Final · 4 setsThu, Sep 17, 2026

Colorado def. Colorado St. 3–1

Colorado beat visiting Colorado St. 3-1 (25-23, 27-25, 22-25, 25-21) on Thu, Sep 17, 2026. Colorado's Ana Burilovic led with 22 kills, and Tinons Munar Galmes added 17 digs.

Data through · final Sep 17

Set1234Sets
CO ST232525211
COLO252722253

Win probability

Colorado above 50 · Colorado St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+11.4% COLOrally 193 · set 4

Biggest swing: 11.4% to Colorado — set 2, CO ST 25-27 COLO. Kekua Richards stuffed by Ines Losada. COLO win probability 72% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CO ST 58.8%41.2% COLO

Colorado St. wins

3-0
16.6%
3-1
22.4%
3-2
19.8%

Colorado wins

3-0
9.2%
3-1
15.1%
3-2
17.0%
CO ST break %
43.4% vs this opp
COLO break %
41.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ines LosadaBlock+11.4%

    Kekua Richards stuffed by Ines Losada

    Set 2 · CO ST 25-27 COLO · COLO 72% → 84%

  2. 02
    Lily DwinellKill+11.0%

    Kill by Lily Dwinell (set by Jenna Ylivainio)

    Set 2 · CO ST 25-26 COLO · COLO 61% → 72%

  3. 03
    Kekua RichardsAttack error+10.4%

    Attack error by Kekua Richards

    Set 1 · CO ST 23-25 COLO · COLO 51% → 62%

  4. 04
    ColoradoAce+10.0%

    Colorado ace on Halle Jameson

    Set 1 · CO ST 23-24 COLO · COLO 41% → 51%

  5. 05
    Ines LosadaKill+8.1%

    Kill by Ines Losada (set by Jenna Ylivainio)

    Set 2 · CO ST 23-23 COLO · COLO 53% → 61%

  6. 06
    ColoradoService error+7.9%

    Colorado service error

    Set 2 · CO ST 24-23 COLO · CO ST 39% → 47%

  7. 07
    Colorado St.Service error+7.9%

    Colorado St. service error

    Set 2 · CO ST 24-24 COLO · COLO 53% → 61%

  8. 08
    Maria BrunKill+7.9%

    Kill by Maria Brun (set by Erin Debiec)

    Set 2 · CO ST 25-24 COLO · CO ST 39% → 47%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413436.25000040052.515.5
49319.31601320073.513.5
47828-.03610111122310
45517.000100010849
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
47529.06900171031.58.5
4105.2003840900427
4000–014500001
4000–0011610000
2026-.33300000010.50.5
Team totals4227140.107406105452301794
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4221251.19600210020224
412637.1620004002113
46418.11100010132.58.5
4225.00050101300425
4207.28600000052.54.5
4000–100400000
410728.1070147012213
4000–113500001
4000–011000001
4000–3121730001
1237-.143000000002
Team totals5634153.144555126164161299

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Colorado St. vs Colorado

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 CO ST · COLO 6

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 CO STCOLO 6

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 4 CO STCOLO 3

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 5 CO STCOLO 3

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 4 CO STCOLO 4

Bars above the line = Colorado leads, below = Colorado St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Colorado St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%6/8
29%2/7
2
86%6/7
40%4/10
3
43%6/14
54%7/13
4
63%5/8
17%1/6
5
50%4/8
17%1/6
6
100%4/4
50%4/8
All
63%31/49
38%19/50

Colorado

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%6/11
29%2/7
2
60%6/10
0%0/6
3
56%5/9
50%6/12
4
100%5/5
44%4/9
5
83%5/6
29%2/7
6
44%4/9
50%4/8
All
62%31/50
37%18/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

