Final · 5 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwaySOCON

3:2

HomeSWAC

Mercer def. Alabama St. 3–2

(22-25, 25-16, 21-25, 25-22, 16-14)

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
MERCER	22	25	21	25	16	3
ALA ST	25	16	25	22	14	2

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ALA ST above 50 · MERCER below

Biggest swing: 24.2% to Mercer — set 5, MERCER 15-14 ALA ST. Kaylen Hines stuffed by Joselynn Sanjurjo. ALA ST win probability 45% → 21%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MERCER 81.3%18.7% ALA ST

Mercer wins

3-0

32.8%

3-1

30.5%

3-2

17.9%

Alabama St. wins

3-0

3.0%

3-1

6.2%

3-2

9.6%

MERCER break %: 48.7% vs this opp
ALA ST break %: 41.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kaylen HinesAttack error+24.2%
Kaylen Hines stuffed by Joselynn Sanjurjo
Set 5 · MERCER 15-14 ALA ST · MERCER 55% → 79%
02
Kaylen HinesKill+23.0%
Kill by Kaylen Hines (set by Kamrynn Clay)
Set 5 · MERCER 13-14 ALA ST · ALA ST 45% → 68%
03
Mikayla MiesslerKill+23.0%
Kill by Mikayla Miessler (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 5 · MERCER 14-14 ALA ST · MERCER 32% → 55%
04
Lara MattaKill+20.8%
Kill by Lara Matta (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 5 · MERCER 16-14 ALA ST · MERCER 79% → 100%
05
Kaylen HinesKill+17.8%
Kill by Kaylen Hines (set by Kamrynn Clay)
Set 5 · MERCER 12-13 ALA ST · ALA ST 44% → 62%
06
Brooklyn PalmerKill+16.5%
Kill by Brooklyn Palmer (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 5 · MERCER 13-13 ALA ST · MERCER 38% → 55%
07
Amaya RobinsonKill+14.8%
Kill by Amaya Robinson (set by Kamrynn Clay)
Set 5 · MERCER 11-12 ALA ST · ALA ST 43% → 58%
08
Brooklyn PalmerKill+13.8%
Kill by Brooklyn Palmer (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 5 · MERCER 12-12 ALA ST · MERCER 42% → 56%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Merceraway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
20Lara MattaOH	5	25	3	60	.367	0	1	2	14	3	0	2	1	27
3Joselynn SanjurjoMB	5	12	1	31	.355	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	2.5	14.5
15Brooklyn PalmerOH	5	12	3	28	.321	2	0	3	10	0	0	0	0	12
8Sammi BergjansS	5	1	1	6	.000	44	5	5	12	0	0	4	2	8
21Sarah FragerL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	1	1	3	12	1	0	0	0	1
7Avery WilksMB	4	5	6	25	-.040	0	0	1	0	0	0	5	2.5	7.5
9Aubri MartinL/DS	5	1	0	3	.333	11	1	2	17	3	0	0	0	2
16Mikayla MiesslerOH	4	10	3	18	.389	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	10
6Brooke KaouiL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
12Bella PonsMB	2	0	1	6	-.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Ipek UlukutluOH	1	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1
19Taylor TimkoOH	1	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		67	20	185	.254	61	9	17	68	12	2	12	8	109

Alabama St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
22Kaylen HinesMB	5	15	2	36	.361	0	1	3	5	0	0	0	16
13Mikalah DavisOH	5	10	7	38	.079	0	1	0	5	0	2	1	12
5Lyric EdwardsMB	5	8	1	20	.350	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	9.5
21Amaya RobinsonOH	5	8	3	17	.294	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.5	8.5
14Kamrynn ClayS	5	0	0	6	.000	45	5	1	19	0	0	0	5
16Makeda EdwardsOH	5	4	4	23	.000	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	4
8Taylor WilliamsOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	3	0	5	1	0	0	3
11Julia SlaughterS	5	1	1	8	.000	0	1	3	5	0	0	0	2
3Emani GreenDS	5	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	9	0	0	0	1
9Mirra RiddleL/DS	5	0	0	2	.000	2	0	1	22	3	0	0	0
2Denver WatkinsOH	2	6	4	14	.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
23Ava O'HareL/DS	2	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
Team totals		52	23	165	.176	47	12	8	77	9	6	3	102

