CSU Bakersfield vs CSUN Volleyball: CSU Bakersfield Wins 3-2

Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 23, 2026ESPN+

3:2

RallyIQ pre-match: CSUN 82.5% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

CSU Bakersfield won at CSUN 3-2 (25-18, 25-22, 18-25, 15-25, 16-14) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. Suelen Lima led CSU Bakersfield with 13 kills; CSUN's Hailey Brockway had a match-high 16.

Data through Nov 3, 9:45 PM CT · final Oct 23

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
CSUBAK	25	25	18	15	16	3
CSUN	18	22	25	25	14	2

Match story · written from the play-by-play

The upset: CSU Bakersfield, a 17% pick, over CSUN.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are CSU Bakersfield's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. CSUN went in at 83% by RallyIQ.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · CSU Bakersfield 22–21 CSUN
3 of the last 4 rallies went to CSU Bakersfield, enough to take the set 25–22 and lead 2–0.
CSU Bakersfield 51% → 68%
Turning point 2: Set 4 · CSU Bakersfield 15–14 CSUN
Down 14–15, CSUN scored 11 straight to lead 25–15. The match swung to CSUN.
CSU Bakersfield 64% → 33%
Turning point 3: Set 5 · CSU Bakersfield 8–13 CSUN
From here CSU Bakersfield won 8 of 9 rallies to take the set 16–14, and with it the match.
CSU Bakersfield 1% → >99%

CSUN above 50CSU Bakersfield belowMax swing 32.8%

CSU BakersfieldCSUN

Sideout %: CSU Bakersfield 57.7·CSUN 60.6
Break %: CSU Bakersfield 39.4·CSUN 42.3
Hitting: CSU Bakersfield .137·CSUN .191
Longest run: CSU Bakersfield 6·CSUN 11

Suelen Lima
13 kills on .173, 14 points; 4 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

CSUN above 50 · CSU Bakersfield below

Biggest swing: 32.8% to CSU Bakersfield — set 5, CSUBAK 16-14 CSUN. Kill by Suelen Lima (set by Samantha Capinpin). CSUN win probability 33% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CSUBAK 18.7%81.3% CSUN

CSU Bakersfield wins

3-0

3.0%

3-1

6.2%

3-2

9.6%

CSUN wins

3-0

32.9%

3-1

30.6%

3-2

17.9%

CSUBAK break %: 40.1% vs this opp
CSUN break %: 46.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Suelen LimaKill+32.8%
Kill by Suelen Lima (set by Samantha Capinpin)
Set 5 · CSUBAK 16-14 CSUN · CSUBAK 67% → 100%
02
Suelen LimaKill+27.8%
Kill by Suelen Lima (set by Samantha Capinpin)
Set 5 · CSUBAK 15-14 CSUN · CSUBAK 39% → 67%
03
Suelen LimaKill+23.6%
Kill by Suelen Lima (set by Jordyn Waite-Ward)
Set 5 · CSUBAK 14-14 CSUN · CSUBAK 16% → 39%
04
Leylah Duran&Jordyn Waite-WardBlock+9.4%
Julia Bazylevych stuffed by Leylah Duran & Jordyn Waite-Ward
Set 5 · CSUBAK 13-14 CSUN · CSUBAK 6% → 16%
05
Taylor DunlapService error+8.2%
Service error by Taylor Dunlap
Set 2 · CSUBAK 24-22 CSUN · CSUBAK 53% → 61%
06
Anna BacchinAttack error+7.0%
Attack error by Anna Bacchin
Set 5 · CSUBAK 1-3 CSUN · CSUN 72% → 79%
07
Anna BacchinBlock+6.9%
Audrey Nuckols stuffed by Anna Bacchin
Set 2 · CSUBAK 21-19 CSUN · CSUBAK 46% → 53%
08
Defne Yanik&Anna BacchinBlock+6.9%
Annie Gilmore stuffed by Defne Yanik & Anna Bacchin
Set 2 · CSUBAK 25-22 CSUN · CSUBAK 61% → 68%

