Canisius vs Manhattan Volleyball: Manhattan Wins 3-2

Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 10, 2026

2:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Manhattan 57.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Manhattan beat visiting Canisius 3-2 (21-25, 25-21, 26-28, 25-22, 16-14) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Manhattan's Katie Powers led with 24 kills, and Emma Francesconi added 20 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 10

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
CANISI	25	21	28	22	14	2
MANHAT	21	25	26	25	16	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Ori Briger served 4 aces, and Manhattan needed every one.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Manhattan's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Manhattan went in as RallyIQ's 57% pick.

Turning point 1: Set 3 · Canisius 25–25 Manhattan
Canisius closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 28–26 and lead 2–1. The match swung to Canisius.
Manhattan 57% → 29%
Turning point 2: Set 5 · Canisius 9–8 Manhattan
Canisius scored 4 straight to stretch a 9–8 lead to 13–8.
Manhattan 37% → 2%
Turning point 3: Set 5 · Canisius 14–10 Manhattan
The bottom for Manhattan, then 6 of the next 6 rallies and the set, 16–14, and with it the match.
Manhattan 2% → >99%

Manhattan above 50Canisius belowMax swing 27.3%

CanisiusManhattan

Sideout %: Canisius 57.1·Manhattan 58.6
Break %: Canisius 41.4·Manhattan 42.9
Hitting: Canisius .241·Manhattan .301
Longest run: Canisius 5·Manhattan 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Manhattan above 50 · Canisius below

Biggest swing: 27.3% to Manhattan — set 5, CANISI 14-14 MANHAT. Attack error by Hannah Kos. MANHAT win probability 21% → 48%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CANISI 41.4%58.6% MANHAT

Canisius wins

3-0

9.2%

3-1

15.2%

3-2

17.0%

Manhattan wins

3-0

16.5%

3-1

22.3%

3-2

19.8%

CANISI break %: 41.2% vs this opp
MANHAT break %: 42.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Hannah KosAttack error+27.3%
Attack error by Hannah Kos
Set 5 · CANISI 14-14 MANHAT · MANHAT 21% → 48%
02
Helenn Montilla&Katie PowersBlock+26.5%
Hannah Kos stuffed by Helenn Montilla & Katie Powers
Set 5 · CANISI 14-15 MANHAT · MANHAT 48% → 74%
03
Julia LenikAttack error+25.6%
Attack error by Julia Lenik
Set 5 · CANISI 14-16 MANHAT · MANHAT 74% → 100%
04
Hannah KosKill+13.9%
Kill by Hannah Kos (set by Brenda Reynaga)
Set 3 · CANISI 28-26 MANHAT · CANISI 57% → 71%
05
Katie PowersKill+13.6%
Kill by Katie Powers
Set 3 · CANISI 24-24 MANHAT · MANHAT 39% → 53%
06
Mikalah CurranAttack error+13.5%
Attack error by Mikalah Curran
Set 3 · CANISI 26-25 MANHAT · CANISI 43% → 57%
07
Mikalah CurranKill+13.1%
Kill by Mikalah Curran (set by Ori Briger)
Set 3 · CANISI 24-25 MANHAT · MANHAT 53% → 66%
08
Julia LenikAttack error+11.7%
Attack error by Julia Lenik
Set 5 · CANISI 14-13 MANHAT · MANHAT 9% → 21%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Canisiusaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Emma IsroffOH	5	12	5	27	.259	2	3	4	3	0	1	3	2.5	17.5
17Azoria DavisOH	5	16	5	33	.333	0	0	0	10	1	0	2	1	17
7Julia LenikOH	5	14	10	46	.087	1	1	2	7	0	0	1	0.5	15.5
20Mckenna CorcoranMB	5	4	1	9	.333	1	2	3	3	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
3Hayden SiebenalerMB	5	2	0	8	.250	1	0	0	5	0	0	6	3	5
19Kenslie WarmbrodtS	5	1	1	3	.000	26	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	2
12Hannah KosOH	5	18	5	38	.342	0	6	3	2	0	0	1	0.5	24.5
4Anna RichS	5	0	0	1	.000	27	0	0	5	0	0	2	1	1
11Brenda ReynagaL/DS	5	0	0	1	.000	5	1	1	17	4	0	0	0	1
18Alli FarmerOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
6Cali TierneyOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Emily HelmersMB	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Hannah RiderL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Madison CowanOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Olivia Van kootenL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Perry StevensonOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		67	27	166	.241	63	14	14	55	5	1	22	12	110

Manhattanhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
6Katie PowersOH	5	24	8	43	.372	0	0	0	3	0	5	2.5	26.5
8Emma FrancesconiOH	5	10	3	24	.292	0	0	0	20	3	1	0.5	10.5
11Abby MorrealeMB	5	7	1	10	.600	0	0	2	1	0	6	3	10
10Ori BrigerS	5	1	0	2	.500	32	4	2	14	0	0	0	5
12Helenn MontillaMB	5	3	0	10	.300	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
2Karsyn HarrisOH	5	2	0	11	.182	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	3
16Mikalah CurranOH	5	11	7	33	.121	0	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	11.5
28Hanna KaczynskaOH	5	9	1	22	.364	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	10
3Julia PflegerL/DS	5	0	0	1	.000	4	0	0	7	4	0	0	0
15Anna DuncanDS	5	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	3	4	0	0	0
4Emilia KuzniarS	5	0	0	0	–	24	0	1	4	0	0	0	0
9Kaitlyn DoyleL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0
88Laura HernandezMB	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Lyla AuthMB	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
7Margaret ObrienOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		67	20	156	.301	64	5	8	58	14	18	9	113

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 CANISI · MANHAT 6

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 5 CANISIMANHAT 3

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 5 CANISIMANHAT 6

Set 3

28-26

Longest run 5 CANISIMANHAT 4

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 3 CANISIMANHAT 4

Set 5

14-16

Longest run 4 CANISIMANHAT 6

Bars above the line = Manhattan leads, below = Canisius leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Canisius

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%10/18	43%6/14
2	43%9/21	29%4/14
3	47%9/19	47%8/17
4	100%8/8	47%7/15
5	78%7/9	42%5/12
6	46%6/13	56%9/16
All	56%49/88	44%39/88

Manhattan

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%10/19	53%9/17
2	59%10/17	47%9/19
3	67%8/12	59%13/22
4	50%7/14	33%4/12
5	37%7/19	13%1/8
6	100%7/7	30%3/10
All	56%49/88	44%39/88

