Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on ESPN+

CSUN def. California Baptist 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: CSUN 91.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 6:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

CSUN won at California Baptist 3-1 (25-15, 22-25, 26-24, 25-13) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. CSUN's Hailey Brockway led with 20 kills, and Paige Sentes added 19 digs.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set1234Sets
CSUN252226253
CALBAP152524131

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Hailey Brockway scored 23 points, and CSUN needed them all against California Baptist.

The match turned once; each line shows CSUN's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, RallyIQ had CSUN at 91%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · CSUN 19–21 California Baptist

    4 straight CSUN kills turned a 19–21 deficit into a 23–21 lead.

    CSUN 70% → 90%

California Baptist above 50CSUN belowMax swing 8.4%

CSUNCalifornia Baptist

Sideout %
CSUN 59.0·California Baptist 46.4
Break %
CSUN 53.6·California Baptist 41.0
Hitting
CSUN .180·California Baptist .057
Longest run
CSUN 7·California Baptist 5

Hailey Brockway
20 kills on .130, 23 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

California Baptist above 50 · CSUN below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+8.4% CALBAPrally 175 · set 4

Biggest swing: 8.4% to California Baptist — set 3, CSUN 24-24 CALBAP. Kill by Anaiya Campbell (set by Avery Barber). CALBAP win probability 11% → 20%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CSUN 83.1%16.9% CALBAP

CSUN wins

3-0
34.9%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
17.3%

California Baptist wins

3-0
2.6%
3-1
5.5%
3-2
8.8%
CSUN break %
47.5% vs this opp
CALBAP break %
40.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Anaiya Campbell (set by Avery Barber)

    Set 3 · CSUN 24-24 CALBAP · CALBAP 11% → 20%

  2. 02
    Anaiya CampbellAttack error+6.9%

    Attack error by Anaiya Campbell

    Set 3 · CSUN 26-24 CALBAP · CSUN 87% → 94%

  3. 03

    Kill by Julia Bazylevych (set by Paige Sentes)

    Set 3 · CSUN 25-24 CALBAP · CSUN 80% → 87%

  4. 04

    Kill by Tatiana Turgeon (set by Katie Kolar)

    Set 3 · CSUN 22-21 CALBAP · CSUN 79% → 85%

  5. 05

    Kill by Hailey Brockway (set by Julia Bazylevych)

    Set 3 · CSUN 21-21 CALBAP · CSUN 74% → 79%

  6. 06

    Kill by Audrey Heiring (set by Avery Barber)

    Set 3 · CSUN 19-21 CALBAP · CALBAP 25% → 30%

  7. 07

    Kill by Hailey Brockway (set by Avery Barber)

    Set 3 · CSUN 23-21 CALBAP · CSUN 85% → 90%

  8. 08

    Kill by Hailey Brockway

    Set 3 · CSUN 19-20 CALBAP · CSUN 70% → 75%

Box score

Official NCAA box

CSUNaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4201354.13012516102123
412839.1031117202114
49317.35303050010.512.5
410315.46700220132.512.5
46313.23100030132.58.5
43210.100431290111.55.5
4001.0007101900001
4011-1.000000000000
4000–000000000
4000–001300000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–001000000
Team totals6033150.18052812643312998
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411340.20001311202113
44524-.042000301648
40310-.300000201644
4217.14300000111.53.5
42210.000002110002
4124-.2502511400002
47524.083000210218
4001.000000002444
4103.33300000010.51.5
4000–111100001
4000–000600000
4000–000000000
4000–0001220000
4000–000100000
4000–000000000
4000–101510000
4000–000000000
Team totals2821123.05727384885221677

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

CSUN vs California Baptist

Season series · CSUN leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 CSUN · CALBAP 5

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 5 CSUNCALBAP 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 CSUNCALBAP 5

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 4 CSUNCALBAP 3

Set 4

25-13

Longest run 7 CSUNCALBAP 3

Bars above the line = California Baptist leads, below = CSUN leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

CSUN

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%4/6
40%2/5
2
50%4/8
43%3/7
3
33%4/12
71%10/14
4
80%4/5
33%2/6
5
50%3/6
60%6/10
6
67%2/3
60%3/5
All
53%21/40
55%26/47

California Baptist

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%4/8
25%1/4
2
40%4/10
56%5/9
3
40%4/10
43%3/7
4
44%4/9
60%6/10
5
43%3/7
20%1/5
6
67%2/3
60%3/5
All
45%21/47
48%19/40

