Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on MW+

Grand Canyon def. New Mexico 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Grand Canyon 53.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Grand Canyon won at New Mexico 3-1 (25-22, 22-25, 26-24, 25-13) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Starr Williams led Grand Canyon with 13 kills; New Mexico's Seenane Brewer had a match-high 14.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set1234Sets
GCANYN252226253
N MEX222524131

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Grand Canyon won 6 of the last 8 rallies to close out New Mexico.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Grand Canyon's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ gave Grand Canyon 53% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Grand Canyon 18–19 New Mexico

    3 straight Grand Canyon points turned an 18–19 deficit into a 21–19 lead. The match swung to Grand Canyon.

    Grand Canyon 46% → 65%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Grand Canyon 23–23 New Mexico

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Grand Canyon, enough to take the set 26–24 and lead 2–1.

    Grand Canyon 53% → 76%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Grand Canyon 6–6 New Mexico

    Grand Canyon scored 9 straight to go from 6–6 to a 15–6 lead.

    Grand Canyon 77% → 99%

New Mexico above 50Grand Canyon belowMax swing 13.6%

Grand CanyonNew Mexico

Sideout %
Grand Canyon 61.2·New Mexico 52.6
Break %
Grand Canyon 47.4·New Mexico 38.8
Hitting
Grand Canyon .221·New Mexico .155
Longest run
Grand Canyon 9·New Mexico 5

Starr Williams
13 kills on .119, 14.5 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

New Mexico above 50 · Grand Canyon below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+13.6% N MEXrally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 13.6% to New Mexico — set 3, GCANYN 23-24 N MEX. Kill by Mina Stanojevic (set by Madeleine Miller). N MEX win probability 47% → 60%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

GCANYN 55.7%44.3% N MEX

Grand Canyon wins

3-0
15.0%
3-1
21.1%
3-2
19.5%

New Mexico wins

3-0
10.3%
3-1
16.4%
3-2
17.7%
GCANYN break %
41.6% vs this opp
N MEX break %
40.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Mina StanojevicKill+13.6%

    Kill by Mina Stanojevic (set by Madeleine Miller)

    Set 3 · GCANYN 23-24 N MEX · N MEX 47% → 60%

  2. 02
    Starr WilliamsKill+13.5%

    Kill by Starr Williams (set by Bella Nunez)

    Set 3 · GCANYN 25-24 N MEX · GCANYN 49% → 63%

  3. 03
    Starr WilliamsKill+13.3%

    Kill by Starr Williams (set by Bella Nunez)

    Set 3 · GCANYN 26-24 N MEX · GCANYN 63% → 76%

  4. 04

    Aubrey Bellus stuffed by Addison France & Campbell Hollister

    Set 3 · GCANYN 23-23 N MEX · N MEX 36% → 47%

  5. 05

    Kill by Starr Williams (set by Taylor Kubacak)

    Set 3 · GCANYN 24-24 N MEX · GCANYN 40% → 49%

  6. 06
    Bella NunezKill+7.3%

    Kill by Bella Nunez (set by Nika Zupanic)

    Set 3 · GCANYN 20-19 N MEX · GCANYN 50% → 58%

  7. 07

    Kill by Aubrey Goodere (set by Taylor Kubacak)

    Set 3 · GCANYN 21-19 N MEX · GCANYN 58% → 65%

  8. 08
    Katie SchulzAttack error+6.8%

    Attack error by Katie Schulz

    Set 3 · GCANYN 18-19 N MEX · N MEX 48% → 54%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413842.11901232010.514.5
49116.50003130052.514.5
49124.3330001006312
48423.174221011004211
49532.12500212002110
41011.00022121000002
47316.250000000429
4000–7121610001
4000–100600000
Team totals5622154.22152796230221198
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411833.09123215202115
414837.16200120010.514.5
49631.097200100010.59.5
47016.438002100218
45010.5004003100010.55.5
42113.07710000031.53.5
4000–1002440000
4000–000610000
3138-.250001000001
1000–000100000
Team totals4926148.1554639697010584

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Grand Canyon vs New Mexico

Season series · Grand Canyon leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 GCANYN · N MEX 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 5 GCANYNN MEX 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 GCANYNN MEX 3

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 4 GCANYNN MEX 5

Set 4

25-13

Longest run 9 GCANYNN MEX 2

Bars above the line = New Mexico leads, below = Grand Canyon leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Grand Canyon

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%11/19
10%1/10
2
52%11/21
48%10/21
3
73%8/11
44%7/16
4
80%8/10
43%6/14
5
54%7/13
67%14/21
6
64%7/11
53%8/15
All
61%52/85
47%46/97

