Final · 5 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026 · Neutral site

Indiana St. def. Navy 3–2

Indiana St. beat Navy 3-2 (19-25, 25-20, 26-24, 23-25, 15-12) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026 at a neutral site.

Data through · final Aug 28

Set12345Sets
IND ST19252623153
NAVY25202425122

Win probability

Navy above 50 · Indiana St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+14.3% IND STrally 214 · set 5

Biggest swing: 14.3% to Indiana St. — set 5, IND ST 14-12 NAVY. Kill by Ella Scott (set by Avery Hales). NAVY win probability 25% → 11%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IND ST 54.1%45.9% NAVY

Indiana St. wins

3-0
14.3%
3-1
20.5%
3-2
19.3%

Navy wins

3-0
10.9%
3-1
17.0%
3-2
18.0%
IND ST break %
42.2% vs this opp
NAVY break %
41.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ella ScottKill+14.3%

    Kill by Ella Scott (set by Avery Hales)

    Set 5 · IND ST 14-12 NAVY · IND ST 75% → 89%

  2. 02
    Kira HollandKill+13.1%

    Kill by Kira Holland (set by Avery Hales)

    Set 3 · IND ST 26-24 NAVY · IND ST 63% → 77%

  3. 03

    Kira Holland stuffed by Ellen Gundlach & Madeline Bildeaux

    Set 4 · IND ST 23-24 NAVY · NAVY 22% → 35%

  4. 04
    Ava RobartKill+12.3%

    Kill by Ava Robart (set by Emmy Sher)

    Set 5 · IND ST 13-11 NAVY · IND ST 71% → 84%

  5. 05
    Hailey JacobusKill+12.1%

    Kill by Hailey Jacobus (set by Kinamoni Jerome)

    Set 4 · IND ST 23-25 NAVY · NAVY 35% → 47%

  6. 06
    Hailey JacobusKill+11.9%

    Kill by Hailey Jacobus (set by Kinamoni Jerome)

    Set 5 · IND ST 12-11 NAVY · NAVY 17% → 29%

  7. 07

    Kill by Hadley Hardersen (set by Avery Hales)

    Set 5 · IND ST 9-7 NAVY · IND ST 62% → 74%

  8. 08

    Curry Kendall stuffed by Caroline Buffum & Avery Maddux

    Set 5 · IND ST 7-7 NAVY · NAVY 36% → 47%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
512525.280222170073.517.5
511122.4552112006315
510834.05904361010.514.5
512734.14710217402113
55216.188000100427
5012-.50029011100000
512426.3080002002113
11Emmy SherL/DS
5001.0004121510001
5000–100500000
Team totals6228160.2125981066802211108
Navyhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
521749.28610270010.521.5
55428.03612222052.59.5
5203.66726111000003
411734.11801110210113
47010.70000220031.58.5
4216.16700010010.52.5
54420.000100200215
51011.0002032600004
5000–2031730000
4000–110200001
2305.600100000214
2217.14300000010.52.5
2011-1.00000000031.51.5
2000–000400000
Team totals5825164.2015381363811810106

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 IND ST · NAVY 7

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 5 IND STNAVY 4

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 6 IND STNAVY 5

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 5 IND STNAVY 3

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 4 IND STNAVY 7

Set 5

15-12

Longest run 5 IND STNAVY 4

Bars above the line = Navy leads, below = Indiana St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Indiana St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%12/28
44%7/16
2
65%11/17
40%8/20
3
67%10/15
38%6/16
4
63%10/16
52%11/21
5
59%10/17
41%7/17
6
57%8/14
47%8/17
All
57%61/107
44%47/107

Navy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%12/20
52%12/23
2
59%10/17
52%12/23
3
63%10/16
17%2/12
4
56%10/18
33%5/15
5
47%9/19
33%5/15
6
53%9/17
53%10/19
All
56%60/107
43%46/107

