Kansas State vs Cincinnati Volleyball: Cincinnati Wins 3-0

FinalThu, Oct 22, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Cincinnati 52.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 22, 5:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Cincinnati beat visiting Kansas St. 3-0 (25-23, 25-16, 25-22) on Thu, Oct 22, 2026. Cincinnati's Sydney Nolan led with 16 kills, and Ava Ledebuhr added 10 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:45 PM CT · final Oct 22

Set	1	2	3	Sets
KAN ST	23	16	22	0
CINCY	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Sydney Nolan hit .417 on 36 swings as Cincinnati edged Kansas St.

The match turned once; each line shows Cincinnati's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Cincinnati went in as RallyIQ's 52% pick.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · Kansas St. 22–22 Cincinnati
3 of the last 4 rallies went to Cincinnati, enough to take the set 25–23 and lead 1–0.
Cincinnati 50% → 70%

Cincinnati above 50Kansas St. belowMax swing 8.0%

Kansas St.Cincinnati

Sideout %: Kansas St. 58.9·Cincinnati 71.4
Break %: Kansas St. 28.6·Cincinnati 41.1
Hitting: Kansas St. .243·Cincinnati .425
Longest run: Kansas St. 3·Cincinnati 4

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Cincinnati above 50 · Kansas St. below

Biggest swing: 8.0% to Cincinnati — set 1, KAN ST 22-23 CINCY. Attack error by Skylar Brady. CINCY win probability 50% → 58%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

KAN ST 38.8%61.2% CINCY

Kansas St. wins

3-0

8.3%

3-1

14.1%

3-2

16.4%

Cincinnati wins

3-0

17.9%

3-1

23.4%

3-2

20.0%

KAN ST break %: 39.9% vs this opp
CINCY break %: 42.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Skylar BradyAttack error+8.0%
Attack error by Skylar Brady
Set 1 · KAN ST 22-23 CINCY · CINCY 50% → 58%
02
Izzy BusignaniKill+7.6%
Kill by Izzy Busignani (set by Kate Lijic)
Set 1 · KAN ST 22-24 CINCY · CINCY 58% → 66%
03
Ligia WilliamsKill+7.1%
Kill by Ligia Williams (set by Kate Lijic)
Set 1 · KAN ST 23-25 CINCY · CINCY 63% → 70%
04
Skylar BradyKill+6.8%
Kill by Skylar Brady (set by Fuka Sekita)
Set 1 · KAN ST 22-21 CINCY · KAN ST 48% → 54%
05
Izzy Busignani&Lilian EntenmannBlock+6.0%
Addison Massey stuffed by Izzy Busignani & Lilian Entenmann
Set 1 · KAN ST 20-21 CINCY · CINCY 51% → 57%
06
Izzy BusignaniKill+5.3%
Kill by Izzy Busignani (set by Kate Lijic)
Set 1 · KAN ST 20-20 CINCY · CINCY 45% → 51%
07
Izzy BusignaniKill+4.7%
Kill by Izzy Busignani (set by Kate Lijic)
Set 1 · KAN ST 22-22 CINCY · CINCY 46% → 50%
08
Cadence LundgrenKill+4.1%
Kill by Cadence Lundgren (set by Camdyn Stucky)
Set 1 · KAN ST 21-21 CINCY · KAN ST 43% → 48%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Kansas St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
15Addison MasseyOPP	3	15	9	38	.158	1	0	0	4	2	0	0	15
16Cadence LundgrenMB	3	8	1	13	.538	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	9
8Camdyn StuckyS	3	3	1	7	.286	18	2	2	2	0	1	0.5	5.5
21Reese ResmerMB	3	5	0	8	.625	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	5
13Emerson Van LannenS	3	1	0	4	.250	14	1	2	7	0	0	0	2
1Caleigh PonnL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0
11Skylar BradyOPP	3	8	5	23	.130	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	8.5
2Sydney MaueOH	3	4	2	12	.167	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	4
0Fuka SekitaL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	8	1	1	9	1	0	0	1
Team totals		44	18	107	.243	41	4	10	30	4	4	2	61

