Merrimack vs Canisius Volleyball: Canisius Wins 3-1 (Oct 17)

Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Canisius 55.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Canisius beat visiting Merrimack 3-1 (25-17, 24-26, 25-21, 25-23) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Canisius' Julia Lenik led with 13 kills, and Brenda Reynaga added 23 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 9:50 PM CT · final Oct 17

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
MERMCK	17	26	21	23	1
CANISI	25	24	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Emma Isroff served 8 aces, and Canisius needed every one.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Canisius's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ gave Canisius 55% before first serve.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · Merrimack 19–22 Canisius
Merrimack scored 5 straight to turn a 19–22 deficit into a 24–22 lead.
Canisius 85% → 58%
Turning point 2: Set 3 · Merrimack 15–15 Canisius
From 15–15, Canisius scored 6 straight to lead 21–15.
Canisius 54% → 76%
Turning point 3: Set 4 · Merrimack 22–22 Canisius
Canisius won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–23 and win the match 3–1.
Canisius 76% → >99%

Canisius above 50Merrimack belowMax swing 12.4%

MerrimackCanisius

Sideout %: Merrimack 51.0·Canisius 58.0
Break %: Merrimack 42.0·Canisius 49.0
Hitting: Merrimack .126·Canisius .229
Longest run: Merrimack 5·Canisius 8

Emma Isroff
3 kills inside the turning points, 10 K and .111 for the match (19.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Canisius above 50 · Merrimack below

Biggest swing: 12.4% to Canisius — set 4, MERMCK 23-24 CANISI. Canisius ace on Ella Maldonado. CANISI win probability 75% → 88%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MERMCK 40.0%60.0% CANISI

Merrimack wins

3-0

8.7%

3-1

14.6%

3-2

16.7%

Canisius wins

3-0

17.2%

3-1

22.9%

3-2

19.9%

MERMCK break %: 44.1% vs this opp
CANISI break %: 46.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
CanisiusAce+12.4%
Canisius ace on Ella Maldonado
Set 4 · MERMCK 23-24 CANISI · CANISI 75% → 88%
02
Emma IsroffKill+12.1%
Kill by Emma Isroff (set by Brenda Reynaga)
Set 4 · MERMCK 23-25 CANISI · CANISI 88% → 100%
03
Azoria DavisAttack error+9.6%
Attack error by Azoria Davis
Set 2 · MERMCK 26-24 CANISI · MERMCK 36% → 46%
04
Mckenna ShotwellAttack error+9.4%
Attack error by Mckenna Shotwell
Set 2 · MERMCK 24-24 CANISI · CANISI 62% → 71%
05
McKenna Corcoran&Hannah KosBlock+8.1%
Tamilore Afolalu stuffed by McKenna Corcoran & Hannah Kos
Set 4 · MERMCK 22-22 CANISI · CANISI 68% → 76%
06
Jocelyn HammerstrandKill+8.0%
Kill by Jocelyn Hammerstrand (set by Sophia DeBonis)
Set 4 · MERMCK 23-22 CANISI · MERMCK 24% → 32%
07
Azoria DavisKill+7.7%
Kill by Azoria Davis (set by Anna Rich)
Set 4 · MERMCK 23-23 CANISI · CANISI 68% → 75%
08
Mckenna ShotwellKill+7.6%
Kill by Mckenna Shotwell (set by Sienna Franks)
Set 2 · MERMCK 25-24 CANISI · MERMCK 29% → 36%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Merrimackaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Jocelyn HammerstrandOPP	4	11	3	25	.320	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
1Naomi VajdaMB	4	3	2	7	.143	0	0	2	1	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
3Sophia DeBonisS	4	0	0	2	.000	20	2	1	13	0	0	0	0	2
18Sienna FranksDS	4	0	1	1	-1.000	1	1	0	8	2	0	0	0	1
13Mia IzzoMB	2	1	3	5	-.400	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
6Fabiola BetancourtOH	1	0	0	3	.000	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0
10Mckenna ShotwellOH	4	11	6	40	.125	2	2	0	6	2	1	0	1	14
9Avry BryantOPP	4	7	0	13	.538	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
7Tamilore AfolaluOH	4	7	7	34	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7
12Ella MaldonadoL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	4	1	0	19	2	0	0	0	1
17Kaitlyn OxceusOH	3	2	1	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
19Elizabeth KenneyS	3	1	0	1	1.000	4	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	2
22Devon LoweS	3	0	0	3	.000	8	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	0
15Gabrielle MooreS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Maiella BlandinOH	1	1	3	5	-.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		44	26	143	.126	39	7	9	57	10	2	8	6	87