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 MERCER · ALA ST 4

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 5 MERCERALA ST 3

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 5 MERCERALA ST 2

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 5 MERCERALA ST 4

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 4 MERCERALA ST 3

Set 5

16-14

Longest run 3 MERCERALA ST 2

Bars above the line = Alabama St. leads, below = Mercer leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Mercer

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%13/24	42%8/19
2	76%13/17	41%9/22
3	61%11/18	48%10/21
4	79%11/14	27%4/15
5	67%10/15	39%7/18
6	60%9/15	31%4/13
All	65%67/103	39%42/108

Alabama St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	59%13/22	54%13/24
2	68%13/19	24%4/17
3	52%11/21	32%6/19
4	85%11/13	27%4/15
5	53%9/17	29%4/14
6	56%9/16	36%5/14
All	61%66/108	35%36/103

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

211 rallies

Rally log

#	MERCER-ALA ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	ALA ST	ALA ST	Attack err	Lara Matta		+1.7
2	1-1	ALA ST	MERCER×5	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.3
3	2-1	MERCER	MERCER×5	Ace	MERCER server	aced Amaya Robinson	+1.5
4	3-1	MERCER	MERCER×5	Kill	Avery Wilks	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.4
5	4-1	MERCER	MERCER×5	Attack err	Mikalah Davis		+1.3
6	5-1	MERCER	MERCER×5	Attack err	Mikalah Davis	blk Avery Wilks, Sammi Bergjans	+1.1
7	5-2	MERCER	ALA ST	Serve err	MERCER server		+0.9
8	6-2	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+0.9
9	6-3	MERCER	ALA ST	Serve err	MERCER server		+0.9
10	7-3	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Avery Wilks	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.0
11	7-4	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.9
12	8-4	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Ipek Ulukutlu	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.0
13	8-5	MERCER	ALA ST×3	Kill	Makeda Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.9
14	8-6	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Ipek Ulukutlu	+1.4
15	8-7	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Ipek Ulukutlu	+1.7
16	9-7	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Mikalah Davis	set Taylor Williams	+1.4
17	9-8	MERCER	ALA ST	Serve err	MERCER server		+1.4
18	10-8	ALA ST	MERCER	Serve err	ALA ST server		+1.4
19	10-9	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Mikalah Davis	set Kamrynn Clay	+1.5
20	11-9	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Aubri Martin	+1.5
21	11-10	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Kamrynn Clay	+1.5
22	11-11	ALA ST	ALA ST	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Sarah Frager	+2.1
23	12-11	ALA ST	MERCER	Attack err	Amaya Robinson		+1.7
24	12-12	MERCER	ALA ST	Serve err	MERCER server		+1.9
25	13-12	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.8
26	14-12	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Kamrynn Clay	+2.0
27	14-13	MERCER	ALA ST	Serve err	MERCER server		+1.7
28	15-13	ALA ST	MERCER	Serve err	ALA ST server		+1.7
29	15-14	MERCER	ALA ST	Attack err	Taylor Timko		+1.8
30	16-14	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.8
31	16-15	MERCER	ALA ST	Attack err	Brooklyn Palmer		+1.8
32	17-15	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.9
33	17-16	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Mikalah Davis	set Kamrynn Clay	+1.9
34	18-16	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.1
35	19-16	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Avery Wilks		+2.1
36	19-17	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Mikalah Davis	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.5
37	20-17	ALA ST	MERCER	Attack err	Julia Slaughter	blk Avery Wilks, Lara Matta	+1.8
38	20-18	MERCER	ALA ST×3	Attack err	Avery Wilks		+1.6
39	20-19	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Attack err	Avery Wilks		+2.7
40	20-20	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Attack err	Avery Wilks		+3.6
41	21-20	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+3.2
42	21-21	MERCER	ALA ST×3	Serve err	MERCER server		+3.3
43	21-22	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+5.0