193 rallies

#CO ST-COLOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0COLOCO STBlockedAna Burilovicblk Kekua Richards, Sofia Zabjek+1.8
22-0CO STCO STBlockedLily Dwinellblk Ella Stowell, Kekua Richards+2.3
32-1CO STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+1.7
42-2COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+2.5
53-2COLOCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+1.8
63-3CO STCOLO×6KillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+1.9
73-4COLOCOLO×6Attack errSofia Zabjek+2.6
83-5COLOCOLO×6Attack errKekua Richards+2.7
93-6COLOCOLO×6Attack errSofia Zabjek+2.6
103-7COLOCOLO×6AceColorado+2.5
113-8COLOCOLO×6KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+2.3
124-8COLOCO ST×3Serve errColorado+1.4
135-8CO STCO ST×3BlockedAna Burilovicblk Sofia Zabjek, Eve Wilson+2.2
146-8CO STCO ST×3BlockedCayla Payneblk Halle Jameson+2.5
156-9CO STCOLOServe errColorado St.+2.1
167-9COLOCO ST×3BlockedSydney Jordanblk Sofia Zabjek, Eve Wilson+1.9
178-9CO STCO ST×3Attack errCayla Payne+2.8
189-9CO STCO ST×3KillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+3.0
199-10CO STCOLOServe errColorado St.+2.3
2010-10COLOCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+2.3
2110-11CO STCOLOKillSydney Jordanset Jenna Ylivainio+2.4
2211-11COLOCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+2.3
2311-12CO STCOLOServe errColorado St.+2.5
2412-12COLOCO STKillErin Debiecset Halle Jameson+2.4
2512-13CO STCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+2.6
2613-13COLOCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+2.5
2713-14CO STCOLO×3KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+2.7
2813-15COLOCOLO×3Attack errHalle Jameson+3.7
2913-16COLOCOLO×3KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+3.5
3014-16COLOCO STServe errColorado+2.2
3115-16CO STCO STAttack errAna Burilovic+3.5
3215-17CO STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+3.0
3316-17COLOCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+2.7
34–3517-18CO ST · COLO
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
3617-19CO STCOLOBlockedHalle Jamesonblk Maria Splawska, Jenna Ylivainio+3.4
3717-20COLOCOLOAceColoradoaced Maria Brun+4.1
3818-20COLOCO ST×3BlockedJenna Ylivainioblk Halle Jameson+2.3
3919-20CO STCO ST×3BlockedSydney Jordanblk Eve Wilson, Erin Debiec+4.2
4020-20CO STCO ST×3Attack errAna Burilovic+5.2
4120-21CO STCOLOKillSydney Jordanset Jenna Ylivainio+4.4
4220-22COLOCOLOAttack errElla Stowell+5.9
4321-22COLOCO ST×3Attack errSydney Jordan+3.4
4422-22CO STCO ST×3AceColorado St.+6.4
4523-22CO STCO ST×3Attack errLily Dwinell+7.7
4623-23CO STCOLO×3KillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+5.5
4723-24COLOCOLO×3AceColoradoaced Halle Jameson+10.0
4823-25COLOCOLO×3Attack errKekua Richards+10.4
Set 2
11-0CO STCO STBlockedAna Burilovicblk Kekua Richards, Maria Brun+2.6
21-1CO STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+2.0
32-1COLOCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+2.0
42-2CO STCOLOAttack errHalle Jameson+2.0
52-3COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+2.8
63-3COLOCO ST×3KillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+2.1
74-3CO STCO ST×3Attack errCayla Payne+2.8
85-3CO STCO ST×3BlockedCayla Payneblk Eve Wilson, Halle Jameson+2.7
95-4CO STCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+2.0
105-5COLOCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+2.9
116-5COLOCO STServe errColorado+2.2
126-6CO STCOLOAttack errMaria Brun+2.2
136-7COLOCOLOAttack errEve Wilson+3.1
147-7COLOCO STKillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+2.3
157-8CO STCOLO×3Attack errMaria Brun+2.4
167-9COLOCOLO×3Attack errMaria Brun+3.3
177-10COLOCOLO×3AceColoradoaced Kekua Richards+3.2
188-10COLOCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+2.1
199-10CO STCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+3.2
