FinalSat, Nov 7, 2026

Indiana St. def. Murray St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Indiana St. 77.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Indiana St. beat visiting Murray St. 3-0 (25-23, 25-20, 25-19) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Kira Holland led Indiana St. with 11 kills; Murray St.'s Lily Burnett had a match-high 13.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set123Sets
MURRAY2320190
IND ST2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Indiana St. swept Murray St. without a set decided by more than six and led every phase.

No single rally moved win probability more than 4.6 points. Murray St. peaked at 25% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. Indiana St. went in as RallyIQ's 78% pick.

Murray St.Indiana St.
  • Break %+10.7 pts
    35.946.6

    On serve: 34/73 against 23/64 (Murray St. sideout 53.4%).

  • Hitting+.091
    .120.211

    Kills and errors: 41–15 vs 32–19.

  • Longest run+0
    55

    5 straight Indiana St. points in the first set turned a 6–7 deficit into an 11–7 lead. That set ended 25–23.

Indiana St. above 50Murray St. belowMax swing 4.6%

Murray St.Indiana St.

Aces
Murray St. 1·Indiana St. 10
Serve err
Murray St. 4·Indiana St. 14
Blocks
Murray St. 4·Indiana St. 92 BS · 4 BA vs 2 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Murray St. 57·Indiana St. 43

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Indiana St. above 50 · Murray St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.6% IND STrally 137 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.6% to Indiana St. — set 1, MURRAY 23-25 IND ST. Service error by Paige Brock. IND ST win probability 83% → 88%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MURRAY 21.3%78.7% IND ST

Murray St. wins

3-0
3.6%
3-1
7.2%
3-2
10.6%

Indiana St. wins

3-0
30.3%
3-1
29.8%
3-2
18.6%
MURRAY break %
37.6% vs this opp
IND ST break %
43.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Paige BrockService error+4.6%

    Service error by Paige Brock

    Set 1 · MURRAY 23-25 IND ST · IND ST 83% → 88%

  2. 02
    Anne MakowskiKill+2.8%

    Kill by Anne Makowski (set by Paige Brock)

    Set 1 · MURRAY 23-24 IND ST · MURRAY 14% → 17%

  3. 03
    Ella ScottAce+2.5%

    Ace by Ella Scott on Ada Tamturk

    Set 1 · MURRAY 16-19 IND ST · IND ST 81% → 84%

  4. 04
    Kira HollandAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Kira Holland

    Set 1 · MURRAY 7-6 IND ST · MURRAY 23% → 25%

  5. 05

    Kill by Mija Sagadin Pristovnik (set by Lily Burnett)

    Set 1 · MURRAY 12-13 IND ST · MURRAY 19% → 21%

  6. 06
    Anne MakowskiAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Anne Makowski

    Set 1 · MURRAY 7-8 IND ST · IND ST 76% → 79%

  7. 07
    Lily BurnettBlock+2.1%

    Kira Holland stuffed by Lily Burnett

    Set 1 · MURRAY 5-5 IND ST · MURRAY 21% → 23%

  8. 08

    Ace by Corinne Knapp

    Set 1 · MURRAY 7-9 IND ST · IND ST 79% → 81%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313530.2671001020215
37727.00010030010.57.5
35312.167000000005
32320-.05010141010.52.5
3219.111000400002
3003.00023031400000
3000–010520001
3000–2001210000
3000–2001220000
1206.333000100002
11011.000100000212
1000–000100000
Team totals3219108.1203114571024462
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310428.21413320031.514.5
311534.17620090111.512.5
36015.4001346004211
3429.22200020132.56.5
3115.0002302100031.52.5
3001.000000310000
38329.1720432000012
3000–502800000
2000–600100000
1102.500000000001
Team totals4115123.211381014431214975

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Murray St. vs Indiana St.

Season series · Indiana St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MURRAY · IND ST 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 MURRAYIND ST 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 5 MURRAYIND ST 5

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 5 MURRAYIND ST 5

Bars above the line = Indiana St. leads, below = Murray St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Murray St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%7/12
50%7/14
2
64%7/11
36%4/11
3
47%7/15
22%2/9
4
64%7/11
13%1/8
5
67%6/9
46%6/13
6
33%5/15
33%3/9
All
53%39/73
36%23/64