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

214 rallies

#IND ST-NAVYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NAVYNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.5
21-1NAVYIND STBlockedFarrah Eikeblk Hadley Hardersen, Ella Scott+1.8
31-2IND STNAVYServe errIndiana St.+1.9
42-2NAVYIND STKillHadley Hardersenset Avery Hales+1.8
53-2IND STIND STKillKira Hollandset Ella Scott+2.6
63-3IND STNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Amara Chambers+1.9
73-4NAVYNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Kinamoni Jerome+2.7
84-4NAVYIND STKillHadley Hardersenset Avery Hales+1.9
94-5IND STNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Kinamoni Jerome+2.0
104-6NAVYNAVYAceNavy+2.8
115-6NAVYIND STAttack errHailey Jacobus+1.9
126-6IND STIND STAttack errHailey Jacobus+2.8
136-7IND STNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+2.1
147-7NAVYIND STServe errNavy+2.1
157-8IND STNAVYBlockedAva Robartblk Ellen Gundlach, Siena Morgan+2.2
168-8NAVYIND STKillElla Scottset Hadley Hardersen+2.1
178-9IND STNAVYServe errIndiana St.+2.2
188-10NAVYNAVYBad setAvery Hales+3.1
199-10NAVYIND STKillAva Robartset Avery Hales+2.1
209-11IND STNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+2.3
219-12NAVYNAVYBlockedKira Hollandblk Caroline Buffum, Grace Burgoyne+3.1
2210-12NAVYIND STKillAva Robartset Avery Hales+2.0
2310-13IND STNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+2.3
2410-14NAVYNAVYAttack errAvery Hales+2.8
2511-14NAVYIND STServe errNavy+1.7
2611-15IND STNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Kinamoni Jerome+2.1
2712-15NAVYIND STKillKira Hollandset Hadley Hardersen+1.7
2812-16IND STNAVYAttack errHadley Hardersen+2.1
2913-16NAVYIND STServe errNavy+1.7
3013-17IND STNAVY×3KillSiena Morganset Kinamoni Jerome+2.2
3113-18NAVYNAVY×3KillHailey Jacobusset Isa Boyd+2.4
3213-19NAVYNAVY×3KillHailey Jacobusset Isa Boyd+1.7
3314-19NAVYIND STKillCurry Kendallset Emmy Sher+0.7
3414-20IND STNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+1.1
3514-21NAVYNAVYBlockedAva Robartblk Caroline Buffum, Siena Morgan+0.9
3615-21NAVYIND ST×5Attack errCaroline Buffum+0.3
3716-21IND STIND ST×5KillElla Scottset Avery Hales+0.7
3817-21IND STIND ST×5BlockedFarrah Eikeblk Hadley Hardersen, Ella Scott+1.2
3918-21IND STIND ST×5AceIndiana St.aced Amara Chambers+2.0
4019-21IND STIND ST×5KillKira Holland+3.1
4119-22IND STNAVY×4KillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+3.2
4219-23NAVYNAVY×4BlockedHadley Hardersenblk Farrah Eike+3.0
4319-24NAVYNAVY×4KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.4
4419-25NAVYNAVY×4KillFarrah Eike+0.3
Set 2
10-1IND STNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+1.9
20-2NAVYNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Isa Boyd+2.7
31-2NAVYIND STKillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+1.8
42-2IND STIND STBlockedCaroline Buffumblk Curry Kendall, Lily Mueller+2.7
52-3IND STNAVYServe errIndiana St.+2.0
63-3NAVYIND STServe errNavy+2.0
73-4IND STNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.0
84-4NAVYIND ST×6KillElla Scottset Hadley Hardersen+2.0
