Final · 4 setsSat, Nov 7, 2026Watch on ESPN+

SIUE def. Morehead St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Morehead St. 69.7% · upsetLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

SIUE beat visiting Morehead St. 3-1 (6-25, 25-20, 25-17, 27-25) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. SIUE's Sophie Robinson led with 15 kills.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set1234Sets
MOREST252017251
SIUE62525273

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Sophie Robinson hit .429 on 28 swings as SIUE edged Morehead St.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are SIUE's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ had Morehead St. at 70% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Morehead St. 5–2 SIUE

    SIUE's low point. SIUE then won 23 of the next 38 rallies and the set 25–20.

    SIUE 12% → 34%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Morehead St. 20–23 SIUE

    Down 20–23, Morehead St. scored 4 straight to lead 24–23.

    SIUE 93% → 55%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Morehead St. 24–24 SIUE

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to SIUE, enough to take the set 27–25 and win the match 3–1.

    SIUE 67% → >99%

SIUE above 50Morehead St. belowMax swing 17.5%

Morehead St.SIUE

Sideout %
Morehead St. 54.9·SIUE 52.3
Break %
Morehead St. 47.7·SIUE 45.1
Hitting
Morehead St. .239·SIUE .187
Longest run
Morehead St. 10·SIUE 5

Sophie Robinson
6 kills inside the turning points, 15 K and .429 for the match (18.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

SIUE above 50 · Morehead St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+17.5% SIUErally 170 · set 4

Biggest swing: 17.5% to SIUE — set 4, MOREST 25-27 SIUE. Kill by Sophie Robinson (set by Paige Bernstein). SIUE win probability 83% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MOREST 69.0%31.0% SIUE

Morehead St. wins

3-0
22.5%
3-1
26.5%
3-2
19.9%

SIUE wins

3-0
6.0%
3-1
10.9%
3-2
14.1%
MOREST break %
46.4% vs this opp
SIUE break %
42.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sophie RobinsonKill+17.5%

    Kill by Sophie Robinson (set by Paige Bernstein)

    Set 4 · MOREST 25-27 SIUE · SIUE 83% → 100%

  2. 02
    Sophie RobinsonKill+16.0%

    Kill by Sophie Robinson (set by Ally Hughes)

    Set 4 · MOREST 25-26 SIUE · SIUE 67% → 83%

  3. 03
    Maddie DetermanAttack error+14.9%

    Attack error by Maddie Determan

    Set 4 · MOREST 24-23 SIUE · MOREST 30% → 45%

  4. 04

    Sophie Robinson stuffed by Kylie Sharp & Amelia Nott

    Set 4 · MOREST 23-23 SIUE · MOREST 18% → 30%

  5. 05
    Sophie RobinsonKill+11.8%

    Kill by Sophie Robinson (set by Ally Hughes)

    Set 4 · MOREST 24-24 SIUE · SIUE 55% → 67%

  6. 06

    Sophie Robinson stuffed by Kylie Sharp & Amelia Nott

    Set 4 · MOREST 25-24 SIUE · MOREST 33% → 45%

  7. 07
    Sophie RobinsonKill+11.8%

    Kill by Sophie Robinson (set by Ally Hughes)

    Set 4 · MOREST 25-25 SIUE · SIUE 55% → 67%

  8. 08
    Maddie DetermanAttack error+7.9%

    Attack error by Maddie Determan

    Set 4 · MOREST 22-23 SIUE · MOREST 11% → 18%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415634.2650002110116
410427.2221326004215
49645.0671107000010
48113.53810000010.58.5
4406.667000100426
4000–22021000000
45113.30800010010.55.5
4000–5131120001
4000–1402800000
3000–101900000
2000–001210000
1000–000100000
Team totals5118138.23945511587110687
SIUEhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415328.429033132010.518.5
47526.07700030031.58.5
44215.13301020132.57.5
45010.50000010031.56.5
4000–22021000000
1058-.625000110000
48226.23100030010.58.5
4001.0001821500002
4000–013700001
4000–300300000
4000–000900000
38520.15000041010.58.5
Team totals4722134.1874379615112783

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Morehead St. vs SIUE

Season series · SIUE leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 10 MOREST · SIUE 5

