FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwaySWAC

0:3

HomeNEC

Stonehill def. Alcorn 3–0

(25-15, 25-21, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ALCORN	15	21	20	0
STONEH	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

STONEH above 50 · ALCORN below

Biggest swing: 2.5% to Stonehill — set 2, ALCORN 20-21 STONEH. Attack error by Courtney Carter. STONEH win probability 90% → 93%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ALCORN 14.9%85.1% STONEH

Alcorn wins

3-0

2.2%

3-1

4.8%

3-2

7.9%

Stonehill wins

3-0

37.2%

3-1

31.3%

3-2

16.5%

ALCORN break %: 40.0% vs this opp
STONEH break %: 48.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Courtney CarterAttack error+2.5%
Attack error by Courtney Carter
Set 2 · ALCORN 20-21 STONEH · STONEH 90% → 93%
02
Courtney CarterAttack error+2.5%
Attack error by Courtney Carter
Set 2 · ALCORN 21-23 STONEH · STONEH 93% → 95%
03
STONEH serverAce+2.5%
Stonehill ace on Alexis Burton
Set 2 · ALCORN 20-20 STONEH · STONEH 88% → 90%
04
Samantha LoydKill+2.2%
Kill by Samantha Loyd (set by Kendra Sawyer)
Set 2 · ALCORN 21-22 STONEH · STONEH 90% → 93%
05
Alexis BurtonAttack error+2.2%
Attack error by Alexis Burton
Set 2 · ALCORN 20-19 STONEH · STONEH 85% → 88%
06
Courtney CarterKill+2.1%
Kill by Courtney Carter (set by Juliana Henao)
Set 2 · ALCORN 21-21 STONEH · ALCORN 7% → 10%
07
Samantha LoydAttack error+2.0%
Attack error by Samantha Loyd
Set 2 · ALCORN 20-16 STONEH · ALCORN 16% → 18%
08
STONEH serverService error+1.8%
Stonehill service error
Set 2 · ALCORN 19-16 STONEH · ALCORN 14% → 16%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Alcornaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Rylan JonesMB	3	6	3	16	.188	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	1	7
0Jaylynn McNeillOH	3	5	2	10	.300	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
8Cristin WebbMB	3	2	0	5	.400	0	0	1	0	0	2	2	3	5
2Bailey UpshawMB	3	1	0	2	.500	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
18Daylin SaikiS	3	0	0	2	.000	12	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
16Courtney CarterOH	2	2	3	6	-.167	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	2
12Alexis BurtonOH	3	5	3	16	.125	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	5
7Ki’ara Knight-ThompsonMB	3	0	1	3	-.333	1	2	2	3	1	0	0	0	2
5Kasey WatkinsOPP	3	0	1	1	-1.000	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
10Tomoni GiddingsL/DS	3	1	0	2	.500	2	0	1	9	1	0	0	0	1
3Juliana HenaoS	3	0	0	0	–	5	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
4Kelsey BurksMB	2	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		22	14	65	.123	20	5	7	23	13	2	6	5	56

Stonehillhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
12Samantha LoydOH	3	13	0	19	.684	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13
7Sammy FrancoOPP	3	6	3	18	.167	0	5	3	2	0	2	1	12
19Abby FarrellMB	3	6	4	13	.154	0	2	3	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
13Addy FryeOH	3	4	0	11	.364	0	4	2	5	0	0	0	8
24Annabelle SvensonMB	3	7	0	8	.875	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	8
3Kendra SawyerS	3	1	1	4	.000	32	1	0	3	0	1	0.5	2.5
4Kristina BishopL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	5	4	1	0	0	1
9Gabi PolishukOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	0
18Kaisa DowdOH	2	3	3	8	.000	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3
16Jess BarrettOH	2	0	1	1	-1.000	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
23Addison KoontzL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	1	0	0	0
21Haley HerndonOPP	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Rosa SmithS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	12	82	.341	36	13	14	22	5	6	3	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 ALCORN · STONEH 5

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 2 ALCORNSTONEH 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 4 ALCORNSTONEH 5

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 ALCORNSTONEH 4

Bars above the line = Stonehill leads, below = Alcorn leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Alcorn

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	43%6/14	13%1/8
2	75%6/8	0%0/6
3	67%6/9	54%7/13
4	38%6/16	50%6/12
5	43%6/14	33%3/9
6	46%6/13	33%3/9
All	49%36/74	35%20/57

