Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

CSUN def. CSU Bakersfield 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: CSUN 69.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

CSUN won at CSU Bakersfield 3-1 (23-25, 25-19, 25-16, 25-17) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. CSUN's Hailey Brockway and Julia Bazylevych led with 14 kills each.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set1234Sets
CSUN232525253
CSUBAK251916171

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.364 on 33 swings: Julia Bazylevych and CSUN edged CSU Bakersfield.

The match turned twice; each line shows CSUN's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ gave CSUN 70% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · CSUN 22–22 CSU Bakersfield

    CSU Bakersfield won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–23 and lead 1–0. The match swung to CSU Bakersfield.

    CSUN 66% → 48%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · CSUN 4–5 CSU Bakersfield

    7 straight CSUN points turned a 4–5 deficit into an 11–5 lead.

    CSUN 81% → 97%

CSU Bakersfield above 50CSUN belowMax swing 10.3%

CSUNCSU Bakersfield

Sideout %
CSUN 60.3·CSU Bakersfield 47.4
Break %
CSUN 52.6·CSU Bakersfield 39.7
Hitting
CSUN .253·CSU Bakersfield .128
Longest run
CSUN 7·CSU Bakersfield 4

Julia Bazylevych
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 14 K, .364, 17 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

CSU Bakersfield above 50 · CSUN below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.3% CSUBAKrally 175 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.3% to CSU Bakersfield — set 1, CSUN 23-25 CSUBAK. Attack error by Hailey Brockway. CSUBAK win probability 41% → 52%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CSUN 69.5%30.5% CSUBAK

CSUN wins

3-0
22.9%
3-1
26.7%
3-2
19.9%

CSU Bakersfield wins

3-0
5.8%
3-1
10.7%
3-2
13.9%
CSUN break %
45.4% vs this opp
CSUBAK break %
41.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Hailey BrockwayAttack error+10.3%

    Attack error by Hailey Brockway

    Set 1 · CSUN 23-25 CSUBAK · CSUBAK 41% → 52%

  2. 02
    CSU BakersfieldAce+9.4%

    CSU Bakersfield ace

    Set 1 · CSUN 23-24 CSUBAK · CSUBAK 32% → 41%

  3. 03
    Defne YanikAttack error+6.9%

    Attack error by Defne Yanik

    Set 1 · CSUN 23-22 CSUBAK · CSUN 66% → 73%

  4. 04

    Ace by Julia Bazylevych on Analiese Gagliano

    Set 1 · CSUN 22-22 CSUBAK · CSUN 60% → 66%

  5. 05
    Suelen LimaKill+5.1%

    Kill by Suelen Lima (set by Luiza Da Cruz)

    Set 1 · CSUN 23-23 CSUBAK · CSUBAK 27% → 32%

  6. 06
    Anna BacchinKill+4.4%

    Kill by Anna Bacchin (set by Luiza Da Cruz)

    Set 1 · CSUN 20-22 CSUBAK · CSUBAK 39% → 43%

  7. 07
    Julia BazylevychAttack error+4.3%

    Attack error by Julia Bazylevych

    Set 1 · CSUN 17-19 CSUBAK · CSUBAK 36% → 40%

  8. 08
    CSU BakersfieldAce+4.3%

    CSU Bakersfield ace on Raegan Richardson

    Set 1 · CSUN 18-21 CSUBAK · CSUBAK 41% → 45%

Box score

Official NCAA box

CSUNaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414844.136023191031.517.5
414233.36423210000017
49324.2500000024413
49427.185030180010.512.5
410114.6430002012212
4012-.50049101000212
4112.0004231730003
4000–001200000
1000–000000000
Team totals5720146.25355119787312998
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413537.2161009202114
46321.14303130052.511.5
49433.1520123200010
49426.1920003002110
42314-.071100000213
4001.00019221100002
4000–3101940001
4001.00015011000000
31312-.167000200423
3000–000120000
2103.33300000010.51.5
1000–001000000
Team totals4122148.12839776111016877

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

CSUN vs CSU Bakersfield

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 CSUN · CSUBAK 4

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 5 CSUNCSUBAK 4

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 3 CSUNCSUBAK 4

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 6 CSUNCSUBAK 3

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 7 CSUNCSUBAK 3

Bars above the line = CSU Bakersfield leads, below = CSUN leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

CSUN

SlotSideout %Break %
1
82%9/11
46%6/13
2
57%8/14
47%8/17
3
50%8/16
33%4/12
4
53%8/15
60%12/20
5
67%8/12
62%13/21
6
60%6/10
57%8/14
All
60%47/78
53%51/97