209-11CO STCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+2.6
2110-11COLOCO STBlockedLily Dwinellblk Kekua Richards, Sofia Zabjek+2.4
2210-12CO STCOLOServe errColorado St.+2.7
2311-12COLOCO STServe errColorado+2.5
2411-13CO STCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+2.8
2512-13COLOCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+2.6
2612-14CO STCOLOAttack errHalle Jameson+2.9
2713-14COLOCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+2.7
2813-15CO STCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+3.0
2913-16COLOCOLOKillMaria Splawskaset Jenna Ylivainio+3.8
3014-16COLOCO STKillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+2.4
3115-16CO STCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+3.9
3215-17CO STCOLOKillInes Losadaset Tinons Munar Galmes+3.3
3316-17COLOCO ST×4Attack errInes Losada+3.0
3417-17CO STCO ST×4KillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+4.6
3518-17CO STCO ST×4AceColorado St.aced Tinons Munar Galmes+4.8
3619-17CO STCO ST×4AceColorado St.aced Tinons Munar Galmes+4.7
3719-18CO STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+3.1
3820-18COLOCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+3.7
3920-19CO STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+3.2
4021-19COLOCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+4.0
4121-20CO STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+3.4
4222-20COLOCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+4.4
4323-20CO STCO STBlockedAna Burilovicblk Eve Wilson, Erin Debiec+4.6
4423-21CO STCOLO×3Serve errColorado St.+2.0
4523-22COLOCOLO×3BlockedHalle Jamesonblk Cayla Payne, Jenna Ylivainio+4.8
4623-23COLOCOLO×3KillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+8.1
4724-23COLOCO STServe errColorado+7.9
4824-24CO STCOLOServe errColorado St.+7.9
4925-24COLOCO STKillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+7.9
5025-25CO STCOLO×3BlockedMaria Brunblk Maria Splawska, Jenna Ylivainio+7.9
5125-26COLOCOLO×3KillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+11.0
5225-27COLOCOLO×3BlockedKekua Richardsblk Ines Losada+11.4
Set 3
11-0COLOCO STAttack errLily Dwinell+1.4
21-1CO STCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+1.4
32-1COLOCO STServe errColorado+1.4
42-2CO STCOLO×3KillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+1.4
52-3COLOCOLO×3BlockedKekua Richardsblk Lily Dwinell, Cayla Payne+2.0
62-4COLOCOLO×3KillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+2.1
73-4COLOCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Kekua Richards+1.5
83-5CO STCOLOAttack errHalle Jameson+1.6
93-6COLOCOLOBlockedEve Wilsonblk Cayla Payne+2.1
104-6COLOCO STServe errColorado+1.4
114-7CO STCOLOServe errColorado St.+1.6
125-7COLOCO STAttack errInes Losada+1.4
135-8CO STCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+1.6
146-8COLOCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+1.5
156-9CO STCOLO×3KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+1.7
166-10COLOCOLO×3KillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+2.1
176-11COLOCOLO×3BlockedKekua Richardsblk Ines Losada, Maria Splawska+1.9
187-11COLOCO ST×4KillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+1.1
198-11CO STCO ST×4KillSofia Zabjekset Tinons Munar Galmes+1.8
209-11CO STCO ST×4KillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+2.1
2110-11CO STCO ST×4BlockedInes Losadablk Kekua Richards, Maria Brun+2.3
2210-12CO STCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+1.9
2311-12COLOCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+1.8
2411-13CO STCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+2.0
2511-14COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+2.6
2612-14COLOCO STAttack errAna Burilovic+1.7
2713-14CO STCO STBlockedAna Burilovicblk Eve Wilson, Sofia Zabjek+2.6
2813-15CO STCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+2.2
2914-15COLOCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+2.0