Cincinnatihome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Sydney NolanOH	3	16	1	36	.417	0	1	1	2	0	1	0.5	17.5
16Izzy BusignaniOH	3	6	2	15	.267	1	1	3	4	2	1	0.5	7.5
8Ligia WilliamsOH	3	6	1	11	.455	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
6Kate LijicS	3	3	0	4	.750	34	2	0	6	0	1	0.5	5.5
5Lilian EntenmannMB	3	2	0	3	.667	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
1Ava LedebuhrL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	2	0	0	10	0	0	0	1
11Nina ScruccaOPP	3	8	2	16	.375	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
21Viktoria NinovaL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	2	0	1	8	1	0	0	1
9Kayla HostetlerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0
Team totals		43	6	87	.425	39	4	6	33	4	8	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Kansas St. vs Cincinnati

Season series · Cincinnati leads 1-0

Thu, Oct 22, 2026Kansas St. at Cincinnati · Cincinnati won 3-0This match
Fri, Nov 6, 2026Cincinnati at Kansas St.Preview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 KAN ST · CINCY 4

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 2 KAN STCINCY 3

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 2 KAN STCINCY 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 KAN STCINCY 4

Bars above the line = Cincinnati leads, below = Kansas St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Kansas St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%9/17	27%3/11
2	44%8/18	40%6/15
3	58%7/12	27%3/11
4	70%7/10	36%4/11
5	86%6/7	0%0/7
6	67%6/9	25%2/8
All	59%43/73	29%18/63

