FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

Colorado St. def. Colorado 3–0

Colorado St. beat visiting Colorado 3-0 (25-21, 25-23, 25-15) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Sofia Zabjek and Eve Wilson led Colorado St. with 9 kills each; Colorado's Ana Burilovic had a match-high 14.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set123Sets
COLO2123150
CO ST2525253

Win probability

Colorado St. above 50 · Colorado below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.5% CO STrally 134 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.5% to Colorado St. — set 2, COLO 23-25 CO ST. Kill by Eve Wilson (set by Erin Debiec). CO ST win probability 90% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

COLO 27.3%72.7% CO ST

Colorado wins

3-0
5.0%
3-1
9.5%
3-2
12.9%

Colorado St. wins

3-0
25.2%
3-1
27.8%
3-2
19.6%
COLO break %
40.3% vs this opp
CO ST break %
44.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Eve WilsonKill+4.5%

    Kill by Eve Wilson (set by Erin Debiec)

    Set 2 · COLO 23-25 CO ST · CO ST 90% → 95%

  2. 02
    Colorado St.Ace+4.0%

    Colorado St. ace on Peyton Neal

    Set 1 · COLO 18-19 CO ST · CO ST 71% → 75%

  3. 03
    Ella StowellAttack error+3.8%

    Attack error by Ella Stowell

    Set 1 · COLO 17-16 CO ST · COLO 28% → 32%

  4. 04
    Halle JamesonKill+3.7%

    Kill by Halle Jameson (set by Erin Debiec)

    Set 1 · COLO 18-20 CO ST · CO ST 75% → 78%

  5. 05

    Ana Burilovic stuffed by Sofia Zabjek & Kekua Richards

    Set 2 · COLO 22-24 CO ST · CO ST 89% → 92%

  6. 06

    Ines Losada stuffed by Erin Debiec & Eve Wilson

    Set 1 · COLO 15-16 CO ST · CO ST 71% → 74%

  7. 07

    Ines Losada stuffed by Eve Wilson & Erin Debiec

    Set 1 · COLO 14-14 CO ST · CO ST 68% → 71%

  8. 08
    Colorado St.Service error+3.0%

    Colorado St. service error

    Set 1 · COLO 18-17 CO ST · COLO 29% → 32%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314740.175101100010.514.5
38719.05300000132.510.5
34212.16700000132.56.5
3325.200000000214
3106.167300130010.51.5
3000–000720000
35421.048000300005
3000–111210001
3000–000000000
3000–300830000
2045-.800001100000
Team totals3526108.0833514346210759
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39117.47100000052.511.5
3729.55600000094.511.5
39317.3530011004211
38629.0690015012210
3023-.667331170132.53.5
3003.000022210213
35210.30000020010.55.5
3102.500021800003
3000–2101000001
1000–001000000
Team totals391690.25635673512261575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Colorado vs Colorado St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 COLO · CO ST 5

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 COLOCO ST 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 COLOCO ST 4

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 4 COLOCO ST 5

Bars above the line = Colorado St. leads, below = Colorado leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Colorado

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%8/17
14%1/7
2
53%8/15
38%5/13
3
78%7/9
33%4/12
4
43%6/14
13%1/8
5
50%6/12
45%5/11
6
71%5/7
33%3/9
All
54%40/74
32%19/60