Indiana St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%8/19
65%11/17
2
100%7/7
36%4/11
3
78%7/9
56%9/16
4
54%7/13
22%2/9
5
75%6/8
33%3/9
6
75%6/8
45%5/11
All
64%41/64
47%34/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#MURRAY-IND STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MURRAYIND STServe errPaige Brock+1.2
21-1IND STMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+1.3
31-2MURRAYIND STBlockedMaezi Snyderblk Lily Mueller+1.3
41-3IND STIND STAttack errAlexa Watts+1.8
52-3IND STMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+1.2
62-4MURRAYIND STKillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen+1.2
73-4IND STMURRAYAttack errCurry Kendall+1.2
83-5MURRAYIND STServe errAlexa Watts+1.2
94-5IND STMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.3
105-5MURRAYMURRAYBlockedKira Hollandblk Lily Burnett+2.1
115-6MURRAYIND STKillCorinne Knappset Hadley Hardersen+1.4
126-6IND STMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.5
137-6MURRAYMURRAYAttack errKira Holland+2.4
147-7MURRAYIND ST×5KillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+1.6
157-8IND STIND ST×5Attack errAnne Makowski+2.3
167-9IND STIND ST×5AceCorinne Knapp+2.1
177-10IND STIND ST×5AceCorinne Knappaced Alexa Watts+1.8
187-11IND STIND ST×5AceCorinne Knapp+1.5
198-11IND STMURRAYServe errCorinne Knapp+0.9
208-12MURRAYIND STBlockedAnne Makowskiblk Curry Kendall, Ella Scott+1.0
219-12IND STMURRAYServe errElla Scott+0.9
229-13MURRAYIND STKillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen+1.1
2310-13IND STMURRAY×3KillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+1.0
2411-13MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errHadley Hardersen+1.8
2512-13MURRAYMURRAY×3KillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Lily Burnett+2.3
2612-14MURRAYIND STKillKira Hollandset Hadley Hardersen+1.7
2713-14IND STMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.7
2813-15MURRAYIND STAttack errLily Burnett+1.7
2914-15IND STMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.7
3014-16MURRAYIND STKillElla Scottset Hadley Hardersen+1.8
3115-16IND STMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+1.8
3215-17MURRAYIND STKillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+1.9
3316-17IND STMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Ada Tamturk+1.9
3416-18MURRAYIND STKillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+2.0
3516-19IND STIND STAceElla Scottaced Ada Tamturk+2.5
3617-19IND STMURRAYAttack errKira Holland+1.4
3717-20MURRAYIND STKillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+1.7
3818-20IND STMURRAYServe errCurry Kendall+1.4
3918-21MURRAYIND STKillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+1.8
4019-21IND STMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.4
4119-22MURRAYIND STKillCorinne Knappset Hadley Hardersen+1.9
4220-22IND STMURRAYKillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Samantha Nelson+1.3
4320-23MURRAYIND STKillElla Scottset Hadley Hardersen+2.0
4421-23IND STMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.1
4521-24MURRAYIND STBlockedAnne Makowskiblk Curry Kendall, Ella Scott+2.0
4622-24IND STMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+0.7
4723-24MURRAYMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+2.8
4823-25MURRAYIND STServe errPaige Brock+4.6
Set 2
10-1IND STIND STKillKira Hollandset Macy Lengacher+1.4
20-2IND STIND STKillKira Hollandset Ella Scott+1.3
31-2IND STMURRAYServe errHadley Hardersen+0.9
42-2MURRAYMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+1.5
52-3MURRAYIND STKillCorinne Knappset Hadley Hardersen+1.0
63-3IND STMURRAYServe errCorinne Knapp+1.1
73-4MURRAYIND ST×4KillKira Hollandset Curry Kendall+1.0
83-5IND STIND ST×4KillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+1.4
93-6IND STIND ST×4KillCurry Kendallset Kira Holland+1.3
103-7IND STIND ST×4BlockedMija Sagadin Pristovnikblk Curry Kendall, Lily Mueller+1.1
114-7IND STMURRAYServe errElla Scott+0.7
124-8MURRAYIND STKillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+0.7
134-9IND STIND STAceCurry Kendall+0.9
145-9IND STMURRAYServe errCurry Kendall+0.5
156-9MURRAYMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.0
166-10MURRAYIND STKillKira Hollandset Ada Tamturk+0.8
177-10IND STMURRAYKillCeren Durakset Paige Brock+0.7
