Mercer def. Alabama St. 3–2
Mercer beat Alabama St. 3-2 (22-25, 25-16, 21-25, 25-22, 16-14) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026 at a neutral site. Mercer's Lara Matta led with 25 kills, and Aubri Martin added 17 digs.
Data through · final Aug 29
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MERCER | 22 | 25 | 21 | 25 | 16 | 3 |
| ALA ST | 25 | 16 | 25 | 22 | 14 | 2 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 23.3% to Mercer — set 5, MERCER 14-14 ALA ST. Kill by Mikayla Miessler (set by Sammi Bergjans). ALA ST win probability 65% → 42%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Mercer wins
Alabama St. wins
- MERCER break %
- 50.1% vs this opp
- ALA ST break %
- 39.9% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Mikayla MiesslerKill+23.3%
Kill by Mikayla Miessler (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 5 · MERCER 14-14 ALA ST · MERCER 35% → 58%
- 02Kaylen HinesKill+23.3%
Kill by Kaylen Hines (set by Kamrynn Clay)
Set 5 · MERCER 13-14 ALA ST · ALA ST 42% → 65%
- 03Joselynn SanjurjoBlock+23.2%
Kaylen Hines stuffed by Joselynn Sanjurjo
Set 5 · MERCER 15-14 ALA ST · MERCER 58% → 82%
- 04Lara MattaKill+18.4%
Kill by Lara Matta (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 5 · MERCER 16-14 ALA ST · MERCER 82% → 100%
- 05Kaylen HinesKill+17.9%
Kill by Kaylen Hines (set by Kamrynn Clay)
Set 5 · MERCER 12-13 ALA ST · ALA ST 40% → 58%
- 06Brooklyn PalmerKill+16.3%
Kill by Brooklyn Palmer (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 5 · MERCER 13-13 ALA ST · MERCER 42% → 58%
- 07Amaya RobinsonKill+14.9%
Kill by Amaya Robinson (set by Kamrynn Clay)
Set 5 · MERCER 11-12 ALA ST · ALA ST 38% → 53%
- 08Brooklyn PalmerKill+13.4%
Kill by Brooklyn Palmer (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 5 · MERCER 12-12 ALA ST · MERCER 47% → 60%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 25 | 3 | 60 | .367 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 27 | |
| 5 | 12 | 1 | 31 | .355 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 14.5 | |
| 5 | 12 | 3 | 28 | .321 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | .000 | 44 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | -.040 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 10 | 3 | 18 | .389 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -.167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -.250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 67 | 20 | 185 | .254 | 61 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 109 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 15 | 2 | 36 | .361 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | |
| 5 | 10 | 7 | 38 | .079 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| 5 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 3 | 17 | .294 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 45 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | .143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 52 | 23 | 165 | .176 | 47 | 12 | 8 | 77 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 102 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
22-25
Set 2
25-16
Set 3
21-25
Set 4
25-22
Set 5
16-14
Bars above the line = Alabama St. leads, below = Mercer leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Mercer
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 54%13/24 | 42%8/19 |
| 2 | 76%13/17 | 41%9/22 |
| 3 | 61%11/18 | 48%10/21 |
| 4 | 79%11/14 | 27%4/15 |
| 5 | 67%10/15 | 39%7/18 |
| 6 | 60%9/15 | 31%4/13 |
| All | 65%67/103 | 39%42/108 |
Alabama St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 59%13/22 | 54%13/24 |
| 2 | 68%13/19 | 24%4/17 |
| 3 | 52%11/21 | 32%6/19 |
| 4 | 85%11/13 | 27%4/15 |
| 5 | 53%9/17 | 29%4/14 |
| 6 | 56%9/16 | 36%5/14 |
| All | 61%66/108 | 35%36/103 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
211 rallies
| # | MERCER-ALA ST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | ALA ST | ALA ST | Attack err | Lara Matta | +1.1 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | ALA ST | MERCER×5 | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.8 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Ace | Mercer | aced Amaya Robinson | +0.9 |
| 4 | 3-1 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.8 |
| 5 | 4-1 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Attack err | Mikalah Davis | +0.7 | |
| 6 | 5-1 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Blocked | Mikalah Davis | blk Avery Wilks, Sammi Bergjans | +0.6 |
| 7 | 5-2 | MERCER | ALA ST | Serve err | Mercer | +0.5 | |
