CSU Bakersfield def. California Baptist 3-0 (Oct 9)

FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: CSU Bakersfield 64.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 7:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

CSU Bakersfield won at California Baptist 3-0 (25-23, 27-25, 25-16) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Suelen Lima led CSU Bakersfield with 10 kills; California Baptist's Emery DeJong had a match-high 16.

Data through Nov 3, 4:50 PM CT · final Oct 9

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CSUBAK	25	27	25	3
CALBAP	23	25	16	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

California Baptist pushed; CSU Bakersfield held.

The match turned once; each line shows CSU Bakersfield's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ gave CSU Bakersfield 64% before first serve.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · CSU Bakersfield 14–11 California Baptist
6 straight California Baptist points turned an 11–14 deficit into a 17–14 lead.
CSU Bakersfield 72% → 53%

California Baptist above 50CSU Bakersfield belowMax swing 8.1%

CSU BakersfieldCalifornia Baptist

Sideout %: CSU Bakersfield 63.1·California Baptist 52.6
Break %: CSU Bakersfield 47.4·California Baptist 36.9
Hitting: CSU Bakersfield .220·California Baptist .088
Longest run: CSU Bakersfield 5·California Baptist 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

California Baptist above 50 · CSU Bakersfield below

Biggest swing: 8.1% to CSU Bakersfield — set 2, CSUBAK 24-23 CALBAP. Kill by Leylah Duran (set by Samantha Capinpin). CALBAP win probability 23% → 15%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CSUBAK 60.2%39.8% CALBAP

CSU Bakersfield wins

3-0

17.3%

3-1

23.0%

3-2

19.9%

California Baptist wins

3-0

8.7%

3-1

14.5%

3-2

16.6%

CSUBAK break %: 44.3% vs this opp
CALBAP break %: 42.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Leylah DuranKill+8.1%
Kill by Leylah Duran (set by Samantha Capinpin)
Set 2 · CSUBAK 24-23 CALBAP · CSUBAK 77% → 85%
02
Suelen LimaKill+7.6%
Kill by Suelen Lima (set by Samantha Capinpin)
Set 2 · CSUBAK 27-25 CALBAP · CSUBAK 85% → 92%
03
Emery DeJong&Filippa BotcherBlock+6.7%
Anna Bacchin stuffed by Emery DeJong & Filippa Botcher
Set 2 · CSUBAK 22-23 CALBAP · CALBAP 21% → 28%
04
California BaptistService error+6.4%
California Baptist service error
Set 1 · CSUBAK 25-23 CALBAP · CSUBAK 73% → 80%
05
Filippa BotcherBlock+6.0%
Ana Franca Benjamin stuffed by Filippa Botcher
Set 2 · CSUBAK 24-24 CALBAP · CALBAP 15% → 21%
06
Ana Franca BenjaminKill+6.0%
Kill by Ana Franca Benjamin (set by Luiza Da Cruz)
Set 2 · CSUBAK 25-24 CALBAP · CSUBAK 79% → 85%
07
Emery DeJongKill+6.0%
Kill by Emery DeJong (set by Maria Contreras)
Set 2 · CSUBAK 25-25 CALBAP · CALBAP 15% → 21%
08
Suelen LimaKill+6.0%
Kill by Suelen Lima (set by Ana Franca Benjamin)
Set 2 · CSUBAK 26-25 CALBAP · CSUBAK 79% → 85%

Box score

Official NCAA box

CSU Bakersfieldaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Suelen LimaOH	3	10	5	30	.167	1	0	1	7	0	1	4	3	13
3Ana Franca BenjaminOH	3	9	2	33	.212	3	2	0	6	0	0	0	0	11
6Anna BacchinOH	3	7	3	19	.211	0	0	1	3	1	2	2	3	10
19Leylah DuranMB	3	8	2	16	.375	0	0	1	1	0	0	4	2	10
20Jordyn Waite-WardMB	3	7	4	18	.167	1	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
1Luiza Da CruzS	3	1	0	2	.500	31	0	0	7	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
15Samantha CapinpinS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	10	1	0	0	0	1
5Analiese GaglianoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	3	1	0	0	0	0
11Boden LiljedahlL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	8	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	16	118	.220	39	3	8	47	4	3	14	10	77

California Baptisthome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
19Emery DeJongOH	3	16	9	39	.179	0	2	1	15	1	0	1	0.5	18.5
13Eleftheria BaxaOH	3	5	2	17	.176	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	7
5Bella BreuerMB	3	4	2	13	.154	0	0	0	2	0	1	3	2.5	6.5
12Audrey HeiringOH	3	5	7	23	-.087	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	6
7Avery BarberS	3	1	0	2	.500	23	1	3	6	0	0	0	0	2
17Daria ChekhovskikhMB	1	0	0	4	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
22Jagoda BialekL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	7	1	0	0	0	0
9Mia RossmanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	10	0	0	0	0	0
2Nika SafaviOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
11Anaiya CampbellOH	2	2	2	9	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
3Devyn MasiL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
8Filippa BotcherMB	1	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	3
18Jana CetkovicMB	1	0	1	1	-1.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Maria ContrerasS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	24	113	.088	32	4	6	47	3	2	10	7	64