Set 1

25-6

Longest run 10 MORESTSIUE 1

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 MORESTSIUE 4

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 2 MORESTSIUE 3

Set 4

25-27

Longest run 4 MORESTSIUE 5

Bars above the line = SIUE leads, below = Morehead St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Morehead St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%10/17
60%12/20
2
67%8/12
59%13/22
3
54%7/13
33%4/12
4
50%7/14
30%3/10
5
64%7/11
42%5/12
6
40%6/15
42%5/12
All
55%45/82
48%42/88

SIUE

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%9/18
56%10/18
2
47%8/17
20%2/10
3
80%8/10
38%5/13
4
70%7/10
50%7/14
5
64%7/11
42%5/12
6
32%7/22
53%8/15
All
52%46/88
45%37/82

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

170 rallies

#MOREST-SIUESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SIUEMOREST×3KillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+1.6
22-0MORESTMOREST×3KillHaidyn Carterset Ally Hughes+1.9
33-0MORESTMOREST×3Attack errKennedy Pike+1.8
43-1MORESTSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+1.4
54-1SIUEMORESTServe errSIUE+1.5
65-1MORESTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+1.7
75-2MORESTSIUEServe errMorehead St.+1.2
86-2SIUEMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Sydney Sennett+1.3
96-3MORESTSIUEServe errMorehead St.+1.3
107-3SIUEMORESTKillRiley McCloskeyset Sydney Sennett+1.4
118-3MORESTMORESTKillAmelia Nott+1.5
128-4MORESTSIUEKillKarli Mannset Claire Jones+1.1
139-4SIUEMORESTAttack errKennedy Pike+1.2
149-5MORESTSIUEKillKarli Mannset Paige Bernstein+1.1
1510-5SIUEMOREST×10KillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+1.2
1611-5MORESTMOREST×10KillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+1.2
1712-5MORESTMOREST×10KillKylie Sharpset Josie Certa+1.0
1813-5MORESTMOREST×10BlockedKennedy Pikeblk Kylie Sharp, Amelia Nott+0.7
1914-5MORESTMOREST×10KillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+0.5
2015-5MORESTMOREST×10KillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+0.3
2116-5MORESTMOREST×10KillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+0.2
2217-5MORESTMOREST×10Attack errVienna Elliott+0.1
2318-5MORESTMOREST×10KillKylie Sharpset Josie Certa+0.1
2419-5MORESTMOREST×10AceMorehead St.aced Sophie Robinson·
2519-6MORESTSIUEKillKarli Mannset Paige Bernstein·
2620-6SIUEMOREST×6Attack errKennedy Pike·
2721-6MORESTMOREST×6KillHollan Everettset Josie Certa·
2822-6MORESTMOREST×6BlockedMaddie Determanblk Kylie Sharp, Haidyn Carter·
2923-6MORESTMOREST×6KillHollan Everettset Josie Certa·
3024-6MORESTMOREST×6AceMorehead St.aced Kennedy Pike·
3125-6MORESTMOREST×6Attack errKennedy Pike·
Set 2
11-0MORESTMORESTAttack errMaddie Determan+1.7
21-1MORESTSIUEKillGeorgia Bresnahanset Ally Hughes+1.4
32-1SIUEMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+1.4
43-1MORESTMOREST×3AceMorehead St.aced Sophie Robinson+1.6
54-1MORESTMOREST×3AceMorehead St.+1.5
64-2MORESTSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Claire Jones+1.2
75-2SIUEMORESTKillHaidyn Carter+1.2
85-3MORESTSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+1.2
95-4SIUESIUEAceSIUEaced Hollan Everett+1.7
106-4SIUEMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+1.4
116-5MORESTSIUE×3KillKarli Mannset Kinley Quast+1.4
126-6SIUESIUE×3AceSIUEaced Courtney Fitzgerald+1.9
136-7SIUESIUE×3AceSIUEaced Courtney Fitzgerald+2.1
147-7SIUEMORESTServe errSIUE+1.6
158-7MORESTMORESTBlockedGeorgia Bresnahanblk Amelia Nott, Riley McCloskey+2.0
168-8MORESTSIUE×4Serve errMorehead St.+1.7
178-9SIUESIUE×4Attack errElla Warrick+2.2
188-10SIUESIUE×4Attack errRiley McCloskey+2.3