44	21-23	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Aubri Martin	+5.4
45	22-23	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+3.2
46	22-24	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+5.5
47	22-25	ALA ST	ALA ST	Attack err	Ipek Ulukutlu		+4.4
Set 2
1	1-0	MERCER	MERCER	Ace	MERCER server	aced Taylor Williams	+2.3
2	2-0	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.2
3	2-1	MERCER	ALA ST	Serve err	MERCER server		+1.8
4	3-1	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.8
5	3-2	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Lyric Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+1.9
6	4-2	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.9
7	4-3	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Lyric Edwards	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.9
8	5-3	ALA ST	MERCER	Serve err	ALA ST server		+1.9
9	5-4	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+2.0
10	5-5	ALA ST	ALA ST	Attack err	Mikayla Miessler		+2.7
11	6-5	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Mikayla Miessler	set Aubri Martin	+2.2
12	6-6	MERCER	ALA ST	Serve err	MERCER server		+2.3
13	7-6	ALA ST	MERCER×3	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.3
14	8-6	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Sammi Bergjans	set Mikayla Miessler	+2.5
15	9-6	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Mikayla Miessler	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.3
16	9-7	MERCER	ALA ST	Serve err	MERCER server		+1.9
17	10-7	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Mikayla Miessler	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.9
18	10-8	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Denver Watkins	set Kamrynn Clay	+1.9
19	11-8	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.0
20	11-9	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Kamrynn Clay	+2.0
21	12-9	ALA ST	MERCER	Attack err	Amaya Robinson	blk Avery Wilks, Lara Matta	+2.0
22	12-10	MERCER	ALA ST	Attack err	Avery Wilks		+2.0
23	13-10	ALA ST	MERCER	Attack err	Makeda Edwards		+2.1
24	13-11	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+2.1
25	14-11	ALA ST	MERCER×5	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Aubri Martin	+2.2
26	15-11	MERCER	MERCER×5	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.2
27	16-11	MERCER	MERCER×5	Kill	Mikayla Miessler	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.7
28	17-11	MERCER	MERCER×5	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.2
29	18-11	MERCER	MERCER×5	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo		+0.8
30	18-12	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.5
31	19-12	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Mikayla Miessler	set Aubri Martin	+0.6
32	19-13	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Denver Watkins	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.4
33	19-14	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Denver Watkins	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.8
34	20-14	ALA ST	MERCER	Attack err	Denver Watkins	blk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Sammi Bergjans	+0.9
35	20-15	MERCER	ALA ST	Serve err	MERCER server		+0.6
36	21-15	ALA ST	MERCER	Serve err	ALA ST server		+0.9
37	22-15	MERCER	MERCER	Attack err	Lara Matta		+0.5
38	22-16	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Kamrynn Clay	+0.2
39	23-16	ALA ST	MERCER×3	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+0.3
40	24-16	MERCER	MERCER×3	Attack err	Makeda Edwards		+0.1
41	25-16	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sarah Frager	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	ALA ST	ALA ST×4	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Lara Matta	+2.6
2	0-2	ALA ST	ALA ST×4	Kill	Denver Watkins	set Kamrynn Clay	+2.8
3	0-3	ALA ST	ALA ST×4	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Team	+3.0
4	0-4	ALA ST	ALA ST×4	Kill	Denver Watkins		+3.1
5	1-4	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.2
6	2-4	MERCER	MERCER	Attack err	Denver Watkins		+2.8
7	2-5	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Lyric Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+2.6
8	2-6	ALA ST	ALA ST	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Lara Matta	+3.2
9	3-6	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.3
