Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026 · Neutral site

Indiana St. def. Northwestern St. 3–2

Indiana St. beat Northwestern St. 3-2 (26-24, 23-25, 22-25, 25-9, 15-5) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026 at a neutral site. Indiana St.'s Kira Holland led with 17 kills, and Emmy Sher added 19 digs.

Data through · final Sep 4

Set12345Sets
IND ST26232225153
NW ST242525952

Win probability

Northwestern St. above 50 · Indiana St. below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+10.7% NW STrally 199 · set 5

Biggest swing: 10.7% to Northwestern St. — set 3, IND ST 22-24 NW ST. Kill by Elsie Sanchez (set by Jade Longlad). NW ST win probability 39% → 49%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IND ST 81.0%19.0% NW ST

Indiana St. wins

3-0
32.5%
3-1
30.5%
3-2
18.0%

Northwestern St. wins

3-0
3.1%
3-1
6.3%
3-2
9.7%
IND ST break %
44.5% vs this opp
NW ST break %
37.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Elsie SanchezKill+10.7%

    Kill by Elsie Sanchez (set by Jade Longlad)

    Set 3 · IND ST 22-24 NW ST · NW ST 39% → 49%

  2. 02
    Elsie SanchezKill+10.0%

    Kill by Elsie Sanchez (set by Emmy Sher)

    Set 3 · IND ST 22-23 NW ST · NW ST 29% → 39%

  3. 03
    Kira HollandKill+7.4%

    Kill by Kira Holland (set by Avery Hales)

    Set 5 · IND ST 3-1 NW ST · IND ST 71% → 79%

  4. 04
    Ava RobartAttack error+7.3%

    Attack error by Ava Robart

    Set 3 · IND ST 22-22 NW ST · NW ST 21% → 29%

  5. 05
    Avery HalesBad set+7.1%

    Bad set by Avery Hales

    Set 2 · IND ST 23-25 NW ST · NW ST 18% → 25%

  6. 06

    Ava Robart stuffed by Jade Longlad & Olivia Nzioki

    Set 3 · IND ST 22-25 NW ST · NW ST 49% → 56%

  7. 07
    Indiana St.Ace+6.4%

    Indiana St. ace on Harper Cauley

    Set 5 · IND ST 4-1 NW ST · IND ST 79% → 85%

  8. 08
    Elsie SanchezAttack error+6.2%

    Attack error by Elsie Sanchez

    Set 1 · IND ST 26-24 NW ST · IND ST 84% → 90%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516733.2730316000019
517449.26511116000018
59214.5000344102113
53113.154100100425
53414-.071241390010.54.5
5001.00029121100001
515527.37010040031.516.5
11Emmy SherL/DS
5102.5006021900001
5000–200510000
4405.800100100215
Team totals6823158.285659137630126111
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513428.32110000073.516.5
514645.1780023200014
55114.286001300005
53011.2733302600214
5000–2121200001
22211.00000021031.53.5
5000–2212020002
5001.000100440000
5001.000002800000
47019.36800000010.57.5
43418-.05600020010.53.5
2013-.333000000000
1001.000000000000
Team totals4718152.19139310609014788

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 IND ST · NW ST 5

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 5 IND STNW ST 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 IND STNW ST 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 IND STNW ST 5

Set 4

25-9

Longest run 7 IND STNW ST 2

Set 5

15-5

Longest run 5 IND STNW ST 1

Bars above the line = Northwestern St. leads, below = Indiana St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Indiana St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%12/17
50%9/18
2
45%10/22
56%14/25
3
50%9/18
44%8/18
4
89%8/9
38%5/13
5
80%8/10
58%11/19
6
62%8/13
53%9/17
All
62%55/89
51%56/110

Northwestern St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%12/24
38%6/16
2
45%10/22
52%12/23
3
50%9/18
29%4/14
4
73%8/11
43%6/14
5
33%8/24
20%2/10
6
64%7/11
33%4/12
All
49%54/110
38%34/89

