FinalThu, Oct 29, 2026Watch on MW+

Grand Canyon def. New Mexico 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: New Mexico 53.7% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 29, 7:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Grand Canyon won at New Mexico 3-0 (25-19, 25-15, 25-20) on Thu, Oct 29, 2026. Grand Canyon's Starr Williams led with 10 kills, and Nika Zupanic added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 29

Set123Sets
GCANYN2525253
N MEX1915200

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Grand Canyon swept New Mexico, and no set was closer than 5 points.

Win probability never moved more than 4.4 points on one rally; New Mexico topped out at 56% in Set 1. RallyIQ had New Mexico at 54% before first serve.

Grand CanyonNew Mexico
  • Break %+18.2 pts
    52.734.5

    39 of 74 on serve vs 19 of 55, so New Mexico's sideout was 47.3%.

  • Hitting+.186
    .252.066

    41 kills, 11 errors vs 34 kills, 26 errors.

  • Longest run+0
    55

    From 16–16 in the first set, Grand Canyon scored 5 straight to lead 21–16. The set finished 25–19.

New Mexico above 50Grand Canyon belowMax swing 4.4%

Grand CanyonNew Mexico

Aces
Grand Canyon 4·New Mexico 0
Serve err
Grand Canyon 8·New Mexico 4
Blocks
Grand Canyon 12·New Mexico 33 BS · 18 BA vs 2 BS · 2 BA
Digs
Grand Canyon 54·New Mexico 54

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

New Mexico above 50 · Grand Canyon below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.4% GCANYNrally 129 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.4% to Grand Canyon — set 1, GCANYN 18-16 N MEX. Attack error by Addison France. N MEX win probability 49% → 45%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

GCANYN 55.7%44.3% N MEX

Grand Canyon wins

3-0
15.0%
3-1
21.1%
3-2
19.5%

New Mexico wins

3-0
10.3%
3-1
16.4%
3-2
17.7%
GCANYN break %
41.6% vs this opp
N MEX break %
40.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Addison FranceAttack error+4.4%

    Attack error by Addison France

    Set 1 · GCANYN 18-16 N MEX · GCANYN 51% → 55%

  2. 02

    Kill by Addison France (set by Madeleine Miller)

    Set 1 · GCANYN 16-16 N MEX · N MEX 48% → 52%

  3. 03

    Kill by Aubrey Goodere (set by Bella Nunez)

    Set 1 · GCANYN 16-14 N MEX · GCANYN 50% → 54%

  4. 04
    Addison FranceAttack error+4.0%

    Attack error by Addison France

    Set 1 · GCANYN 19-16 N MEX · GCANYN 55% → 59%

  5. 05

    Kill by Mina Stanojevic (set by Madeleine Miller)

    Set 1 · GCANYN 14-14 N MEX · N MEX 49% → 52%

  6. 06
    Mina StanojevicAttack error+3.6%

    Attack error by Mina Stanojevic

    Set 1 · GCANYN 14-12 N MEX · GCANYN 50% → 54%

  7. 07

    Kill by Aubrey Goodere (set by Taylor Kubacak)

    Set 2 · GCANYN 10-8 N MEX · GCANYN 69% → 72%

  8. 08
    Bella NunezKill+3.3%

    Kill by Bella Nunez (set by Taylor Kubacak)

    Set 1 · GCANYN 10-9 N MEX · GCANYN 46% → 50%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39124.333161250052.512.5
310226.3080016012212
37220.25000010153.510.5
3529.3330226014310
34017.23501280010.55.5
3012-.5001701900000
35115.26700010010.55.5
31011.000000400001
3000–4001400000
1025-.400000000000
Team totals4111119.25237485403181275
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38532.094001300008
37621.048100110010.57.5
37525.080000520007
35416.063000102027
34012.333001100004
3228.0002500910002
3000–6012010000
3000–000400000
2148-.37500100010.51.5
Team totals3426122.066320454422354

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Grand Canyon vs New Mexico

Season series · Grand Canyon leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 GCANYN · N MEX 5

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 5 GCANYNN MEX 3

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 5 GCANYNN MEX 2

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 5 GCANYNN MEX 5

Bars above the line = New Mexico leads, below = Grand Canyon leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Grand Canyon

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
40%4/10
2
100%6/6
57%8/14
3
60%6/10
50%6/12
4
67%6/9
14%1/7
5
60%6/10
60%9/15
6
71%5/7
69%11/16
All
65%36/55
53%39/74

New Mexico

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
29%2/7
2
43%6/14
42%5/12
3
60%6/10
14%1/7
4
55%6/11
40%4/10
5
43%6/14
25%2/8
6
29%4/14
45%5/11
All
47%35/74
35%19/55