10	4-6	MERCER	MERCER	Ace	MERCER server	aced Makeda Edwards	+2.9
11	4-7	MERCER	ALA ST×3	Kill	Julia Slaughter	set Kamrynn Clay	+2.8
12	4-8	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Attack err	Bella Pons		+3.4
13	4-9	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Kill	Makeda Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+3.3
14	5-9	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.2
15	5-10	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+2.8
16	6-10	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Mikayla Miessler	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.2
17	6-11	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Makeda Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+2.9
18	7-11	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Mikayla Miessler	set Joselynn Sanjurjo	+2.3
19	7-12	MERCER	ALA ST×3	Serve err	MERCER server		+2.9
20	7-13	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Kill	Lyric Edwards	set Julia Slaughter	+3.1
21	7-14	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Kill	Lyric Edwards		+2.7
22	8-14	ALA ST	MERCER	Attack err	Denver Watkins		+1.6
23	8-15	MERCER	ALA ST	Serve err	MERCER server		+2.2
24	9-15	ALA ST	MERCER	Attack err	Lara Matta		+1.5
25	9-16	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Denver Watkins	set Kamrynn Clay	+2.2
26	10-16	ALA ST	MERCER×3	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.4
27	11-16	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Lara Matta	set Mirra Riddle	+2.2
28	12-16	MERCER	MERCER×3	Ace	MERCER server	aced Mirra Riddle	+2.8
29	12-17	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Lyric Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+3.1
30	12-18	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+3.1
31	13-18	ALA ST	MERCER	Attack err	Amaya Robinson		+1.7
32	14-18	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Mikayla Miessler	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.7
33	14-19	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+3.2
34	15-19	ALA ST	MERCER	Serve err	ALA ST server		+2.1
35	15-20	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Makeda Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+3.1
36	16-20	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Brooklyn Palmer	+2.0
37	16-21	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+3.1
38	17-21	ALA ST	MERCER×5	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.8
39	18-21	MERCER	MERCER×5	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+3.1
40	19-21	MERCER	MERCER×5	Attack err	Denver Watkins		+4.3
41	20-21	MERCER	MERCER×5	Kill	Lara Matta	set Brooklyn Palmer	+5.5
42	21-21	MERCER	MERCER×5	Kill	Lara Matta	set Joselynn Sanjurjo	+6.5
43	21-22	MERCER	ALA ST×4	Kill	Mikalah Davis	set Kamrynn Clay	+6.6
44	21-23	ALA ST	ALA ST×4	Attack err	Joselynn Sanjurjo	blk Mikalah Davis, Lyric Edwards	+8.5
45	21-24	ALA ST	ALA ST×4	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Lara Matta	+7.0
46	21-25	ALA ST	ALA ST×4	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Aubri Martin	+3.4
Set 4
1	0-1	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Mikalah Davis	set Kamrynn Clay	+3.2
2	0-2	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Mikalah Davis	set Mirra Riddle	+4.2
3	1-2	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+3.2
4	1-3	MERCER	ALA ST	Serve err	MERCER server		+3.6
5	1-4	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Lyric Edwards	set Kamrynn Clay	+4.5
6	2-4	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Aubri Martin	+3.3
7	2-5	MERCER	ALA ST×3	Serve err	MERCER server		+3.9
8	2-6	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Attack err	Avery Wilks		+4.7
9	2-7	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Attack err	Brooklyn Palmer		+4.6
10	3-7	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+3.2
11	3-8	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+4.0
12	4-8	ALA ST	MERCER	Serve err	ALA ST server		+3.2
13	4-9	MERCER	ALA ST	Attack err	Brooklyn Palmer		+4.0
14	4-10	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+4.5
15	5-10	ALA ST	MERCER	Attack err	Mikalah Davis		+2.9
16	5-11	MERCER	ALA ST×3	Attack err	Lara Matta		+3.8
17	5-12	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Aubri Martin	+4.0
