Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayMVC

1:3

HomeCUSA

Missouri St. def. Indiana St. 3–1

(14-25, 25-23, 25-14, 25-17)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
IND ST	25	23	14	17	1
MO ST	14	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MO ST above 50 · IND ST below

Biggest swing: 10.7% to Missouri St. — set 2, IND ST 23-24 MO ST. Missouri St. ace on Team. MO ST win probability 63% → 74%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

IND ST 11.5%88.5% MO ST

Indiana St. wins

3-0

1.6%

3-1

3.6%

3-2

6.4%

Missouri St. wins

3-0

41.9%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

14.9%

IND ST break %: 34.6% vs this opp
MO ST break %: 43.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
MO ST serverAce+10.7%
Missouri St. ace on Team
Set 2 · IND ST 23-24 MO ST · MO ST 63% → 74%
02
Curry KendallAttack error+9.6%
Curry Kendall stuffed by Hannah Gardner & Hannah Redrow
Set 2 · IND ST 23-23 MO ST · MO ST 54% → 63%
03
MO ST serverAce+8.5%
Missouri St. ace on Emmy Sher
Set 2 · IND ST 23-25 MO ST · MO ST 74% → 82%
04
Kira HollandKill+8.2%
Kill by Kira Holland (set by Avery Hales)
Set 2 · IND ST 22-20 MO ST · IND ST 40% → 48%
05
Hadley HardersenKill+7.4%
Kill by Hadley Hardersen (set by Avery Hales)
Set 2 · IND ST 21-20 MO ST · IND ST 32% → 40%
06
Hadley HardersenKill+6.3%
Kill by Hadley Hardersen (set by Avery Hales)
Set 2 · IND ST 23-21 MO ST · IND ST 44% → 50%
07
IND ST serverAce+4.8%
Indiana St. ace on Rilynn Finley
Set 2 · IND ST 18-18 MO ST · IND ST 27% → 32%
08
Hannah GardnerKill+3.9%
Kill by Hannah Gardner (set by Hadley Hardersen)
Set 2 · IND ST 23-22 MO ST · MO ST 50% → 54%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Indiana St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Hadley HardersenS	4	11	2	21	.429	15	0	1	13	0	0	0	0	11
7Ava RobartOH	4	8	3	32	.156	1	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	10
18Kira HollandOH	4	10	7	30	.100	0	0	3	8	1	0	0	0	10
14Curry KendallOH	4	8	5	27	.111	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
4Ella ScottMB	4	3	0	14	.214	0	2	5	1	0	1	3	2.5	7.5
16Macy LengacherL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Lily MuellerMB	4	7	1	10	.600	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
19Avery HalesS	4	0	1	1	-1.000	26	3	3	11	0	0	0	0	3
2Chloe GilleyL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
11Emmy SherL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	5	0	1	14	1	0	0	0	0
12Corinne KnappOH	2	1	3	5	-.400	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	3
21Taylor KnuthMB	2	1	1	7	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
Team totals		49	23	148	.176	48	8	18	57	3	1	8	5	79

Missouri St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Rilynn FinleyOH	4	13	5	32	.250	0	0	0	4	5	0	0	0	13
18Hannah GardnerS	4	6	2	22	.182	15	0	0	10	0	1	4	3	9
7Lexi WeinbergOPP	4	7	3	21	.190	0	0	0	4	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
1Chloe JuddMB	4	2	0	12	.167	0	2	0	0	0	0	8	4	8
12Hannah RedrowMB	4	7	0	15	.467	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
10Riley OurthDS	4	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	6	2	0	0	0	0
4Jenna WaltersOH	4	6	3	23	.130	0	0	0	3	0	0	4	2	8
3Kya JohnsonDS	4	1	0	1	1.000	3	0	1	10	0	0	0	0	1
8Brooke EslingerDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	4	22	0	0	0	0	1
2Halle RillieS	4	0	0	1	.000	16	0	2	6	0	0	0	0	0
6Halle KerkmanOH	1	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	14	130	.215	38	3	8	65	8	1	20	11	89

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 IND ST · MO ST 6

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 4 IND STMO ST 2

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 IND STMO ST 4

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 2 IND STMO ST 6

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 4 IND STMO ST 4

Bars above the line = Missouri St. leads, below = Indiana St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Indiana St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%10/16	38%5/13
2	60%9/15	33%5/15
3	50%9/18	50%9/18
4	47%8/17	31%4/13
5	80%8/10	20%2/10
6	58%7/12	27%3/11
All	58%51/88	35%28/80

Missouri St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%10/16	27%3/11
2	53%10/19	47%9/19
3	60%9/15	44%7/16
4	82%9/11	44%7/16
5	67%8/12	47%7/15
6	86%6/7	36%4/11
All	65%52/80	42%37/88