Box score

Official NCAA box

CSU Bakersfieldaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Suelen LimaOH	5	13	4	52	.173	0	0	0	6	0	0	2	1	14
14Defne YanikMB	5	9	1	17	.471	0	0	0	1	0	1	5	3.5	12.5
20Jordyn Waite-WardMB	5	9	8	32	.031	1	0	0	2	0	0	4	2	11
3Ana Franca BenjaminOH	5	8	4	34	.118	0	2	1	16	1	0	0	0	10
19Leylah DuranMB	5	5	1	14	.286	2	0	2	2	0	0	6	3	8
1Luiza Da CruzS	5	0	0	3	.000	21	0	1	12	0	0	0	0	0
6Anna BacchinOH	5	9	8	38	.026	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	3.5	12.5
5Analiese GaglianoL/DS	5	1	0	1	1.000	3	3	3	15	0	0	0	0	4
15Samantha CapinpinS	5	0	0	2	.000	26	0	2	20	0	0	0	0	0
11Boden LiljedahlL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
2Torrin HigginbothamOH	1	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
8Taly AcherboimL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		54	27	197	.137	53	5	9	77	3	2	22	13	99

CSUNhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Hailey BrockwayOH	5	16	6	48	.208	0	0	3	26	1	0	5	2.5	18.5
6Fallyn BlotzerOH	5	13	3	32	.313	0	2	1	11	0	0	2	1	16
20Iye OkoloMB	5	9	2	23	.304	1	0	1	0	0	0	7	3.5	12.5
10Tatiana TurgeonMB	5	6	1	14	.357	1	0	1	4	0	1	5	3.5	9.5
1Katie KolarS	5	2	2	10	.000	37	1	3	18	0	0	2	1	4
19Audrey NuckolsOH	2	2	3	11	-.091	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	2
2Paige SentesL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	9	0	0	23	2	0	0	0	0
8Raegan RichardsonOH	5	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	9	1	0	0	0	0
17Taylor DunlapS	4	0	0	0	–	8	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
12Julia BazylevychOH	3	14	8	38	.158	1	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	14.5
13Annie GilmoreOH	3	1	3	7	-.286	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	2
7Suzie PonceL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		63	28	183	.191	60	3	11	99	5	1	24	13	104

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

CSU Bakersfield vs CSUN

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Fri, Oct 23, 2026CSU Bakersfield at CSUN · CSU Bakersfield won 3-2This match
Sat, Oct 24, 2026CSUN at CSU Bakersfield · CSUN won 3-1Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 CSUBAK · CSUN 11

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 4 CSUBAKCSUN 2

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 CSUBAKCSUN 2

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 5 CSUBAKCSUN 4

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 3 CSUBAKCSUN 11

Set 5

16-14

Longest run 6 CSUBAKCSUN 3

Bars above the line = CSUN leads, below = CSU Bakersfield leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

CSU Bakersfield

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%12/15	27%4/15
2	63%12/19	43%9/21
3	58%11/19	48%10/21
4	41%9/22	47%9/19
5	80%8/10	27%3/11
6	42%8/19	33%4/12
All	58%60/104	39%39/99

CSUN

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%12/20	44%7/16
2	71%12/17	37%7/19
3	42%10/24	33%6/18
4	63%10/16	33%5/15
5	73%8/11	59%13/22
6	73%8/11	43%6/14
All	61%60/99	42%44/104