18	5-13	ALA ST	ALA ST×3	Attack err	Mikayla Miessler		+3.4
19	6-13	ALA ST	MERCER	Serve err	ALA ST server		+1.9
20	6-14	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Mikalah Davis	set Kamrynn Clay	+2.8
21	7-14	ALA ST	MERCER×3	Kill	Lara Matta	set Aubri Martin	+1.8
22	8-14	MERCER	MERCER×3	Attack err	Mikalah Davis	blk Avery Wilks, Sammi Bergjans	+2.8
23	9-14	MERCER	MERCER×3	Attack err	Mikalah Davis		+3.5
24	9-15	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Mikalah Davis	set Kamrynn Clay	+3.9
25	10-15	ALA ST	MERCER×4	Kill	Lara Matta	set Aubri Martin	+2.8
26	11-15	MERCER	MERCER×4	Kill	Lara Matta	set Aubri Martin	+4.1
27	12-15	MERCER	MERCER×4	Ace	MERCER server	aced Team	+4.8
28	13-15	MERCER	MERCER×4	Attack err	Makeda Edwards		+5.4
29	13-16	MERCER	ALA ST	Attack err	Lara Matta	blk Amaya Robinson, Lyric Edwards	+5.6
30	14-16	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Aubri Martin	+4.5
31	15-16	MERCER	MERCER	Ace	MERCER server	aced Team	+6.1
32	15-17	MERCER	ALA ST	Attack err	Avery Wilks		+6.1
33	16-17	ALA ST	MERCER×3	Kill	Mikayla Miessler	set Sammi Bergjans	+5.2
34	17-17	MERCER	MERCER×3	Attack err	Makeda Edwards		+6.8
35	18-17	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo		+6.7
36	18-18	MERCER	ALA ST	Attack err	Mikayla Miessler		+5.9
37	18-19	ALA ST	ALA ST	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Mikayla Miessler	+8.3
38	19-19	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+6.4
39	19-20	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+7.6
40	20-20	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+7.0
41	21-20	MERCER	MERCER	Attack err	Lyric Edwards		+8.9
42	21-21	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Mikalah Davis	set Kamrynn Clay	+7.6
43	22-21	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Aubri Martin	+8.3
44	22-22	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Kamrynn Clay	+8.6
45	23-22	ALA ST	MERCER×3	Kill	Aubri Martin		+9.9
46	24-22	MERCER	MERCER×3	Ace	MERCER server	aced Team	+10.7
47	25-22	MERCER	MERCER×3	Ace	MERCER server	aced Mirra Riddle	+6.3
Set 5
1	0-1	ALA ST	ALA ST	Ace	ALA ST server	aced Team	+8.1
2	0-2	ALA ST	ALA ST	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Mirra Riddle	+8.8
3	1-2	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Avery Wilks	set Sammi Bergjans	+6.5
4	1-3	MERCER	ALA ST	Serve err	MERCER server		+7.6
5	1-4	ALA ST	ALA ST	Bad set	Aubri Martin		+9.4
6	2-4	ALA ST	MERCER	Bad set	Amaya Robinson		+6.6
7	2-5	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Kamrynn Clay	+8.2
8	3-5	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Avery Wilks	set Sammi Bergjans	+6.8
9	4-5	MERCER	MERCER	Ace	MERCER server	aced Mirra Riddle	+9.0
10	4-6	MERCER	ALA ST	Serve err	MERCER server		+8.8
11	5-6	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+7.7
12	6-6	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+9.8
13	6-7	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+9.2
14	7-7	ALA ST	MERCER	Attack err	Kaylen Hines	blk Joselynn Sanjurjo	+8.5
15	7-8	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Mikalah Davis	set Kamrynn Clay	+9.8
16	7-9	ALA ST	ALA ST	Attack err	Sammi Bergjans	blk Lyric Edwards	+12.7
17	8-9	ALA ST	MERCER	Serve err	ALA ST server		+8.9
18	9-9	MERCER	MERCER	Attack err	Mikalah Davis		+12.1
19	9-10	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Mikalah Davis	set Kamrynn Clay	+11.6
20	10-10	ALA ST	MERCER	Attack err	Mikalah Davis	blk Avery Wilks, Sammi Bergjans	+10.8
21	10-11	MERCER	ALA ST	Serve err	MERCER server		+13.0
22	11-11	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Aubri Martin	+12.0
23	11-12	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Amaya Robinson	set Kamrynn Clay	+14.8
24	12-12	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+13.8
25	12-13	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+17.8
26	13-13	ALA ST	MERCER	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+16.5
27	13-14	MERCER	ALA ST	Kill	Kaylen Hines	set Kamrynn Clay	+23.0
28	14-14	ALA ST	MERCER×3	Kill	Mikayla Miessler	set Sammi Bergjans	+23.0
29	15-14	MERCER	MERCER×3	Attack err	Kaylen Hines	blk Joselynn Sanjurjo	+24.2
30	16-14	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+20.8

Score shown after each rally, Mercer first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.