Stonehill

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	88%7/8	60%9/15
2	67%6/9	40%4/10
3	46%6/13	40%4/10
4	50%6/12	54%7/13
5	75%6/8	63%10/16
6	86%6/7	40%4/10
All	65%37/57	51%38/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

131 rallies

Rally log

#	ALCORN-STONEH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	STONEH	ALCORN	Kill	Courtney Carter	set Daylin Saiki	+1.2
2	1-1	ALCORN	STONEH	Kill	Sammy Franco	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.1
3	1-2	STONEH	STONEH	Kill	Sammy Franco	set Kristina Bishop	+1.3
4	2-2	STONEH	ALCORN	Kill	Rylan Jones	set Daylin Saiki	+1.1
5	3-2	ALCORN	ALCORN	Attack err	Sammy Franco	blk Rylan Jones, Cristin Webb	+1.6
6	3-3	ALCORN	STONEH×3	Kill	Annabelle Svenson	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.2
7	3-4	STONEH	STONEH×3	Ace	STONEH server	aced Courtney Carter	+1.4
8	3-5	STONEH	STONEH×3	Attack err	Jaylynn McNeill		+1.3
9	4-5	STONEH	ALCORN	Serve err	STONEH server		+1.0
10	5-5	ALCORN	ALCORN	Attack err	Abby Farrell	blk Cristin Webb	+1.5
11	5-6	ALCORN	STONEH×4	Kill	Abby Farrell	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.2
12	5-7	STONEH	STONEH×4	Ace	STONEH server	aced Ki’ara Knight-Thompson	+1.4
13	5-8	STONEH	STONEH×4	Ace	STONEH server	aced Tomoni Giddings	+1.2
14	5-9	STONEH	STONEH×4	Ace	STONEH server	aced Team	+1.0
15	6-9	STONEH	ALCORN	Serve err	STONEH server		+0.8
16	6-10	ALCORN	STONEH×3	Kill	Addy Frye	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.8
17	6-11	STONEH	STONEH×3	Attack err	Courtney Carter	blk Kendra Sawyer, Abby Farrell	+0.8
18	6-12	STONEH	STONEH×3	Kill	Abby Farrell	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.6
19	7-12	STONEH	ALCORN	Kill	Cristin Webb	set Daylin Saiki	+0.4
20	8-12	ALCORN	ALCORN	Attack err	Abby Farrell		+0.7
21	8-13	ALCORN	STONEH	Serve err	ALCORN server		+0.7
22	9-13	STONEH	ALCORN	Kill	Alexis Burton	set Daylin Saiki	+0.6
23	9-14	ALCORN	STONEH	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.7
24	10-14	STONEH	ALCORN	Kill	Jaylynn McNeill	set Daylin Saiki	+0.6
25	10-15	ALCORN	STONEH	Kill	Annabelle Svenson	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.7
26	11-15	STONEH	ALCORN	Kill	Jaylynn McNeill	set Daylin Saiki	+0.6
27	11-16	ALCORN	STONEH	Attack err	Rylan Jones	blk Sammy Franco, Annabelle Svenson	+0.7
28	12-16	STONEH	ALCORN	Serve err	STONEH server		+0.6
29	12-17	ALCORN	STONEH	Kill	Abby Farrell	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.7
30	12-18	STONEH	STONEH	Kill	Addy Frye	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.6
31	13-18	STONEH	ALCORN	Serve err	STONEH server		+0.4
32	13-19	ALCORN	STONEH	Kill	Addy Frye	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.5
33	13-20	STONEH	STONEH	Ace	STONEH server	aced Kasey Watkins	+0.3
34	14-20	STONEH	ALCORN	Attack err	Kendra Sawyer	blk Cristin Webb	+0.2
35	14-21	ALCORN	STONEH	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.2
36	15-21	STONEH	ALCORN	Attack err	Jess Barrett		+0.1
37	15-22	ALCORN	STONEH×4	Kill	Annabelle Svenson	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.2
38	15-23	STONEH	STONEH×4	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.1
39	15-24	STONEH	STONEH×4	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.0
