California Baptist vs CSUN Prediction

ScheduledThu, Nov 5, 2026ESPN+

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California Baptist (6-17) at CSUN (9-13), Thu, Nov 5, 2026, 8:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives CSUN a 91% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, CSUN won 3-1 on Oct 10.

Data through Nov 3, 9:15 PM CT

Match prediction

CALBAP 9.1%90.9% CSUN

California Baptist wins

3-0

1.2%

3-1

2.7%

3-2

5.2%

CSUN wins

3-0

46.1%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

13.4%

CALBAP break %: 38.7% vs this opp
CSUN break %: 48.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.