2.6
4220-22MORESTSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+3.5
4321-22SIUEMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+2.8
4421-23MORESTSIUEServe errMorehead St.+4.0
4521-24SIUESIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+3.9
4622-24SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+1.3
4722-25MORESTSIUEAttack errHollan Everett+3.1
Set 3
11-0SIUEMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+2.2
21-1MORESTSIUEKillVienna Elliottset Ally Hughes+2.3
32-1SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+2.2
42-2MORESTSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+2.4
53-2SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+2.3
63-3MORESTSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+2.4
74-3SIUEMOREST×3KillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+2.4
85-3MORESTMOREST×3KillRiley McCloskey+2.8
96-3MORESTMOREST×3KillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+2.5
106-4MORESTSIUEServe errMorehead St.+2.0
117-4SIUEMORESTKillRiley McCloskeyset Ella Warrick+2.1
127-5MORESTSIUEKillKennedy Pikeset Paige Bernstein+2.1
138-5SIUEMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+2.1
149-5MORESTMORESTAttack errKarli Mann+2.3
159-6MORESTSIUE×3KillKennedy Pikeset Paige Bernstein+1.8
169-7SIUESIUE×3Attack errHollan Everett+2.6
179-8SIUESIUE×3Attack errAmelia Nott+3.1
1810-8SIUEMORESTBlockedKennedy Pikeblk Amelia Nott, Kylie Sharp+2.6
1910-9MORESTSIUE×3KillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+2.6
2010-10SIUESIUE×3Attack errHollan Everett+3.6
2110-11SIUESIUE×3Attack errHollan Everett+3.9
2211-11SIUEMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+3.1
2312-11MORESTMOREST×3KillRiley McCloskeyset Sydney Sennett+3.8
2413-11MORESTMOREST×3BlockedMaddie Determanblk Haidyn Carter, Hollan Everett+3.5
2513-12MORESTSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+2.8
2613-13SIUESIUEAttack errRiley McCloskey+4.0
2714-13SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Riley McCloskey+3.3
2815-13MORESTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Tinsley Brown+3.9
2915-14MORESTSIUEServe errMorehead St.+3.1
3016-14SIUEMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+3.3
3116-15MORESTSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Paige Bernstein+3.2
3217-15SIUEMOREST×4KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+3.4
3318-15MORESTMOREST×4AceMorehead St.aced Claire Jones+3.7
3419-15MORESTMOREST×4KillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+3.0
3520-15MORESTMOREST×4AceMorehead St.aced Sophie Robinson+2.1
3620-16MORESTSIUE×3KillKennedy Pikeset Paige Bernstein+1.2
3720-17SIUESIUE×3KillKarli Mannset Paige Bernstein+2.2
3820-18SIUESIUE×3KillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+3.3
3921-18SIUEMORESTServe errSIUE+3.5
4021-19MORESTSIUEKillVienna Elliottset Ally Hughes+2.7
4122-19SIUEMORESTServe errSIUE+3.7
4222-20MORESTSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+2.6
4322-21SIUESIUEAceSIUEaced Ella Warrick+5.2
4423-21SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Ella Warrick+5.7
4523-22MORESTSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Claire Jones+4.4
4624-22SIUEMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+6.7
4725-22MORESTMORESTAceCourtney Fitzgerald+4.5
Set 4
11-0MORESTMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+2.3
21-1MORESTSIUEKillVienna Elliottset Ally Hughes+1.9
32-1SIUEMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+1.9
43-1MORESTMORESTBlockedMaddie Determanblk Hollan Everett+2.2
53-2MORESTSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+1.8
64-2SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+1.8
74-3MORESTSIUEAttack errRiley McCloskey+1.8