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

203 rallies

#	CSUBAK-CSUN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.3
2	1-1	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Iye Okolo	set Katie Kolar	+1.2
3	1-2	CSUN	CSUN	Kill	Fallyn Blotzer	set Katie Kolar	+1.5
4	2-2	CSUN	CSUBAK	Blocked	Fallyn Blotzer	blk Defne Yanik, Jordyn Waite-Ward	+1.2
5	2-3	CSUBAK	CSUN	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+1.2
6	3-3	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.3
7	4-3	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.8
8	4-4	CSUBAK	CSUN	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+1.3
9	5-4	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.5
10	5-5	CSUBAK	CSUN	Blocked	Anna Bacchin	blk Tatiana Turgeon, Hailey Brockway	+1.3
11	6-5	CSUN	CSUBAK	Serve err	CSUN		+1.5
12	6-6	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Hailey Brockway	set Paige Sentes	+1.4
13	6-7	CSUN	CSUN	Kill	Hailey Brockway	set Katie Kolar	+1.7
14	7-7	CSUN	CSUBAK	Serve err	CSUN		+1.4
15	8-7	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Hailey Brockway		+2.0
16	8-8	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Tatiana Turgeon	set Katie Kolar	+1.5
17	9-8	CSUN	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.7
18	10-8	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Ace	CSU Bakersfield	aced Hailey Brockway	+2.3
19	11-8	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Ace	CSU Bakersfield	aced Raegan Richardson	+2.4
20	11-9	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Iye Okolo	set Katie Kolar	+1.6
21	12-9	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.9
22	13-9	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Ace	CSU Bakersfield		+2.4
23	13-10	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Iye Okolo	set Katie Kolar	+1.5
24	13-11	CSUN	CSUN	Kill	Hailey Brockway	set Katie Kolar	+2.2
25	14-11	CSUN	CSUBAK	Blocked	Audrey Nuckols	blk Suelen Lima, Leylah Duran	+2.1
26	14-12	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Iye Okolo	set Katie Kolar	+1.7
27	15-12	CSUN	CSUBAK	Serve err	CSUN		+2.2
28	15-13	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Tatiana Turgeon	set Katie Kolar	+1.8
29	16-13	CSUN	CSUBAK×3	Blocked	Hailey Brockway	blk Leylah Duran, Anna Bacchin	+2.3
30	17-13	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.7
31	18-13	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Attack err	Tatiana Turgeon		+2.4
32	18-14	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Hailey Brockway	set Katie Kolar	+1.2
33	19-14	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.9
34	19-15	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Tatiana Turgeon	set Katie Kolar	+1.2
35	20-15	CSUN	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.8
36	21-15	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.7
37	22-15	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Attack err	Hailey Brockway		+1.0
38	23-15	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Blocked	Fallyn Blotzer	blk Defne Yanik, Jordyn Waite-Ward	+0.4
39	23-16	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Fallyn Blotzer	set Katie Kolar	+0.1
40	23-17	CSUN	CSUN	Kill	Fallyn Blotzer	set Paige Sentes	+0.2
41	24-17	CSUN	CSUBAK	Serve err	Katie Kolar		+0.4
42	24-18	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Iye Okolo	set Katie Kolar	+0.1
43	25-18	CSUN	CSUBAK	Serve err	Fallyn Blotzer		+0.2
Set 2
1	0-1	CSUBAK	CSUN	Bad set	Defne Yanik		+1.8
2	1-1	CSUN	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.9
3	2-1	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Attack err	Audrey Nuckols		+2.8
4	3-1	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Ace	Analiese Gagliano	aced Paige Sentes	+3.0
5	4-1	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Attack err	Hailey Brockway		+3.2
6	4-2	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Iye Okolo	set Katie Kolar	+2.2
