FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on YouTube

Colorado St. def. Utah St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Colorado St. 95.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Colorado St. beat visiting Utah St. 3-0 (25-20, 25-16, 25-18) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Colorado St.'s Ella Stowell led with 14 kills, and Sofia Zabjek added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set123Sets
UT ST2016180
CO ST2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Ella Stowell hit .619 with 14 kills as Colorado St. rolled past Utah St.

The biggest single-rally swing was 1.1 points, and Utah St.'s high was 7% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Colorado St. went in as RallyIQ's 95% pick.

Utah St.Colorado St.
  • Break %+17.7 pts
    36.454.1

    40 of 74 on serve vs 20 of 55, so Utah St.'s sideout was 45.9%.

  • Hitting+.259
    -.019.240

    Kills and errors: 40–17 vs 25–27.

  • Longest run+1
    45

    Colorado St. scored 5 straight in the first set to turn an 8–10 deficit into a 13–10 lead. Final score of the set: 25–20.

Colorado St. above 50Utah St. belowMax swing 1.1%

Utah St.Colorado St.

Aces
Utah St. 1·Colorado St. 2
Serve err
Utah St. 6·Colorado St. 9
Blocks
Utah St. 4·Colorado St. 181 BS · 6 BA vs 5 BS · 26 BA
Digs
Utah St. 35·Colorado St. 39

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Colorado St. above 50 · Utah St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.1% UT STrally 129 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.1% to Utah St. — set 1, UT ST 9-7 CO ST. Eve Wilson stuffed by Ava Napierski & Ava Nakai. CO ST win probability 94% → 93%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UT ST 3.3%96.7% CO ST

Utah St. wins

3-0
0.3%
3-1
0.9%
3-2
2.1%

Colorado St. wins

3-0
61.2%
3-1
27.7%
3-2
7.8%
UT ST break %
34.2% vs this opp
CO ST break %
48.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Eve Wilson stuffed by Ava Napierski & Ava Nakai

    Set 1 · UT ST 9-7 CO ST · UT ST 6% → 7%

  2. 02
    Solia AngilauKill+1.0%

    Kill by Solia Angilau (set by Silina Damuni)

    Set 1 · UT ST 18-19 CO ST · UT ST 4% → 5%

  3. 03

    Kill by Kekua Richards (set by Erin Debiec)

    Set 1 · UT ST 10-10 CO ST · CO ST 94% → 95%

  4. 04
    Sofia ZabjekAttack error+0.9%

    Attack error by Sofia Zabjek

    Set 1 · UT ST 8-7 CO ST · UT ST 5% → 6%

  5. 05
    Halle JamesonKill+0.9%

    Kill by Halle Jameson (set by Karsyn Fetzer)

    Set 1 · UT ST 19-22 CO ST · CO ST 96% → 97%

  6. 06
    Utah St.Service error+0.9%

    Utah St. service error

    Set 1 · UT ST 19-21 CO ST · CO ST 95% → 96%

  7. 07
    Sami BlackettKill+0.9%

    Kill by Sami Blackett (set by Olivia Ruy)

    Set 1 · UT ST 4-2 CO ST · UT ST 5% → 6%

  8. 08

    Ava Nakai stuffed by Sofia Zabjek & Kekua Richards

    Set 1 · UT ST 10-11 CO ST · CO ST 95% → 95%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310535.14300130010.510.5
34112.250011100216
35619-.05320010010.55.5
3316.33300010010.53.5
21916-.50000010010.51.5
2012-.5001501600000
3000–001610000
3000–0011200000
3000–000110000
1215.200000100002
1000–000001011
1036-.500000000000
1002.000701200000
Team totals2527103-.019241635216454
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312427.29610130132.514.5
35414.07100010275.510.5
34214.143002201648
33414-.0712011400847
3215.2002910501225
3000–102500000
314121.6190003000014
3000–313600001
1011-1.000000000000
1000–000000000
1000–100000000
Team totals401796.24037293915261875

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Utah St. vs Colorado St.

Season series · Colorado St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 UT ST · CO ST 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 UT STCO ST 5

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 4 UT STCO ST 3

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 4 UT STCO ST 3

Bars above the line = Colorado St. leads, below = Utah St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Utah St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
39%7/18
44%4/9
2
67%6/9
30%3/10
3
40%6/15
40%4/10
4
75%6/8
25%2/8
5
38%5/13
45%5/11
6
36%4/11
29%2/7
All
46%34/74
36%20/55

