Mercer def. Florida A&M 3–0
(25-12, 25-21, 25-23)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FL A&M | 12 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| MERCER | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 2.6% to Mercer — set 3, FL A&M 23-25 MERCER. Kill by Brooklyn Palmer (set by Sammi Bergjans). MERCER win probability 97% → 100%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Florida A&M wins
Mercer wins
- FL A&M break %
- 43.3% vs this opp
- MERCER break %
- 48.3% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Brooklyn PalmerKill+2.6%
Kill by Brooklyn Palmer (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 3 · FL A&M 23-25 MERCER · MERCER 97% → 100%
- 02Lara MattaKill+2.5%
Kill by Lara Matta (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 2 · FL A&M 19-21 MERCER · MERCER 87% → 90%
- 03Taylor TimkoKill+2.5%
Kill by Taylor Timko (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 3 · FL A&M 22-24 MERCER · MERCER 96% → 99%
- 04LaDonna TranthamAttack error+2.5%
Attack error by LaDonna Trantham
Set 2 · FL A&M 19-22 MERCER · MERCER 90% → 92%
- 05Brooklyn PalmerKill+2.4%
Kill by Brooklyn Palmer (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 2 · FL A&M 15-16 MERCER · MERCER 84% → 87%
- 06LaDonna TranthamAttack error+2.4%
LaDonna Trantham stuffed by Brooklyn Palmer & Avery Wilks
Set 2 · FL A&M 15-15 MERCER · MERCER 82% → 84%
- 07LaDonna TranthamKill+2.4%
Kill by LaDonna Trantham (set by Makenzie Taylor)
Set 2 · FL A&M 14-12 MERCER · FL A&M 18% → 20%
- 08Taylor TimkoKill+2.3%
Kill by Taylor Timko (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 2 · FL A&M 18-20 MERCER · MERCER 87% → 90%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 5 | 9 | 31 | -.129 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 3 | 6 | 1 | 11 | .455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | .182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | .429 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -.091 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.000 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -.286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 25 | 20 | 84 | .060 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 56 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 30 | .233 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 3 | 9 | 1 | 20 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 11.5 | |
| 3 | 9 | 3 | 15 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.000 | 37 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | .125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 13 | .231 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 44 | 16 | 91 | .308 | 41 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 75 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
12-25
Set 2
21-25
Set 3
23-25
Bars above the line = Mercer leads, below = Florida A&M leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Florida A&M
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%8/16 | 50%7/14 |
| 2 | 40%6/15 | 38%5/13 |
| 3 | 83%5/6 | 25%2/8 |
| 4 | 71%5/7 | 44%4/9 |
| 5 | 56%5/9 | 38%3/8 |
| 6 | 25%5/20 | 17%1/6 |
| All | 47%34/73 | 38%22/58 |
Mercer
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 57%8/14 | 57%8/14 |
| 2 | 58%7/12 | 61%11/18 |
| 3 | 86%6/7 | 50%6/12 |
| 4 | 63%5/8 | 29%2/7 |
| 5 | 63%5/8 | 29%2/7 |
| 6 | 56%5/9 | 67%10/15 |
| All | 62%36/58 | 53%39/73 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
131 rallies
Rally log
| # | FL A&M-MERCER | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | FL A&M | FL A&M | Ace | FL A&M server | aced Sarah Frager | +2.0 |
| 2 | 2-0 | FL A&M | FL A&M | Ace | FL A&M server | aced Sarah Frager | +2.1 |
| 3 | 2-1 | FL A&M | MERCER×4 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Attack err | Tamia Coleman | +2.0 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Attack err | Tamia Coleman | +1.9 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Ace | MERCER server | aced LaDonna Trantham | +1.8 |