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#GCANYN-N MEXSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1GCANYNN MEXServe errGrand Canyon+1.8
21-1N MEXGCANYNKillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+1.8
32-1GCANYNGCANYNBlockedSeenane Brewerblk Bella Nunez, Aubrey Bellus+2.7
42-2GCANYNN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.8
53-2N MEXGCANYN×3KillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+1.9
64-2GCANYNGCANYN×3BlockedSeenane Brewerblk Macey Hughes, Aubrey Bellus+2.7
75-2GCANYNGCANYN×3KillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+2.6
85-3GCANYNN MEX×3Serve errGrand Canyon+1.7
95-4N MEXN MEX×3KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+2.7
105-5N MEXN MEX×3KillReagan Miller+2.8
116-5N MEXGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+2.0
126-6GCANYNN MEXServe errGrand Canyon+2.0
136-7N MEXN MEXAttack errBella Nunez+3.0
147-7N MEXGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+2.0
157-8GCANYNN MEXKillMadeleine Millerset Mina Stanojevic+2.1
168-8N MEXGCANYNKillBella Andersonset Bella Nunez+2.1
178-9GCANYNN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+2.1
189-9N MEXGCANYNAttack errSeenane Brewer+2.1
1910-9GCANYNGCANYNKillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+3.3
2010-10GCANYNN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.2
2111-10N MEXGCANYNBlockedSeenane Brewerblk Bella Nunez, Aubrey Goodere+2.3
2211-11GCANYNN MEXAttack errStarr Williams+2.3
2312-11N MEXGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Taylor Kubacak+2.4
2412-12GCANYNN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+2.4
2513-12N MEXGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+2.5
2614-12GCANYNGCANYNAttack errMina Stanojevic+3.6
2714-13GCANYNN MEXAttack errMilica Zigic+2.3
2814-14N MEXN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+3.8
2915-14N MEXGCANYNKillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+2.7
3016-14GCANYNGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Bella Nunez+4.0
3116-15GCANYNN MEXAttack errMilica Zigic+2.5
3216-16N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+4.1
3317-16N MEXGCANYN×5Attack errMina Stanojevic+3.0
3418-16GCANYNGCANYN×5Attack errAddison France+4.4
3519-16GCANYNGCANYN×5Attack errAddison France+4.0
3620-16GCANYNGCANYN×5KillAubrey Goodereset Taylor Kubacak+3.1
3721-16GCANYNGCANYN×5KillAubrey Goodere+2.1
3821-17GCANYNN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Camila Canedo+0.8
3921-18N MEXN MEXKillCampbell Hollister+1.9
4022-18N MEXGCANYNKillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+2.1
4123-18GCANYNGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Nika Zupanic+1.7
4223-19GCANYNN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+0.4
4324-19N MEXGCANYNServe errCampbell Hollister+0.9
4425-19GCANYNGCANYNKillBella Nunezset Nika Zupanic+0.3
Set 2
11-0N MEXGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak+1.9
21-1GCANYNN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+1.8
32-1N MEXGCANYNKillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+1.9
42-2GCANYNN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.9
53-2N MEXGCANYNServe errAddison France+1.9
63-3GCANYNN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Camila Canedo+1.9
74-3N MEXGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+2.0
84-4GCANYNN MEXServe errGrand Canyon+2.0
95-4N MEXGCANYNServe errCamila Canedo+2.0
106-4GCANYNGCANYNAttack errMina Stanojevic+3.0
116-5GCANYNN MEXServe errGrand Canyon+1.9
126-6N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Camila Canedo+3.0
137-6N MEXGCANYNAttack errAddison France+2.1
148-6GCANYNGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Taylor Kubacak+3.1
158-7GCANYNN MEXServe errGrand Canyon+2.0
168-8N MEXN MEXAttack errStarr Williams+3.2
179-8N MEXGCANYN×3KillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak+2.3
1810-8GCANYNGCANYN×3KillAubrey Goodereset Taylor Kubacak+3.3
1911-8GCANYNGCANYN×3Serve errGrand Canyon+3.2
2011-9GCANYNN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+1.9
2112-9N MEXGCANYN×3KillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+2.2