7	5-2	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.6
8	5-3	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Fallyn Blotzer	set Audrey Nuckols	+2.2
9	5-4	CSUN	CSUN	Blocked	Leylah Duran	blk Tatiana Turgeon	+2.9
10	6-4	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.6
11	7-4	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+3.4
12	7-5	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Tatiana Turgeon	set Katie Kolar	+2.3
13	7-6	CSUN	CSUN	Kill	Fallyn Blotzer	set Katie Kolar	+3.1
14	8-6	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.7
15	8-7	CSUBAK	CSUN	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+2.4
16	9-7	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.8
17	10-7	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+3.8
18	10-8	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Hailey Brockway	set Katie Kolar	+2.5
19	10-9	CSUN	CSUN	Kill	Hailey Brockway	set Raegan Richardson	+3.4
20	11-9	CSUN	CSUBAK	Serve err	Tatiana Turgeon		+3.0
21	11-10	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Iye Okolo	set Katie Kolar	+2.7
22	12-10	CSUN	CSUBAK	Serve err	Katie Kolar		+3.2
23	12-11	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Audrey Nuckols	set Katie Kolar	+2.8
24	13-11	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+3.3
25	14-11	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin		+4.3
26	14-12	CSUBAK	CSUN	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+2.8
27	15-12	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Analiese Gagliano	set Samantha Capinpin	+3.5
28	15-13	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Audrey Nuckols	set Katie Kolar	+2.9
29	16-13	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+3.7
30	16-14	CSUBAK	CSUN	Attack err	Fallyn Blotzer		+3.0
31	16-15	CSUN	CSUN	Blocked	Ana Franca Benjamin	blk Tatiana Turgeon, Annie Gilmore	+4.3
32	17-15	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Samantha Capinpin	+4.0
33	17-16	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Hailey Brockway	set Taylor Dunlap	+3.4
34	17-17	CSUN	CSUN	Blocked	Jordyn Waite-Ward	blk Iye Okolo, Annie Gilmore	+4.8
35	18-17	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Luiza Da Cruz	+4.2
36	18-18	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Annie Gilmore	set Taylor Dunlap	+3.9
37	19-18	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+4.6
38	19-19	CSUBAK	CSUN	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+4.2
39	20-19	CSUN	CSUBAK×3	Blocked	Iye Okolo	blk Leylah Duran, Suelen Lima	+5.0
40	21-19	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Blocked	Audrey Nuckols	blk Anna Bacchin	+6.9
41	22-19	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Attack err	Iye Okolo		+6.4
42	22-20	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Fallyn Blotzer	set Katie Kolar	+3.2
43	22-21	CSUN	CSUN	Blocked	Suelen Lima	blk Tatiana Turgeon, Fallyn Blotzer	+6.0
44	23-21	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+6.9
45	23-22	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Fallyn Blotzer	set Katie Kolar	+4.7
46	24-22	CSUN	CSUBAK	Serve err	Taylor Dunlap		+8.2
47	25-22	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Blocked	Annie Gilmore	blk Defne Yanik, Anna Bacchin	+6.9
Set 3
1	0-1	CSUN	CSUN	Kill	Julia Bazylevych	set Katie Kolar	+2.5
2	1-1	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.0
3	1-2	CSUBAK	CSUN	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+1.9
4	2-2	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.1
5	2-3	CSUBAK	CSUN×4	Kill	Hailey Brockway	set Paige Sentes	+2.0
6	2-4	CSUN	CSUN×4	Attack err	Anna Bacchin		+2.4
7	2-5	CSUN	CSUN×4	Kill	Hailey Brockway	set Taylor Dunlap	+2.1
8	2-6	CSUN	CSUN×4	Attack err	Anna Bacchin		+1.8
9	3-6	CSUN	CSUBAK×5	Attack err	Annie Gilmore		+1.4
10	4-6	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.1
11	5-6	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Attack err	Hailey Brockway		+2.6