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

199 rallies

#IND ST-NW STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NW STIND STKillElla Scottset Avery Hales+1.1
21-1IND STNW ST×3KillJade Longladset Anna Claire Hebert+1.2
31-2NW STNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.9
41-3NW STNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.1
52-3NW STIND STBad setElsie Sanchez+1.3
62-4IND STNW ST×3Serve errIndiana St.+1.5
72-5NW STNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.2
82-6NW STNW ST×3Attack errKira Holland+2.2
93-6NW STIND ST×3KillHadley Hardersenset Avery Hales+1.3
104-6IND STIND ST×3Attack errElsie Sanchez+2.0
115-6IND STIND ST×3Attack errKenadii Winfrey+2.1
125-7IND STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.6
136-7NW STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+1.5
147-7IND STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Emmy Sher+2.1
157-8IND STNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.6
168-8NW STIND STKillAva Robartset Hadley Hardersen+1.5
178-9IND STNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.7
188-10NW STNW STKillOlivia Nzioki+2.5
199-10NW STIND STKillAva Robartset Hadley Hardersen+1.6
209-11IND STNW ST×4KillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.9
219-12NW STNW ST×4BlockedHadley Hardersenblk Gillian Wolf, Olivia Nzioki+2.7
229-13NW STNW ST×4Attack errAva Robart+2.6
239-14NW STNW ST×4AceNorthwestern St.aced Ella Scott+2.4
2410-14NW STIND ST×5Serve errNorthwestern St.+1.3
2511-14IND STIND ST×5KillHadley Hardersenset Avery Hales+2.2
2612-14IND STIND ST×5AceIndiana St.aced Harper Cauley+2.5
2713-14IND STIND ST×5KillEmmy Sherset Anna Claire Hebert+2.7
2814-14IND STIND ST×5KillKira Hollandset Curry Kendall+2.8
2914-15IND STNW STKillJade Longladset Olivia Nzioki+2.2
3015-15NW STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+2.0
3115-16IND STNW STServe errIndiana St.+2.3
3215-17NW STNW STKillKenadii Winfrey+3.5
3316-17NW STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+2.1
3416-18IND STNW STServe errIndiana St.+2.6
3517-18NW STIND STServe errNorthwestern St.+2.2
3617-19IND STNW STAttack errCurry Kendall+2.8
3718-19NW STIND STKillAva Robartset Hadley Hardersen+2.3
3819-19IND STIND STBad setJade Longlad+3.8
3919-20IND STNW STKillGillian Wolfset Harper Cauley+3.1
4020-20NW STIND ST×3KillElla Scottset Hadley Hardersen+2.8
4121-20IND STIND ST×3KillAva Robartset Emmy Sher+4.3
4222-20IND STIND ST×3KillAva Robart+3.8
4322-21IND STNW STServe errIndiana St.+2.1
4423-21NW STIND STKillAva Robartset Avery Hales+2.9
4523-22IND STNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.1
4623-23NW STNW STAttack errElla Scott+5.5
4724-23NW STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+5.0
4824-24IND STNW STAttack errKira Holland+5.0
4925-24NW STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+5.0
5026-24IND STIND STAttack errElsie Sanchez+6.2
Set 2
10-1IND STNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.0
21-1NW STIND STAttack errAna Gjorgjievska+0.9
31-2IND STNW STAttack errHadley Hardersen+1.0
42-2NW STIND ST×3Serve errNorthwestern St.+0.9
53-2IND STIND ST×3AceIndiana St.aced Emmarie McFarland+1.3
64-2IND STIND ST×3KillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+1.2
74-3IND STNW STServe errIndiana St.+0.8
84-4NW STNW STBad setAvery Hales+1.4
95-4NW STIND STKillHadley Hardersenset Avery Hales+0.9
105-5IND STNW STServe errIndiana St.+1.0
115-6NW STNW STKillAmber Craigset Emmarie McFarland+1.6
126-6NW STIND STServe errNorthwestern St.+1.0
136-7IND STNW STServe errIndiana St.+1.2
147-7NW STIND STServe errNorthwestern St.+1.1
157-8IND STNW ST×3KillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.2
167-9NW STNW ST×3Attack errCurry Kendall+1.8
177-10NW STNW ST×3BlockedElla Scottblk Amber Craig, Olivia Nzioki+1.9
188-10NW STIND ST×3Serve errNorthwestern St.+1.1
199-10IND STIND ST×3Bad setJade Longlad+1.7
2010-10IND STIND ST×3Bad setJade Longlad+1.7