40	15-25	STONEH	STONEH×4	Attack err	Jaylynn McNeill	blk Sammy Franco, Annabelle Svenson	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	ALCORN	STONEH	Kill	Annabelle Svenson	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.7
2	1-1	STONEH	ALCORN	Serve err	STONEH server		+0.8
3	1-2	ALCORN	STONEH	Serve err	ALCORN server		+0.7
4	2-2	STONEH	ALCORN×3	Kill	Rylan Jones	set Daylin Saiki	+0.8
5	3-2	ALCORN	ALCORN×3	Bad set	Kendra Sawyer		+1.1
6	4-2	ALCORN	ALCORN×3	Kill	Jaylynn McNeill	set Tomoni Giddings	+1.3
7	4-3	ALCORN	STONEH	Kill	Abby Farrell	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.9
8	5-3	STONEH	ALCORN×4	Kill	Rylan Jones	set Daylin Saiki	+1.0
9	6-3	ALCORN	ALCORN×4	Ace	ALCORN server	aced Kristina Bishop	+1.4
10	7-3	ALCORN	ALCORN×4	Kill	Rylan Jones	set Daylin Saiki	+1.4
11	8-3	ALCORN	ALCORN×4	Bad set	Kendra Sawyer		+1.4
12	8-4	ALCORN	STONEH×3	Kill	Addy Frye	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.9
13	8-5	STONEH	STONEH×3	Ace	STONEH server	aced Team	+1.2
14	8-6	STONEH	STONEH×3	Attack err	Tomoni Giddings		+1.3
15	9-6	STONEH	ALCORN	Kill	Alexis Burton	set Ki’ara Knight-Thompson	+1.2
16	9-7	ALCORN	STONEH	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.0
17	10-7	STONEH	ALCORN	Kill	Alexis Burton	set Daylin Saiki	+1.2
18	10-8	ALCORN	STONEH	Attack err	Alexis Burton		+1.0
19	11-8	STONEH	ALCORN	Kill	Alexis Burton	set Juliana Henao	+1.3
20	12-8	ALCORN	ALCORN	Ace	ALCORN server	aced Addison Koontz	+1.6
21	12-9	ALCORN	STONEH	Kill	Sammy Franco	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.0
22	13-9	STONEH	ALCORN	Kill	Jaylynn McNeill	set Juliana Henao	+1.3
23	13-10	ALCORN	STONEH	Kill	Sammy Franco	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.0
24	13-11	STONEH	STONEH	Kill	Kaisa Dowd	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.5
25	14-11	STONEH	ALCORN×3	Serve err	STONEH server		+1.4
26	15-11	ALCORN	ALCORN×3	Attack err	Kaisa Dowd	blk Cristin Webb, Jaylynn McNeill	+1.8
27	16-11	ALCORN	ALCORN×3	Attack err	Kaisa Dowd		+1.6
28	16-12	ALCORN	STONEH	Kill	Abby Farrell	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.9
29	17-12	STONEH	ALCORN	Kill	Cristin Webb	set Juliana Henao	+1.3
30	17-13	ALCORN	STONEH	Attack err	Ki’ara Knight-Thompson		+0.9
31	17-14	STONEH	STONEH	Ace	STONEH server	aced Alexis Burton	+1.4
32	18-14	STONEH	ALCORN	Serve err	STONEH server		+1.5
33	18-15	ALCORN	STONEH	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Addison Koontz	+1.1
34	18-16	STONEH	STONEH	Ace	STONEH server	aced Rylan Jones	+1.7
35	19-16	STONEH	ALCORN	Serve err	STONEH server		+1.8
36	20-16	ALCORN	ALCORN	Attack err	Samantha Loyd		+2.0
37	20-17	ALCORN	STONEH×5	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Rosa Smith	+1.1
38	20-18	STONEH	STONEH×5	Attack err	Kasey Watkins		+1.8
39	20-19	STONEH	STONEH×5	Attack err	Alexis Burton		+2.2
40	20-20	STONEH	STONEH×5	Ace	STONEH server	aced Alexis Burton	+2.5
41	20-21	STONEH	STONEH×5	Attack err	Courtney Carter		+2.5
42	21-21	STONEH	ALCORN	Kill	Courtney Carter	set Juliana Henao	+2.1
43	21-22	ALCORN	STONEH×4	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Kendra Sawyer	+2.2
44	21-23	STONEH	STONEH×4	Attack err	Courtney Carter		+2.5