95-4IND STIND ST×6KillHadley Hardersenset Avery Hales+2.9
106-4IND STIND ST×6Attack errFarrah Eike+2.8
117-4IND STIND ST×6KillHadley Hardersenset Emmy Sher+2.7
128-4IND STIND ST×6KillElla Scottset Avery Hales+2.4
139-4IND STIND ST×6BlockedFarrah Eikeblk Hadley Hardersen, Ella Scott+2.1
149-5IND STNAVYAttack errAva Robart+1.3
1510-5NAVYIND STKillElla Scottset Avery Hales+1.5
1610-6IND STNAVYKillGrace Burgoyne+1.3
1711-6NAVYIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+1.6
1812-6IND STIND STAceIndiana St.aced Farrah Eike+1.8
1912-7IND STNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Ellen Gundlach+1.0
2013-7NAVYIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+1.3
2114-7IND STIND STKillAva Robartset Hadley Hardersen+1.3
2214-8IND STNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Kinamoni Jerome+0.7
2315-8NAVYIND STKillKira Hollandset Hadley Hardersen+0.9
2416-8IND STIND STKillAva Robartset Hadley Hardersen+0.9
2516-9IND STNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+0.4
2617-9NAVYIND ST×3KillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+0.6
2718-9IND STIND ST×3KillElla Scottset Hadley Hardersen+0.5
2819-9IND STIND ST×3AceIndiana St.+0.3
2919-10IND STNAVY×4Serve errIndiana St.+0.1
3019-11NAVYNAVY×4KillFarrah Eikeset Ally Alessio+0.2
3119-12NAVYNAVY×4Attack errAva Robart+0.4
3219-13NAVYNAVY×4AceNavyaced Kira Holland+0.6
3320-13NAVYIND STKillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+0.7
3420-14IND STNAVY×5KillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+0.4
3520-15NAVYNAVY×5AceNavyaced Kira Holland+0.8
3620-16NAVYNAVY×5AceNavy+1.3
3720-17NAVYNAVY×5Attack errAva Robart+2.1
3820-18NAVYNAVY×5AceNavyaced Kira Holland+3.1
3921-18NAVYIND ST×3Serve errNavy+3.0
4022-18IND STIND ST×3BlockedEllen Gundlachblk Hadley Hardersen, Ella Scott+3.0
4123-18IND STIND ST×3AceIndiana St.aced Farrah Eike+1.7
4223-19IND STNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Kinamoni Jerome+0.5
4324-19NAVYIND STKillElla Scottset Avery Hales+0.9
4424-20IND STNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Kinamoni Jerome+0.2
4525-20NAVYIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+0.5
Set 3
10-1NAVYNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Isa Boyd+3.4
20-2NAVYNAVYAttack errCurry Kendall+3.4
31-2NAVYIND STKillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+2.3
41-3IND STNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+2.5
52-3NAVYIND STServe errNavy+2.4
62-4IND STNAVYKillCaroline Buffumset Isa Boyd+2.6
73-4NAVYIND STKillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+2.4
83-5IND STNAVYAttack errAva Robart+2.6
94-5NAVYIND STAttack errHailey Jacobus+2.5
104-6IND STNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Kinamoni Jerome+2.7
114-7NAVYNAVYKillSiena Morgan+3.6
125-7NAVYIND STKillHadley Hardersenset Avery Hales+2.4
135-8IND STNAVYServe errIndiana St.+2.7
146-8NAVYIND STServe errNavy+2.4
156-9IND STNAVY×3Serve errIndiana St.+2.7
166-10NAVYNAVY×3KillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+3.5
176-11NAVYNAVY×3KillHailey Jacobusset Isa Boyd+3.1
187-11NAVYIND STKillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen+1.8