3014-16CO STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+2.3
3115-16COLOCO STAttack errAna Burilovic+2.0
3215-17CO STCOLOAttack errElla Stowell+2.4
3316-17COLOCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+2.1
3417-17CO STCO STAttack errAna Burilovic+3.3
3517-18CO STCOLOKillJenna Ylivainioset Avery Bolles+2.7
3618-18COLOCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+2.6
3719-18CO STCO STAceColorado St.+3.7
3819-19CO STCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+2.8
3920-19COLOCO ST×5Serve errColorado+3.0
4021-19CO STCO ST×5Attack errJenna Ylivainio+3.9
4122-19CO STCO ST×5Attack errAna Burilovic+3.2
4223-19CO STCO ST×5Attack errLily Dwinell+2.1
4324-19CO STCO ST×5BlockedLily Dwinellblk Halle Jameson, Kekua Richards+0.9
4424-20CO STCOLO×3BlockedHalle Jamesonblk Lily Dwinell, Maria Splawska+0.2
4524-21COLOCOLO×3AceColoradoaced Karsyn Fetzer+0.6
4624-22COLOCOLO×3KillAna Burilovicset Tinons Munar Galmes+1.3
4725-22COLOCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+2.3
Set 4
11-0CO STCO STKillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+3.5
21-1CO STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+2.6
31-2COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Tinons Munar Galmes+3.7
42-2COLOCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+2.7
52-3CO STCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+2.8
62-4COLOCOLOKillJenna Ylivainioset Peyton Neal+3.8
73-4COLOCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+2.7
84-4CO STCO STAttack errAna Burilovic+3.8
94-5CO STCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+2.9
105-5COLOCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+2.9
115-6CO STCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+3.0
126-6COLOCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+2.9
136-7CO STCOLOServe errColorado St.+3.1
147-7COLOCO ST×4KillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+3.0
158-7CO STCO ST×4BlockedInes Losadablk Kekua Richards, Maria Brun+4.2
169-7CO STCO ST×4AceColorado St.aced Tinons Munar Galmes+4.0
1710-7CO STCO ST×4KillMaria Brunset Erin Debiec+3.8
1810-8CO STCOLO×4KillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+2.6
1910-9COLOCOLO×4KillMaria Splawskaset Jenna Ylivainio+4.0
2010-10COLO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+4.4
2110-11COLOCOLO×4KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio*+4.7
2211-11COLOCO STServe errColorado+3.4
2311-12CO STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+3.6
2411-13COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+5.0
2512-13COLOCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+3.4
2612-14CO STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+3.8
2712-15COLOCOLOBlockedSofia Zabjekblk Ana Burilovic+4.9
2813-15COLOCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+3.1
2913-16CO STCOLOAttack errHalle Jameson+3.8
3013-17COLOCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+4.5
3114-17COLOCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+2.6
3215-17CO STCO STAttack errInes Losada+4.4
3315-18CO STCOLOAttack errMaria Brun+4.1
3415-19COLOCOLOAttack errEve Wilson+4.6
3516-19COLOCO STServe errColorado+2.5
3617-19CO STCO STBlockedInes Losadablk Kekua Richards, Erin Debiec+4.6
3717-20CO STCOLOServe errColorado St.+4.5
3818-20COLOCO STAttack errInes Losada+3.4
3919-20CO STCO STKillKekua Richardsset Maria Splawska+6.1
4019-21CO STCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+5.8
4120-21COLOCO STServe errColorado+4.7
4220-22CO STCOLO×3KillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+6.4
4320-23COLOCOLO×3Bad setErin Debiec+6.9
4420-24COLOCOLO×3BlockedSofia Zabjekblk Ana Burilovic+4.0
4521-24COLOCO STServe errColorado+0.9
4621-25CO STCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+2.1

Score shown after each rally, Colorado St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).