198-11SIUESIUE×4KillGeorgia Bresnahanset Paige Bernstein+2.3
209-11SIUEMORESTKillRiley McCloskeyset Sydney Sennett+1.6
2110-11MORESTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+2.2
2210-12MORESTSIUEKillKarli Mannset Paige Bernstein+2.0
2311-12SIUEMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+1.8
2411-13MORESTSIUE×3Attack errHollan Everett+2.1
2511-14SIUESIUE×3AceSIUE+2.6
2611-15SIUESIUE×3BlockedHollan Everettblk Maddie Determan, Vienna Elliott+2.4
2712-15SIUEMORESTServe errSIUE+1.5
2812-16MORESTSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+2.0
2913-16SIUEMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+1.6
3014-16MORESTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+2.3
3114-17MORESTSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+2.3
3215-17SIUEMORESTKillRiley McCloskeyset Sydney Sennett+1.9
3315-18MORESTSIUE×4KillSophie Robinsonset Paige Bernstein+2.4
3415-19SIUESIUE×4AceSIUEaced Tinsley Brown+2.6
3515-20SIUESIUE×4KillGeorgia Bresnahanset Paige Bernstein+2.1
3615-21SIUESIUE×4KillKarli Mannset Paige Bernstein+1.4
3716-21SIUEMORESTServe errSIUE+0.6
3817-21MORESTMORESTAceMorehead St.aced Georgia Bresnahan+1.2
3917-22MORESTSIUEKillGeorgia Bresnahanset Paige Bernstein+1.5
4017-23SIUESIUEKillKarli Mannset Paige Bernstein+1.1
4118-23SIUEMOREST×3KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+0.3
4219-23MORESTMOREST×3KillElla Warrickset Amelia Nott+0.7
4320-23MORESTMOREST×3Attack errKarli Mann+1.3
4420-24MORESTSIUEServe errMorehead St.+2.0
4520-25SIUESIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+0.8
Set 3
10-1SIUESIUE×3Attack errAmelia Nott+3.1
20-2SIUESIUE×3Attack errHollan Everett+3.2
30-3SIUESIUE×3Attack errAmelia Nott+3.3
41-3SIUEMORESTServe errSIUE+2.4
51-4MORESTSIUEServe errMorehead St.+2.7
62-4SIUEMORESTServe errSIUE+2.4
73-4MORESTMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Sydney Sennett+3.2
83-5MORESTSIUEKillVienna Elliottset Ally Hughes+2.8
93-6SIUESIUEBlockedHollan Everettblk Maddie Determan, Jehireh Williams+3.5
104-6SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+2.5
115-6MORESTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+3.3
125-7MORESTSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+2.9
135-8SIUESIUEAttack errElla Warrick+3.7
146-8SIUEMORESTKillElla Warrickset Haidyn Carter+2.6
156-9MORESTSIUEServe errMorehead St.+3.0
167-9SIUEMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+2.7
177-10MORESTSIUE×3KillGeorgia Bresnahanset Paige Bernstein+3.1
187-11SIUESIUE×3Attack errElla Warrick+3.7
197-12SIUESIUE×3BlockedAmelia Nottblk Georgia Bresnahan, Vienna Elliott+3.4
208-12SIUEMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+2.2
219-12MORESTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+3.2
229-13MORESTSIUE×3KillKarli Mannset Paige Bernstein+3.1
239-14SIUESIUE×3KillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+3.5
249-15SIUESIUE×3BlockedHollan Everettblk Vienna Elliott, Maddie Determan+3.0
2510-15SIUEMORESTKillKylie Sharpset Josie Certa+1.7
2610-16MORESTSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+2.4
2711-16SIUEMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+1.7
2812-16MORESTMORESTBlockedMaddie Determanblk Hollan Everett+2.7
2912-17MORESTSIUEServe errMorehead St.+2.9
3013-17SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+2.1
3113-18MORESTSIUEKillJehireh Williamsset Ally Hughes+2.9
3213-19SIUESIUEBlockedElla Warrickblk Karli Mann, Jehireh Williams+2.7
3314-19SIUEMORESTAttack errKarli Mann+1.4
3414-20MORESTSIUEServe errMorehead St.+2.1
3515-20SIUEMORESTServe errSIUE+1.2
3615-21MORESTSIUE×3KillJehireh Williamsset Paige Bernstein+2.0