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

223 rallies

#	CANISI-MANHAT	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MANHAT	CANISI	Blocked	Emma Francesconi	blk Julia Lenik, Katie Powers	+1.8
2	2-0	CANISI	CANISI	Attack err	Katie Powers		+2.5
3	2-1	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+1.8
4	2-2	MANHAT	MANHAT	Attack err	Emma Isroff		+2.5
5	3-2	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.9
6	3-3	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Anna Duncan	+1.9
7	4-3	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+2.0
8	4-4	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Helenn Montilla	set Ori Briger	+1.9
9	5-4	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis		+2.0
10	5-5	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Emilia Kuzniar	+2.0
11	5-6	MANHAT	MANHAT	Ace	Manhattan	aced Brenda Reynaga	+2.7
12	6-6	MANHAT	CANISI	Blocked	Hanna Kaczynska	blk Azoria Davis, Mckenna Corcoran	+2.0
13	7-6	CANISI	CANISI	Ace	Canisius	aced Anna Duncan	+2.9
14	7-7	CANISI	MANHAT×3	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Emilia Kuzniar	+2.1
15	7-8	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Attack err	Azoria Davis		+2.9
16	7-9	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Attack err	Mckenna Corcoran		+2.8
17	8-9	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.0
18	8-10	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Emilia Kuzniar	+2.1
19	9-10	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.0
20	9-11	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+2.2
21	10-11	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.1
22	10-12	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+2.3
23	10-13	MANHAT	MANHAT	Attack err	Julia Lenik		+2.9
24	11-13	MANHAT	CANISI	Serve err	Manhattan		+1.9
25	12-13	CANISI	CANISI	Attack err	Katie Powers		+3.0
26	12-14	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Karsyn Harris	set Ori Briger	+2.4
27	13-14	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+2.3
28	14-14	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Anna Rich	+3.6
29	14-15	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Emilia Kuzniar	+2.7
30	15-15	MANHAT	CANISI×5	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Anna Rich	+2.7
31	16-15	CANISI	CANISI×5	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Anna Rich	+4.0
32	17-15	CANISI	CANISI×5	Ace	Canisius	aced Karsyn Harris	+4.1
33	18-15	CANISI	CANISI×5	Blocked	Emma Francesconi	blk Anna Rich, Mckenna Corcoran	+3.8
34	19-15	CANISI	CANISI×5	Kill	Azoria Davis		+3.2
35	19-16	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Emilia Kuzniar	+1.7
36	20-16	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.3
37	20-17	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Emilia Kuzniar	+1.6
38	20-18	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+3.1
39	21-18	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Brenda Reynaga	+3.2
40	21-19	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Ori Briger	+2.3
41	21-20	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+4.4
42	22-20	MANHAT	CANISI×3	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+4.3
43	23-20	CANISI	CANISI×3	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+4.7
44	24-20	CANISI	CANISI×3	Ace	Canisius	aced Emma Francesconi	+2.7
45	24-21	CANISI	MANHAT	Serve err	Canisius		+0.6
46	25-21	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+1.4
Set 2
1	0-1	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Abby Morreale	set Ori Briger	+1.9
2	0-2	MANHAT	MANHAT	Attack err	Julia Lenik		+2.6
3	1-2	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.8
4	2-2	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.7
5	2-3	CANISI	MANHAT	Serve err	Canisius		+2.0
6	2-4	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Mikalah Curran		+2.7
7	3-4	MANHAT	CANISI×3	Serve err	Manhattan		+1.9
8	4-4	CANISI	CANISI×3	Ace	Canisius	aced Emma Francesconi	+2.8
9	5-4	CANISI	CANISI×3	Kill	Hayden Siebenaler		+3.0
10	5-5	CANISI	MANHAT	Attack err	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+2.1
11	5-6	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Mikalah Curran	set Emilia Kuzniar	+3.0