| 7 | 3-4 | MERCER | FL A&M | Serve err | MERCER server | +1.5 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | FL A&M | MERCER×3 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.6 |
| 9 | 3-6 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.7 |
| 10 | 3-7 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.5 |
| 11 | 4-7 | MERCER | FL A&M | Kill | Farah Farooq | set Makenzie Taylor | +1.2 |
| 12 | 4-8 | FL A&M | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.3 |
| 13 | 5-8 | MERCER | FL A&M×3 | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +1.2 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | FL A&M | FL A&M×3 | Attack err | Taylor Timko | blk Farah Farooq, Iyonnie Sanford | +1.7 |
| 15 | 7-8 | FL A&M | FL A&M×3 | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +2.0 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | FL A&M | MERCER | Serve err | FL A&M server | +1.7 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | MERCER | FL A&M | Attack err | Taylor Timko | +1.8 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | FL A&M | MERCER×4 | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.8 |
| 19 | 8-11 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Ace | MERCER server | aced Victoria Santana | +1.9 |
| 20 | 8-12 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Aubri Martin | +1.7 |
| 21 | 8-13 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Attack err | LaDonna Trantham | +1.4 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | MERCER | FL A&M | Kill | Tamia Coleman | set Makenzie Taylor | +1.0 |
| 23 | 9-14 | FL A&M | MERCER×7 | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.2 |
| 24 | 9-15 | MERCER | MERCER×7 | Ace | MERCER server | aced Victoria Santana | +1.1 |
| 25 | 9-16 | MERCER | MERCER×7 | Attack err | LaDonna Trantham | +0.8 | |
| 26 | 9-17 | MERCER | MERCER×7 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.5 |
| 27 | 9-18 | MERCER | MERCER×7 | Attack err | LaDonna Trantham | +0.3 | |
| 28 | 9-19 | MERCER | MERCER×7 | Attack err | Tamia Coleman | blk Avery Wilks | +0.2 |
| 29 | 9-20 | MERCER | MERCER×7 | Attack err | Iyonnie Sanford | +0.1 | |
| 30 | 10-20 | MERCER | FL A&M | Serve err | MERCER server | +0.0 | |
| 31 | 10-21 | FL A&M | MERCER×3 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.1 |
| 32 | 10-22 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.0 |
| 33 | 10-23 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.0 |
| 34 | 11-23 | MERCER | FL A&M | Attack err | Lara Matta | +0.0 | |
| 35 | 12-23 | FL A&M | FL A&M | Bad set | Sammi Bergjans | +0.0 | |
| 36 | 12-24 | FL A&M | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sarah Frager | +0.0 |
| 37 | 12-25 | MERCER | MERCER | Ace | MERCER server | aced Team | +0.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MERCER | FL A&M×3 | Attack err | Lara Matta | +1.4 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | FL A&M | FL A&M×3 | Attack err | Lara Matta | +1.7 | |
| 3 | 3-0 | FL A&M | FL A&M×3 | Kill | LaDonna Trantham | set Makenzie Taylor | +1.7 |
| 4 | 3-1 | FL A&M | MERCER | Serve err | FL A&M server | +1.3 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | MERCER | FL A&M×3 | Kill | Tamia Coleman | set Makenzie Taylor | +1.5 |
| 6 | 5-1 | FL A&M | FL A&M×3 | Attack err | Taylor Timko | blk Brandi Boston | +1.8 |
| 7 | 6-1 | FL A&M | FL A&M×3 | Attack err | Avery Wilks | +1.7 | |
| 8 | 6-2 | FL A&M | MERCER | Attack err | Brandi Boston | blk Taylor Timko, Avery Wilks | +1.2 |
| 9 | 7-2 | MERCER | FL A&M | Kill | Tamia Coleman | set Makenzie Taylor | +1.5 |
| 10 | 8-2 | FL A&M | FL A&M | Attack err | Joselynn Sanjurjo | +1.6 | |
| 11 | 8-3 | FL A&M | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.1 |