2213-9GCANYNGCANYN×3BlockedAddison Franceblk Aubrey Bellus, Starr Williams+2.9
2314-9GCANYNGCANYN×3KillAubrey Bellus+2.4
2414-10GCANYNN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.3
2514-11N MEXN MEXBlockedAubrey Bellusblk Reagan Miller+2.4
2615-11N MEXGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+2.1
2715-12GCANYNN MEXKillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+1.7
2815-13N MEXN MEXKillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+3.0
2916-13N MEXGCANYN×5KillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+2.5
3017-13GCANYNGCANYN×5KillAubrey Goodereset Bella Nunez+3.1
3118-13GCANYNGCANYN×5Attack errReagan Miller+2.4
3219-13GCANYNGCANYN×5Attack errMadeleine Miller+1.7
3320-13GCANYNGCANYN×5KillKatie Schulzset Bella Nunez+1.0
3420-14GCANYNN MEXServe errGrand Canyon+0.3
3521-14N MEXGCANYN×3KillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+0.6
3622-14GCANYNGCANYN×3BlockedMina Stanojevicblk Bella Nunez, Aubrey Goodere+0.4
3723-14GCANYNGCANYN×3BlockedMina Stanojevicblk Bella Nunez, Aubrey Goodere+0.1
3823-15GCANYNN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller·
3924-15N MEXGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Taylor Kubacak·
4025-15GCANYNGCANYNAceGrand Canyonaced Madeleine Miller·
Set 3
10-1GCANYNN MEX×5KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.2
20-2N MEXN MEX×5Bad setTaylor Kubacak+1.8
30-3N MEXN MEX×5BlockedAubrey Goodereblk Reagan Miller+1.7
40-4N MEXN MEX×5KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+1.6
50-5N MEXN MEX×5KillSeenane Brewerset Camila Canedo+1.4
61-5N MEXGCANYNBlockedSeenane Brewerblk Aubrey Goodere, Bella Nunez+0.8
71-6GCANYNN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+1.0
82-6N MEXGCANYNKillBella Nunezset Nika Zupanic+0.8
92-7GCANYNN MEXServe errGrand Canyon+1.0
103-7N MEXGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+0.8
113-8GCANYNN MEXBlockedMacey Hughesblk Zoe Leonard, Mina Stanojevic+1.0
124-8N MEXGCANYN×3Attack errZoe Leonard+0.8
135-8GCANYNGCANYN×3AceGrand Canyonaced Seenane Brewer+1.5
146-8GCANYNGCANYN×3AceGrand Canyonaced Seenane Brewer+1.7
156-9GCANYNN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+1.3
166-10N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.7
177-10N MEXGCANYN×5KillKatie Schulzset Bella Nunez+1.0
188-10GCANYNGCANYN×5KillKatie Schulzset Taylor Kubacak+1.8
199-10GCANYNGCANYN×5BlockedZoe Leonardblk Aubrey Goodere+2.1
2010-10GCANYNGCANYN×5KillAubrey Goodere+2.3
2111-10GCANYNGCANYN×5KillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+2.4
2211-11GCANYNN MEXKillZoe Leonardset Madeleine Miller+1.6
2312-11N MEXGCANYNServe errZoe Leonard+1.7
2412-12GCANYNN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+1.7
2512-13N MEXN MEXKillMadeleine Millerset Camila Canedo+2.5
2613-13N MEXGCANYN×5KillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak+1.7
2714-13GCANYNGCANYN×5Attack errReagan Miller+2.7
2815-13GCANYNGCANYN×5KillStarr Williamsset Nika Zupanic+2.7
2916-13GCANYNGCANYN×5BlockedReagan Millerblk Aubrey Bellus, Starr Williams+2.5
3017-13GCANYNGCANYN×5Attack errMadeleine Miller+2.1
3117-14GCANYNN MEXAttack errTaylor Kubacak+1.1
3218-14N MEXGCANYN×3KillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak+1.5
3319-14GCANYNGCANYN×3AceGrand Canyonaced Camila Canedo+1.6
3420-14GCANYNGCANYN×3BlockedReagan Millerblk Starr Williams+1.1
3520-15GCANYNN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+0.4
3620-16N MEXN MEXAttack errAubrey Bellus+0.9
3721-16N MEXGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+1.0
3821-17GCANYNN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+0.6
3922-17N MEXGCANYN×3BlockedZoe Leonardblk Aubrey Bellus+0.9
4023-17GCANYNGCANYN×3KillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+0.7
4124-17GCANYNGCANYN×3Attack errMina Stanojevic+0.2
4224-18GCANYNN MEX×3KillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller·
4324-19N MEXN MEX×3KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+0.1
4424-20N MEXN MEX×3Attack errAubrey Goodere+0.2
4525-20N MEXGCANYNBlockedAddison Franceblk Aubrey Goodere, Katie Schulz+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Grand Canyon first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).