New Mexico

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%11/19
36%5/14
2
50%9/18
39%7/18
3
75%9/12
47%8/17
4
53%8/15
11%1/9
5
30%7/23
47%7/15
6
70%7/10
42%5/12
All
53%51/97
39%33/85

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#GCANYN-N MEXSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.6
21-1N MEXGCANYN×5BlockedSeenane Brewerblk Bella Nunez, Aubrey Goodere+1.8
32-1GCANYNGCANYN×5KillAubrey Bellusset Taylor Kubacak+2.6
43-1GCANYNGCANYN×5AceNika Zupanicaced Camila Canedo+2.6
54-1GCANYNGCANYN×5KillAubrey Bellusset Taylor Kubacak+2.5
65-1GCANYNGCANYN×5KillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak+2.3
75-2GCANYNN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+1.4
85-3N MEXN MEXAttack errStarr Williams+2.3
96-3N MEXGCANYNServe errNew Mexico+1.8
107-3GCANYNGCANYNKillStarr Williams+2.4
117-4GCANYNN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+1.4
128-4N MEXGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+1.7
138-5GCANYNN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+1.5
149-5N MEXGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Bella Nunez+1.7
1510-5GCANYNGCANYNAttack errAddison France+2.1
1610-6GCANYNN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+1.2
1711-6N MEXGCANYNKillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+1.5
1811-7GCANYNN MEXAttack errBella Nunez+1.2
1912-7N MEXGCANYNServe errNew Mexico+1.5
2012-8GCANYNN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+1.2
2113-8N MEXGCANYN×4KillAubrey Goodereset Taylor Kubacak+1.5
2214-8GCANYNGCANYN×4BlockedAddison Franceblk Aubrey Bellus, Starr Williams+1.7
2315-8GCANYNGCANYN×4BlockedSeenane Brewerblk Bella Nunez, Aubrey Bellus+1.3
2416-8GCANYNGCANYN×4KillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+0.8
2516-9GCANYNN MEXServe errGrand Canyon+0.4
2617-9N MEXGCANYNKillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+0.5
2717-10GCANYNN MEXBlockedMacey Hughesblk Reagan Miller, Seenane Brewer+0.3
2818-10N MEXGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+0.5
2919-10GCANYNGCANYNKillAubrey Bellus+0.4
3019-11GCANYNN MEXServe errGrand Canyon+0.1
3120-11N MEXGCANYNServe errNew Mexico+0.2
3221-11GCANYNGCANYNAttack errMina Stanojevic+0.1
3321-12GCANYNN MEX×5KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller·
3421-13N MEXN MEX×5KillMadeleine Millerset Addison France+0.1
3521-14N MEXN MEX×5Attack errKatie Schulz+0.2
3621-15N MEXN MEX×5BlockedMacey Hughesblk Mina Stanojevic, Campbell Hollister+0.3
3721-16N MEXN MEX×5KillMadeleine Millerset Mina Stanojevic+0.6
3822-16N MEXGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Nika Zupanic+0.7
3922-17GCANYNN MEXServe errGrand Canyon+0.3
4023-17N MEXGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Taylor Kubacak+0.6
4123-18GCANYNN MEX×4KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+0.2
4223-19N MEXN MEX×4KillCampbell Hollister+0.6
4323-20N MEXN MEX×4AceMina Stanojevicaced Starr Williams+1.2
4423-21N MEXN MEX×4KillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+2.4
4524-21N MEXGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Taylor Kubacak+3.1
4624-22GCANYNN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+1.1
4725-22N MEXGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak+2.8
Set 2
11-0GCANYNGCANYNBlockedMina Stanojevicblk Bella Nunez, Aubrey Goodere+2.5
21-1GCANYNN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+1.7
31-2N MEXN MEXAttack errStarr Williams+2.6
42-2N MEXGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Taylor Kubacak+1.7
53-2GCANYNGCANYNAttack errAddison France+2.6
63-3GCANYNN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+1.8
73-4N MEXN MEXAttack errStarr Williams+2.7
84-4N MEXGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Nika Zupanic+1.8
94-5GCANYNN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+1.9
104-6N MEXN MEXAttack errStarr Williams+2.7