Cincinnati

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%9/12	42%5/12
2	62%8/13	56%10/18
3	67%8/12	43%6/14
4	70%7/10	42%5/12
5	100%7/7	30%3/10
6	67%6/9	14%1/7
All	71%45/63	41%30/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#	KAN ST-CINCY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	KAN ST	KAN ST	Kill	Addison Massey	set Fuka Sekita	+2.5
2	1-1	KAN ST	CINCY	Serve err	Kansas St.		+1.8
3	2-1	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Addison Massey	set Fuka Sekita	+1.9
4	3-1	KAN ST	KAN ST	Kill	Cadence Lundgren	set Emerson Van Lannen	+2.6
5	3-2	KAN ST	CINCY	Serve err	Kansas St.		+1.8
6	4-2	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Addison Massey	set Emerson Van Lannen	+1.9
7	4-3	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.8
8	5-3	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Sydney Maue	set Camdyn Stucky	+1.9
9	6-3	KAN ST	KAN ST	Attack err	Nina Scrucca		+2.6
10	6-4	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Lilian Entenmann	set Kate Lijic	+1.7
11	7-4	CINCY	KAN ST	Serve err	Lilian Entenmann		+1.9
12	7-5	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Izzy Busignani	set Kate Lijic	+1.8
13	8-5	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Sydney Maue	set Camdyn Stucky	+2.0
14	8-6	KAN ST	CINCY	Serve err	Kansas St.		+1.8
15	9-6	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Addison Massey	set Emerson Van Lannen	+2.0
16	9-7	KAN ST	CINCY	Attack err	Skylar Brady		+1.8
17	9-8	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Addison Massey		+2.9
18	10-8	CINCY	KAN ST	Serve err	Viktoria Ninova		+2.2
19	11-8	KAN ST	KAN ST	Bad set	Kate Lijic		+3.0
20	11-9	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.9
21	12-9	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Addison Massey	set Emerson Van Lannen	+2.2
22	13-9	KAN ST	KAN ST	Ace	Kansas St.	aced Izzy Busignani	+2.7
23	13-10	KAN ST	CINCY	Serve err	Kansas St.		+1.6
24	14-10	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Addison Massey	set Camdyn Stucky	+2.0
25	14-11	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Izzy Busignani	set Kate Lijic	+1.6
26	15-11	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Skylar Brady	set Camdyn Stucky	+2.0
27	15-12	KAN ST	CINCY	Attack err	Skylar Brady		+1.6
28	16-12	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Reese Resmer	set Camdyn Stucky	+2.1
29	17-12	KAN ST	KAN ST	Kill	Skylar Brady	set Fuka Sekita	+2.3
30	17-13	KAN ST	CINCY	Blocked	Skylar Brady	blk Kate Lijic, Ligia Williams	+1.2
31	17-14	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Emerson Van Lannen	+2.3
32	18-14	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Skylar Brady	set Fuka Sekita	+2.1
33	18-15	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+1.6
34	19-15	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Addison Massey	set Fuka Sekita	+2.2
35	19-16	KAN ST	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.6
36	19-17	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+3.1
37	19-18	CINCY	CINCY×3	Attack err	Addison Massey		+4.0
38	20-18	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Addison Massey	set Emerson Van Lannen	+3.5
39	20-19	KAN ST	CINCY×3	Attack err	Addison Massey		+3.0
40	20-20	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Izzy Busignani	set Kate Lijic	+5.3
41	20-21	CINCY	CINCY×3	Blocked	Addison Massey	blk Izzy Busignani, Lilian Entenmann	+6.0
42	21-21	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Cadence Lundgren	set Camdyn Stucky	+4.1
43	22-21	KAN ST	KAN ST	Kill	Skylar Brady	set Fuka Sekita	+6.8
44	22-22	KAN ST	CINCY×3	Kill	Izzy Busignani	set Kate Lijic	+4.7
45	22-23	CINCY	CINCY×3	Attack err	Skylar Brady		+8.0
46	22-24	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Izzy Busignani	set Kate Lijic	+7.6
47	23-24	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Cadence Lundgren	set Camdyn Stucky	+3.0
48	23-25	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+7.1
Set 2
1	1-0	CINCY	KAN ST	Serve err	Izzy Busignani		+1.8
2	2-0	KAN ST	KAN ST	Kill	Addison Massey	set Emerson Van Lannen	+2.5
3	2-1	KAN ST	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.7
4	2-2	CINCY	CINCY×3	Attack err	Addison Massey		+2.5
5	2-3	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+2.6
6	3-3	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Emerson Van Lannen	set Fuka Sekita	+1.8
7	3-4	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.9
8	4-4	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Cadence Lundgren	set Camdyn Stucky	+1.9
9	4-5	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+1.9
10	4-6	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Addison Massey		+2.7
11	5-6	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Cadence Lundgren	set Camdyn Stucky	+1.8
12	5-7	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+2.0
13	6-7	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Sydney Maue	set Camdyn Stucky	+1.9
14	6-8	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+2.0
15	7-8	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Camdyn Stucky	set Addison Massey	+1.9
16	7-9	KAN ST	CINCY×4	Kill	Kate Lijic	set Ava Ledebuhr	+2.1
17	7-10	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Ava Ledebuhr	set Emerson Van Lannen	+2.7
18	7-11	CINCY	CINCY×4	Attack err	Addison Massey		+2.5
19	7-12	CINCY	CINCY×4	Attack err	Addison Massey		+2.1
20	8-12	CINCY	KAN ST	Serve err	Izzy Busignani		+1.2