Canisiushome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
7Julia LenikOH	4	13	6	35	.200	1	0	3	9	0	1	0.5	13.5
20McKenna CorcoranMB	4	8	1	16	.438	0	0	2	5	0	9	4.5	12.5
17Azoria DavisOH	4	10	3	26	.269	0	0	0	8	5	3	1.5	11.5
12Hannah KosOH	4	10	2	23	.348	2	0	3	1	0	3	1.5	11.5
3Hayden SiebenalerMB	4	1	2	8	-.125	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
4Anna RichS	4	0	0	2	.000	22	0	0	6	0	0	0	0
16Emma IsroffOH	4	10	7	27	.111	1	8	4	7	0	3	1.5	19.5
19Kenslie WarmbrodtS	4	1	0	3	.333	20	1	0	6	0	1	0.5	2.5
11Brenda ReynagaL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	5	1	1	23	0	0	0	1
10Hannah RiderL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		53	21	140	.229	51	10	13	65	7	22	11	99

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MERMCK · CANISI 8

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 MERMCKCANISI 8

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 5 MERMCKCANISI 5

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 5 MERMCKCANISI 6

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 5 MERMCKCANISI 4

Bars above the line = Canisius leads, below = Merrimack leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Merrimack

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	55%6/11
2	86%6/7	50%7/14
3	75%6/8	50%6/12
4	23%6/26	0%0/6
5	67%6/9	40%4/10
6	38%5/13	45%5/11
All	49%36/74	44%28/64

Canisius

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	42%5/12
2	46%6/13	25%2/8
3	67%6/9	25%2/8
4	60%6/10	68%13/19
5	86%6/7	57%8/14
6	42%5/12	62%8/13
All	56%36/64	51%38/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