12	6-6	MANHAT	CANISI×5	Serve err	Manhattan		+2.2
13	7-6	CANISI	CANISI×5	Blocked	Mikalah Curran	blk Hannah Kos, Mckenna Corcoran	+3.1
14	8-6	CANISI	CANISI×5	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+3.1
15	9-6	CANISI	CANISI×5	Ace	Canisius	aced Julia Pfleger	+3.1
16	10-6	CANISI	CANISI×5	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Anna Rich	+2.9
17	10-7	CANISI	MANHAT	Attack err	Azoria Davis	set Anna Rich	+1.8
18	11-7	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+2.1
19	12-7	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Anna Rich	+2.6
20	12-8	CANISI	MANHAT	Serve err	Canisius		+1.5
21	13-8	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Mckenna Corcoran		+1.9
22	13-9	CANISI	MANHAT×6	Kill	Abby Morreale	set Emilia Kuzniar	+1.5
23	13-10	MANHAT	MANHAT×6	Attack err	Kenslie Warmbrodt		+2.5
24	13-11	MANHAT	MANHAT×6	Ace	Manhattan	aced Brenda Reynaga	+3.0
25	13-12	MANHAT	MANHAT×6	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+3.4
26	13-13	MANHAT	MANHAT×6	Ace	Manhattan	aced Azoria Davis	+3.7
27	13-14	MANHAT	MANHAT×6	Ace	Manhattan	aced Brenda Reynaga	+3.9
28	14-14	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.8
29	15-14	CANISI	CANISI	Ace	Canisius	aced Emma Francesconi	+4.1
30	15-15	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+3.0
31	15-16	MANHAT	MANHAT	Blocked	Julia Lenik	blk Abby Morreale, Katie Powers	+4.3
32	16-16	MANHAT	CANISI	Blocked	Mikalah Curran	blk Emma Isroff	+3.1
33	16-17	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+3.3
34	16-18	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers		+4.4
35	17-18	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+2.9
36	17-19	CANISI	MANHAT×4	Attack err	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+3.4
37	17-20	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Kill	Mikalah Curran	set Emilia Kuzniar	+4.0
38	17-21	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Kill	Mikalah Curran	set Emilia Kuzniar	+3.0
39	17-22	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Blocked	Azoria Davis	blk Helenn Montilla, Hanna Kaczynska	+1.9
40	18-22	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+0.7
41	18-23	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Emilia Kuzniar	+1.2
42	19-23	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+0.5
43	20-23	CANISI	CANISI	Blocked	Emma Francesconi	blk Mckenna Corcoran, Anna Rich	+1.3
44	20-24	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Emilia Kuzniar	+1.8
45	21-24	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Brenda Reynaga	+0.6
46	21-25	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Emilia Kuzniar	+1.3
Set 3
1	0-1	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Ori Briger	+3.3
2	0-2	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Kill	Abby Morreale	set Julia Lenik	+3.2
3	0-3	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Julia Pfleger	+3.0
4	1-3	MANHAT	CANISI×3	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.1
5	2-3	CANISI	CANISI×3	Ace	Canisius	aced Julia Pfleger	+3.2
6	3-3	CANISI	CANISI×3	Attack err	Katie Powers		+3.4
7	3-4	CANISI	MANHAT×4	Serve err	Canisius		+2.5
8	3-5	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Attack err	Emma Isroff		+3.4
9	3-6	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Kill	Ori Briger	set Julia Pfleger	+3.2
10	3-7	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Blocked	Emma Isroff	blk Katie Powers, Abby Morreale	+2.9
11	4-7	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.9
12	4-8	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+2.2
13	5-8	MANHAT	CANISI	Serve err	Manhattan		+2.0
14	5-9	CANISI	MANHAT	Serve err	Canisius		+2.2
15	6-9	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska		+2.0
16	6-10	CANISI	MANHAT	Attack err	Azoria Davis	set Brenda Reynaga	+2.3
17	7-10	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+2.0
18	7-11	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Helenn Montilla	set Emilia Kuzniar	+2.3
19	8-11	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.0
20	8-12	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Emilia Kuzniar	+2.4