| 8 | 6-2 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.5 |
| 9 | 6-3 | MERCER | ALA ST | Serve err | Mercer | +0.5 | |
| 10 | 7-3 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.5 |
| 11 | 7-4 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Amaya Robinson | set Kamrynn Clay | +0.5 |
| 12 | 8-4 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Ipek Ulukutlu | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.5 |
| 13 | 8-5 | MERCER | ALA ST×3 | Kill | Makeda Edwards | set Kamrynn Clay | +0.5 |
| 14 | 8-6 | ALA ST | ALA ST×3 | Ace | Alabama St. | aced Ipek Ulukutlu | +0.8 |
| 15 | 8-7 | ALA ST | ALA ST×3 | Ace | Alabama St. | aced Ipek Ulukutlu | +1.0 |
| 16 | 9-7 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Mikalah Davis | set Taylor Williams | +0.8 |
| 17 | 9-8 | MERCER | ALA ST | Serve err | Mercer | +0.9 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | ALA ST | MERCER | Serve err | Alabama St. | +0.8 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Mikalah Davis | set Kamrynn Clay | +0.9 |
| 20 | 11-9 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Aubri Martin | +0.9 |
| 21 | 11-10 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Amaya Robinson | set Kamrynn Clay | +0.9 |
| 22 | 11-11 | ALA ST | ALA ST | Ace | Alabama St. | aced Sarah Frager | +1.4 |
| 23 | 12-11 | ALA ST | MERCER | Attack err | Amaya Robinson | +1.1 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | MERCER | ALA ST | Serve err | Mercer | +1.2 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.1 |
| 26 | 14-12 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Kamrynn Clay | +1.3 |
| 27 | 14-13 | MERCER | ALA ST | Serve err | Mercer | +1.1 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | ALA ST | MERCER | Serve err | Alabama St. | +1.1 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | MERCER | ALA ST | Attack err | Taylor Timko | +1.1 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.1 |
| 31 | 16-15 | MERCER | ALA ST | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +1.2 | |
| 32 | 17-15 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.2 |
| 33 | 17-16 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Mikalah Davis | set Kamrynn Clay | +1.2 |
| 34 | 18-16 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.3 |
| 35 | 19-16 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | +1.3 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Mikalah Davis | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.9 |
| 37 | 20-17 | ALA ST | MERCER | Blocked | Julia Slaughter | blk Avery Wilks, Lara Matta | +1.1 |
| 38 | 20-18 | MERCER | ALA ST×3 | Attack err | Avery Wilks | +1.0 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | ALA ST | ALA ST×3 | Attack err | Avery Wilks | +1.7 | |
| 40 | 20-20 | ALA ST | ALA ST×3 | Attack err | Avery Wilks | +2.4 | |
| 41 | 21-20 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.1 |
| 42 | 21-21 | MERCER | ALA ST×3 | Serve err | Mercer | +2.3 | |
| 43 | 21-22 | ALA ST | ALA ST×3 | Kill | Kaylen Hines | set Kamrynn Clay | +3.6 |
| 44 | 21-23 | ALA ST | ALA ST×3 | Ace | Alabama St. | aced Aubri Martin | +4.1 |
| 45 | 22-23 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.4 |
| 46 | 22-24 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Kaylen Hines | set Kamrynn Clay | +4.1 |
| 47 | 22-25 | ALA ST | ALA ST | Attack err | Ipek Ulukutlu | +3.6 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MERCER | MERCER | Ace | Mercer | aced Taylor Williams | +1.8 |
| 2 | 2-0 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.6 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MERCER | ALA ST | Serve err | Mercer | +1.4 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.4 |
| 5 | 3-2 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Lyric Edwards | set Kamrynn Clay | +1.5 |
| 6 | 4-2 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.4 |
| 7 | 4-3 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Lyric Edwards | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.5 |
| 8 | 5-3 | ALA ST | MERCER | Serve err | Alabama St. | +1.5 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Kaylen Hines | set Kamrynn Clay | +1.6 |
| 10 | 5-5 | ALA ST | ALA ST | Attack err | Mikayla Miessler | +2.3 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Mikayla Miessler | set Aubri Martin | +1.7 |
| 12 | 6-6 | MERCER | ALA ST | Serve err | Mercer | +2.0 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | ALA ST | MERCER×3 | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.8 |