85-3SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+1.9
96-3MORESTMORESTKillRiley McCloskeyset Sydney Sennett+2.1
106-4MORESTSIUEServe errTinsley Brown+1.7
117-4SIUEMORESTAttack errKarli Mann+1.7
127-5MORESTSIUEBlockedElla Warrickblk Jehireh Williams+1.7
137-6SIUESIUEKillKarli Mannset Paige Bernstein+2.4
148-6SIUEMORESTKillElla Warrickset Courtney Fitzgerald+2.0
158-7MORESTSIUEServe errJosie Certa+2.0
169-7SIUEMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+2.1
1710-7MORESTMORESTAceElla Warrick+2.3
1810-8MORESTSIUEKillKennedy Pikeset Ally Hughes+1.8
1911-8SIUEMORESTBad setVienna Elliott+1.9
2011-9MORESTSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Vienna Elliott+1.9
2112-9SIUEMORESTAttack errMaddie Determan+2.0
2212-10MORESTSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+1.9
2313-10SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+2.1
2413-11MORESTSIUEServe errTinsley Brown+2.0
2513-12SIUESIUEKillJehireh Williamsset Paige Bernstein+2.9
2614-12SIUEMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+2.5
2715-12MORESTMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+2.7
2815-13MORESTSIUEKillKennedy Pikeset Paige Bernstein+2.1
2915-14SIUESIUEAceMackenzie Higginsaced Tinsley Brown+3.1
3016-14SIUEMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+2.7
3116-15MORESTSIUEKillVienna Elliottset Paige Bernstein+2.7
3216-16SIUESIUEBlockedElla Warrickblk Maddie Determan, Vienna Elliott+3.9
3317-16SIUEMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+3.2
3417-17MORESTSIUE×4KillVienna Elliottset Ally Hughes+3.4
3517-18SIUESIUE×4KillKennedy Pikeset Ally Hughes+4.7
3617-19SIUESIUE×4Attack errKylie Sharp+4.9
3717-20SIUESIUE×4AceKennedy Pike+4.7
3818-20SIUEMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+2.9
3919-20MORESTMORESTAceAmelia Nott+4.5
4019-21MORESTSIUE×5KillSophie Robinsonset Claire Jones+4.7
4119-22SIUESIUE×5BlockedHollan Everettblk Maddie Determan, Jehireh Williams+5.2
4219-23SIUESIUE×5KillJehireh Williamsset Ally Hughes+3.9
4319-24SIUESIUE×5Attack errHollan Everett+2.1
4419-25SIUESIUE×5BlockedHaidyn Carterblk Jehireh Williams+1.3
Set 5
10-1MORESTSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+6.9
20-2SIUESIUEAceAlly Hughesaced Tinsley Brown+8.8
31-2SIUEMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+6.5
41-3MORESTSIUEKillVienna Elliottset Ally Hughes+7.5
52-3SIUEMORESTAttack errSophie Robinson+6.8
63-3MORESTMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+8.7
73-4MORESTSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Kinley Quast+7.8
83-5SIUESIUEBlockedHollan Everettblk Maddie Determan, Jehireh Williams+9.9
94-5SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+7.3
104-6MORESTSIUEKillJehireh Williamsset Ally Hughes+8.6
114-7SIUESIUEKillJehireh Williamsset Courtney Fitzgerald+10.2
125-7SIUEMORESTServe errPaige Bernstein+6.9
136-7MORESTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+9.8
146-8MORESTSIUEBlockedRiley McCloskeyblk Jehireh Williams+9.6
156-9SIUESIUEKillJehireh Williams+11.2
167-9SIUEMORESTBlockedJehireh Williamsblk Haidyn Carter+7.2
177-10MORESTSIUEKillKennedy Pikeset Paige Bernstein+9.7
188-10SIUEMOREST×3Serve errMackenzie Higgins+7.4
199-10MORESTMOREST×3AceJosie Certaaced Sophie Robinson+11.5
2010-10MORESTMOREST×3KillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+13.4
2110-11MORESTSIUEServe errJosie Certa+12.7
2210-12SIUESIUEKillKennedy Pikeset Ally Hughes+16.2
2311-12SIUEMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+10.4
2411-13MORESTSIUE×3KillKennedy Pikeset Ally Hughes+15.2
2511-14SIUESIUE×3KillAlly Hughesset Josie Certa+14.7
2611-15SIUESIUE×3AceKinley Quast+6.8

Score shown after each rally, Morehead St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).