2110-11IND STNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.3
2211-11NW STIND STKillAva Robartset Avery Hales+1.2
2312-11IND STIND STBlockedAna Gjorgjievskablk Ella Scott, Hadley Hardersen+1.7
2412-12IND STNW STServe errIndiana St.+1.3
2512-13NW STNW STAttack errKira Holland+2.0
2613-13NW STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+1.3
2713-14IND STNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.5
2813-15NW STNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.3
2913-16NW STNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Emmarie McFarland+2.3
3014-16NW STIND STBlockedElsie Sanchezblk Lily Mueller, Taylor Knuth+1.3
3114-17IND STNW STAttack errHadley Hardersen+1.7
3215-17NW STIND ST×3KillKira Hollandset Hadley Hardersen+1.3
3316-17IND STIND ST×3AceIndiana St.aced Elsie Sanchez+2.3
3417-17IND STIND ST×3KillAva Robartset Hadley Hardersen+2.4
3517-18IND STNW STAttack errAva Robart+1.9
3618-18NW STIND STServe errNorthwestern St.+1.8
3718-19IND STNW STServe errIndiana St.+2.1
3819-19NW STIND STKillKira Hollandset Hadley Hardersen+1.9
3919-20IND STNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+2.3
4020-20NW STIND STKillElla Scottset Avery Hales+2.1
4120-21IND STNW STKillAna Gjorgjievskaset Jade Longlad+2.5
4221-21NW STIND ST×3KillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+2.3
4322-21IND STIND ST×3KillKira Hollandset Chloe Gilley+3.6
4423-21IND STIND ST×3KillKira Hollandset Chloe Gilley+3.1
4523-22IND STNW ST×4KillOlivia Nziokiset Avery Hales+1.6
4623-23NW STNW ST×4AceNorthwestern St.+4.1
4723-24NW STNW ST×4AceNorthwestern St.aced Chloe Gilley+6.0
4823-25NW STNW ST×4Bad setAvery Hales+7.1
Set 3
11-0NW STIND ST×3KillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+1.7
22-0IND STIND ST×3KillAva Robartset Hadley Hardersen+2.4
33-0IND STIND ST×3BlockedGillian Wolfblk Curry Kendall, Lily Mueller+2.1
43-1IND STNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Emmarie McFarland+1.4
53-2NW STNW ST×3KillJade Longlad+2.4
63-3NW STNW ST×3BlockedAva Robartblk Olivia Nzioki, Jade Longlad+2.8
74-3NW STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+1.9
85-3IND STIND STAttack errOlivia Nzioki+2.5
95-4IND STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.8
106-4NW STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+1.8
116-5IND STNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+1.9
127-5NW STIND STKillElla Scottset Avery Hales+1.8
137-6IND STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.9
147-7NW STNW STKillKenadii Winfrey+3.1
158-7NW STIND STKillElla Scottset Avery Hales+2.1
169-7IND STIND STAttack errGillian Wolf+2.9
179-8IND STNW ST×3Serve errIndiana St.+2.0
189-9NW STNW ST×3BlockedKira Hollandblk Olivia Nzioki, Gillian Wolf+3.3
199-10NW STNW ST×3BlockedHadley Hardersenblk Olivia Nzioki, Gillian Wolf+3.8
2010-10NW STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+2.5
2111-10IND STIND STAceIndiana St.aced Gillian Wolf+3.5
2211-11IND STNW STKillGillian Wolfset Jade Longlad+2.6
2312-11NW STIND STAttack errOlivia Nzioki+2.5
2412-12IND STNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.7
2512-13NW STNW ST×3Attack errCurry Kendall+4.3
2612-14NW STNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+4.6
2713-14NW STIND STBlockedElsie Sanchezblk Lily Mueller, Curry Kendall+2.8
2813-15IND STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+3.5
2914-15NW STIND STServe errNorthwestern St.+3.0
3015-15IND STIND STKillAva Robartset Emmy Sher+4.5
3115-16IND STNW STAttack errAva Robart+3.6
3216-16NW STIND STAttack errElsie Sanchez+3.3
3317-16IND STIND STKillTaylor Knuthset Avery Hales+4.7
3417-17IND STNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+3.4
3518-17NW STIND ST×3KillElla Scottset Avery Hales+3.4
3619-17IND STIND ST×3AceIndiana St.aced Harper Cauley+4.5
3720-17IND STIND ST×3KillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+3.6
3820-18IND STNW STKillAna Gjorgjievskaset Jade Longlad+2.0