| 12 | 8-4 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Taylor Timko | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.5 |
| 13 | 9-4 | MERCER | FL A&M | Serve err | MERCER server | +1.5 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | FL A&M | MERCER | Kill | Joselynn Sanjurjo | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.3 |
| 15 | 9-6 | MERCER | MERCER | Ace | MERCER server | aced Sydney Humes | +1.7 |
| 16 | 10-6 | MERCER | FL A&M | Kill | Brandi Boston | set Makenzie Taylor | +1.7 |
| 17 | 10-7 | FL A&M | MERCER×6 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.4 |
| 18 | 10-8 | MERCER | MERCER×6 | Attack err | LaDonna Trantham | +1.8 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | MERCER | MERCER×6 | Ace | MERCER server | aced Kelly Kelsick | +1.9 |
| 20 | 10-10 | MERCER | MERCER×6 | Attack err | Kelly Kelsick | +2.0 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | MERCER | MERCER×6 | Attack err | Iyonnie Sanford | +1.9 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | MERCER | MERCER×6 | Kill | Sammi Bergjans | set Aubri Martin | +1.8 |
| 23 | 11-12 | MERCER | FL A&M×4 | Serve err | MERCER server | +1.5 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | FL A&M | FL A&M×4 | Attack err | Lara Matta | +2.1 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | FL A&M | FL A&M×4 | Ace | FL A&M server | aced Aubri Martin | +2.3 |
| 26 | 14-12 | FL A&M | FL A&M×4 | Kill | LaDonna Trantham | set Makenzie Taylor | +2.4 |
| 27 | 14-13 | FL A&M | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.9 |
| 28 | 15-13 | MERCER | FL A&M | Serve err | MERCER server | +2.2 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | FL A&M | MERCER×4 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.9 |
| 30 | 15-15 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Attack err | LaDonna Trantham | blk Brooklyn Palmer, Avery Wilks | +2.4 |
| 31 | 15-16 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.4 |
| 32 | 15-17 | MERCER | MERCER×4 | Kill | Taylor Timko | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.3 |
| 33 | 16-17 | MERCER | FL A&M | Kill | Makenzie Taylor | set LaDonna Trantham | +1.9 |
| 34 | 16-18 | FL A&M | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.0 |
| 35 | 17-18 | MERCER | FL A&M | Kill | Tamia Coleman | set Makenzie Taylor | +2.0 |
| 36 | 17-19 | FL A&M | MERCER | Kill | Taylor Timko | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.2 |
| 37 | 18-19 | MERCER | FL A&M | Kill | Sydney Whitfield | set Makenzie Taylor | +2.1 |
| 38 | 18-20 | FL A&M | MERCER | Kill | Taylor Timko | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.3 |
| 39 | 19-20 | MERCER | FL A&M | Kill | Brandi Boston | set Makenzie Taylor | +2.2 |
| 40 | 19-21 | FL A&M | MERCER×3 | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.5 |
| 41 | 19-22 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | LaDonna Trantham | +2.5 | |
| 42 | 19-23 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Ace | MERCER server | aced LaDonna Trantham | +1.6 |
| 43 | 20-23 | MERCER | FL A&M | Kill | Sydney Whitfield | set Farah Farooq | +0.7 |
| 44 | 20-24 | FL A&M | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.2 |
| 45 | 21-24 | MERCER | FL A&M | Serve err | MERCER server | +0.4 | |
| 46 | 21-25 | FL A&M | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.9 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | FL A&M | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.7 |
| 2 | 0-2 | MERCER | MERCER | Ace | MERCER server | aced Sydney Humes | +0.8 |
| 3 | 1-2 | MERCER | FL A&M | Kill | LaDonna Trantham | set Kelly Kelsick | +0.6 |
| 4 | 2-2 | FL A&M | FL A&M | Ace | FL A&M server | aced Lara Matta | +0.8 |
| 5 | 2-3 | FL A&M | MERCER | Attack err | LaDonna Trantham | blk Avery Wilks, Brooklyn Palmer | +0.7 |
| 6 | 3-3 | MERCER | FL A&M | Serve err | MERCER server | +0.7 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | FL A&M | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.7 |