21	9-12	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.1
22	9-13	CANISI	MANHAT	Serve err	Canisius		+2.4
23	10-13	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.1
24	11-13	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Hayden Siebenaler	+3.5
25	11-14	CANISI	MANHAT×4	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.9
26	11-15	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Kill	Mikalah Curran	set Ori Briger	+3.4
27	11-16	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Kill	Katie Powers	set Anna Duncan	+2.8
28	11-17	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+2.1
29	12-17	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+1.0
30	12-18	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+1.5
31	13-18	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+1.0
32	13-19	CANISI	MANHAT	Blocked	Anna Rich	blk Hanna Kaczynska, Azoria Davis	+1.4
33	14-19	MANHAT	CANISI×5	Attack err	Emma Francesconi	set Emilia Kuzniar	+0.9
34	15-19	CANISI	CANISI×5	Ace	Canisius	aced Julia Pfleger	+1.8
35	16-19	CANISI	CANISI×5	Ace	Canisius	aced Julia Pfleger	+2.7
36	17-19	CANISI	CANISI×5	Kill	Azoria Davis		+3.8
37	18-19	CANISI	CANISI×5	Ace	Canisius	aced Kaitlyn Doyle	+5.1
38	18-20	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Emilia Kuzniar	+4.5
39	19-20	MANHAT	CANISI	Serve err	Manhattan		+3.9
40	19-21	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Emilia Kuzniar	+4.9
41	20-21	MANHAT	CANISI	Serve err	Manhattan		+4.1
42	20-22	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+5.4
43	21-22	MANHAT	CANISI×4	Kill	Hayden Siebenaler	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+4.3
44	22-22	CANISI	CANISI×4	Kill	Kenslie Warmbrodt	set Emma Isroff	+8.5
45	23-22	CANISI	CANISI×4	Blocked	Mikalah Curran	blk Kenslie Warmbrodt, Hayden Siebenaler	+10.7
46	24-22	CANISI	CANISI×4	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+10.4
47	24-23	CANISI	MANHAT×3	Attack err	Julia Lenik	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+4.3
48	24-24	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Kill	Katie Powers		+13.6
49	24-25	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Kill	Mikalah Curran	set Ori Briger	+13.1
50	25-25	MANHAT	CANISI	Blocked	Katie Powers	blk Hayden Siebenaler, Azoria Davis	+9.6
51	26-25	CANISI	CANISI	Attack err	Mikalah Curran		+13.5
52	26-26	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Mikalah Curran	set Ori Briger	+9.9
53	27-26	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+9.9
54	28-26	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Brenda Reynaga	+13.9
Set 4
1	0-1	CANISI	MANHAT	Serve err	Canisius		+2.5
2	1-1	MANHAT	CANISI×3	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Emma Isroff	+2.6
3	2-1	CANISI	CANISI×3	Blocked	Mikalah Curran	blk Hayden Siebenaler, Kenslie Warmbrodt	+3.7
4	3-1	CANISI	CANISI×3	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+3.7
5	3-2	CANISI	MANHAT	Serve err	Canisius		+2.6
6	4-2	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+2.8
7	4-3	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+2.6
8	4-4	MANHAT	MANHAT	Attack err	Hannah Kos		+3.8
9	5-4	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Anna Rich	+2.9
10	5-5	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Helenn Montilla	set Emilia Kuzniar	+2.8
11	6-5	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Mckenna Corcoran	set Anna Rich	+3.0
12	6-6	CANISI	MANHAT	Serve err	Canisius		+2.9
13	7-6	MANHAT	CANISI	Serve err	Manhattan		+3.0
14	8-6	CANISI	CANISI	Ace	Canisius		+4.2
15	8-7	CANISI	MANHAT×4	Serve err	Canisius		+2.9
16	8-8	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Attack err	Julia Lenik		+4.2
17	8-9	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Blocked	Emma Isroff	blk Emma Francesconi, Abby Morreale	+4.3
18	8-10	MANHAT	MANHAT×4	Ace	Manhattan	aced Brenda Reynaga	+4.2
19	9-10	MANHAT	CANISI	Serve err	Manhattan		+2.9
20	9-11	CANISI	MANHAT×3	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Ori Briger	+3.1
21	9-12	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+4.0
22	9-13	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Kill	Katie Powers	set Julia Pfleger	+3.5