198-11IND STIND STBlockedFarrah Eikeblk Curry Kendall, Lily Mueller+3.1
208-12IND STNAVY×3KillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+2.6
218-13NAVYNAVY×3Attack errCurry Kendall+3.1
228-14NAVYNAVY×3Attack errLily Mueller+2.5
239-14NAVYIND STKillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+1.3
249-15IND STNAVYKillFarrah Eikeset Isa Boyd+1.8
2510-15NAVYIND STKillAva Robartset Hadley Hardersen+1.3
2610-16IND STNAVYAttack errAva Robart+1.8
2711-16NAVYIND STKillHadley Hardersenset Avery Hales+1.2
2811-17IND STNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Kinamoni Jerome+1.7
2912-17NAVYIND ST×4Serve errNavy+1.2
3013-17IND STIND ST×4Attack errFarrah Eike+2.3
3114-17IND STIND ST×4KillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+3.1
3215-17IND STIND ST×4KillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+4.0
3315-18IND STNAVYKillEllen Gundlachset Kinamoni Jerome+3.6
3415-19NAVYNAVYBlockedKira Hollandblk Caroline Buffum, Siena Morgan+4.1
3516-19NAVYIND STKillHadley Hardersenset Avery Hales+2.1
3616-20IND STNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Isa Boyd+3.0
3717-20NAVYIND STKillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+2.0
3817-21IND STNAVYKillSiena Morganset Isa Boyd+3.0
3918-21NAVYIND STAttack errHailey Jacobus+1.9
4018-22IND STNAVYKillIsa Boydset Hailey Jacobus+3.0
4119-22NAVYIND ST×5KillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+1.7
4220-22IND STIND ST×5KillHadley Hardersenset Avery Hales+3.9
4321-22IND STIND ST×5KillElla Scottset Emmy Sher+6.2
4422-22IND STIND ST×5BlockedFarrah Eikeblk Ava Robart, Ella Scott+8.8
4523-22IND STIND ST×5Attack errEllen Gundlach+10.6
4623-23IND STNAVYKillGrace Burgoyneset Kinamoni Jerome+7.3
4724-23NAVYIND STServe errNavy+9.6
4824-24IND STNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Kinamoni Jerome+9.6
4925-24NAVYIND STAttack errHailey Jacobus+9.6
5026-24IND STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+13.1
Set 4
10-1IND STNAVYAttack errKira Holland+2.4
21-1NAVYIND STKillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen+2.3
31-2IND STNAVYServe errIndiana St.+2.4
42-2NAVYIND STAttack errIzzy Picard+2.4
52-3IND STNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Isa Boyd+2.5
63-3NAVYIND ST×3Serve errNavy+2.4
74-3IND STIND ST×3KillAva Robartset Avery Hales+3.4
85-3IND STIND ST×3BlockedCaroline Buffumblk Hadley Hardersen, Ella Scott+3.4
95-4IND STNAVYAttack errHadley Hardersen+2.4
106-4NAVYIND ST×4KillAva Robartset Avery Hales+2.5
117-4IND STIND ST×4KillHadley Hardersenset Ella Scott+3.3
128-4IND STIND ST×4Attack errGrace Burgoyne+3.0
139-4IND STIND ST×4AceIndiana St.aced Amara Chambers+2.6
149-5IND STNAVYServe errIndiana St.+1.6
1510-5NAVYIND ST×4Serve errNavy+1.9
1611-5IND STIND ST×4Attack errEllen Gundlach+2.2
1712-5IND STIND ST×4BlockedHailey Jacobusblk Hadley Hardersen, Lily Mueller+1.7
1813-5IND STIND ST×4Attack errKira Holland+1.3
1913-6IND STNAVYKillAvery Madduxset Kinamoni Jerome+0.6
2014-6NAVYIND ST×3KillHadley Hardersenset Avery Hales+0.9
2115-6IND STIND ST×3AceIndiana St.aced Caroline Buffum+0.8
2216-6IND STIND ST×3AceIndiana St.aced Caroline Buffum+0.5