CSU Bakersfield

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%9/18
20%2/10
2
67%8/12
47%7/15
3
42%8/19
38%5/13
4
42%8/19
33%4/12
5
50%7/14
50%8/16
6
40%6/15
42%5/12
All
47%46/97
40%31/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

175 rallies

#CSUN-CSUBAKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CSUBAKCSUNKillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+1.6
21-1CSUNCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+1.6
31-2CSUBAKCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Analiese Gagliano+2.3
42-2CSUBAKCSUNKillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+1.7
52-3CSUNCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+1.8
62-4CSUBAKCSUBAKBlockedFallyn Blotzerblk Suelen Lima, Leylah Duran+2.4
73-4CSUBAKCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.7
83-5CSUNCSUBAKKillLeylah Duranset Samantha Capinpin+1.9
94-5CSUBAKCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Julia Bazylevych+1.8
105-5CSUNCSUNAttack errJordyn Waite-Ward+2.4
115-6CSUNCSUBAKBlockedRaegan Richardsonblk Leylah Duran, Jordyn Waite-Ward+2.0
126-6CSUBAKCSUNAttack errJordyn Waite-Ward+1.9
136-7CSUNCSUBAK×3Serve errRaegan Richardson+2.0
146-8CSUBAKCSUBAK×3KillAnna Bacchinset Luiza Da Cruz+2.7
156-9CSUBAKCSUBAK×3Attack errHailey Brockway+2.7
167-9CSUBAKCSUNKillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+1.9
177-10CSUNCSUBAKKillAna Franca Benjaminset Analiese Gagliano+2.2
188-10CSUBAKCSUNKillFallyn Blotzerset Julia Bazylevych+1.9
199-10CSUNCSUNAceJulia Bazylevych+2.7
209-11CSUNCSUBAKAttack errFallyn Blotzer+2.3
219-12CSUBAKCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Luiza Da Cruz+3.0
2210-12CSUBAKCSUNKillFallyn Blotzerset Raegan Richardson+2.0
2310-13CSUNCSUBAK×4KillSuelen Limaset Analiese Gagliano+2.4
2410-14CSUBAKCSUBAK×4KillSuelen Limaset Samantha Capinpin+2.9
2510-15CSUBAKCSUBAK×4BlockedHailey Brockwayblk Jordyn Waite-Ward, Leylah Duran+2.5
2610-16CSUBAKCSUBAK×4KillJordyn Waite-Wardset Samantha Capinpin+2.1
2711-16CSUBAKCSUNKillFallyn Blotzerset Katie Kolar+1.1
2812-16CSUNCSUNAceFallyn Blotzeraced Ana Franca Benjamin+1.9
2912-17CSUNCSUBAKAttack errTatiana Turgeon+2.0
3013-17CSUBAKCSUN×5KillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+1.4
3114-17CSUNCSUN×5AceHailey Brockwayaced Boden Liljedahl+2.4
3215-17CSUNCSUN×5KillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+2.9
3316-17CSUNCSUN×5KillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+3.4
3417-17CSUNCSUN×5BlockedLeylah Duranblk Tatiana Turgeon+3.8
3517-18CSUNCSUBAKKillLeylah Duranset Samantha Capinpin+3.2
3617-19CSUBAKCSUBAKAttack errJulia Bazylevych+4.3
3718-19CSUBAKCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Hailey Brockway+2.9
3818-20CSUNCSUBAKServe errRaegan Richardson+3.6
3918-21CSUBAKCSUBAKAceCSU Bakersfieldaced Raegan Richardson+4.3
4019-21CSUBAKCSUNServe errCSU Bakersfield+2.3
4120-21CSUNCSUNKillFallyn Blotzerset Raegan Richardson+4.2
4220-22CSUNCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Luiza Da Cruz+4.4
4321-22CSUBAKCSUN×3KillHailey Brockwayset Raegan Richardson+3.4
4422-22CSUNCSUN×3AceJulia Bazylevychaced Analiese Gagliano+6.0
4523-22CSUNCSUN×3Attack errDefne Yanik+6.9
4623-23CSUNCSUBAK×3KillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+5.1
4723-24CSUBAKCSUBAK×3AceCSU Bakersfield+9.4
4823-25CSUBAKCSUBAK×3Attack errHailey Brockway+10.3
Set 2
11-0CSUNCSUNBlockedSuelen Limablk Fallyn Blotzer, Iye Okolo+2.6
21-1CSUNCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Luiza Da Cruz+2.1
32-1CSUBAKCSUN×3KillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+2.0
43-1CSUNCSUN×3KillIye Okolo+2.6
54-1CSUNCSUN×3Attack errSuelen Lima+2.4
64-2CSUNCSUBAKKillLeylah Duranset Luiza Da Cruz+1.8
75-2CSUBAKCSUN×3KillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+1.8
86-2CSUNCSUN×3Attack errSuelen Lima+2.2
