Texas State vs Colorado State Prediction

ScheduledTue, Nov 17, 2026Pac-12 YouTube

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Texas St. (8-16) at Colorado St. (20-3), Tue, Nov 17, 2026, 7:00 PM CT on Pac-12 YouTube. RallyIQ gives Colorado St. a 99% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Colorado St. won 3-0 on Sep 26.

Data through Nov 10, 6:25 PM CT

Match prediction

TX ST 1.1%98.9% CO ST

Texas St. wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.3%

3-2

0.7%

Colorado St. wins

3-0

73.5%

3-1

21.5%

3-2

3.9%

TX ST break %: 33.7% vs this opp
CO ST break %: 51.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.