12	6-6	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Analiese Gagliano	+3.0
13	7-6	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Attack err	Annie Gilmore		+3.4
14	7-7	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Hailey Brockway	set Taylor Dunlap	+2.4
15	8-7	CSUN	CSUBAK	Serve err	Hailey Brockway		+2.7
16	8-8	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Julia Bazylevych	set Taylor Dunlap	+2.5
17	8-9	CSUN	CSUN	Attack err	Anna Bacchin		+3.2
18	9-9	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.6
19	9-10	CSUBAK	CSUN×4	Kill	Julia Bazylevych	set Taylor Dunlap	+2.5
20	9-11	CSUN	CSUN×4	Kill	Iye Okolo	set Katie Kolar	+3.0
21	9-12	CSUN	CSUN×4	Kill	Fallyn Blotzer	set Katie Kolar	+2.6
22	9-13	CSUN	CSUN×4	Attack err	Ana Franca Benjamin		+2.2
23	10-13	CSUN	CSUBAK	Blocked	Julia Bazylevych	blk Jordyn Waite-Ward, Defne Yanik	+1.5
24	10-14	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Hailey Brockway	set Paige Sentes	+1.7
25	11-14	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.5
26	11-15	CSUBAK	CSUN×4	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+1.7
27	11-16	CSUN	CSUN×4	Kill	Hailey Brockway	set Julia Bazylevych	+1.7
28	11-17	CSUN	CSUN×4	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+1.2
29	11-18	CSUN	CSUN×4	Kill	Fallyn Blotzer	set Paige Sentes	+0.8
30	12-18	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Leylah Duran	+0.4
31	12-19	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Tatiana Turgeon	set Katie Kolar	+0.6
32	13-19	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.4
33	13-20	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Tatiana Turgeon	set Taylor Dunlap	+0.5
34	13-21	CSUN	CSUN	Kill	Julia Bazylevych	set Taylor Dunlap	+0.3
35	14-21	CSUN	CSUBAK×3	Serve err	Hailey Brockway		+0.1
36	15-21	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Leylah Duran	+0.3
37	16-21	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.6
38	16-22	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Julia Bazylevych	set Paige Sentes	+0.7
39	17-22	CSUN	CSUBAK	Blocked	Hailey Brockway	blk Defne Yanik, Anna Bacchin	+0.3
40	17-23	CSUBAK	CSUN	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.5
41	17-24	CSUN	CSUN	Blocked	Ana Franca Benjamin	blk Fallyn Blotzer, Iye Okolo	+0.2
42	18-24	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Luiza Da Cruz	·
43	18-25	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Fallyn Blotzer	set Iye Okolo	+0.1
Set 4
1	1-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Luiza Da Cruz	+4.0
2	2-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Ace	Analiese Gagliano	aced Paige Sentes	+4.3
3	3-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Luiza Da Cruz	+4.6
4	3-1	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Iye Okolo	set Katie Kolar	+3.1
5	4-1	CSUN	CSUBAK	Attack err	Julia Bazylevych		+3.7
6	4-2	CSUBAK	CSUN	Blocked	Anna Bacchin	blk Iye Okolo, Hailey Brockway	+3.2
7	5-2	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+3.8
8	6-2	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Bad set	Tatiana Turgeon		+4.9
9	6-3	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Hailey Brockway	set Katie Kolar	+3.2
10	7-3	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Analiese Gagliano	+4.0
11	8-3	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Blocked	Julia Bazylevych	blk Defne Yanik	+5.0
12	8-4	CSUBAK	CSUN	Attack err	Defne Yanik		+3.1
13	9-4	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+4.0
14	9-5	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Hailey Brockway	set Paige Sentes	+3.1
15	10-5	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Analiese Gagliano	+4.0
16	11-5	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Luiza Da Cruz	+4.7
17	11-6	CSUBAK	CSUN×4	Kill	Julia Bazylevych	set Katie Kolar	+2.8
18	11-7	CSUN	CSUN×4	Kill	Julia Bazylevych		+4.2
19	11-8	CSUN	CSUN×4	Kill	Julia Bazylevych	set Katie Kolar	+4.7
20	11-9	CSUN	CSUN×4	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+5.0