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

175 rallies

#CSUN-CALBAPSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CALBAPCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+0.7
21-1CSUNCALBAPKillEmery Dejongset Avery Barber+0.7
32-1CALBAPCSUN×5Serve errCalifornia Baptist+0.7
43-1CSUNCSUN×5AceCSUNaced Jagoda Bialek+0.8
54-1CSUNCSUN×5KillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+0.7
65-1CSUNCSUN×5KillAudrey Nuckolsset Katie Kolar+0.6
76-1CSUNCSUN×5KillIye Okolo+0.5
86-2CSUNCALBAPBlockedIye Okoloblk Bella Breuer+0.3
96-3CALBAPCALBAPBlockedHailey Brockwayblk Eleftheria Baxa+0.6
107-3CALBAPCSUNKillAudrey Nuckolsset Katie Kolar+0.5
117-4CSUNCALBAPKillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+0.5
128-4CALBAPCSUN×5KillAudrey Nuckolsset Katie Kolar+0.5
139-4CSUNCSUN×5KillKatie Kolarset Hailey Brockway+0.5
1410-4CSUNCSUN×5KillTatiana Turgeon+0.4
1511-4CSUNCSUN×5AceCSUN+0.3
1612-4CSUNCSUN×5KillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+0.2
1712-5CSUNCALBAPKillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+0.1
1813-5CALBAPCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+0.1
1914-5CSUNCSUNAttack errAvery Barber+0.1
2014-6CSUNCALBAPAttack errJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+0.1
2115-6CALBAPCSUNAttack errEmery Dejongset Mia Rossman+0.1
2215-7CSUNCALBAPKillEmery Dejongset Avery Barber+0.1
2316-7CALBAPCSUN×3KillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+0.1
2417-7CSUNCSUN×3KillAudrey Nuckolsset Katie Kolar+0.1
2518-7CSUNCSUN×3AceCSUNaced Emery Dejong·
2618-8CSUNCALBAP×4Serve errCSUN·
2718-9CALBAPCALBAP×4BlockedIye Okoloblk Bella Breuer, Anaiya Campbell·
2818-10CALBAPCALBAP×4KillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+0.1
2918-11CALBAPCALBAP×4Attack errAudrey Nuckols+0.1
3019-11CALBAPCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+0.1
3120-11CSUNCSUNBlockedEleftheria Baxablk Hailey Brockway, Iye Okolo+0.1
3220-12CSUNCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber·
3320-13CALBAPCALBAPKillFilippa Botcher+0.1
3421-13CALBAPCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+0.1
3522-13CSUNCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar·
3622-14CSUNCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber·
3723-14CALBAPCSUNKillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar·
3823-15CSUNCALBAPKillFilippa Botcherset Avery Barber·
3924-15CALBAPCSUNKillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar·
4025-15CSUNCSUNAceCSUNaced Mia Rossman·
Set 2
11-0CSUNCSUNKillIye Okoloset Jagoda Bialek+0.6
22-0CSUNCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+0.5
32-1CSUNCALBAPKillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+0.4
43-1CALBAPCSUNKillJulia Bazylevych+0.4
53-2CSUNCALBAPBlockedHailey Brockwayblk Filippa Botcher+0.4
63-3CALBAPCALBAPAttack errHailey Brockway+0.7
74-3CALBAPCSUN×4KillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+0.5
85-3CSUNCSUN×4KillAudrey Nuckolsset Katie Kolar+0.6
96-3CSUNCSUN×4Attack errAnaiya Campbell+0.5
107-3CSUNCSUN×4KillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+0.4
117-4CSUNCALBAP×5BlockedJulia Bazylevychblk Anaiya Campbell, Filippa Botcher+0.3
127-5CALBAPCALBAP×5AceCalifornia Baptistaced Julia Bazylevych+0.5
137-6CALBAPCALBAP×5KillAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber+0.6
147-7CALBAPCALBAP×5Attack errHailey Brockway+0.8
157-8CALBAPCALBAP×5Attack errAudrey Nuckols+0.9
168-8CALBAPCSUNServe errCalifornia Baptist+0.6
179-8CSUNCSUNAceCSUNaced Anaiya Campbell+0.8
189-9CSUNCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber+0.7
199-10CALBAPCALBAPAttack errHailey Brockway+1.0
2010-10CALBAPCSUNServe errCalifornia Baptist+0.7