Colorado St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
63%10/16
2
60%6/10
45%5/11
3
86%6/7
50%6/12
4
60%6/10
50%6/12
5
60%6/10
40%4/10
6
80%4/5
69%9/13
All
64%35/55
54%40/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#UT ST-CO STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CO STCO STKillKekua Richards+0.5
21-1CO STUT STServe errColorado St.+0.4
32-1UT STUT STAttack errHalle Jameson+0.7
42-2UT STCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+0.4
53-2CO STUT STKillSami Blackettset Silina Damuni+0.5
64-2UT STUT STKillSami Blackettset Olivia Ruy+0.9
74-3UT STCO ST×4KillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+0.5
84-4CO STCO ST×4Attack errSami Blackett+0.7
94-5CO STCO ST×4KillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+0.6
104-6CO STCO ST×4BlockedOlivia Ruyblk Halle Jameson, Eve Wilson+0.5
115-6CO STUT STKillSami Blackettset Silina Damuni+0.4
126-6UT STUT STAttack errSofia Zabjek+0.7
136-7UT STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+0.5
147-7CO STUT ST×3KillSami Blackettset Silina Damuni+0.5
158-7UT STUT ST×3Attack errSofia Zabjek+0.9
169-7UT STUT ST×3BlockedEve Wilsonblk Ava Napierski, Ava Nakai+1.1
179-8UT STCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+0.6
1810-8CO STUT STKillAva Napierskiset Silina Damuni+0.8
1910-9UT STCO ST×5KillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+0.7
2010-10CO STCO ST×5KillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+0.9
2110-11CO STCO ST×5BlockedAva Nakaiblk Sofia Zabjek, Kekua Richards+0.8
2210-12CO STCO ST×5AceErin Debiecaced Sadie Warren+0.7
2310-13CO STCO ST×5BlockedAva Nakaiblk Kekua Richards+0.6
2411-13CO STUT STKillSami Blackettset Silina Damuni+0.4
2512-13UT STUT STAttack errSofia Zabjek+0.7
2612-14UT STCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+0.5
2712-15CO STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+0.6
2813-15CO STUT STKillOlivia Ruyset Silina Damuni+0.4
2913-16UT STCO STKillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec+0.4
3014-16CO STUT STServe errColorado St.+0.4
3114-17UT STCO STKillEve Wilsonset Erin Debiec+0.5
3215-17CO STUT STKillSami Blackettset Silina Damuni+0.4
3315-18UT STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+0.5
3416-18CO STUT STKillSami Blackettset Silina Damuni+0.5
3516-19UT STCO STBlockedAva Nakaiblk Eve Wilson, Erin Debiec+0.5
3617-19CO STUT STServe errColorado St.+0.5
3718-19UT STUT STKillSolia Angilauset Silina Damuni+1.0
3818-20UT STCO STBlockedAva Nakaiblk Erin Debiec+0.8
3919-20CO STUT STKillAva Nakaiset Silina Damuni+0.8
4019-21UT STCO ST×4Serve errUtah St.+0.9
4119-22CO STCO ST×4KillHalle Jamesonset Karsyn Fetzer+0.9
4219-23CO STCO ST×4KillHalle Jameson+0.5
4319-24CO STCO ST×4BlockedOlivia Ruyblk Sofia Zabjek, Kekua Richards+0.2
4420-24CO STUT STKillOlivia Ruyset Silina Damuni·
4520-25UT STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+0.1
Set 2
10-1UT STCO ST×3BlockedSolia Angilaublk Kekua Richards+0.2
20-2CO STCO ST×3Attack errOlivia Ruy+0.3
30-3CO STCO ST×3Attack errAva Nakai+0.2
41-3CO STUT STServe errColorado St.+0.2
51-4UT STCO STServe errUtah St.+0.2
62-4CO STUT STKillSolia Angilauset Olivia Ruy+0.2
72-5UT STCO ST×3Serve errUtah St.+0.2
82-6CO STCO ST×3Attack errSami Blackett+0.2
92-7CO STCO ST×3Attack errOlivia Ruy+0.2
103-7CO STUT STKillOlivia Ruyset Silina Damuni+0.1
114-7UT STUT STAttack errEve Wilson+0.2
124-8UT STCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+0.1
135-8CO STUT ST×3KillAva Napierskiset Silina Damuni+0.2
146-8UT STUT ST×3Bad setErin Debiec+0.3
157-8UT STUT ST×3Attack errKekua Richards+0.4
167-9UT STCO ST×3KillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+0.3
177-10CO STCO ST×3KillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+0.3
187-11CO STCO ST×3BlockedAva Nakaiblk Sofia Zabjek, Kekua Richards+0.3