45	21-24	STONEH	STONEH×4	Attack err	Kelsey Burks		+1.6
46	21-25	STONEH	STONEH×4	Kill	Sammy Franco	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.6
Set 3
1	1-0	STONEH	ALCORN	Kill	Jaylynn McNeill	set Daylin Saiki	+0.4
2	1-1	ALCORN	STONEH	Kill	Sammy Franco	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.4
3	2-1	STONEH	ALCORN	Kill	Rylan Jones	set Daylin Saiki	+0.4
4	3-1	ALCORN	ALCORN	Attack err	Sammy Franco		+0.6
5	3-2	ALCORN	STONEH	Serve err	ALCORN server		+0.4
6	3-3	STONEH	STONEH	Attack err	Rylan Jones		+0.5
7	4-3	STONEH	ALCORN	Serve err	STONEH server		+0.5
8	5-3	ALCORN	ALCORN	Ace	ALCORN server	aced Gabi Polishuk	+0.6
9	5-4	ALCORN	STONEH×4	Serve err	ALCORN server		+0.4
10	5-5	STONEH	STONEH×4	Ace	STONEH server	aced Alexis Burton	+0.6
11	5-6	STONEH	STONEH×4	Attack err	Rylan Jones		+0.5
12	5-7	STONEH	STONEH×4	Ace	STONEH server	aced Alexis Burton	+0.5
13	6-7	STONEH	ALCORN×4	Serve err	STONEH server		+0.4
14	7-7	ALCORN	ALCORN×4	Ace	ALCORN server	aced Gabi Polishuk	+0.6
15	8-7	ALCORN	ALCORN×4	Ace	ALCORN server	aced Kaisa Dowd	+0.6
16	9-7	ALCORN	ALCORN×4	Attack err	Abby Farrell		+0.7
17	9-8	ALCORN	STONEH×3	Kill	Kaisa Dowd	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.5
18	9-9	STONEH	STONEH×3	Ace	STONEH server	aced Alexis Burton	+0.6
19	9-10	STONEH	STONEH×3	Kill	Abby Farrell	set Tomoni Giddings	+0.6
20	10-10	STONEH	ALCORN	Serve err	STONEH server		+0.5
21	10-11	ALCORN	STONEH	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.5
22	10-12	STONEH	STONEH	Kill	Annabelle Svenson	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.6
23	11-12	STONEH	ALCORN	Serve err	STONEH server		+0.5
24	11-13	ALCORN	STONEH	Serve err	ALCORN server		+0.5
25	11-14	STONEH	STONEH	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.5
26	12-14	STONEH	ALCORN	Kill	Tomoni Giddings	set Daylin Saiki	+0.4
27	12-15	ALCORN	STONEH	Kill	Annabelle Svenson	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.4
28	13-15	STONEH	ALCORN	Attack err	Kaisa Dowd		+0.4
29	14-15	ALCORN	ALCORN	Attack err	Sammy Franco	blk Bailey Upshaw, Rylan Jones	+0.6
30	14-16	ALCORN	STONEH	Kill	Kaisa Dowd	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.5
31	15-16	STONEH	ALCORN	Serve err	STONEH server		+0.5
32	16-16	ALCORN	ALCORN	Kill	Bailey Upshaw		+0.8
33	16-17	ALCORN	STONEH	Serve err	ALCORN server		+0.7
34	17-17	STONEH	ALCORN	Kill	Rylan Jones	set Tomoni Giddings	+0.7
35	17-18	ALCORN	STONEH×3	Kill	Kendra Sawyer	set Jess Barrett	+0.7
36	17-19	STONEH	STONEH×3	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.8
37	17-20	STONEH	STONEH×3	Attack err	Alexis Burton		+0.7
38	18-20	STONEH	ALCORN	Kill	Alexis Burton	set Juliana Henao	+0.4
39	19-20	ALCORN	ALCORN	Attack err	Abby Farrell		+0.8
40	19-21	ALCORN	STONEH×3	Serve err	ALCORN server		+0.8
41	19-22	STONEH	STONEH×3	Kill	Annabelle Svenson	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.7
42	19-23	STONEH	STONEH×3	Ace	STONEH server	aced Rylan Jones	+0.5
43	20-23	STONEH	ALCORN	Serve err	STONEH server		+0.2
44	20-24	ALCORN	STONEH	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.3
45	20-25	STONEH	STONEH	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Alcorn first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.