115-6N MEXGCANYNServe errNew Mexico+1.8
126-6GCANYNGCANYNAceStarr Williamsaced Mina Stanojevic+2.8
136-7GCANYNN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.0
147-7N MEXGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Bella Nunez+2.0
157-8GCANYNN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+2.1
168-8N MEXGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Bella Nunez+2.0
178-9GCANYNN MEXAttack errBella Nunez+2.1
189-9N MEXGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Taylor Kubacak+2.1
199-10GCANYNN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+2.2
2010-10N MEXGCANYN×3Serve errNew Mexico+2.2
2111-10GCANYNGCANYN×3KillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+3.2
2212-10GCANYNGCANYN×3KillBella Nunezset Nika Zupanic+3.2
2312-11GCANYNN MEX×3KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.1
2412-12N MEXN MEX×3AceMina Stanojevicaced Starr Williams+3.3
2512-13N MEXN MEX×3AceMina Stanojevicaced Nika Zupanic+3.5
2613-13N MEXGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak+2.4
2714-13GCANYNGCANYNBlockedSeenane Brewerblk Macey Hughes, Aubrey Bellus+3.6
2814-14GCANYNN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+2.5
2915-14N MEXGCANYNServe errNew Mexico+2.6
3015-15GCANYNN MEX×3Serve errStarr Williams+2.6
3115-16N MEXN MEX×3KillSeenane Brewer+4.0
3215-17N MEXN MEX×3KillReagan Millerset Madeleine Miller+4.0
3316-17N MEXGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+2.5
3416-18GCANYNN MEXKillMadeleine Millerset Camila Canedo+2.9
3517-18N MEXGCANYN×3Attack errMina Stanojevic+2.6
3618-18GCANYNGCANYN×3KillBella Nunezset Taylor Kubacak+4.5
3719-18GCANYNGCANYN×3AceTaylor Kubacakaced Ella Joesting+4.9
3819-19GCANYNN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+3.3
3920-19N MEXGCANYNAttack errMina Stanojevic+3.6
4020-20GCANYNN MEXServe errKatie Schulz+3.6
4120-21N MEXN MEXServe errNew Mexico+5.9
4221-21N MEXGCANYNServe errNew Mexico+3.9
4321-22GCANYNN MEX×3KillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+4.6
4421-23N MEXN MEX×3Attack errStarr Williams+6.5
4521-24N MEXN MEX×3KillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+4.6
4622-24N MEXGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Nika Zupanic+1.2
4722-25GCANYNN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+2.8
Set 3
10-1N MEXN MEXAttack errBella Nunez+3.5
21-1N MEXGCANYNAttack errMina Stanojevic+2.4
31-2GCANYNN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+2.4
42-2N MEXGCANYNAttack errAddison France+2.4
53-2GCANYNGCANYNAceBella Nunezaced Mina Stanojevic+3.6
63-3GCANYNN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Addison France+2.5
74-3N MEXGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+2.5
85-3GCANYNGCANYNKillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+3.6
95-4GCANYNN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+2.4
106-4N MEXGCANYNKillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+2.5
117-4GCANYNGCANYNAttack errReagan Miller+3.5
127-5GCANYNN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+2.2
138-5N MEXGCANYN×4BlockedSeenane Brewerblk Macey Hughes, Aubrey Goodere+2.5
149-5GCANYNGCANYN×4KillKatie Schulzset Taylor Kubacak+3.3
1510-5GCANYNGCANYN×4KillBella Nunezset Nika Zupanic+2.8
1611-5GCANYNGCANYN×4Attack errSeenane Brewer+2.3
1711-6GCANYNN MEX×5Serve errTaylor Kubacak+1.3
1811-7N MEXN MEX×5KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+2.3
1911-8N MEXN MEX×5KillMadeleine Millerset Reagan Miller+2.9
2011-9N MEXN MEX×5BlockedAubrey Goodereblk Reagan Miller, Mina Stanojevic+3.5
2111-10N MEXN MEX×5BlockedKatie Schulzblk Madeleine Miller, Reagan Miller+4.0
2212-10N MEXGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Taylor Kubacak+3.0
2312-11GCANYNN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+2.9
2413-11N MEXGCANYNBlockedMina Stanojevicblk Aubrey Goodere, Bella Nunez+3.1
2513-12GCANYNN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+2.9