186 rallies

#	MERMCK-CANISI	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Hannah Kos	+2.3
2	1-1	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Mia Izzo	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.9
3	2-1	MERMCK	MERMCK	Attack err	Azoria Davis		+2.4
4	2-2	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.9
5	3-2	CANISI	MERMCK	Attack err	Emma Isroff		+2.0
6	4-2	MERMCK	MERMCK	Bad set	Kenslie Warmbrodt		+2.5
7	4-3	MERMCK	CANISI	Serve err	Merrimack		+2.0
8	5-3	CANISI	MERMCK	Attack err	Hayden Siebenaler		+2.1
9	5-4	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.0
10	6-4	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Devon Lowe	+2.1
11	6-5	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+2.0
12	6-6	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Anna Rich	+2.7
13	7-6	CANISI	MERMCK	Serve err	Canisius		+2.2
14	7-7	MERMCK	CANISI×4	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+2.2
15	7-8	CANISI	CANISI×4	Blocked	Maiella Blandin	blk Azoria Davis, McKenna Corcoran	+2.8
16	7-9	CANISI	CANISI×4	Attack err	Maiella Blandin		+2.7
17	7-10	CANISI	CANISI×4	Blocked	Mia Izzo	blk Azoria Davis, McKenna Corcoran	+2.6
18	8-10	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe	+1.9
19	9-10	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.7
20	9-11	MERMCK	CANISI	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+2.3
21	10-11	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.3
22	10-12	MERMCK	CANISI	Serve err	Merrimack		+2.4
23	10-13	CANISI	CANISI	Attack err	Mia Izzo		+2.8
24	11-13	CANISI	MERMCK×3	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.1
25	12-13	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Attack err	Emma Isroff		+3.0
26	13-13	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.3
27	13-14	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.8
28	14-14	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.8
29	14-15	MERMCK	CANISI×8	Serve err	Merrimack		+2.9
30	14-16	CANISI	CANISI×8	Ace	Canisius	aced Fabiola Betancourt	+3.5
31	14-17	CANISI	CANISI×8	Attack err	Maiella Blandin		+3.2
32	14-18	CANISI	CANISI×8	Attack err	Tamilore Afolalu		+2.8
33	14-19	CANISI	CANISI×8	Ace	Canisius	aced Fabiola Betancourt	+2.1
34	14-20	CANISI	CANISI×8	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.5
35	14-21	CANISI	CANISI×8	Kill	Kenslie Warmbrodt	set Emma Isroff	+0.9
36	14-22	CANISI	CANISI×8	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+0.4
37	15-22	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Ella Maldonado	+0.1
38	15-23	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Anna Rich	+0.2
39	16-23	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	+0.1
40	17-23	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Avry Bryant	set Devon Lowe	+0.2
41	17-24	MERMCK	CANISI	Serve err	Merrimack		+0.3
42	17-25	CANISI	CANISI	Attack err	Mia Izzo		+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Ella Maldonado	+2.3
2	2-0	MERMCK	MERMCK	Ace	Merrimack	aced Azoria Davis	+2.3
3	2-1	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+1.8
4	3-1	CANISI	MERMCK	Serve err	Canisius		+1.9
5	4-1	MERMCK	MERMCK	Attack err	Emma Isroff		+2.3
6	4-2	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.7
7	5-2	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.9
8	6-2	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Elizabeth Kenney	+2.2
9	6-3	MERMCK	CANISI	Attack err	Naomi Vajda		+1.6
10	7-3	CANISI	MERMCK	Bad set	McKenna Corcoran		+1.8
11	7-4	MERMCK	CANISI×5	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.6
12	7-5	CANISI	CANISI×5	Blocked	Mckenna Shotwell	blk Hayden Siebenaler, Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.3
13	7-6	CANISI	CANISI×5	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.5
14	7-7	CANISI	CANISI×5	Ace	Canisius	aced Ella Maldonado	+2.6
15	7-8	CANISI	CANISI×5	Ace	Canisius	aced Sienna Franks	+2.6
16	8-8	CANISI	MERMCK	Serve err	Canisius		+2.1
17	8-9	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Anna Rich	+2.2
18	8-10	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Anna Rich	+2.7
19	9-10	CANISI	MERMCK	Blocked	Hannah Kos	blk Mckenna Shotwell	+2.1
20	9-11	MERMCK	CANISI	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+2.2
21	9-12	CANISI	CANISI	Blocked	Kaitlyn Oxceus	blk Azoria Davis, McKenna Corcoran	+2.6
22	10-12	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Sophia DeBonis	+1.9
23	10-13	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	McKenna Corcoran	set Anna Rich	+2.2
24	10-14	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Anna Rich	+2.4
25	11-14	CANISI	MERMCK×4	Serve err	Canisius		+1.7
26	12-14	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Ace	Merrimack	aced Azoria Davis	+2.5
27	13-14	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Attack err	Emma Isroff		+2.9
28	14-14	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Mckenna Shotwell	+3.3
29	14-15	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	McKenna Corcoran	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.8
30	15-15	CANISI	MERMCK×3	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.8
31	16-15	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Blocked	Julia Lenik	blk Naomi Vajda, Avry Bryant	+3.7
32	17-15	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Attack err	Emma Isroff		+3.7
33	17-16	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	McKenna Corcoran	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.7
34	18-16	CANISI	MERMCK	Serve err	Canisius		+3.2
35	18-17	MERMCK	CANISI×4	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+2.8
36	18-18	CANISI	CANISI×4	Ace	Canisius	aced Mckenna Shotwell	+4.1
37	18-19	CANISI	CANISI×4	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+4.4