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

168 rallies

Rally log

#	IND ST-MO ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Ava Robart	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.9
2	2-0	IND ST	IND ST	Attack err	Lexi Weinberg	blk Ava Robart, Ella Scott	+1.5
3	2-1	IND ST	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Hannah Gardner	+0.9
4	2-2	MO ST	MO ST	Attack err	Avery Hales		+1.4
5	3-2	MO ST	IND ST×4	Serve err	MO ST server		+1.0
6	4-2	IND ST	IND ST×4	Kill	Hadley Hardersen	set Avery Hales	+1.6
7	5-2	IND ST	IND ST×4	Kill	Hadley Hardersen	set Emmy Sher	+1.8
8	6-2	IND ST	IND ST×4	Kill	Hadley Hardersen	set Avery Hales	+1.8
9	6-3	IND ST	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+1.0
10	7-3	MO ST	IND ST×3	Kill	Kira Holland	set Avery Hales	+1.3
11	8-3	IND ST	IND ST×3	Ace	IND ST server	aced Rilynn Finley	+1.9
12	9-3	IND ST	IND ST×3	Kill	Hadley Hardersen	set Avery Hales	+1.8
13	9-4	IND ST	MO ST	Serve err	IND ST server		+0.8
14	10-4	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Avery Hales	+1.2
15	10-5	IND ST	MO ST	Kill	Chloe Judd	set Halle Rillie	+0.8
16	11-5	MO ST	IND ST×4	Kill	Lily Mueller	set Hadley Hardersen	+1.2
17	12-5	IND ST	IND ST×4	Kill	Lily Mueller		+1.6
18	13-5	IND ST	IND ST×4	Attack err	Hannah Gardner		+1.3
19	14-5	IND ST	IND ST×4	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Ava Robart	+1.0
20	14-6	IND ST	MO ST	Serve err	IND ST server		+0.4
21	14-7	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Redrow	set Hannah Gardner	+0.8
22	15-7	MO ST	IND ST	Attack err	Halle Kerkman		+0.8
23	16-7	IND ST	IND ST	Kill	Ava Robart	set Macy Lengacher	+0.8
24	16-8	IND ST	MO ST	Serve err	IND ST server		+0.3
25	17-8	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Ava Robart	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.5
26	17-9	IND ST	MO ST	Serve err	IND ST server		+0.2
27	18-9	MO ST	IND ST×3	Attack err	Rilynn Finley		+0.4
28	19-9	IND ST	IND ST×3	Attack err	Rilynn Finley		+0.4
29	20-9	IND ST	IND ST×3	Ace	IND ST server	aced Rilynn Finley	+0.2
30	20-10	IND ST	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+0.0
31	21-10	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Hadley Hardersen	set Avery Hales	+0.1
32	22-10	IND ST	IND ST	Ace	IND ST server	aced Team	+0.0
33	22-11	IND ST	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Halle Rillie	+0.0
34	23-11	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Hadley Hardersen	set Avery Hales	+0.0
35	23-12	IND ST	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Halle Rillie	+0.0
36	23-13	MO ST	MO ST	Bad set	Hadley Hardersen		+0.0
37	24-13	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.0
38	24-14	IND ST	MO ST	Attack err	Ava Robart		+0.0
39	25-14	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	IND ST	IND ST	Kill	Ava Robart	set Avery Hales	+2.7
2	2-0	IND ST	IND ST	Ace	IND ST server	aced Rilynn Finley	+3.0
3	2-1	IND ST	MO ST×3	Attack err	Hadley Hardersen		+1.7
4	2-2	MO ST	MO ST×3	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Riley Ourth	+2.7
5	2-3	MO ST	MO ST×3	Attack err	Ava Robart	blk Chloe Judd, Lexi Weinberg	+2.4
6	3-3	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Ava Robart	set Emmy Sher	+1.7
7	3-4	IND ST	MO ST	Serve err	IND ST server		+1.5
8	4-4	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Hadley Hardersen	set Avery Hales	+1.7
9	5-4	IND ST	IND ST	Kill	Hadley Hardersen	set Avery Hales	+3.0
10	5-5	IND ST	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Riley Ourth	+1.8
11	5-6	MO ST	MO ST	Attack err	Hadley Hardersen	blk Chloe Judd, Jenna Walters	+2.7
12	6-6	MO ST	IND ST	Serve err	MO ST server		+1.8
13	7-6	IND ST	IND ST	Attack err	Hannah Gardner		+3.2
14	7-7	IND ST	MO ST×3	Attack err	Curry Kendall	blk Chloe Judd, Jenna Walters	+1.9
15	7-8	MO ST	MO ST×3	Kill	Kya Johnson	set Hannah Redrow	+2.9
16	7-9	MO ST	MO ST×3	Kill	Hannah Redrow	set Halle Rillie	+2.5
17	8-9	MO ST	IND ST	Attack err	Jenna Walters		+1.7
18	8-10	IND ST	MO ST	Serve err	IND ST server		+1.6
19	9-10	MO ST	IND ST	Attack err	Jenna Walters		+1.7