Colorado St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
50%7/14
2
57%8/14
53%9/17
3
80%8/10
20%2/10
4
67%6/9
57%8/14
5
67%6/9
40%4/10
6
71%5/7
44%4/9
All
68%41/60
46%34/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#COLO-CO STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CO STCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+1.6
22-0COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+2.3
32-1COLOCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+1.6
43-1CO STCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+1.7
53-2COLOCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+1.6
64-2CO STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+1.8
74-3COLOCO ST×4KillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+1.6
84-4CO STCO ST×4KillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+2.2
94-5CO STCO ST×4AceColorado St.aced Tinons Munar Galmes+2.2
104-6CO STCO ST×4AceColorado St.aced Tinons Munar Galmes+2.1
115-6CO STCOLOKillSydney Jordanset Jenna Ylivainio+1.5
125-7COLOCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+1.5
136-7CO STCOLOServe errColorado St.+1.6
146-8COLOCO STAttack errLily Dwinell+1.6
157-8CO STCOLOServe errColorado St.+1.6
167-9COLOCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+1.6
178-9CO STCOLOKillBarbora Rakauskaiteset Jenna Ylivainio+1.7
189-9COLOCOLOBlockedKekua Richardsblk Cayla Payne, Lily Dwinell+2.5
199-10COLOCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+1.9
2010-10CO STCOLO×4KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+2.0
2111-10COLOCOLO×4AceAvery Bollesaced Maria Brun+2.9
2212-10COLOCOLO×4KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+3.0
2313-10COLOCOLO×4Attack errHalle Jameson+3.0
2413-11COLOCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Karsyn Fetzer+1.9
2514-11CO STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+2.3
2614-12COLOCO ST×3KillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+2.0
2714-13CO STCO ST×3Attack errCayla Payne+3.0
2814-14CO STCO ST×3BlockedInes Losadablk Eve Wilson, Erin Debiec+3.1
2915-14CO STCOLOAttack errHalle Jameson+2.6
3015-15COLOCO STAttack errInes Losada+2.4
3115-16CO STCO STBlockedInes Losadablk Erin Debiec, Eve Wilson+3.3
3216-16CO STCOLOKillBarbora Rakauskaiteset Jenna Ylivainio+2.5
3317-16COLOCOLOAttack errElla Stowell+3.8
3417-17COLOCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+2.7
3518-17CO STCOLOServe errColorado St.+3.0
3618-18COLOCO ST×4Serve errColorado+2.9
3718-19CO STCO ST×4AceColorado St.aced Peyton Neal+4.0
3818-20CO STCO ST×4KillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+3.7
3918-21CO STCO ST×4Attack errLily Dwinell+3.0
4019-21CO STCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+1.7
4119-22COLOCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+2.3
4219-23CO STCO STBlockedAna Burilovicblk Kekua Richards, Sofia Zabjek+2.0
4320-23CO STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Tinons Munar Galmes+0.7
4420-24COLOCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+1.3
4521-24CO STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+0.4
4621-25COLOCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+0.9
Set 2
10-1COLOCO ST×3KillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+1.2
20-2CO STCO ST×3KillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+1.5
30-3CO STCO ST×3KillKekua Richards+1.4
41-3CO STCOLO×4Serve errColorado St.+1.0
52-3COLOCOLO×4BlockedKekua Richardsblk Cayla Payne+1.5
63-3COLOCOLO×4KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+1.7
74-3COLOCOLO×4KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+1.9
84-4COLOCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+1.3
94-5CO STCO STAceColorado St.aced Tinons Munar Galmes+1.8
105-5CO STCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+1.4
115-6COLOCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+1.3
125-7CO STCO STAttack errAna Burilovic+1.7
136-7CO STCOLOBlockedHalle Jamesonblk Cayla Payne, Jenna Ylivainio+1.3
146-8COLOCO STServe errColorado+1.3
156-9CO STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Karsyn Fetzer+1.6
167-9CO STCOLO×3KillJenna Ylivainioset Avery Bolles+1.1
178-9COLOCOLO×3Attack errEve Wilson+1.8
189-9COLOCOLO×3KillSydney Jordanset Ana Burilovic+2.0
199-10COLOCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+1.5
2010-10CO STCOLOKillSydney Jordanset Jenna Ylivainio+1.6