3715-22SIUESIUE×3KillSophie Robinsonset Paige Bernstein+1.4
3815-23SIUESIUE×3Attack errElla Warrick+0.6
3916-23SIUEMORESTAttack errVienna Elliott+0.1
4016-24MORESTSIUEKillVienna Elliottset Paige Bernstein+0.3
4117-24SIUEMORESTAttack errGeorgia Bresnahan·
4217-25MORESTSIUEBlockedHollan Everettblk Vienna Elliott+0.1
Set 4
11-0MORESTMORESTKillKylie Sharpset Josie Certa+3.5
21-1MORESTSIUEServe errNorah Campbell+2.9
32-1SIUEMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+2.8
43-1MORESTMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+3.4
53-2MORESTSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+2.7
64-2SIUEMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+2.8
74-3MORESTSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+2.8
85-3SIUEMOREST×3KillRiley McCloskeyset Sydney Sennett+2.8
96-3MORESTMOREST×3Attack errSophie Robinson+3.3
107-3MORESTMOREST×3KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+3.0
117-4MORESTSIUEKillJehireh Williamsset Paige Bernstein+2.2
128-4SIUEMORESTAttack errGeorgia Bresnahan+2.4
139-4MORESTMORESTAttack errGeorgia Bresnahan+2.6
149-5MORESTSIUEServe errAmelia Nott+1.8
1510-5SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+2.1
1610-6MORESTSIUE×4Serve errJosie Certa+1.8
1710-7SIUESIUE×4KillGeorgia Bresnahanset Ally Hughes+2.8
1810-8SIUESIUE×4KillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+3.4
1910-9SIUESIUE×4Attack errHaidyn Carter+4.0
2011-9SIUEMORESTServe errAlly Hughes+3.4
2111-10MORESTSIUEKillVienna Elliottset Ally Hughes+3.3
2212-10SIUEMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+3.5
2312-11MORESTSIUE×5KillSophie Robinsonset Claire Jones+3.5
2412-12SIUESIUE×5Attack errElla Warrick+4.9
2512-13SIUESIUE×5KillJehireh Williamsset Vienna Elliott+5.4
2612-14SIUESIUE×5KillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+5.6
2712-15SIUESIUE×5AceVienna Elliott+5.5
2813-15SIUEMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+3.8
2913-16MORESTSIUE×3KillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+4.6
3013-17SIUESIUE×3AcePaige Bernstein+5.2
3113-18SIUESIUE×3BlockedAmelia Nottblk Jehireh Williams, Sophie Robinson+4.4
3214-18SIUEMORESTServe errPaige Bernstein+2.5
3314-19MORESTSIUEKillJehireh Williamsset Paige Bernstein+3.5
3415-19SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+2.4
3516-19MORESTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Ella Warrick+4.0
3616-20MORESTSIUEKillGeorgia Bresnahanset Paige Bernstein+4.5
3717-20SIUEMOREST×3KillRiley McCloskeyset Sydney Sennett+3.1
3818-20MORESTMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+5.3
3919-20MORESTMOREST×3Attack errGeorgia Bresnahan+6.8
4019-21MORESTSIUEKillVienna Elliottset Paige Bernstein+6.9
4119-22SIUESIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+7.7
4220-22SIUEMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+4.1
4320-23MORESTSIUEKillGeorgia Bresnahanset Ally Hughes+6.5
4421-23SIUEMOREST×4KillElla Warrickset Norah Campbell+3.7
4522-23MORESTMOREST×4Attack errMaddie Determan+7.9
4623-23MORESTMOREST×4BlockedSophie Robinsonblk Kylie Sharp, Amelia Nott+11.9
4724-23MORESTMOREST×4Attack errMaddie Determan+14.9
4824-24MORESTSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+11.8
4925-24SIUEMORESTBlockedSophie Robinsonblk Kylie Sharp, Amelia Nott+11.8
5025-25MORESTSIUE×3KillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+11.8
5125-26SIUESIUE×3KillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+16.0
5225-27SIUESIUE×3KillSophie Robinsonset Paige Bernstein+17.5

Score shown after each rally, Morehead St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).