3921-18NW STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+2.6
4021-19IND STNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.0
4121-20NW STNW STBlockedCurry Kendallblk Olivia Nzioki, Ana Gjorgjievska+4.5
4222-20NW STIND STKillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen+4.0
4322-21IND STNW ST×5KillAna Gjorgjievskaset Jade Longlad+3.3
4422-22NW STNW ST×5Attack errAva Robart+7.3
4522-23NW STNW ST×5KillElsie Sanchezset Emmy Sher+10.0
4622-24NW STNW ST×5KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+10.7
4722-25NW STNW ST×5BlockedAva Robartblk Jade Longlad, Olivia Nzioki+6.6
Set 4
11-0IND STIND STAceIndiana St.aced Elsie Sanchez+3.7
21-1IND STNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.7
32-1NW STIND ST×6KillElla Scottset Avery Hales+2.6
43-1IND STIND ST×6KillTaylor Knuthset Avery Hales+3.5
54-1IND STIND ST×6BlockedElsie Sanchezblk Ella Scott, Taylor Knuth+3.1
65-1IND STIND ST×6KillTaylor Knuthset Avery Hales+2.7
76-1IND STIND ST×6Attack errOlivia Nzioki+2.2
87-1IND STIND ST×6AceIndiana St.aced Emmarie McFarland+1.8
97-2IND STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.1
108-2NW STIND STKillElla Scottset Taylor Knuth+1.2
118-3IND STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.1
129-3NW STIND STServe errNorthwestern St.+1.2
139-4IND STNW STServe errIndiana St.+1.1
1410-4NW STIND ST×7KillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+1.2
1511-4IND STIND ST×7KillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen+1.3
1612-4IND STIND ST×7KillAva Robartset Hadley Hardersen+0.9
1713-4IND STIND ST×7KillCurry Kendallset Emmy Sher+0.6
1814-4IND STIND ST×7Bad setAna Gjorgjievska+0.4
1915-4IND STIND ST×7BlockedAna Gjorgjievskablk Lily Mueller, Curry Kendall+0.2
2016-4IND STIND ST×7KillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+0.1
2116-5IND STNW STAttack errCurry Kendall·
2216-6NW STNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.1
2317-6NW STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+0.1
2418-6IND STIND STAttack errJulia Whitfield+0.1
2518-7IND STNW STServe errIndiana St.·
2619-7NW STIND ST×4KillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen·
2720-7IND STIND ST×4Bad setJade Longlad·
2821-7IND STIND ST×4KillAva Robartset Emmy Sher·
2922-7IND STIND ST×4KillTaylor Knuthset Avery Hales·
3022-8IND STNW STAttack errAva Robart·
3122-9NW STNW STKillElsie Sanchez·
3223-9NW STIND ST×3KillAva Robartset Avery Hales·
3324-9IND STIND ST×3KillElla Scottset Avery Hales·
3425-9IND STIND ST×3Attack errOlivia Nzioki+1.2
Set 5
11-0NW STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+5.3
21-1IND STNW STServe errIndiana St.+5.7
32-1NW STIND ST×4KillAva Robartset Avery Hales+5.6
43-1IND STIND ST×4KillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+7.4
54-1IND STIND ST×4AceIndiana St.aced Harper Cauley+6.4
65-1IND STIND ST×4Attack errAna Gjorgjievska+5.1
75-2IND STNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+3.1
86-2NW STIND STServe errNorthwestern St.+3.6
97-2IND STIND STAceIndiana St.aced Harper Cauley+3.8
107-3IND STNW STAttack errLily Mueller+2.0
118-3NW STIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+2.6
129-3IND STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Kira Holland+2.4
139-4IND STNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.1
1410-4NW STIND ST×5KillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+1.5
1511-4IND STIND ST×5KillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+1.2
1612-4IND STIND ST×5KillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen+0.5
1713-4IND STIND ST×5KillAva Robartset Emmy Sher+0.2
1814-4IND STIND ST×5KillAva Robartset Lily Mueller·
1914-5IND STNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Anna Claire Hebert·
2015-5NW STIND STKillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen·

Score shown after each rally, Indiana St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).