2613-13N MEXN MEXAttack errStarr Williams+4.8
2714-13N MEXGCANYN×3KillTaylor Kubacakset Bella Nunez+3.4
2815-13GCANYNGCANYN×3BlockedAddison Franceblk Macey Hughes, Aubrey Bellus+4.9
2916-13GCANYNGCANYN×3KillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+4.5
3016-14GCANYNN MEX×3KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+2.6
3116-15N MEXN MEX×3Attack errKatie Schulz+4.7
3216-16N MEXN MEX×3Attack errStarr Williams+5.5
3317-16N MEXGCANYNServe errNew Mexico+4.0
3417-17GCANYNN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+4.0
3518-17N MEXGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+4.3
3618-18GCANYNN MEXServe errAubrey Bellus+4.2
3718-19N MEXN MEXAttack errKatie Schulz+6.8
3819-19N MEXGCANYN×3Attack errSeenane Brewer+4.5
3920-19GCANYNGCANYN×3KillBella Nunezset Nika Zupanic+7.3
4021-19GCANYNGCANYN×3KillAubrey Goodereset Taylor Kubacak+7.1
4121-20GCANYNN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+4.0
4222-20N MEXGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Taylor Kubacak+5.3
4322-21GCANYNN MEXKillMadeleine Millerset Mina Stanojevic+4.1
4423-21N MEXGCANYNKillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak+6.0
4523-22GCANYNN MEX×3KillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+4.2
4623-23N MEXN MEX×3BlockedAubrey Bellusblk Addison France, Campbell Hollister+10.2
4723-24N MEXN MEX×3KillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+13.6
4824-24N MEXGCANYN×3KillStarr Williamsset Taylor Kubacak+9.4
4925-24GCANYNGCANYN×3KillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+13.5
5026-24GCANYNGCANYN×3KillStarr Williamsset Bella Nunez+13.3
Set 4
10-1GCANYNN MEXServe errKatie Schulz+2.3
20-2N MEXN MEXKillMina Stanojevic+3.4
31-2N MEXGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Taylor Kubacak+2.2
41-3GCANYNN MEXKillCampbell Hollisterset Madeleine Miller+2.4
51-4N MEXN MEXAttack errBella Nunez+3.3
62-4N MEXGCANYNServe errNew Mexico+2.1
72-5GCANYNN MEXKillSeenane Brewerset Madeleine Miller+2.4
83-5N MEXGCANYN×4KillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+2.2
94-5GCANYNGCANYN×4KillMacey Hughes+3.4
105-5GCANYNGCANYN×4KillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez+3.7
116-5GCANYNGCANYN×4BlockedAddison Franceblk Aubrey Bellus, Katie Schulz+3.7
126-6GCANYNN MEXAttack errMacey Hughes+2.6
137-6N MEXGCANYN×9KillAubrey Bellusset Bella Nunez+2.6
148-6GCANYNGCANYN×9BlockedSeenane Brewerblk Macey Hughes, Aubrey Goodere+3.8
159-6GCANYNGCANYN×9Attack errZoe Leonard+3.6
1610-6GCANYNGCANYN×9AceAubrey Bellusaced Camila Canedo+3.2
1711-6GCANYNGCANYN×9Attack errSeenane Brewer+2.8
1812-6GCANYNGCANYN×9BlockedZoe Leonardblk Katie Schulz, Aubrey Goodere+2.3
1913-6GCANYNGCANYN×9Attack errMina Stanojevic+1.7
2014-6GCANYNGCANYN×9AceAubrey Bellusaced Camila Canedo+1.2
2115-6GCANYNGCANYN×9AceAubrey Bellusaced Camila Canedo+0.8
2215-7GCANYNN MEXKillZoe Leonardset Madeleine Miller+0.3
2315-8N MEXN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+0.8
2416-8N MEXGCANYNKillAubrey Goodereset Bella Nunez+0.8
2517-8GCANYNGCANYNKillBella Nunezset Nika Zupanic+0.7
2617-9GCANYNN MEXKillMina Stanojevicset Madeleine Miller+0.3
2718-9N MEXGCANYNKillKatie Schulzset Taylor Kubacak+0.4
2818-10GCANYNN MEXAttack errStarr Williams+0.2
2919-10N MEXGCANYNAttack errMina Stanojevic+0.4
3019-11GCANYNN MEXServe errNika Zupanic+0.2
3120-11N MEXGCANYNKillAubrey Bellusset Taylor Kubacak+0.3
3220-12GCANYNN MEXKillAddison Franceset Madeleine Miller+0.1
3321-12N MEXGCANYNAttack errZoe Leonard+0.2
3421-13GCANYNN MEXAttack errKatie Schulz+0.1
3522-13N MEXGCANYN×4KillKatie Schulzset Bella Nunez+0.2
3623-13GCANYNGCANYN×4KillKatie Schulzset Bella Nunez+0.1
3724-13GCANYNGCANYN×4KillMacey Hughesset Bella Nunez·
3825-13GCANYNGCANYN×4KillMacey Hughesset Bella Anderson·

Score shown after each rally, Grand Canyon first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).