| 14 | 8-6 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Sammi Bergjans | set Mikayla Miessler | +2.0 |
| 15 | 9-6 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Mikayla Miessler | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.7 |
| 16 | 9-7 | MERCER | ALA ST | Serve err | Mercer | +1.4 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Mikayla Miessler | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.4 |
| 18 | 10-8 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Denver Watkins | set Kamrynn Clay | +1.5 |
| 19 | 11-8 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.5 |
| 20 | 11-9 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Amaya Robinson | set Kamrynn Clay | +1.5 |
| 21 | 12-9 | ALA ST | MERCER | Blocked | Amaya Robinson | blk Avery Wilks, Lara Matta | +1.5 |
| 22 | 12-10 | MERCER | ALA ST | Attack err | Avery Wilks | +1.6 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | ALA ST | MERCER | Attack err | Makeda Edwards | +1.6 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Kaylen Hines | set Kamrynn Clay | +1.6 |
| 25 | 14-11 | ALA ST | MERCER×5 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Aubri Martin | +1.7 |
| 26 | 15-11 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.7 |
| 27 | 16-11 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Kill | Mikayla Miessler | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.3 |
| 28 | 17-11 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.9 |
| 29 | 18-11 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | +0.5 | |
| 30 | 18-12 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Kaylen Hines | set Kamrynn Clay | +0.3 |
| 31 | 19-12 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Mikayla Miessler | set Aubri Martin | +0.4 |
| 32 | 19-13 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Denver Watkins | set Kamrynn Clay | +0.3 |
| 33 | 19-14 | ALA ST | ALA ST | Kill | Denver Watkins | set Kamrynn Clay | +0.6 |
| 34 | 20-14 | ALA ST | MERCER | Blocked | Denver Watkins | blk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Sammi Bergjans | +0.6 |
| 35 | 20-15 | MERCER | ALA ST | Serve err | Mercer | +0.4 | |
| 36 | 21-15 | ALA ST | MERCER | Serve err | Alabama St. | +0.6 | |
| 37 | 22-15 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | Lara Matta | +0.4 | |
| 38 | 22-16 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Amaya Robinson | set Kamrynn Clay | +0.1 |
| 39 | 23-16 | ALA ST | MERCER×3 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.2 |
| 40 | 24-16 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | Makeda Edwards | +0.1 | |
| 41 | 25-16 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sarah Frager | · |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | ALA ST | ALA ST×4 | Ace | Alabama St. | aced Lara Matta | +2.0 |
| 2 | 0-2 | ALA ST | ALA ST×4 | Kill | Denver Watkins | set Kamrynn Clay | +2.3 |
| 3 | 0-3 | ALA ST | ALA ST×4 | Ace | Alabama St. | +2.5 | |
| 4 | 0-4 | ALA ST | ALA ST×4 | Kill | Denver Watkins | +2.7 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.8 |
| 6 | 2-4 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | Denver Watkins | +2.3 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Lyric Edwards | set Kamrynn Clay | +2.2 |
| 8 | 2-6 | ALA ST | ALA ST | Ace | Alabama St. | aced Lara Matta | +2.8 |
| 9 | 3-6 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.9 |
| 10 | 4-6 | MERCER | MERCER | Ace | Mercer | aced Makeda Edwards | +2.4 |
| 11 | 4-7 | MERCER | ALA ST×3 | Kill | Julia Slaughter | set Kamrynn Clay | +2.4 |
| 12 | 4-8 | ALA ST | ALA ST×3 | Attack err | Bella Pons | +3.0 | |
| 13 | 4-9 | ALA ST | ALA ST×3 | Kill | Makeda Edwards | set Kamrynn Clay | +3.1 |
| 14 | 5-9 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.0 |
| 15 | 5-10 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Kaylen Hines | set Kamrynn Clay | +2.6 |
| 16 | 6-10 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Mikayla Miessler | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.0 |
| 17 | 6-11 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Makeda Edwards | set Kamrynn Clay | +2.7 |
| 18 | 7-11 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Mikayla Miessler | set Joselynn Sanjurjo | +2.0 |
| 19 | 7-12 | MERCER | ALA ST×3 | Serve err | Mercer | +2.7 | |
| 20 | 7-13 | ALA ST | ALA ST×3 | Kill | Lyric Edwards | set Julia Slaughter | +3.1 |
| 21 | 7-14 | ALA ST | ALA ST×3 | Kill | Lyric Edwards | +2.8 | |
| 22 | 8-14 | ALA ST | MERCER | Attack err | Denver Watkins | +1.6 | |