188-10MURRAYMURRAYKillLily Burnett+1.3
198-11MURRAYIND ST×3BlockedAnne Makowskiblk Hadley Hardersen, Lily Mueller+1.0
208-12IND STIND ST×3KillElla Scottset Hadley Hardersen+1.2
218-13IND STIND ST×3Attack errAnne Makowski+0.9
229-13IND STMURRAYServe errMacy Lengacher+0.5
239-14MURRAYIND STKillCorinne Knappset Hadley Hardersen+0.6
249-15IND STIND STBad setPaige Brock+0.7
2510-15IND STMURRAY×4KillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+0.4
2611-15MURRAYMURRAY×4KillAnne Makowskiset Ada Tamturk+0.7
2712-15MURRAYMURRAY×4Attack errCorinne Knapp+1.1
2813-15MURRAYMURRAY×4Attack errCurry Kendall+1.4
2913-16MURRAYIND ST×3Serve errPaige Brock+1.1
3013-17IND STIND ST×3AceCorinne Knapp+1.3
3113-18IND STIND ST×3KillKira Hollandset Hadley Hardersen+1.0
3214-18IND STMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+0.5
3314-19MURRAYIND ST×5BlockedAlexa Wattsblk Kira Holland, Ella Scott+0.6
3414-20IND STIND ST×5KillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+0.6
3514-21IND STIND ST×5KillLily Mueller+0.3
3614-22IND STIND ST×5AceElla Scottaced Samantha Nelson+0.1
3714-23IND STIND ST×5Attack errAlexa Watts·
3815-23IND STMURRAYKillCeren Durakset Alexa Watts·
3915-24MURRAYIND STKillKira Hollandset Macy Lengacher·
4016-24IND STMURRAY×5KillLily Burnettset Paige Brock·
4117-24MURRAYMURRAY×5Attack errCurry Kendall·
4218-24MURRAYMURRAY×5AceBailey Keuschaced Chloe Gilley·
4319-24MURRAYMURRAY×5BlockedLily Muellerblk Lily Burnett·
4420-24MURRAYMURRAY×5KillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+0.1
4520-25MURRAYIND STKillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+0.2
Set 3
11-0MURRAYMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Anne Makowski+0.8
22-0MURRAYMURRAYBlockedCorinne Knappblk Alexa Watts, Teodora Cickovic+0.9
32-1MURRAYIND STKillCorinne Knappset Kira Holland+0.6
43-1IND STMURRAYServe errMacy Lengacher+0.6
53-2MURRAYIND STAttack errLily Burnett+0.6
63-3IND STIND STAttack errLily Burnett+0.9
74-3IND STMURRAYServe errIndiana St.+0.6
84-4MURRAYIND STKillElla Scottset Hadley Hardersen+0.6
95-4IND STMURRAYServe errIndiana St.+0.7
105-5MURRAYIND STKillElla Scottset Hadley Hardersen+0.6
116-5IND STMURRAYServe errElla Scott+0.7
126-6MURRAYIND STBlockedMaezi Snyderblk Kira Holland+0.6
137-6IND STMURRAYServe errCurry Kendall+0.7
148-6MURRAYMURRAYAttack errKira Holland+1.1
158-7MURRAYIND STKillKira Hollandset Hadley Hardersen+0.7
169-7IND STMURRAY×5KillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+0.8
1710-7MURRAYMURRAY×5KillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.1
1811-7MURRAYMURRAY×5BlockedKira Hollandblk Anne Makowski, Teodora Cickovic+1.1
1912-7MURRAYMURRAY×5KillAnne Makowskiset Teodora Cickovic+1.0
2013-7MURRAYMURRAY×5Attack errCorinne Knapp+0.9
2113-8MURRAYIND STKillHadley Hardersenset Avery Hales+0.4
2213-9IND STIND STKillElla Scottset Avery Hales+0.8
2314-9IND STMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Samantha Nelson+0.7
2414-10MURRAYIND STBlockedLily Burnettblk Ella Scott, Hadley Hardersen+0.5
2515-10IND STMURRAYKillTeodora Cickovicset Paige Brock+0.7
2615-11MURRAYIND STKillCorinne Knappset Macy Lengacher+0.5
2715-12IND STIND STAttack errLily Burnett+1.0
2816-12IND STMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+0.9
2917-12MURRAYMURRAYAttack errCurry Kendall+1.1
3017-13MURRAYIND ST×4KillCurry Kendallset Hadley Hardersen+0.5
3117-14IND STIND ST×4KillLily Muellerset Hadley Hardersen+1.0
3217-15IND STIND ST×4Attack errMaezi Snyder+1.2
3317-16IND STIND ST×4AceElla Scottaced Samantha Nelson+1.4
3418-16IND STMURRAYServe errElla Scott+1.1
3518-17MURRAYIND ST×4KillKira Hollandset Macy Lengacher+0.9
3618-18IND STIND ST×4AceCurry Kendallaced Bailey Keusch+1.6
3718-19IND STIND ST×4AceCurry Kendallaced Bailey Keusch+1.6
3818-20IND STIND ST×4BlockedAnne Makowskiblk Lily Mueller, Hadley Hardersen+1.4
3919-20IND STMURRAYAttack errLily Mueller+0.9
4019-21MURRAYIND ST×5KillKira Hollandset Avery Hales+1.0
4119-22IND STIND ST×5KillCorinne Knappset Avery Hales+1.2
4219-23IND STIND ST×5Attack errAnne Makowski+0.7
4319-24IND STIND ST×5KillCorinne Knappset Avery Hales+0.3
4419-25IND STIND ST×5KillTaylor Knuthset Macy Lengacher+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Murray St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).