20	9-11	IND ST	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Redrow	set Hannah Gardner	+1.7
21	10-11	MO ST	IND ST	Attack err	Lexi Weinberg	blk Ava Robart, Ella Scott	+1.8
22	10-12	IND ST	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Hannah Gardner	+1.8
23	11-12	MO ST	IND ST	Serve err	MO ST server		+1.8
24	11-13	IND ST	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Hannah Gardner	+1.8
25	11-14	MO ST	MO ST	Attack err	Kira Holland	blk Chloe Judd, Hannah Gardner	+2.5
26	12-14	MO ST	IND ST	Serve err	MO ST server		+1.5
27	12-15	IND ST	MO ST	Serve err	IND ST server		+1.6
28	13-15	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Lily Mueller	set Avery Hales	+1.5
29	13-16	IND ST	MO ST	Kill	Chloe Judd	set Halle Rillie	+1.6
30	14-16	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Emmy Sher	+1.5
31	14-17	IND ST	MO ST	Attack err	Curry Kendall		+1.7
32	15-17	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Hadley Hardersen	+1.6
33	15-18	IND ST	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Hannah Gardner	+1.8
34	16-18	MO ST	IND ST×3	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Hadley Hardersen	+1.6
35	17-18	IND ST	IND ST×3	Kill	Ella Scott	set Avery Hales	+3.5
36	18-18	IND ST	IND ST×3	Ace	IND ST server	aced Rilynn Finley	+4.8
37	18-19	IND ST	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Redrow	set Hannah Gardner	+3.2
38	19-19	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Ava Robart	set Avery Hales	+3.5
39	19-20	IND ST	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Hannah Gardner	+3.5
40	20-20	MO ST	IND ST×3	Kill	Ella Scott	set Avery Hales	+3.8
41	21-20	IND ST	IND ST×3	Kill	Hadley Hardersen	set Avery Hales	+7.4
42	22-20	IND ST	IND ST×3	Kill	Kira Holland	set Avery Hales	+8.2
43	22-21	IND ST	MO ST	Serve err	IND ST server		+3.8
44	23-21	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Hadley Hardersen	set Avery Hales	+6.3
45	23-22	IND ST	MO ST×4	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Hadley Hardersen	+3.9
46	23-23	MO ST	MO ST×4	Attack err	Curry Kendall	blk Hannah Gardner, Hannah Redrow	+9.6
47	23-24	MO ST	MO ST×4	Ace	MO ST server	aced Team	+10.7
48	23-25	MO ST	MO ST×4	Ace	MO ST server	aced Emmy Sher	+8.5
Set 3
1	0-1	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Hannah Gardner	+2.1
2	1-1	MO ST	IND ST	Attack err	Rilynn Finley	blk Curry Kendall, Lily Mueller	+1.4
3	1-2	IND ST	MO ST×3	Serve err	IND ST server		+1.3
4	1-3	MO ST	MO ST×3	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Riley Ourth	+1.9
5	1-4	MO ST	MO ST×3	Attack err	Ava Robart	blk Chloe Judd, Lexi Weinberg	+1.6
6	2-4	MO ST	IND ST	Serve err	MO ST server		+1.0
7	3-4	IND ST	IND ST	Ace	IND ST server	aced Rilynn Finley	+2.0
8	3-5	IND ST	MO ST	Serve err	IND ST server		+1.3
9	4-5	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Hadley Hardersen	set Avery Hales	+1.3
10	4-6	IND ST	MO ST×3	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Halle Rillie	+1.3
11	4-7	MO ST	MO ST×3	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Halle Rillie	+1.8
12	4-8	MO ST	MO ST×3	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Kya Johnson	+1.5
13	5-8	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Avery Hales	+0.9
14	6-8	IND ST	IND ST	Kill	Ella Scott	set Avery Hales	+1.7
15	6-9	IND ST	MO ST	Serve err	IND ST server		+1.2
16	7-9	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Avery Hales	+1.2
17	7-10	IND ST	MO ST	Serve err	IND ST server		+1.2
18	8-10	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Hadley Hardersen	+1.2
19	8-11	IND ST	MO ST	Serve err	IND ST server		+1.2
20	9-11	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Emmy Sher	+1.2
21	10-11	IND ST	IND ST	Kill	Ava Robart	set Hadley Hardersen	+2.4
22	10-12	IND ST	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Redrow	set Hannah Gardner	+1.6
23	10-13	MO ST	MO ST	Attack err	Curry Kendall		+2.2
24	11-13	MO ST	IND ST	Attack err	Lexi Weinberg	blk Ella Scott	+1.3
25	11-14	IND ST	MO ST×6	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+1.4