| 23 | 8-15 | MERCER | ALA ST | Serve err | Mercer | +2.3 | |
| 24 | 9-15 | ALA ST | MERCER | Attack err | Lara Matta | +1.5 | |
| 25 | 9-16 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Denver Watkins | set Kamrynn Clay | +2.3 |
| 26 | 10-16 | ALA ST | MERCER×3 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.4 |
| 27 | 11-16 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Mirra Riddle | +2.2 |
| 28 | 12-16 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Ace | Mercer | aced Mirra Riddle | +2.6 |
| 29 | 12-17 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Lyric Edwards | set Kamrynn Clay | +3.0 |
| 30 | 12-18 | ALA ST | ALA ST | Kill | Kaylen Hines | set Kamrynn Clay | +3.1 |
| 31 | 13-18 | ALA ST | MERCER | Attack err | Amaya Robinson | +1.6 | |
| 32 | 14-18 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Mikayla Miessler | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.6 |
| 33 | 14-19 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Kaylen Hines | set Kamrynn Clay | +3.1 |
| 34 | 15-19 | ALA ST | MERCER | Serve err | Alabama St. | +2.0 | |
| 35 | 15-20 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Makeda Edwards | set Kamrynn Clay | +3.1 |
| 36 | 16-20 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Brooklyn Palmer | +1.9 |
| 37 | 16-21 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Kaylen Hines | set Kamrynn Clay | +3.1 |
| 38 | 17-21 | ALA ST | MERCER×5 | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.7 |
| 39 | 18-21 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.9 |
| 40 | 19-21 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Attack err | Denver Watkins | +3.9 | |
| 41 | 20-21 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Brooklyn Palmer | +4.9 |
| 42 | 21-21 | MERCER | MERCER×5 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Joselynn Sanjurjo | +5.6 |
| 43 | 21-22 | MERCER | ALA ST×4 | Kill | Mikalah Davis | set Kamrynn Clay | +5.7 |
| 44 | 21-23 | ALA ST | ALA ST×4 | Blocked | Joselynn Sanjurjo | blk Mikalah Davis, Lyric Edwards | +7.7 |
| 45 | 21-24 | ALA ST | ALA ST×4 | Ace | Alabama St. | aced Lara Matta | +6.7 |
| 46 | 21-25 | ALA ST | ALA ST×4 | Ace | Alabama St. | aced Aubri Martin | +3.4 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Mikalah Davis | set Kamrynn Clay | +3.2 |
| 2 | 0-2 | ALA ST | ALA ST | Kill | Mikalah Davis | set Mirra Riddle | +4.3 |
| 3 | 1-2 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.1 |
| 4 | 1-3 | MERCER | ALA ST | Serve err | Mercer | +3.7 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | ALA ST | ALA ST | Kill | Lyric Edwards | set Kamrynn Clay | +4.9 |
| 6 | 2-4 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Aubri Martin | +3.4 |
| 7 | 2-5 | MERCER | ALA ST×3 | Serve err | Mercer | +4.2 | |
| 8 | 2-6 | ALA ST | ALA ST×3 | Attack err | Avery Wilks | +5.3 | |
| 9 | 2-7 | ALA ST | ALA ST×3 | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +5.5 | |
| 10 | 3-7 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +3.6 |
| 11 | 3-8 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Kaylen Hines | set Kamrynn Clay | +4.7 |
| 12 | 4-8 | ALA ST | MERCER | Serve err | Alabama St. | +3.7 | |
| 13 | 4-9 | MERCER | ALA ST | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +4.8 | |
| 14 | 4-10 | ALA ST | ALA ST | Kill | Kaylen Hines | set Kamrynn Clay | +5.6 |
| 15 | 5-10 | ALA ST | MERCER | Attack err | Mikalah Davis | +3.5 | |
| 16 | 5-11 | MERCER | ALA ST×3 | Attack err | Lara Matta | +4.8 | |
| 17 | 5-12 | ALA ST | ALA ST×3 | Ace | Alabama St. | aced Aubri Martin | +5.3 |
| 18 | 5-13 | ALA ST | ALA ST×3 | Attack err | Mikayla Miessler | +4.6 | |
| 19 | 6-13 | ALA ST | MERCER | Serve err | Alabama St. | +2.5 | |
| 20 | 6-14 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Mikalah Davis | set Kamrynn Clay | +3.8 |
| 21 | 7-14 | ALA ST | MERCER×3 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Aubri Martin | +2.4 |
| 22 | 8-14 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Blocked | Mikalah Davis | blk Avery Wilks, Sammi Bergjans | +3.7 |
| 23 | 9-14 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | Mikalah Davis | +4.3 | |
| 24 | 9-15 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Mikalah Davis | set Kamrynn Clay | +5.0 |
| 25 | 10-15 | ALA ST | MERCER×4 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Aubri Martin | +3.4 |
| 26 | 11-15 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Aubri Martin | +5.0 |