2111-10CSUNCSUNKillTatiana Turgeon+0.8
2211-11CSUNCALBAP×4Serve errCSUN+0.7
2311-12CALBAPCALBAP×4KillAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber+1.1
2411-13CALBAPCALBAP×4BlockedTatiana Turgeonblk Bella Breuer, Audrey Heiring+1.2
2511-14CALBAPCALBAP×4BlockedJulia Bazylevychblk Bella Breuer, Eleftheria Baxa+1.3
2612-14CALBAPCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+0.8
2713-14CSUNCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+1.1
2813-15CSUNCALBAPServe errCSUN+1.1
2913-16CALBAPCALBAPAttack errKatie Kolar+1.4
3014-16CALBAPCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Paige Sentes+0.9
3114-17CSUNCALBAP×3Serve errCSUN+1.2
3214-18CALBAPCALBAP×3Attack errJulia Bazylevych+1.5
3314-19CALBAPCALBAP×3Attack errAudrey Nuckols+1.3
3415-19CALBAPCSUNBlockedFilippa Botcherblk Iye Okolo+0.6
3516-19CSUNCSUNAttack errEleftheria Baxa+1.1
3616-20CSUNCALBAPKillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+1.2
3717-20CALBAPCSUN×3Serve errCalifornia Baptist+0.8
3818-20CSUNCSUN×3KillAudrey Nuckols+1.3
3919-20CSUNCSUN×3KillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+1.6
4019-21CSUNCALBAP×3KillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+1.7
4119-22CALBAPCALBAP×3BlockedTatiana Turgeonblk Jana Cetkovic+2.0
4219-23CALBAPCALBAP×3KillAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber+1.6
4320-23CALBAPCSUNServe errCalifornia Baptist+0.6
4420-24CSUNCALBAPServe errCSUN+1.2
4521-24CALBAPCSUNKillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+0.3
4622-24CSUNCSUNAceCSUNaced Anaiya Campbell+0.9
4722-25CSUNCALBAPServe errCSUN+1.8
Set 3
10-1CALBAPCALBAPBlockedKatie Kolarblk Audrey Heiring, Jana Cetkovic, Annie Gilmore+2.0
20-2CALBAPCALBAPAceCalifornia Baptistaced Julia Bazylevych+2.3
31-2CALBAPCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.6
41-3CSUNCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber+1.9
52-3CALBAPCSUNKillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+1.6
62-4CSUNCALBAP×3Serve errCSUN+1.9
72-5CALBAPCALBAP×3BlockedHailey Brockwayblk Bella Breuer, Eleftheria Baxa+2.7
82-6CALBAPCALBAP×3KillAnaiya Campbellset Nika Safavi+2.9
93-6CALBAPCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.8
103-7CSUNCALBAPServe errCSUN+2.3
114-7CALBAPCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+1.9
125-7CSUNCSUNBlockedBella Breuerblk Julia Bazylevych, Iye Okolo+2.5
135-8CSUNCALBAPServe errCSUN+2.4
146-8CALBAPCSUNAttack errAvery Barberset Anaiya Campbell+2.0
157-8CSUNCSUNKillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+2.6
167-9CSUNCALBAPKillAvery Barberset Mia Rossman+2.3
177-10CALBAPCALBAPBlockedJulia Bazylevychblk Jana Cetkovic+3.2
188-10CALBAPCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+2.1
199-10CSUNCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Paige Sentes+2.8
209-11CSUNCALBAPAttack errHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+2.5
2110-11CALBAPCSUNKillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+2.2
2210-12CSUNCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+2.7
2311-12CALBAPCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+2.3
2411-13CSUNCALBAPBlockedHailey Brockwayblk Eleftheria Baxa, Jana Cetkovic+2.8
2511-14CALBAPCALBAPBlockedHailey Brockwayblk Bella Breuer, Eleftheria Baxa+3.8
2612-14CALBAPCSUNBlockedEleftheria Baxablk Katie Kolar+2.4
2713-14CSUNCSUNKillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+3.3
2813-15CSUNCALBAPKillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+3.1
2914-15CALBAPCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+2.6
3014-16CSUNCALBAPKillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+3.3
3114-17CALBAPCALBAPAttack errIye Okolo+4.3