198-11CO STUT STKillAva Napierskiset Silina Damuni+0.2
208-12UT STCO ST×3Attack errAva Nakai+0.2
218-13CO STCO ST×3KillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+0.2
228-14CO STCO ST×3Attack errSilina Damuni+0.1
239-14CO STUT ST×4Serve errColorado St.+0.1
2410-14UT STUT ST×4Attack errKekua Richards+0.2
2511-14UT STUT ST×4BlockedHalle Jamesonblk Solia Angilau, Olivia Ruy+0.2
2612-14UT STUT ST×4KillSolia Angilauset Erin Debiec+0.4
2712-15UT STCO STKillSofia Zabjekset Erin Debiec+0.3
2812-16CO STCO STBlockedAva Nakaiblk Halle Jameson+0.3
2913-16CO STUT STServe errColorado St.+0.2
3013-17UT STCO STBlockedSami Blackettblk Sofia Zabjek, Eve Wilson+0.2
3113-18CO STCO STKillErin Debiecset Hayden Grimes+0.2
3214-18CO STUT STAttack errHalle Jameson+0.1
3314-19UT STCO ST×3KillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+0.1
3414-20CO STCO ST×3BlockedAva Napierskiblk Eve Wilson+0.1
3514-21CO STCO ST×3KillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+0.1
3615-21CO STUT STBlockedSilvie Graetzerblk Sami Blackett, Ava Napierski·
3715-22UT STCO STKillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec·
3816-22CO STUT STKillAva Napierskiset Silina Damuni·
3916-23UT STCO ST×3KillKekua Richardsset Erin Debiec·
4016-24CO STCO ST×3KillElla Stowellset Karsyn Fetzer·
4116-25CO STCO ST×3BlockedAva Nakaiblk Sofia Zabjek, Kekua Richards·
Set 3
10-1CO STCO STBlockedOlivia Ruyblk Kekua Richards, Sofia Zabjek+0.2
21-1CO STUT ST×3KillOlivia Ruyset Olivia Tukuafu+0.1
32-1UT STUT ST×3Attack errKekua Richards+0.2
43-1UT STUT ST×3KillSami Blackettset Olivia Tukuafu+0.2
53-2UT STCO STAttack errSami Blackett+0.1
63-3CO STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+0.2
74-3CO STUT STKillOlivia Ruyset Olivia Tukuafu+0.2
84-4UT STCO ST×3Attack errSami Blackett+0.1
94-5CO STCO ST×3KillEve Wilson+0.2
104-6CO STCO ST×3BlockedOlivia Ruyblk Eve Wilson, Halle Jameson+0.2
115-6CO STUT STServe errSofia Zabjek+0.1
125-7UT STCO ST×3KillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec+0.1
135-8CO STCO ST×3KillErin Debiecset Sofia Zabjek+0.1
145-9CO STCO ST×3KillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+0.1
156-9CO STUT STServe errHalle Jameson+0.1
167-9UT STUT STAttack errElla Stowell+0.1
177-10UT STCO ST×3BlockedAddy Cookblk Eve Wilson, Erin Debiec+0.1
187-11CO STCO ST×3KillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+0.1
197-12CO STCO ST×3KillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec+0.1
208-12CO STUT STAttack errErin Debiec·
218-13UT STCO STKillElla Stowellset Halle Jameson+0.1
228-14CO STCO STBlockedAddy Cookblk Sofia Zabjek, Kekua Richards+0.1
239-14CO STUT STBad setKekua Richards·
249-15UT STCO ST×3Serve errOlivia Tukuafu·
259-16CO STCO ST×3KillHalle Jamesonset Karsyn Fetzer·
269-17CO STCO ST×3BlockedAddy Cookblk Sofia Zabjek, Kekua Richards·
2710-17CO STUT STBlockedKekua Richardsblk Sophie Scott·
2810-18UT STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Erin Debiec·
2910-19CO STCO STAceKarsyn Fetzeraced Justyna Novakova·
3011-19CO STUT ST×4KillLauren Bodilyset Olivia Tukuafu·
3112-19UT STUT ST×4Attack errHalle Jameson·
3213-19UT STUT ST×4Attack errSofia Zabjek·
3314-19UT STUT ST×4KillLauren Bodilyset Olivia Tukuafu·
3414-20UT STCO STBlockedLauren Bodilyblk Eve Wilson, Halle Jameson·
3515-20CO STUT STKillSami Blackettset Olivia Tukuafu·
3615-21UT STCO STKillHalle Jamesonset Sofia Zabjek·
3716-21CO STUT STKillSami Blackettset Olivia Tukuafu·
3816-22UT STCO ST×3Serve errSami Blackett·
3916-23CO STCO ST×3KillElla Stowellset Erin Debiec·
4016-24CO STCO ST×3KillElla Stowellset Jaedyn Riley·
4117-24CO STUT STServe errEve Wilson·
4218-24UT STUT STAceAva Napierski·
4318-25UT STCO STServe errAva Napierski·

Score shown after each rally, Utah St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).