Final · 5 setsFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Kansas St. def. Cincinnati 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Kansas St. 54.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Kansas St. beat visiting Cincinnati 3-2 (25-19, 25-22, 17-25, 17-25, 15-10) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Kansas St.'s Addison Massey led with 21 kills, and Fuka Sekita added 23 digs.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set12345Sets
CINCY19222525102
KAN ST25251717153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Five sets, 21 kills for Addison Massey, and a Kansas St. win.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Kansas St.'s win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ gave Kansas St. 54% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Cincinnati 22–21 Kansas St.

    Kansas St. closed it, 4 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–22 and lead 2–0.

    Kansas St. 64% → 89%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Cincinnati 4–3 Kansas St.

    Kansas St. scored 3 straight to turn a 3–4 deficit into a 6–4 lead. The match swung to Kansas St.

    Kansas St. 43% → 71%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Cincinnati 7–7 Kansas St.

    5 straight Kansas St. points broke a 7–7 tie and made it 12–7.

    Kansas St. 53% → 97%

Kansas St. above 50Cincinnati belowMax swing 12.0%

CincinnatiKansas St.

Sideout %
Cincinnati 57.6·Kansas St. 56.4
Break %
Cincinnati 43.6·Kansas St. 42.4
Hitting
Cincinnati .236·Kansas St. .163
Longest run
Cincinnati 6·Kansas St. 8

Sydney Maue
2 kills inside the turning points, 5 K and .250 for the match (6.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Kansas St. above 50 · Cincinnati below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+12.0% KAN STrally 200 · set 5

Biggest swing: 12.0% to Kansas St. — set 5, CINCY 7-9 KAN ST. Kansas St. ace on Ava Ledebuhr. KAN ST win probability 62% → 74%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CINCY 48.5%51.5% KAN ST

Cincinnati wins

3-0
11.9%
3-1
18.1%
3-2
18.5%

Kansas St. wins

3-0
13.2%
3-1
19.4%
3-2
19.0%
CINCY break %
41.1% vs this opp
KAN ST break %
41.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kansas St.Ace+12.0%

    Kansas St. ace on Ava Ledebuhr

    Set 5 · CINCY 7-9 KAN ST · KAN ST 62% → 74%

  2. 02
    Skylar BradyAttack error+11.5%

    Attack error by Skylar Brady

    Set 5 · CINCY 7-7 KAN ST · CINCY 35% → 47%

  3. 03
    Nina ScruccaAttack error+10.4%

    Attack error by Nina Scrucca

    Set 5 · CINCY 4-5 KAN ST · KAN ST 50% → 60%

  4. 04
    Kansas St.Ace+10.4%

    Kansas St. ace on Kayla Hostetler

    Set 5 · CINCY 7-10 KAN ST · KAN ST 74% → 84%

  5. 05
    Skylar BradyKill+10.2%

    Kill by Skylar Brady (set by Lauren Latham)

    Set 5 · CINCY 4-6 KAN ST · KAN ST 60% → 71%

  6. 06

    Addison Massey stuffed by Lilian Entenmann & Nina Scrucca

    Set 5 · CINCY 4-3 KAN ST · CINCY 47% → 57%

  7. 07
    Ellah DerrerKill+9.2%

    Kill by Ellah Derrer (set by Emerson Van Lannen)

    Set 5 · CINCY 1-2 KAN ST · KAN ST 50% → 60%

  8. 08
    Nina ScruccaService error+8.6%

    Service error by Nina Scrucca

    Set 5 · CINCY 7-8 KAN ST · KAN ST 53% → 62%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
521353.34000230111.522.5
510325.28010031031.511.5
57231.16142391010.59.5
53212.083013101226
5000–2001320000
2126-.167170230010.51.5
58319.26302340010.510.5
5000–2343200003
5000–000410000
4507.714240310010.55.5
2138-.250000000001
1000–000000000
Team totals5618161.236508207372107101
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
521857.2280034200021
513941.0981219402116
55216.188110400217
5329.11100030031.54.5
53324.000101300003
5104.25018211500003
55212.25000020031.56.5
5102.5001300400001
5000–011200001
5000–12122310001
21011.000000100001
1000–000000000
Team totals5326166.1634679708010599