97-2CSUNCSUN×3KillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.9
107-3CSUNCSUBAKKillLeylah Duranset Samantha Capinpin+1.3
117-4CSUBAKCSUBAKKillAna Franca Benjaminset Samantha Capinpin+2.0
128-4CSUBAKCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.7
139-4CSUNCSUNBlockedAna Franca Benjaminblk Katie Kolar, Tatiana Turgeon+1.9
149-5CSUNCSUBAK×4Attack errHailey Brockway+1.3
159-6CSUBAKCSUBAK×4BlockedHailey Brockwayblk Defne Yanik, Jordyn Waite-Ward+2.1
169-7CSUBAKCSUBAK×4AceCSU Bakersfield+2.5
179-8CSUBAKCSUBAK×4AceCSU Bakersfield+2.9
1810-8CSUBAKCSUNKillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+2.3
1910-9CSUNCSUBAKAttack errTatiana Turgeon+2.3
2011-9CSUBAKCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+2.4
2112-9CSUNCSUNKillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+2.9
2212-10CSUNCSUBAKKillAna Franca Benjaminset Defne Yanik+2.1
2312-11CSUBAKCSUBAKBlockedJulia Bazylevychblk Anna Bacchin, Defne Yanik+3.2
2413-11CSUBAKCSUN×3KillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+2.6
2514-11CSUNCSUN×3KillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+3.1
2615-11CSUNCSUN×3AceKatie Kolaraced Ana Franca Benjamin+2.6
2715-12CSUNCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Analiese Gagliano+1.7
2816-12CSUBAKCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+2.0
2916-13CSUNCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+1.7
3017-13CSUBAKCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+2.1
3118-13CSUNCSUNAttack errJordyn Waite-Ward+2.1
3218-14CSUNCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Samantha Capinpin+1.2
3318-15CSUBAKCSUBAKAttack errFallyn Blotzer+2.2
3419-15CSUBAKCSUN×3KillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+2.2
3520-15CSUNCSUN×3BlockedLeylah Duranblk Hailey Brockway, Tatiana Turgeon+2.0
3621-15CSUNCSUN×3KillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+1.2
3721-16CSUNCSUBAKKillLeylah Duranset Samantha Capinpin+0.5
3821-17CSUBAKCSUBAKKillAna Franca Benjaminset Samantha Capinpin+1.1
3922-17CSUBAKCSUNBlockedAna Franca Benjaminblk Tatiana Turgeon, Katie Kolar+1.4
4022-18CSUNCSUBAKKillAna Franca Benjaminset Samantha Capinpin+0.7
4123-18CSUBAKCSUNServe errCSU Bakersfield+1.2
4224-18CSUNCSUNAceRaegan Richardsonaced Analiese Gagliano+0.6
4324-19CSUNCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Luiza Da Cruz+0.1
4425-19CSUBAKCSUNServe errCSU Bakersfield+0.2
Set 3
10-1CSUBAKCSUBAKAceCSU Bakersfieldaced Raegan Richardson+3.1
21-1CSUBAKCSUN×3Serve errCSU Bakersfield+2.3
32-1CSUNCSUN×3Attack errDefne Yanik+3.0
43-1CSUNCSUN×3BlockedAnna Bacchinblk Hailey Brockway, Iye Okolo+2.8
53-2CSUNCSUBAKServe errJulia Bazylevych+2.2
64-2CSUBAKCSUNKillFallyn Blotzerset Katie Kolar+2.2
74-3CSUNCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+2.2
85-3CSUBAKCSUN×6KillRaegan Richardsonset Katie Kolar+2.3
96-3CSUNCSUN×6KillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+2.7
107-3CSUNCSUN×6KillHailey Brockwayset Raegan Richardson+2.4
118-3CSUNCSUN×6Attack errAna Franca Benjamin+2.1
129-3CSUNCSUN×6KillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+1.7
1310-3CSUNCSUN×6Attack errSuelen Lima+1.4
1410-4CSUNCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+0.8
1511-4CSUBAKCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.0
1611-5CSUNCSUBAKServe errHailey Brockway+0.8
1711-6CSUBAKCSUBAKAttack errTatiana Turgeon+1.4
1812-6CSUBAKCSUNKillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+1.3
1913-6CSUNCSUNAttack errAnna Bacchin+1.3
2013-7CSUNCSUBAKServe errRaegan Richardson+0.8
2114-7CSUBAKCSUNBad setLuiza Da Cruz+1.0
2215-7CSUNCSUNAttack errAnna Bacchin+0.9
2315-8CSUNCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Luiza Da Cruz+0.5
2416-8CSUBAKCSUNKillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+0.6