26	11-15	MO ST	MO ST×6	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Halle Rillie	+1.7
27	11-16	MO ST	MO ST×6	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Halle Rillie	+1.2
28	11-17	MO ST	MO ST×6	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Halle Rillie	+0.8
29	11-18	MO ST	MO ST×6	Attack err	Kira Holland		+0.4
30	11-19	MO ST	MO ST×6	Kill	Rilynn Finley		+0.2
31	12-19	MO ST	IND ST	Serve err	MO ST server		+0.1
32	12-20	IND ST	MO ST	Attack err	Kira Holland	blk Chloe Judd, Hannah Gardner	+0.1
33	12-21	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Kya Johnson	+0.1
34	13-21	MO ST	IND ST	Attack err	Jenna Walters		+0.0
35	13-22	IND ST	MO ST	Serve err	IND ST server		+0.0
36	14-22	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Lily Mueller	set Avery Hales	+0.0
37	14-23	IND ST	MO ST×3	Kill	Hannah Redrow	set Halle Rillie	+0.0
38	14-24	MO ST	MO ST×3	Attack err	Lily Mueller		+0.0
39	14-25	MO ST	MO ST×3	Attack err	Curry Kendall	blk Lexi Weinberg, Jenna Walters	+0.0
Set 4
1	0-1	IND ST	MO ST	Serve err	IND ST server		+1.0
2	0-2	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Hannah Gardner	+1.4
3	1-2	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Ava Robart	set Emmy Sher	+0.9
4	1-3	IND ST	MO ST	Attack err	Kira Holland		+0.9
5	1-4	MO ST	MO ST	Bad set	Avery Hales		+1.2
6	2-4	MO ST	IND ST	Attack err	Rilynn Finley		+0.8
7	2-5	IND ST	MO ST	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Halle Rillie	+0.8
8	3-5	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Lily Mueller	set Avery Hales	+0.8
9	3-6	IND ST	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Halle Rillie	+0.8
10	3-7	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Halle Rillie	+1.1
11	4-7	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.6
12	5-7	IND ST	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Hadley Hardersen	+1.3
13	5-8	IND ST	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Gardner	set Halle Rillie	+0.9
14	5-9	MO ST	MO ST	Kill	Jenna Walters	set Hannah Gardner	+1.1
15	6-9	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Lily Mueller	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.7
16	6-10	IND ST	MO ST	Kill	Lexi Weinberg	set Kya Johnson	+0.7
17	6-11	MO ST	MO ST	Attack err	Corinne Knapp		+0.9
18	7-11	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.5
19	7-12	IND ST	MO ST×3	Bad set	Taylor Knuth		+0.5
20	7-13	MO ST	MO ST×3	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Hannah Gardner	+0.6
21	7-14	MO ST	MO ST×3	Ace	MO ST server	aced Kira Holland	+0.4
22	8-14	MO ST	IND ST×4	Serve err	MO ST server		+0.2
23	9-14	IND ST	IND ST×4	Ace	IND ST server	aced Riley Ourth	+0.5
24	10-14	IND ST	IND ST×4	Attack err	Rilynn Finley	blk Taylor Knuth, Ella Scott	+0.7
25	11-14	IND ST	IND ST×4	Ace	IND ST server	aced Riley Ourth	+1.1
26	11-15	IND ST	MO ST	Serve err	IND ST server		+0.8
27	12-15	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Avery Hales	+0.7
28	12-16	IND ST	MO ST×4	Kill	Rilynn Finley	set Halle Rillie	+0.8
29	12-17	MO ST	MO ST×4	Attack err	Kira Holland		+0.9
30	12-18	MO ST	MO ST×4	Attack err	Kira Holland	blk Hannah Gardner	+0.6
31	12-19	MO ST	MO ST×4	Attack err	Taylor Knuth	blk Chloe Judd, Jenna Walters	+0.3
32	13-19	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Lily Mueller	set Avery Hales	+0.1
33	13-20	IND ST	MO ST	Attack err	Kira Holland	blk Chloe Judd, Hannah Gardner	+0.2
34	14-20	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.1
35	14-21	IND ST	MO ST	Serve err	IND ST server		+0.1
36	15-21	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Corinne Knapp	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.1
37	15-22	IND ST	MO ST	Kill	Hannah Redrow	set Hannah Gardner	+0.1
38	15-23	MO ST	MO ST	Attack err	Corinne Knapp		+0.1
39	16-23	MO ST	IND ST	Serve err	MO ST server		+0.0
40	16-24	IND ST	MO ST	Attack err	Corinne Knapp		+0.0
41	17-24	MO ST	IND ST	Kill	Taylor Knuth	set Avery Hales	+0.0
42	17-25	IND ST	MO ST	Serve err	IND ST server		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Indiana St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.