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Cincinnati vs Kansas St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 CINCY · KAN ST 8

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 2 CINCYKAN ST 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 CINCYKAN ST 8

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 6 CINCYKAN ST 3

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 3 CINCYKAN ST 2

Set 5

10-15

Longest run 2 CINCYKAN ST 5

Bars above the line = Kansas St. leads, below = Cincinnati leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Cincinnati

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%12/18
44%7/16
2
58%11/19
52%12/23
3
56%9/16
39%7/18
4
75%9/12
47%8/17
5
75%9/12
36%5/14
6
32%7/22
38%5/13
All
58%57/99
44%44/101

Kansas St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%12/23
50%10/20
2
52%11/21
45%10/22
3
56%9/16
44%7/16
4
64%9/14
31%4/13
5
50%8/16
31%4/13
6
73%8/11
47%7/15
All
56%57/101
42%42/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

200 rallies

#CINCY-KAN STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1KAN STKAN STAttack errLigia Williams+2.5
21-1KAN STCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+1.8
31-2CINCYKAN STServe errCincinnati+1.8
41-3KAN STKAN STAceKansas St.aced Ava Ledebuhr+2.6
52-3KAN STCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+1.7
62-4CINCYKAN STKillCaleigh Ponn+1.8
73-4KAN STCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+1.8
83-5CINCYKAN STBad setKate Lijic+1.8
94-5KAN STCINCYServe errKansas St.+1.8
104-6CINCYKAN STServe errCincinnati+1.9
114-7KAN STKAN STBlockedNina Scruccablk Cadence Lundgren, Skylar Brady+2.6
125-7KAN STCINCYServe errKansas St.+1.7
135-8CINCYKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Lauren Latham+1.8
146-8KAN STCINCYServe errKansas St.+1.7
156-9CINCYKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Lauren Latham+1.9
167-9KAN STCINCYKillLigia Williamsset Kate Lijic+1.7
178-9CINCYCINCYAttack errSkylar Brady+2.8
188-10CINCYKAN STKillEllah Derrerset Emerson Van Lannen+2.1
199-10KAN STCINCYServe errKansas St.+2.0
209-11CINCYKAN ST×3Serve errCincinnati+2.2
219-12KAN STKAN ST×3KillCadence Lundgren+2.9
229-13KAN STKAN ST×3KillAddison Masseyset Reagan Fox+2.6
2310-13KAN STCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+1.5
2411-13CINCYCINCYAttack errAddison Massey+2.7
2511-14CINCYKAN STServe errCincinnati+2.1
2612-14KAN STCINCYKillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+1.9
2713-14CINCYCINCYKillAndrea Simovskiset Kate Lijic+3.3
2813-15CINCYKAN ST×3KillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+2.5
2913-16KAN STKAN ST×3KillSkylar Bradyset Fuka Sekita+3.3
3013-17KAN STKAN ST×3KillAddison Masseyset Lauren Latham+2.8
3114-17KAN STCINCYServe errKansas St.+1.5
3214-18CINCYKAN STAttack errKate Lijic+2.0
3314-19KAN STKAN STAceKansas St.+2.1
3415-19KAN STCINCYKillAndrea Simovskiset Kate Lijic+1.0
3516-19CINCYCINCYAttack errSkylar Brady+2.1
3616-20CINCYKAN STServe errCincinnati+2.0
3716-21KAN STKAN STKillReagan Foxset Fuka Sekita+1.9
3817-21KAN STCINCYBlockedSkylar Bradyblk Kate Lijic, Ligia Williams+0.7