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

CSU Bakersfield vs California Baptist

Season series · CSU Bakersfield leads 1-0

Fri, Oct 9, 2026CSU Bakersfield at California Baptist · CSU Bakersfield won 3-0This match
Sat, Nov 7, 2026California Baptist at CSU BakersfieldPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 CSUBAK · CALBAP 6

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 4 CSUBAKCALBAP 6

Set 2

27-25

Longest run 3 CSUBAKCALBAP 3

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 5 CSUBAKCALBAP 3

Bars above the line = California Baptist leads, below = CSU Bakersfield leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

CSU Bakersfield

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	41%7/17	40%4/10
2	54%7/13	36%4/11
3	70%7/10	59%10/17
4	100%7/7	50%7/14
5	88%7/8	46%6/13
6	60%6/10	45%5/11
All	63%41/65	47%36/76

California Baptist

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	56%9/16
2	58%7/12	50%7/14
3	41%7/17	46%6/13
4	50%7/14	13%1/8
5	50%6/12	0%0/7
6	60%6/10	14%1/7
All	53%40/76	37%24/65

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

141 rallies

#	CSUBAK-CALBAP	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Blocked	Audrey Heiring	blk Leylah Duran, Anna Bacchin	+2.3
2	1-1	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Audrey Heiring	set Avery Barber	+1.7
3	2-1	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Attack err	Audrey Heiring		+1.7
4	3-1	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Eleftheria Baxa		+2.2
5	3-2	CSUBAK	CALBAP×5	Kill	Bella Breuer	set Avery Barber	+1.6
6	3-3	CALBAP	CALBAP×5	Kill	Audrey Heiring	set Mia Rossman	+2.4
7	3-4	CALBAP	CALBAP×5	Kill	Audrey Heiring	set Avery Barber	+2.5
8	3-5	CALBAP	CALBAP×5	Kill	Audrey Heiring	set Avery Barber	+2.6
9	3-6	CALBAP	CALBAP×5	Attack err	Leylah Duran		+2.6
10	4-6	CALBAP	CSUBAK×4	Blocked	Audrey Heiring	blk Anna Bacchin	+1.8
11	5-6	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Jordyn Waite-Ward	+2.5
12	6-6	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Suelen Lima	+2.6
13	7-6	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.6
14	7-7	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+2.0
15	8-7	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.0
16	8-8	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Bella Breuer	set Avery Barber	+2.0
17	9-8	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.0
18	10-8	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Ace	CSU Bakersfield	aced Jagoda Bialek	+2.7
19	10-9	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Avery Barber	+1.9
20	10-10	CALBAP	CALBAP	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+2.9
21	11-10	CALBAP	CSUBAK×3	Blocked	Emery DeJong	blk Luiza Da Cruz, Jordyn Waite-Ward	+2.2
22	12-10	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.9
23	13-10	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Attack err	Emery DeJong		+2.6
24	13-11	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Avery Barber	+1.8
25	14-11	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Ana Franca Benjamin	+2.0
26	14-12	CSUBAK	CALBAP×6	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Avery Barber	+1.8
27	14-13	CALBAP	CALBAP×6	Blocked	Anna Bacchin	blk Bella Breuer, Eleftheria Baxa	+2.9
28	14-14	CALBAP	CALBAP×6	Kill	Audrey Heiring	set Avery Barber	+3.4
29	14-15	CALBAP	CALBAP×6	Blocked	Suelen Lima	blk Bella Breuer, Eleftheria Baxa	+3.7
30	14-16	CALBAP	CALBAP×6	Bad set	Luiza Da Cruz		+3.8
31	14-17	CALBAP	CALBAP×6	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa		+3.6
32	15-17	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.2
33	16-17	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Eleftheria Baxa		+3.6
34	16-18	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Avery Barber	+3.2
35	17-18	CALBAP	CSUBAK×3	Serve err	California Baptist		+2.8
36	18-18	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Attack err	Bella Breuer		+4.3
37	19-18	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Attack err	Emery DeJong		+4.5
38	19-19	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Attack err	Ana Franca Benjamin		+3.4
39	20-19	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+3.6
40	20-20	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Avery Barber	+3.6
41	21-20	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+4.0
42	22-20	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Audrey Heiring		+5.1
43	22-21	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Avery Barber	+3.0
44	23-21	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+4.2
45	24-21	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Emery DeJong		+3.9
46	24-22	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Avery Barber	+1.2
47	24-23	CALBAP	CALBAP	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+3.8
48	25-23	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Serve err	California Baptist		+6.4
Set 2
1	0-1	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Blocked	Anna Bacchin	blk Eleftheria Baxa, Bella Breuer	+2.1
2	0-2	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+2.1
3	0-3	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Blocked	Jordyn Waite-Ward	blk Bella Breuer	+2.1
4	1-3	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Blocked	Audrey Heiring	blk Jordyn Waite-Ward, Suelen Lima	+1.5
5	2-3	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Audrey Heiring		+2.1
6	2-4	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+1.7
7	2-5	CALBAP	CALBAP	Ace	California Baptist	aced Boden Liljedahl	+2.2
8	3-5	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.5
9	3-6	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Avery Barber	+1.7
10	4-6	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.5
11	5-6	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.2
12	5-7	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+1.8
13	6-7	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.7
14	6-8	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Avery Barber	+1.9
15	7-8	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Luiza Da Cruz	set Ana Franca Benjamin	+1.7
16	7-9	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Filippa Botcher	set Maria Contreras	+1.9
17	8-9	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Attack err	Audrey Heiring		+1.8
18	9-9	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima		+2.5