2316-7IND STNAVY×6KillHailey Jacobusset Kinamoni Jerome+0.2
2416-8NAVYNAVY×6KillIzzy Picardset Amara Chambers+0.5
2516-9NAVYNAVY×6Attack errLily Mueller+0.7
2616-10NAVYNAVY×6BlockedCurry Kendallblk Izzy Picard, Madeline Bildeaux+1.0
2716-11NAVYNAVY×6KillHailey Jacobusset Isa Boyd+1.5
2816-12NAVYNAVY×6AceNavyaced Kira Holland+2.1
2917-12NAVYIND STKillCurry Kendallset Macy Lengacher+2.0
3018-12IND STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Isa Boyd+2.0
3118-13IND STNAVYBad setHadley Hardersen+0.9
3219-13NAVYIND STKillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen+1.4
3319-14IND STNAVYKillIsa Boydset Caroline Buffum+0.8
3420-14NAVYIND STKillAva Robartset Hadley Hardersen+1.3
3520-15IND STNAVYAttack errAva Robart+0.7
3621-15NAVYIND STKillElla Scottset Hadley Hardersen+1.2
3722-15IND STIND STAceIndiana St.aced Amara Chambers+0.8
3822-16IND STNAVY×7Attack errHadley Hardersen+0.2
3922-17NAVYNAVY×7AceNavyaced Emmy Sher+0.6
4022-18NAVYNAVY×7BlockedHadley Hardersenblk Avery Maddux, Hailey Jacobus+1.2
4122-19NAVYNAVY×7KillAvery Maddux+2.1
4222-20NAVYNAVY×7Attack errKira Holland+3.6
4322-21NAVYNAVY×7Attack errElla Scott+5.8
4422-22NAVYNAVY×7Attack errKira Holland+8.4
4523-22NAVYIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+7.3
4623-23IND STNAVY×3KillKinamoni Jeromeset Avery Maddux+7.0
4723-24NAVYNAVY×3BlockedKira Hollandblk Ellen Gundlach, Madeline Bildeaux+13.1
4823-25NAVYNAVY×3KillHailey Jacobusset Kinamoni Jerome+12.1
Set 5
11-0NAVYIND STServe errNavy+6.2
21-1IND STNAVYServe errIndiana St.+6.3
32-1NAVYIND ST×3KillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+6.5
43-1IND STIND ST×3BlockedMadeline Bildeauxblk Lily Mueller, Kira Holland+8.9
54-1IND STIND ST×3KillHadley Hardersenset Avery Hales+8.2
64-2IND STNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Kinamoni Jerome+5.2
75-2NAVYIND STKillLily Muellerset Avery Hales+6.1
85-3IND STNAVYKillIzzy Picardset Isa Boyd+5.3
95-4NAVYNAVYBlockedKira Hollandblk Madeline Bildeaux, Caroline Buffum+8.9
106-4NAVYIND STServe errNavy+7.2
116-5IND STNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Isa Boyd+6.7
127-5NAVYIND STKillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen+7.6
137-6IND STNAVYServe errIndiana St.+6.9
147-7NAVYNAVYBlockedCurry Kendallblk Caroline Buffum, Avery Maddux+11.3
158-7NAVYIND ST×5KillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+8.7
169-7IND STIND ST×5KillHadley Hardersenset Avery Hales+11.9
1710-7IND STIND ST×5Attack errCaroline Buffum+10.3
1811-7IND STIND ST×5KillElla Scottset Avery Hales+7.8
1912-7IND STIND ST×5KillAva Robartset Kira Holland+4.9
2012-8IND STNAVY×4KillAvery Madduxset Kinamoni Jerome+1.7
2112-9NAVYNAVY×4KillHailey Jacobusset Kinamoni Jerome+4.3
2212-10NAVYNAVY×4AceNavyaced Ava Robart+7.4
2312-11NAVYNAVY×4KillHailey Jacobusset Kinamoni Jerome+11.9
2413-11NAVYIND STKillAva Robartset Emmy Sher+12.3
2513-12IND STNAVYKillHailey Jacobusset Kinamoni Jerome+8.7
2614-12NAVYIND STKillElla Scottset Avery Hales+14.3
2715-12IND STIND STBlockedHailey Jacobusblk Kira Holland, Hadley Hardersen+10.9

Score shown after each rally, Indiana St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).