3917-22CINCYKAN ST×3KillSkylar Bradyset Fuka Sekita+1.2
4017-23KAN STKAN ST×3Attack errSydney Nolan+0.8
4117-24KAN STKAN ST×3KillEllah Derrer+0.3
4218-24KAN STCINCYKillKate Lijicset Andrea Simovski·
4319-24CINCYCINCYAttack errReagan Fox+0.1
4419-25CINCYKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.2
Set 2
10-1CINCYKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Emerson Van Lannen+1.7
21-1KAN STCINCY×3KillLigia Williamsset Kate Lijic+1.7
32-1CINCYCINCY×3Bad setEmerson Van Lannen+2.5
43-1CINCYCINCY×3Attack errEllah Derrer+2.5
53-2CINCYKAN STBlockedSydney Nolanblk Ellah Derrer, Skylar Brady+1.7
63-3KAN STKAN STAceKansas St.aced Andrea Simovski+2.6
74-3KAN STCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Viktoria Ninova+1.8
85-3CINCYCINCYAttack errEllah Derrer+2.6
95-4CINCYKAN STServe errCincinnati+1.8
106-4KAN STCINCYBlockedReagan Foxblk Lilian Entenmann, Sydney Nolan+1.9
116-5CINCYKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Fuka Sekita+1.8
127-5KAN STCINCY×3KillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+1.9
138-5CINCYCINCY×3BlockedCadence Lundgrenblk Andrea Simovski, Ligia Williams+2.7
149-5CINCYCINCY×3KillLigia Williamsset Kate Lijic+2.5
159-6CINCYKAN STServe errCincinnati+1.5
1610-6KAN STCINCYKillNina Scruccaset Kate Lijic+1.8
1710-7CINCYKAN STAttack errAndrea Simovski+1.5
1811-7KAN STCINCY×3KillLigia Williamsset Kate Lijic+1.8
1912-7CINCYCINCY×3KillLigia Williams+2.2
2013-7CINCYCINCY×3Attack errSydney Maue+1.8
2113-8CINCYKAN ST×3KillSydney Maueset Lauren Latham+0.9
2213-9KAN STKAN ST×3KillSkylar Bradyset Fuka Sekita+1.8
2313-10KAN STKAN ST×3KillEllah Derrer+2.2
2414-10KAN STCINCY×3KillLigia Williamsset Kate Lijic+1.9
2515-10CINCYCINCY×3AceCincinnatiaced Addison Massey+2.3
2616-10CINCYCINCY×3Attack errSkylar Brady+1.8
2716-11CINCYKAN STServe errCincinnati+0.8
2816-12KAN STKAN STAttack errLilian Entenmann+1.7
2917-12KAN STCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+1.6
3018-12CINCYCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Kate Lijic+1.6
3118-13CINCYKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.7
3218-14KAN STKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+1.5
3319-14KAN STCINCYAttack errAddison Massey+1.5
3419-15CINCYKAN STKillReagan Foxset Emerson Van Lannen+1.0
3519-16KAN STKAN STKillEmerson Van Lannenset Skylar Brady+2.1
3620-16KAN STCINCYKillAndrea Simovskiset Kate Lijic+2.1
3721-16CINCYCINCYAceCincinnatiaced Skylar Brady+2.1
3821-17CINCYKAN STKillCadence Lundgrenset Emerson Van Lannen+0.8
3922-17KAN STCINCYKillLigia Williamsset Kate Lijic+1.3
4022-18CINCYKAN ST×8Serve errCincinnati+0.6
4122-19KAN STKAN ST×8Attack errLigia Williams+1.6
4222-20KAN STKAN ST×8KillSkylar Bradyset Lauren Latham+2.8
4322-21KAN STKAN ST×8Attack errLigia Williams+4.4
4422-22KAN STKAN ST×8KillSydney Maueset Fuka Sekita+6.3
4522-23KAN STKAN ST×8BlockedIzzy Busignaniblk Cadence Lundgren, Sydney Maue+7.7
4622-24KAN STKAN ST×8KillSydney Maueset Lauren Latham+7.2
4722-25KAN STKAN ST×8Attack errKate Lijic+3.8
Set 3
11-0KAN STCINCY×6KillAndi Spiesset Reagan Fox+1.1
22-0CINCYCINCY×6Attack errAddison Massey+1.6