19	9-10	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+2.0
20	10-10	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Serve err	California Baptist		+1.9
21	10-11	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+2.0
22	10-12	CALBAP	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Eleftheria Baxa	+2.8
23	11-12	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.9
24	12-12	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.8
25	12-13	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+2.2
26	12-14	CALBAP	CALBAP	Blocked	Leylah Duran	blk Filippa Botcher, Eleftheria Baxa	+3.0
27	13-14	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.1
28	13-15	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Avery Barber	+2.4
29	14-15	CALBAP	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.1
30	15-15	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Ace	CSU Bakersfield		+3.2
31	16-15	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Blocked	Filippa Botcher	blk Suelen Lima	+3.2
32	16-16	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Avery Barber	+2.4
33	17-16	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.5
34	18-16	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+3.3
35	18-17	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Bad set	Suelen Lima		+2.2
36	19-17	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.6
37	19-18	CSUBAK	CALBAP×3	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+2.3
38	19-19	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Ace	California Baptist	aced Analiese Gagliano	+3.9
39	19-20	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+4.5
40	20-20	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Serve err	California Baptist		+3.2
41	20-21	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+3.7
42	21-21	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+3.5
43	22-21	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Blocked	Emery DeJong	blk Leylah Duran, Anna Bacchin	+5.4
44	22-22	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+3.9
45	22-23	CALBAP	CALBAP	Blocked	Anna Bacchin	blk Emery DeJong, Filippa Botcher	+6.7
46	23-23	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Bad set	Avery Barber		+4.7
47	24-23	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+8.1
48	24-24	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Blocked	Ana Franca Benjamin	blk Filippa Botcher	+6.0
49	25-24	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+6.0
50	25-25	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Maria Contreras	+6.0
51	26-25	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Ana Franca Benjamin	+6.0
52	27-25	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+7.6
Set 3
1	1-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+1.1
2	2-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Bad set	Avery Barber		+1.1
3	2-1	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Avery Barber	+0.8
4	3-1	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Blocked	Bella Breuer	blk Jordyn Waite-Ward, Suelen Lima	+0.8
5	4-1	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.0
6	4-2	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Anaiya Campbell	set Jagoda Bialek	+0.7
7	5-2	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.8
8	5-3	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Anaiya Campbell	set Avery Barber	+0.8
9	6-3	CALBAP	CSUBAK×5	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.8
10	7-3	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.0
11	8-3	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Ace	CSU Bakersfield	aced Emery DeJong	+0.8
12	9-3	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Attack err	Anaiya Campbell		+0.7
13	10-3	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Attack err	Emery DeJong		+0.6
14	10-4	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Anaiya Campbell	+0.3
15	11-4	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Serve err	California Baptist		+0.4
16	12-4	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Blocked	Emery DeJong	blk Anna Bacchin	+0.4
17	12-5	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Jana Cetkovic	+0.2
18	13-5	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Serve err	California Baptist		+0.3
19	13-6	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Avery Barber	+0.2
20	13-7	CALBAP	CALBAP	Ace	California Baptist	aced Anna Bacchin	+0.4
21	14-7	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.4
22	14-8	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Avery Barber	+0.3
23	15-8	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.4
24	15-9	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.3
25	16-9	CALBAP	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.4
26	17-9	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Blocked	Anaiya Campbell	blk Leylah Duran, Suelen Lima	+0.3
27	18-9	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Analiese Gagliano	+0.2
28	19-9	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.1
29	19-10	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Bella Breuer	set Avery Barber	·
30	19-11	CALBAP	CALBAP	Kill	Emery DeJong	set Devyn Masi	+0.1
31	20-11	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Blocked	Emery DeJong	blk Leylah Duran, Suelen Lima	+0.1
32	21-11	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Emery DeJong		+0.1
33	21-12	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Bella Breuer	set Avery Barber	·
34	22-12	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Luiza Da Cruz	·
35	23-12	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Jana Cetkovic		·
36	23-13	CSUBAK	CALBAP	Kill	Avery Barber	set Mia Rossman	·
37	24-13	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Luiza Da Cruz	·
38	24-14	CSUBAK	CALBAP×3	Kill	Eleftheria Baxa	set Avery Barber	·
39	24-15	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Ace	California Baptist	aced Samantha Capinpin	·
40	24-16	CALBAP	CALBAP×3	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		·
41	25-16	CALBAP	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Luiza Da Cruz	·

Score shown after each rally, CSU Bakersfield first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

CSU Bakersfield def. California Baptist 3–0

California Baptist pushed; CSU Bakersfield held.