23	10-13	MANHAT	CANISI×3	Blocked	Abby Morreale	blk Hayden Siebenaler, Emma Isroff	+2.2
24	11-13	CANISI	CANISI×3	Ace	Canisius	aced Anna Duncan	+3.7
25	12-13	CANISI	CANISI×3	Ace	Canisius	aced Anna Duncan	+4.4
26	12-14	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+3.5
27	13-14	MANHAT	CANISI	Attack err	Katie Powers	set Anna Duncan	+3.3
28	14-14		CANISI	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+5.1
29	14-15	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+3.9
30	15-15	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+3.9
31	15-16	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Karsyn Harris	set Emilia Kuzniar	+4.1
32	16-16	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Brenda Reynaga	+4.1
33	16-17	CANISI	MANHAT	Serve err	Canisius		+4.4
34	17-17	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Mckenna Corcoran	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+4.4
35	18-17	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+6.5
36	18-18	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Abby Morreale	set Emilia Kuzniar	+4.7
37	18-19	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Ori Briger	+6.9
38	19-19	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+5.0
39	19-20	CANISI	MANHAT×3	Kill	Katie Powers		+5.4
40	19-21	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Kill	Mikalah Curran	set Julia Pfleger	+7.2
41	19-22	MANHAT	MANHAT×3	Kill	Mikalah Curran	set Ori Briger	+5.9
42	20-22	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.9
43	20-23	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Katie Powers	set Anna Duncan	+4.5
44	21-23	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+2.5
45	21-24	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Mikalah Curran	set Ori Briger	+4.5
46	22-24	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos		+1.8
47	22-25	CANISI	MANHAT	Serve err	Canisius		+5.3
Set 5
1	1-0	CANISI	CANISI	Attack err	Katie Powers		+8.8
2	2-0	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Mckenna Corcoran	+8.9
3	2-1	CANISI	MANHAT	Blocked	Julia Lenik	blk Abby Morreale, Katie Powers	+6.1
4	2-2	MANHAT	MANHAT	Blocked	Emma Isroff	blk Mikalah Curran, Abby Morreale	+9.0
5	3-2	MANHAT	CANISI	Blocked	Mikalah Curran	blk Hayden Siebenaler, Emma Isroff	+7.0
6	3-3	CANISI	MANHAT	Serve err	Canisius		+6.8
7	4-3	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Brenda Reynaga	+7.3
8	4-4	CANISI	MANHAT	Serve err	Canisius		+7.1
9	5-4	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+7.6
10	6-4	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Anna Rich	+10.4
11	6-5	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Mikalah Curran	set Emilia Kuzniar	+6.9
12	7-5	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Mckenna Corcoran	set Anna Rich	+8.1
13	8-5	CANISI	CANISI	Ace	Canisius	aced Anna Duncan	+10.2
14	8-6	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Hanna Kaczynska	set Emilia Kuzniar	+6.1
15	8-7	MANHAT	MANHAT	Kill	Emma Francesconi	set Emilia Kuzniar	+10.3
16	9-7	MANHAT	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+9.1
17	9-8	CANISI	MANHAT	Kill	Abby Morreale	set Emilia Kuzniar	+7.9
18	10-8	MANHAT	CANISI×4	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+9.7
19	11-8	CANISI	CANISI×4	Attack err	Katie Powers		+11.6
20	12-8	CANISI	CANISI×4	Kill	Julia Lenik		+8.6
21	13-8	CANISI	CANISI×4	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+5.0
22	13-9	CANISI	MANHAT	Blocked	Julia Lenik	blk Katie Powers, Abby Morreale	+1.4
23	13-10	MANHAT	MANHAT	Attack err	Julia Lenik		+3.8
24	14-10	MANHAT	CANISI	Blocked	Mikalah Curran	blk Hayden Siebenaler, Emma Isroff	+5.4
25	14-11	CANISI	MANHAT×6	Kill	Abby Morreale	set Ori Briger	+1.6
26	14-12	MANHAT	MANHAT×6	Kill	Katie Powers	set Ori Briger	+5.0
27	14-13	MANHAT	MANHAT×6	Attack err	Julia Lenik		+11.7
28	14-14	MANHAT	MANHAT×6	Attack err	Hannah Kos		+27.3
29	14-15	MANHAT	MANHAT×6	Blocked	Hannah Kos	blk Helenn Montilla, Katie Powers	+26.5
30	14-16	MANHAT	MANHAT×6	Attack err	Julia Lenik		+25.6

Score shown after each rally, Canisius first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Manhattan def. Canisius 3–2

Ori Briger served 4 aces, and Manhattan needed every one.