33-0CINCYCINCY×6AceCincinnatiaced Skylar Brady+1.5
44-0CINCYCINCY×6KillSydney Nolanset Andi Spies+1.4
55-0CINCYCINCY×6BlockedSkylar Bradyblk Sydney Nolan+1.3
66-0CINCYCINCY×6Attack errAddison Massey+1.1
76-1CINCYKAN STServe errCincinnati+0.7
87-1KAN STCINCYKillLilian Entenmannset Andi Spies+0.8
98-1CINCYCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Andi Spies+1.0
108-2CINCYKAN ST×3Serve errCincinnati+0.5
118-3KAN STKAN ST×3KillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.9
128-4KAN STKAN ST×3KillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+1.1
139-4KAN STCINCY×3Serve errKansas St.+0.9
1410-4CINCYCINCY×3KillIzzy Busignaniset Andi Spies+1.1
1511-4CINCYCINCY×3Attack errAddison Massey+0.9
1611-5CINCYKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.5
1712-5KAN STCINCYKillNina Scruccaset Andi Spies+0.6
1812-6CINCYKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Lauren Latham+0.5
1913-6KAN STCINCYKillLigia Williamsset Andi Spies+0.6
2014-6CINCYCINCYBad setLauren Latham+0.6
2114-7CINCYKAN ST×3BlockedIzzy Busignaniblk Sydney Maue, Cadence Lundgren+0.3
2214-8KAN STKAN ST×3BlockedIzzy Busignaniblk Ellah Derrer, Sydney Maue+0.6
2314-9KAN STKAN ST×3KillSydney Maueset Ellah Derrer+0.8
2415-9KAN STCINCYServe errKansas St.+0.8
2516-9CINCYCINCYKillAndi Spiesset Ava Ledebuhr+0.8
2616-10CINCYKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Lauren Latham+0.4
2717-10KAN STCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Andrea Simovski+0.5
2817-11CINCYKAN ST×3KillSkylar Bradyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.3
2917-12KAN STKAN ST×3KillAddison Massey+0.7
3017-13KAN STKAN ST×3KillAddison Masseyset Fuka Sekita+1.0
3118-13KAN STCINCY×3KillSydney Nolanset Andi Spies+1.0
3219-13CINCYCINCY×3KillNina Scruccaset Viktoria Ninova+1.0
3320-13CINCYCINCY×3KillLilian Entenmannset Andi Spies+0.6
3420-14CINCYKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.2
3520-15KAN STKAN STAttack errNina Scrucca+0.5
3621-15KAN STCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Andi Spies+0.6
3721-16CINCYKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+0.3
3822-16KAN STCINCYKillAndrea Simovskiset Andi Spies+0.5
3922-17CINCYKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Lauren Latham+0.2
4023-17KAN STCINCY×3KillNina Scruccaset Andi Spies+0.4
4124-17CINCYCINCY×3AceCincinnatiaced Fuka Sekita+0.2
4225-17CINCYCINCY×3AceCincinnatiaced Addison Massey·
Set 4
11-0CINCYCINCYAttack errAddison Massey+3.3
21-1CINCYKAN STServe errCincinnati+2.3
31-2KAN STKAN STAceKansas St.aced Ligia Williams+3.3
42-2KAN STCINCYBlockedAddison Masseyblk Ligia Williams, Andi Spies+2.3
53-2CINCYCINCYAceCincinnatiaced Skylar Brady+3.5
63-3CINCYKAN STAttack errSydney Nolan+2.4
74-3KAN STCINCYKillAndi Spiesset Ava Ledebuhr+2.5
84-4CINCYKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Fuka Sekita+2.4
95-4KAN STCINCY×3KillSydney Nolanset Andi Spies+2.5
106-4CINCYCINCY×3BlockedCadence Lundgrenblk Lilian Entenmann+3.6
117-4CINCYCINCY×3Attack errSkylar Brady+3.5
127-5CINCYKAN STKillLauren Lathamset Fuka Sekita+2.2
138-5KAN STCINCYKillAndrea Simovskiset Andi Spies+2.5
149-5CINCYCINCYAttack errSydney Maue+3.3