21	12-9	CSUN	CSUBAK	Serve err	Katie Kolar		+4.7
22	12-10	CSUBAK	CSUN×3	Blocked	Ana Franca Benjamin	blk Iye Okolo, Julia Bazylevych	+3.9
23	12-11	CSUN	CSUN×3	Kill	Hailey Brockway	set Leylah Duran	+5.4
24	12-12	CSUN	CSUN×3	Blocked	Jordyn Waite-Ward	blk Hailey Brockway, Iye Okolo	+5.5
25	13-12	CSUN	CSUBAK	Attack err	Fallyn Blotzer		+4.7
26	13-13	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Fallyn Blotzer	set Katie Kolar	+4.3
27	14-13	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+4.9
28	14-14	CSUBAK	CSUN	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+4.5
29	15-14	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+5.2
30	15-15	CSUBAK	CSUN×11	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+4.8
31	15-16	CSUN	CSUN×11	Kill	Katie Kolar	set Tatiana Turgeon	+6.2
32	15-17	CSUN	CSUN×11	Blocked	Suelen Lima	blk Katie Kolar, Tatiana Turgeon	+5.6
33	15-18	CSUN	CSUN×11	Kill	Julia Bazylevych	set Katie Kolar	+4.7
34	15-19	CSUN	CSUN×11	Kill	Julia Bazylevych	set Katie Kolar	+3.6
35	15-20	CSUN	CSUN×11	Kill	Julia Bazylevych	set Katie Kolar	+2.4
36	15-21	CSUN	CSUN×11	Attack err	Anna Bacchin		+1.4
37	15-22	CSUN	CSUN×11	Kill	Katie Kolar	set Paige Sentes	+0.7
38	15-23	CSUN	CSUN×11	Kill	Julia Bazylevych	set Katie Kolar	+0.3
39	15-24	CSUN	CSUN×11	Attack err	Torrin Higginbotham		+0.1
40	15-25	CSUN	CSUN×11	Ace	Fallyn Blotzer	aced Torrin Higginbotham	+0.9
Set 5
1	0-1	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Hailey Brockway	set Raegan Richardson	+5.5
2	1-1	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+6.0
3	1-2	CSUBAK	CSUN×3	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+5.8
4	1-3	CSUN	CSUN×3	Attack err	Anna Bacchin		+7.0
5	1-4	CSUN	CSUN×3	Kill	Julia Bazylevych	set Katie Kolar	+6.1
6	2-4	CSUN	CSUBAK	Attack err	Katie Kolar		+4.4
7	2-5	CSUBAK	CSUN×3	Blocked	Suelen Lima	blk Katie Kolar, Iye Okolo	+4.8
8	2-6	CSUN	CSUN×3	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+5.1
9	2-7	CSUN	CSUN×3	Ace	Katie Kolar	aced Taly Acherboim	+3.8
10	3-7	CSUN	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.3
11	4-7	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Attack err	Julia Bazylevych		+4.3
12	5-7	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Samantha Capinpin	+6.0
13	5-8	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Fallyn Blotzer	set Katie Kolar	+5.4
14	5-9	CSUN	CSUN	Blocked	Jordyn Waite-Ward	blk Iye Okolo, Hailey Brockway	+5.4
15	6-9	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Samantha Capinpin	+3.3
16	6-10	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Fallyn Blotzer	set Katie Kolar	+4.2
17	7-10	CSUN	CSUBAK	Kill	Ana Franca Benjamin	set Samantha Capinpin	+3.2
18	7-11	CSUBAK	CSUN	Blocked	Anna Bacchin	blk Hailey Brockway, Tatiana Turgeon	+4.2
19	7-12	CSUN	CSUN	Ace	Fallyn Blotzer	aced Ana Franca Benjamin	+3.3
20	8-12	CSUN	CSUBAK	Attack err	Katie Kolar		+1.4
21	8-13	CSUBAK	CSUN	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+2.2
22	9-13	CSUN	CSUBAK	Blocked	Julia Bazylevych	blk Anna Bacchin, Leylah Duran	+1.0
23	10-13	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Blocked	Julia Bazylevych	blk Anna Bacchin, Leylah Duran	+2.6
24	10-14	CSUBAK	CSUN	Kill	Julia Bazylevych	set Paige Sentes	+3.6
25	11-14	CSUN	CSUBAK×6	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.2
26	12-14	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Attack err	Julia Bazylevych		+3.8
27	13-14	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Blocked	Julia Bazylevych	blk Leylah Duran, Jordyn Waite-Ward	+9.4
28	14-14	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Jordyn Waite-Ward	+23.6
29	15-14	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+27.8
30	16-14	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+32.8

Score shown after each rally, CSU Bakersfield first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

CSU Bakersfield def. CSUN 3–2

The upset: CSU Bakersfield, a 17% pick, over CSUN.