| 27 | 12-15 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Ace | Mercer | +5.6 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Attack err | Makeda Edwards | +6.1 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | MERCER | ALA ST | Blocked | Lara Matta | blk Amaya Robinson, Lyric Edwards | +6.4 |
| 30 | 14-16 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Aubri Martin | +5.1 |
| 31 | 15-16 | MERCER | MERCER | Ace | Mercer | +6.7 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | MERCER | ALA ST | Attack err | Avery Wilks | +6.8 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | ALA ST | MERCER×3 | Kill | Mikayla Miessler | set Sammi Bergjans | +5.7 |
| 34 | 17-17 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | Makeda Edwards | +7.2 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | +6.9 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | MERCER | ALA ST | Attack err | Mikayla Miessler | +6.1 | |
| 37 | 18-19 | ALA ST | ALA ST | Ace | Alabama St. | aced Mikayla Miessler | +9.0 |
| 38 | 19-19 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +6.8 |
| 39 | 19-20 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Kaylen Hines | set Kamrynn Clay | +8.3 |
| 40 | 20-20 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +7.5 |
| 41 | 21-20 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | Lyric Edwards | +9.3 | |
| 42 | 21-21 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Mikalah Davis | set Kamrynn Clay | +8.1 |
| 43 | 22-21 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Aubri Martin | +8.5 |
| 44 | 22-22 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Amaya Robinson | set Kamrynn Clay | +9.2 |
| 45 | 23-22 | ALA ST | MERCER×3 | Kill | Aubri Martin | +10.3 | |
| 46 | 24-22 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Ace | Mercer | +10.6 | |
| 47 | 25-22 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Ace | Mercer | aced Mirra Riddle | +5.9 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | ALA ST | ALA ST | Ace | Alabama St. | +7.7 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | ALA ST | ALA ST | Kill | Amaya Robinson | set Mirra Riddle | +8.6 |
| 3 | 1-2 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +6.2 |
| 4 | 1-3 | MERCER | ALA ST | Serve err | Mercer | +7.6 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | ALA ST | ALA ST | Bad set | Aubri Martin | +9.7 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | ALA ST | MERCER | Bad set | Amaya Robinson | +6.5 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Amaya Robinson | set Kamrynn Clay | +8.5 |
| 8 | 3-5 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +6.8 |
| 9 | 4-5 | MERCER | MERCER | Ace | Mercer | aced Mirra Riddle | +8.9 |
| 10 | 4-6 | MERCER | ALA ST | Serve err | Mercer | +8.9 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +7.5 |
| 12 | 6-6 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +9.4 |
| 13 | 6-7 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Kaylen Hines | set Kamrynn Clay | +8.9 |
| 14 | 7-7 | ALA ST | MERCER | Blocked | Kaylen Hines | blk Joselynn Sanjurjo | +8.0 |
| 15 | 7-8 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Mikalah Davis | set Kamrynn Clay | +9.6 |
| 16 | 7-9 | ALA ST | ALA ST | Blocked | Sammi Bergjans | blk Lyric Edwards | +13.0 |
| 17 | 8-9 | ALA ST | MERCER | Serve err | Alabama St. | +8.9 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | Mikalah Davis | +11.8 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Mikalah Davis | set Kamrynn Clay | +11.5 |
| 20 | 10-10 | ALA ST | MERCER | Blocked | Mikalah Davis | blk Avery Wilks, Sammi Bergjans | +10.4 |
| 21 | 10-11 | MERCER | ALA ST | Serve err | Mercer | +12.9 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Aubri Martin | +11.6 |
| 23 | 11-12 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Amaya Robinson | set Kamrynn Clay | +14.9 |
| 24 | 12-12 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +13.4 |
| 25 | 12-13 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Kaylen Hines | set Kamrynn Clay | +17.9 |
| 26 | 13-13 | ALA ST | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +16.3 |
| 27 | 13-14 | MERCER | ALA ST | Kill | Kaylen Hines | set Kamrynn Clay | +23.3 |
| 28 | 14-14 | ALA ST | MERCER×3 | Kill | Mikayla Miessler | set Sammi Bergjans | +23.3 |
| 29 | 15-14 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Blocked | Kaylen Hines | blk Joselynn Sanjurjo | +23.2 |
| 30 | 16-14 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +18.4 |
Score shown after each rally, Mercer first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).