2110-11COLOCO STServe errColorado+1.6
2210-12CO STCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+2.0
2311-12CO STCOLOServe errColorado St.+1.5
2412-12COLOCOLOServe errColorado+2.3
2512-13COLOCO STAttack errBarbora Rakauskaite+1.7
2612-14CO STCO STBlockedAna Burilovicblk Sofia Zabjek, Kekua Richards+2.2
2713-14CO STCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+1.6
2813-15COLOCO STAttack errLily Dwinell+1.7
2914-15CO STCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+1.6
3015-15COLOCOLOAttack errHalle Jameson+2.6
3115-16COLOCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+2.0
3216-16CO STCOLOServe errColorado St.+2.0
3316-17COLOCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+2.1
3417-17CO STCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+2.2
3517-18COLOCO ST×4Attack errAna Burilovic+2.2
3617-19CO STCO ST×4BlockedBarbora Rakauskaiteblk Kekua Richards, Ella Stowell+2.8
3717-20CO STCO ST×4BlockedSydney Jordanblk Erin Debiec, Kekua Richards+2.4
3817-21CO STCO ST×4Attack errInes Losada+1.7
3918-21CO STCOLO×3KillSydney Jordanset Jenna Ylivainio+0.8
4019-21COLOCOLO×3KillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+1.8
4120-21COLOCOLO×3BlockedHalle Jamesonblk Lily Dwinell+2.8
4220-22COLOCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+2.7
4321-22CO STCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+2.2
4421-23COLOCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+3.0
4522-23CO STCOLOBlockedSofia Zabjekblk Ana Burilovic, Barbora Rakauskaite+2.2
4622-24COLOCO STBlockedAna Burilovicblk Sofia Zabjek, Kekua Richards+3.5
4723-24CO STCOLOBlockedEve Wilsonblk Cayla Payne, Lily Dwinell+2.0
4823-25COLOCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+4.5
Set 3
10-1CO STCO ST×3BlockedLily Dwinellblk Maria Brun, Kekua Richards+0.9
20-2CO STCO ST×3KillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+0.8
30-3CO STCO ST×3BlockedLily Dwinellblk Maria Brun, Kekua Richards+0.7
41-3CO STCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+0.5
51-4COLOCO STServe errColorado+0.6
61-5CO STCO STAceColorado St.aced Peyton Neal+0.7
72-5CO STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+0.5
82-6COLOCO STBlockedSydney Jordanblk Kekua Richards, Sofia Zabjek+0.5
92-7CO STCO STKillEve Wilsonset Jenna Ylivainio+0.6
103-7CO STCOLOKillSydney Jordanset Tinons Munar Galmes+0.4
114-7COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+0.6
124-8COLOCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+0.5
135-8CO STCOLO×4KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+0.5
146-8COLOCOLO×4Attack errErin Debiec+0.8
157-8COLOCOLO×4Attack errEve Wilson+0.9
168-8COLOCOLO×4BlockedHalle Jamesonblk Lily Dwinell, Barbora Rakauskaite+1.1
178-9COLOCO ST×3BlockedLily Dwinellblk Halle Jameson, Eve Wilson+0.8
188-10CO STCO ST×3KillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+1.0
198-11CO STCO ST×3KillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+0.9
209-11CO STCOLOKillBarbora Rakauskaiteset Jenna Ylivainio+0.6
219-12COLOCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+0.7
2210-12CO STCOLOAttack errElla Stowell+0.6
2310-13COLOCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+0.7
2411-13CO STCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+0.7
2511-14COLOCO ST×5KillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+0.7
2611-15CO STCO ST×5KillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+0.8
2711-16CO STCO ST×5AceColorado St.aced Avery Bolles+0.6
2811-17CO STCO ST×5BlockedCayla Payneblk Halle Jameson+0.5
2911-18CO STCO ST×5BlockedAna Burilovicblk Sofia Zabjek, Kekua Richards+0.3
3012-18CO STCOLOServe errColorado St.+0.1
3112-19COLOCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+0.2
3213-19CO STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+0.1
3313-20COLOCO ST×3KillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+0.2
3413-21CO STCO ST×3Attack errSydney Jordan+0.1
3513-22CO STCO ST×3Attack errSydney Jordan+0.1
3614-22CO STCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Tinons Munar Galmes·
3714-23COLOCO STKillHayden Grimesset Tinons Munar Galmes·
3815-23CO STCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio·
3915-24COLOCO STBlockedLily Dwinellblk Erin Debiec·
4015-25CO STCO STAttack errAna Burilovic·

Score shown after each rally, Colorado first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).