159-6CINCYKAN STKillSydney Maueset Lauren Latham+2.0
1610-6KAN STCINCYKillLigia Williamsset Andi Spies+2.4
1710-7CINCYKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Fuka Sekita+2.0
1811-7KAN STCINCYKillAndi Spiesset Ligia Williams+2.4
1911-8CINCYKAN STKillReagan Foxset Emerson Van Lannen+2.0
2012-8KAN STCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Andrea Simovski+2.5
2113-8CINCYCINCYAttack errReagan Fox+3.0
2213-9CINCYKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+1.7
2314-9KAN STCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Andi Spies+2.1
2415-9CINCYCINCYKillNina Scruccaset Lauren Latham+2.4
2515-10CINCYKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Lauren Latham+1.2
2615-11KAN STKAN STAttack errLilian Entenmann+2.3
2716-11KAN STCINCY×3KillSydney Nolanset Andi Spies+2.1
2817-11CINCYCINCY×3Attack errSkylar Brady+2.3
2918-11CINCYCINCY×3Attack errSkylar Brady+1.6
3018-12CINCYKAN STServe errSydney Nolan+0.6
3119-12KAN STCINCYKillNina Scruccaset Andi Spies+1.0
3219-13CINCYKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Lauren Latham+0.5
3320-13KAN STCINCYServe errKansas St.+0.9
3421-13CINCYCINCYKillAndi Spiesset Andrea Simovski+0.7
3521-14CINCYKAN STServe errNina Scrucca+0.2
3621-15KAN STKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Fuka Sekita+0.5
3722-15KAN STCINCY×3KillAndrea Simovskiset Andi Spies+0.6
3823-15CINCYCINCY×3AceAndrea Simovski+0.3
3924-15CINCYCINCY×3AceAndrea Simovskiaced Skylar Brady+0.1
4024-16CINCYKAN STServe errAndrea Simovski·
4124-17KAN STKAN STAceKansas St.·
4225-17KAN STCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Andi Spies+1.4
Set 5
11-0KAN STCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Andi Spies+6.3
21-1CINCYKAN STServe errViktoria Ninova+6.1
31-2KAN STKAN STKillEllah Derrerset Emerson Van Lannen+9.2
42-2KAN STCINCYKillLilian Entenmannset Andi Spies+6.4
52-3CINCYKAN STServe errAndi Spies+6.6
63-3KAN STCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Andi Spies+6.6
74-3CINCYCINCYBlockedAddison Masseyblk Lilian Entenmann, Nina Scrucca+10.1
84-4CINCYKAN ST×3KillEllah Derrerset Emerson Van Lannen+6.9
94-5KAN STKAN ST×3Attack errNina Scrucca+10.4
104-6KAN STKAN ST×3KillSkylar Bradyset Lauren Latham+10.2
115-6KAN STCINCYServe errKansas St.+6.5
125-7CINCYKAN STServe errLilian Entenmann+7.4
136-7KAN STCINCYKillLigia Williamsset Andi Spies+6.8
147-7CINCYCINCYAttack errSkylar Brady+11.5
157-8CINCYKAN ST×5Serve errNina Scrucca+8.6
167-9KAN STKAN ST×5AceKansas St.aced Ava Ledebuhr+12.0
177-10KAN STKAN ST×5AceKansas St.aced Kayla Hostetler+10.4
187-11KAN STKAN ST×5KillCadence Lundgren+7.8
197-12KAN STKAN ST×5Attack errAndrea Simovski+4.8
208-12KAN STCINCYKillAndrea Simovskiset Andi Spies+1.6
218-13CINCYKAN STKillSkylar Bradyset Fuka Sekita+2.9
229-13KAN STCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Andi Spies+1.1
239-14CINCYKAN STKillAddison Masseyset Emerson Van Lannen+2.2
2410-14KAN STCINCYKillSydney Nolanset Andi Spies+0.5
2510-15CINCYKAN STServe errAndi Spies+1.2

Score shown after each rally, Cincinnati first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).