| 8 | 3-5 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Makenzie Taylor | +0.8 |
| 9 | 4-5 | MERCER | FL A&M | Kill | Tamia Coleman | set Makenzie Taylor | +0.7 |
| 10 | 4-6 | FL A&M | MERCER | Kill | Taylor Timko | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.7 |
| 11 | 5-6 | MERCER | FL A&M×3 | Attack err | Joselynn Sanjurjo | +0.7 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | FL A&M | FL A&M×3 | Attack err | Taylor Timko | blk Farah Farooq, Iyonnie Sanford | +0.9 |
| 13 | 7-6 | FL A&M | FL A&M×3 | Kill | Farah Farooq | set Makenzie Taylor | +1.0 |
| 14 | 7-7 | FL A&M | MERCER | Kill | Taylor Timko | set Sammi Bergjans | +0.8 |
| 15 | 8-7 | MERCER | FL A&M | Kill | Iyonnie Sanford | set Makenzie Taylor | +0.9 |
| 16 | 9-7 | FL A&M | FL A&M | Kill | Sydney Whitfield | set Simone Robinson | +1.1 |
| 17 | 9-8 | FL A&M | MERCER×3 | Serve err | FL A&M server | +0.9 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Avery Wilks | +1.0 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | Brandi Boston | +1.0 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | MERCER | FL A&M×3 | Kill | Sydney Whitfield | set Simone Robinson | +0.9 |
| 21 | 11-10 | FL A&M | FL A&M×3 | Kill | LaDonna Trantham | set Simone Robinson | +1.2 |
| 22 | 12-10 | FL A&M | FL A&M×3 | Attack err | Lara Matta | +1.2 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | FL A&M | MERCER | Attack err | LaDonna Trantham | +0.9 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | MERCER | FL A&M | Kill | Farah Farooq | set Simone Robinson | +1.1 |
| 25 | 13-12 | FL A&M | MERCER×3 | Attack err | Brandi Boston | +1.0 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | Brandi Boston | +1.2 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Aubri Martin | set Simone Robinson | +1.2 |
| 28 | 14-14 | MERCER | FL A&M | Kill | Simone Robinson | set Sydney Humes | +1.1 |
| 29 | 14-15 | FL A&M | MERCER | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.1 |
| 30 | 15-15 | MERCER | FL A&M | Serve err | MERCER server | +1.1 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | FL A&M | FL A&M | Attack err | Brooklyn Palmer | +1.5 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | FL A&M | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.2 |
| 33 | 16-17 | MERCER | MERCER | Attack err | Sydney Whitfield | +1.4 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | MERCER | FL A&M | Serve err | MERCER server | +1.2 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | FL A&M | FL A&M | Kill | Sydney Whitfield | set Sydney Humes | +1.7 |
| 36 | 18-18 | FL A&M | MERCER | Kill | Sammi Bergjans | set Brooke Kaoui | +1.3 |
| 37 | 19-18 | MERCER | FL A&M | Kill | Makenzie Taylor | set Makenzie Taylor | +1.5 |
| 38 | 19-19 | FL A&M | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.4 |
| 39 | 20-19 | MERCER | FL A&M | Kill | Sydney Whitfield | set Sydney Humes | +1.7 |
| 40 | 20-20 | FL A&M | MERCER×3 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +1.6 |
| 41 | 20-21 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Kill | Avery Wilks | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.0 |
| 42 | 20-22 | MERCER | MERCER×3 | Attack err | LaDonna Trantham | +1.8 | |
| 43 | 21-22 | MERCER | FL A&M | Serve err | MERCER server | +1.3 | |
| 44 | 22-22 | FL A&M | FL A&M | Attack err | Lara Matta | +2.3 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | FL A&M | MERCER | Kill | Lara Matta | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.3 |
| 46 | 22-24 | MERCER | MERCER | Kill | Taylor Timko | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.5 |
| 47 | 23-24 | MERCER | FL A&M | Kill | LaDonna Trantham | set Bengisu Kazazlar | +1.3 |
| 48 | 23-25 | FL A&M | MERCER | Kill | Brooklyn Palmer | set Sammi Bergjans | +2.6 |
Score shown after each rally, Florida A&M first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.