2516-9CSUNCSUBAK×3Attack errKatie Kolar+0.4
2616-10CSUBAKCSUBAK×3KillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+0.9
2716-11CSUBAKCSUBAK×3Attack errIye Okolo+1.3
2817-11CSUBAKCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.3
2918-11CSUNCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+1.1
3018-12CSUNCSUBAKServe errSuzie Ponce+0.5
3118-13CSUBAKCSUBAKKillNele Broszatset Samantha Capinpin+1.1
3219-13CSUBAKCSUN×3Serve errCSU Bakersfield+1.2
3320-13CSUNCSUN×3Attack errSuelen Lima+0.9
3421-13CSUNCSUN×3AceFallyn Blotzeraced Analiese Gagliano+0.5
3521-14CSUNCSUBAKBlockedHailey Brockwayblk Nele Broszat, Suelen Lima+0.2
3621-15CSUBAKCSUBAKKillAna Franca Benjaminset Suelen Lima+0.4
3722-15CSUBAKCSUN×3BlockedLeylah Duranblk Hailey Brockway, Tatiana Turgeon+0.5
3823-15CSUNCSUN×3KillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+0.3
3924-15CSUNCSUN×3KillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+0.1
4024-16CSUNCSUBAKServe errHailey Brockway·
4125-16CSUBAKCSUNServe errCSU Bakersfield·
Set 4
10-1CSUNCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+2.1
21-1CSUBAKCSUNKillFallyn Blotzerset Katie Kolar+2.0
32-1CSUNCSUNAceJulia Bazylevychaced Suelen Lima+2.6
42-2CSUNCSUBAKKillLeylah Duranset Luiza Da Cruz+2.0
53-2CSUBAKCSUNKillFallyn Blotzerset Katie Kolar+2.0
63-3CSUNCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Samantha Capinpin+2.1
74-3CSUBAKCSUNKillFallyn Blotzerset Katie Kolar+2.0
84-4CSUNCSUBAKBlockedHailey Brockwayblk Anna Bacchin, Leylah Duran+2.1
94-5CSUBAKCSUBAKAceCSU Bakersfieldaced Raegan Richardson+2.9
105-5CSUBAKCSUN×7Serve errCSU Bakersfield+2.2
116-5CSUNCSUN×7KillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+2.8
127-5CSUNCSUN×7KillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+2.7
138-5CSUNCSUN×7KillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+2.5
149-5CSUNCSUN×7KillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+2.2
1510-5CSUNCSUN×7BlockedAnna Bacchinblk Tatiana Turgeon+1.8
1611-5CSUNCSUN×7AceHailey Brockwayaced Suelen Lima+1.5
1711-6CSUNCSUBAKServe errHailey Brockway+0.9
1812-6CSUBAKCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+1.1
1912-7CSUNCSUBAKKillAna Franca Benjaminset Luiza Da Cruz+0.9
2013-7CSUBAKCSUNKillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+1.1
2114-7CSUNCSUNKillFallyn Blotzerset Katie Kolar+1.1
2214-8CSUNCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+0.6
2314-9CSUBAKCSUBAKBlockedFallyn Blotzerblk Leylah Duran, Jordyn Waite-Ward+1.2
2415-9CSUBAKCSUNKillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+1.1
2515-10CSUNCSUBAKServe errJulia Bazylevych+0.9
2616-10CSUBAKCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.1
2716-11CSUNCSUBAKAttack errHailey Brockway+0.8
2816-12CSUBAKCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Samantha Capinpin+1.5
2917-12CSUBAKCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.5
3018-12CSUNCSUNAceFallyn Blotzeraced Analiese Gagliano+1.4
3118-13CSUNCSUBAKKillAna Franca Benjaminset Samantha Capinpin+0.7
3218-14CSUBAKCSUBAKKillDefne Yanikset Samantha Capinpin+1.4
3319-14CSUBAKCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.5
3419-15CSUNCSUBAK×3KillDefne Yanikset Samantha Capinpin+1.0
3519-16CSUBAKCSUBAK×3AceCSU Bakersfieldaced Hailey Brockway+2.0
3619-17CSUBAKCSUBAK×3KillAna Franca Benjaminset Luiza Da Cruz+2.9
3720-17CSUBAKCSUN×6KillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+2.8
3821-17CSUNCSUN×6KillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+2.7
3922-17CSUNCSUN×6KillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+1.7
4023-17CSUNCSUN×6AceRaegan Richardsonaced Boden Liljedahl+0.8
4124-17CSUNCSUN×6Attack errAna Franca Benjamin+0.3
4225-17CSUNCSUN×6BlockedDefne Yanikblk Iye Okolo·

Score shown after each rally, CSUN first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).