21	8-13	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.5
22	9-13	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Camdyn Stucky	set Emerson Van Lannen	+1.2
23	9-14	KAN ST	CINCY	Serve err	Kansas St.		+1.5
24	9-15	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	Kate Lijic	aced Fuka Sekita	+1.7
25	10-15	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Cadence Lundgren	set Camdyn Stucky	+0.9
26	11-15	KAN ST	KAN ST	Blocked	Nina Scrucca	blk Skylar Brady, Cadence Lundgren	+1.7
27	11-16	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.6
28	12-16	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Addison Massey	set Camdyn Stucky	+1.2
29	12-17	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+1.5
30	12-18	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams		+1.6
31	13-18	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Reese Resmer	set Camdyn Stucky	+0.7
32	13-19	KAN ST	CINCY	Serve err	Kansas St.		+1.1
33	13-20	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Kate Lijic	set Izzy Busignani	+0.9
34	14-20	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Reese Resmer	set Emerson Van Lannen	+0.3
35	15-20	KAN ST	KAN ST	Attack err	Ligia Williams		+0.8
36	15-21	KAN ST	CINCY	Serve err	Kansas St.		+0.9
37	16-21	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Addison Massey	set Camdyn Stucky	+0.5
38	16-22	KAN ST	CINCY×4	Serve err	Kansas St.		+0.8
39	16-23	CINCY	CINCY×4	Attack err	Addison Massey		+0.5
40	16-24	CINCY	CINCY×4	Blocked	Camdyn Stucky	blk Lilian Entenmann, Sydney Nolan	+0.1
41	16-25	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	·
Set 3
1	1-0	KAN ST	KAN ST	Ace	Kansas St.	aced Izzy Busignani	+1.7
2	1-1	KAN ST	CINCY×4	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+1.2
3	1-2	CINCY	CINCY×4	Attack err	Sydney Maue		+1.7
4	1-3	CINCY	CINCY×4	Attack err	Sydney Maue		+1.7
5	1-4	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Lilian Entenmann	set Kate Lijic	+1.6
6	2-4	CINCY	KAN ST	Attack err	Izzy Busignani		+1.1
7	2-5	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.2
8	3-5	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Cadence Lundgren	set Camdyn Stucky	+1.1
9	4-5	KAN ST	KAN ST	Ace	Kansas St.	aced Viktoria Ninova	+1.7
10	4-6	KAN ST	CINCY	Serve err	Kansas St.		+1.3
11	4-7	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	Sydney Nolan	aced Addison Massey	+1.7
12	5-7	CINCY	KAN ST	Serve err	Sydney Nolan		+1.1
13	5-8	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+1.2
14	6-8	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Camdyn Stucky	set Emerson Van Lannen	+1.1
15	6-9	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Izzy Busignani	set Kate Lijic	+1.3
16	7-9	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Reese Resmer	set Ligia Williams	+1.2
17	8-9	KAN ST	KAN ST	Blocked	Izzy Busignani	blk Camdyn Stucky, Cadence Lundgren	+1.8
18	8-10	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+1.4
19	9-10	CINCY	KAN ST	Serve err	Izzy Busignani		+1.4
20	9-11	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Kate Lijic	set Ava Ledebuhr	+1.5
21	9-12	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Cadence Lundgren		+1.9
22	10-12	CINCY	KAN ST×3	Kill	Addison Massey	set Emerson Van Lannen	+1.2
23	11-12	KAN ST	KAN ST×3	Kill	Sydney Maue	set Camdyn Stucky	+2.0
24	12-12	KAN ST	KAN ST×3	Attack err	Sydney Nolan		+2.2
25	12-13	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.7
26	12-14	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	Kate Lijic	aced Addison Massey	+2.3
27	13-14	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Skylar Brady	set Camdyn Stucky	+1.5
28	13-15	KAN ST	CINCY	Blocked	Skylar Brady	blk Lilian Entenmann, Nina Scrucca	+1.7
29	14-15	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Skylar Brady	set Camdyn Stucky	+1.6
30	15-15	KAN ST	KAN ST	Ace	Kansas St.	aced Kayla Hostetler	+2.5
31	15-16	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Viktoria Ninova	set Kate Lijic	+1.9
32	16-16	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Reese Resmer	set Emerson Van Lannen	+1.9
33	16-17	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+2.0
34	17-17	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Addison Massey	set Emerson Van Lannen	+2.0
35	17-18	KAN ST	CINCY	Serve err	Kansas St.		+2.1
36	17-19	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	Izzy Busignani	aced Caleigh Ponn	+2.9
37	18-19	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Addison Massey	set Emerson Van Lannen	+1.9
38	18-20	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+2.2
39	19-20	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Addison Massey	set Emerson Van Lannen	+1.9
40	20-20	KAN ST	KAN ST	Kill	Cadence Lundgren	set Kate Lijic	+3.4
41	20-21	KAN ST	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+2.8
42	20-22	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Viktoria Ninova	+3.8
43	20-23	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+2.9
44	21-23	CINCY	KAN ST	Kill	Skylar Brady	set Camdyn Stucky	+1.2
45	22-23	KAN ST	KAN ST	Kill	Skylar Brady	set Fuka Sekita	+3.0
46	22-24	KAN ST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+3.5
47	22-25	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Viktoria Ninova	+2.7

Score shown after each rally, Kansas St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Cincinnati def. Kansas St. 3–0

Sydney Nolan hit .417 on 36 swings as Cincinnati edged Kansas St.