3215-17CALBAPCSUNAttack errAudrey Heiringset Maria Contreras+2.7
3315-18CSUNCALBAPAttack errJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+3.6
3416-18CALBAPCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+2.7
3516-19CSUNCALBAPServe errCSUN+3.9
3616-20CALBAP
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+4.5
3717-20CALBAPCSUN×3Attack errAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber+2.3
3818-20CSUNCSUN×3KillTatiana Turgeon+3.8
3919-20CSUNCSUN×3KillHailey Brockway+4.6
4019-21CSUNCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber+4.8
4120-21CALBAPCSUN×4KillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+3.7
4221-21CSUNCSUN×4KillHailey Brockwayset Julia Bazylevych+5.6
4322-21CSUNCSUN×4KillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+5.7
4423-21CSUNCSUN×4KillHailey Brockwayset Avery Barber+4.8
4523-22CSUNCALBAPBlockedHailey Brockwayblk Eleftheria Baxa, Jana Cetkovic+2.9
4624-22CALBAPCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+4.2
4724-23CSUNCALBAPServe errCSUN+2.6
4824-24CALBAPCALBAPKillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+8.4
4925-24CALBAPCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Paige Sentes+6.7
5026-24CSUNCSUNAttack errAnaiya Campbell+6.9
Set 4
10-1CSUNCALBAP×3Attack errJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+1.2
20-2CALBAPCALBAP×3BlockedHailey Brockwayblk Daria Chekhovskikh, Eleftheria Baxa+1.7
30-3CALBAPCALBAP×3AceCalifornia Baptistaced Hailey Brockway+1.8
41-3CALBAPCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.2
51-4CSUNCALBAPKillEleftheria Baxaset Avery Barber+1.5
62-4CALBAPCSUN×3KillAudrey Nuckolsset Katie Kolar+1.3
73-4CSUNCSUN×3AceCSUNaced Audrey Heiring+1.6
84-4CSUNCSUN×3KillKatie Kolarset Paige Sentes+1.5
94-5CSUNCALBAPAttack errTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+1.3
105-5CALBAPCSUN×3Serve errCalifornia Baptist+1.2
116-5CSUN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.4
127-5CSUNCSUN×3BlockedAudrey Heiringblk Katie Kolar, Tatiana Turgeon+1.3
137-6CSUNCALBAPAttack errHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.0
147-7CALBAPCALBAPBlockedHailey Brockwayblk Bella Breuer, Jana Cetkovic+1.6
158-7CALBAPCSUNBlockedBella Breuerblk Hailey Brockway, Tatiana Turgeon+1.2
169-7CSUNCSUNAttack errBella Breuer+1.4
179-8CSUNCALBAPServe errCSUN+1.1
1810-8CALBAPCSUNServe errCalifornia Baptist+1.1
1910-9CSUNCALBAPKillAudrey Heiringset Avery Barber+1.2
2010-10CALBAPCALBAPAttack errJulia Bazylevych+1.8
2111-10CALBAPCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Paige Sentes+1.3
2212-10CSUNCSUNAttack errEleftheria Baxa+1.6
2312-11CSUNCALBAPKillAnaiya Campbellset Avery Barber+1.3
2413-11CALBAPCSUN×7KillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+1.2
2514-11CSUNCSUN×7Attack errEleftheria Baxa+1.4
2615-11CSUNCSUN×7KillAudrey Nuckolsset Katie Kolar+1.1
2716-11CSUNCSUN×7BlockedAnaiya Campbellblk Audrey Nuckols, Iye Okolo+0.8
2817-11CSUNCSUN×7Attack errEmery Dejong+0.5
2918-11CSUNCSUN×7KillHailey Brockwayset Paige Sentes+0.3
3019-11CSUNCSUN×7KillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+0.2
3119-12CSUNCALBAPKillDaria Chekhovskikhset Avery Barber+0.1
3220-12CALBAPCSUNKillAudrey Nuckolsset Katie Kolar+0.1
3320-13CSUNCALBAPAttack errKatie Kolarset Hailey Brockway+0.1
3421-13CALBAPCSUN×5Serve errCalifornia Baptist+0.1
3522-13CSUNCSUN×5AceCSUNaced Jagoda Bialek+0.1
3623-13CSUNCSUN×5BlockedAudrey Heiringblk Tatiana Turgeon·
3724-13CSUNCSUN×5KillKatie Kolarset Devyn Masi·
3825-13CSUNCSUN×5BlockedAudrey Heiringblk Julia Bazylevych, Tatiana Turgeon·

Score shown after each rally, CSUN first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).