38	18-20	CANISI	CANISI×4	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+4.3
39	19-20	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Avry Bryant	set Devon Lowe	+3.1
40	19-21	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Anna Rich	+3.7
41	19-22	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+3.9
42	20-22	CANISI	MERMCK×5	Serve err	Canisius		+2.2
43	21-22	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Ella Maldonado	+4.2
44	22-22	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Ace	Merrimack	aced Azoria Davis	+5.9
45	23-22	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Sophia DeBonis	+7.3
46	24-22	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Ace	Merrimack	aced Azoria Davis	+7.2
47	24-23	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Anna Rich	+3.4
48	24-24	CANISI	CANISI	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+9.4
49	25-24	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Sienna Franks	+7.6
50	26-24	MERMCK	MERMCK	Attack err	Azoria Davis		+9.6
Set 3
1	0-1	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+3.1
2	0-2	CANISI	CANISI	Bad set	Sophia DeBonis		+3.1
3	1-2	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Kaitlyn Oxceus	set Azoria Davis	+2.4
4	2-2	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.2
5	2-3	MERMCK	CANISI	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+2.6
6	3-3	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.7
7	3-4	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	McKenna Corcoran	set Anna Rich	+2.7
8	4-4	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.7
9	4-5	MERMCK	CANISI	Serve err	Merrimack		+2.8
10	4-6	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	McKenna Corcoran	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+3.4
11	5-6	CANISI	MERMCK×5	Kill	Avry Bryant	set Devon Lowe	+2.7
12	6-6	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Kill	Avry Bryant	set Devon Lowe	+3.5
13	7-6	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Blocked	Julia Lenik	blk Avry Bryant, Naomi Vajda	+3.7
14	8-6	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Blocked	Julia Lenik	blk Avry Bryant, Naomi Vajda	+3.7
15	9-6	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Attack err	Emma Isroff		+3.6
16	9-7	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.7
17	10-7	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Devon Lowe	+3.0
18	10-8	MERMCK	CANISI×3	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+2.7
19	10-9	CANISI	CANISI×3	Ace	Emma Isroff	aced Sienna Franks	+3.7
20	10-10	CANISI	CANISI×3	Ace	Emma Isroff		+4.0
21	11-10	CANISI	MERMCK	Serve err	Canisius		+3.4
22	12-10	MERMCK	MERMCK	Attack err	Hayden Siebenaler		+4.2
23	12-11	MERMCK	CANISI	Blocked	Mckenna Shotwell	blk Hayden Siebenaler, Hannah Kos	+3.2
24	13-11	CANISI	MERMCK	Serve err	Canisius		+3.5
25	13-12	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Hannah Kos	+3.3
26	14-12	CANISI	MERMCK	Serve err	Canisius		+3.7
27	14-13	MERMCK	CANISI×3	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Brenda Reynaga	+3.4
28	14-14	CANISI	CANISI×3	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Brenda Reynaga	+4.6
29	14-15	CANISI	CANISI×3	Blocked	Tamilore Afolalu	blk Emma Isroff, McKenna Corcoran	+4.8
30	15-15	CANISI	MERMCK	Attack err	Emma Isroff		+3.9
31	15-16	MERMCK	CANISI×6	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+4.1
32	15-17	CANISI	CANISI×6	Attack err	Tamilore Afolalu		+5.0
33	15-18	CANISI	CANISI×6	Blocked	Naomi Vajda	blk Emma Isroff, McKenna Corcoran	+4.5
34	15-19	CANISI	CANISI×6	Kill	Emma Isroff		+3.8
35	15-20	CANISI	CANISI×6	Blocked	Tamilore Afolalu	blk Emma Isroff, McKenna Corcoran	+2.8
36	15-21	CANISI	CANISI×6	Blocked	Tamilore Afolalu	blk McKenna Corcoran, Julia Lenik	+1.8
37	16-21	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Naomi Vajda	set Elizabeth Kenney	+0.8
38	16-22	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.3
39	17-22	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Naomi Vajda	set Devon Lowe	+0.6
40	17-23	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Hayden Siebenaler	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+1.1
41	18-23	CANISI	MERMCK	Attack err	Julia Lenik		+0.4
42	19-23	MERMCK	MERMCK	Blocked	Hannah Kos	blk Kaitlyn Oxceus	+1.0
43	19-24	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Anna Rich	+1.5
44	20-24	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Sophia DeBonis	+0.4
45	21-24	MERMCK	MERMCK	Ace	Merrimack		+1.1
46	21-25	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+2.0
Set 4
1	1-0	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.1
2	1-1	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+2.4
3	2-1	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis	+2.5
4	2-2	MERMCK	CANISI	Serve err	Merrimack		+2.5
5	3-2	CANISI	MERMCK	Attack err	Azoria Davis		+2.6
6	3-3	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	McKenna Corcoran	set Anna Rich	+2.6
7	3-4	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Julia Lenik	+3.2
8	4-4	CANISI	MERMCK	Serve err	Canisius		+2.6
9	5-4	MERMCK	MERMCK	Ace	Merrimack		+3.3
10	5-5	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Brenda Reynaga	+2.7
11	5-6	CANISI	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+3.4
12	6-6	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Avry Bryant	set Elizabeth Kenney	+2.7
13	6-7	MERMCK	CANISI	Serve err	Merrimack		+2.8
14	7-7	CANISI	MERMCK×5	Kill	Avry Bryant	set Elizabeth Kenney	+2.8
15	8-7	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Attack err	Julia Lenik		+3.6
16	9-7	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.7
17	10-7	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Blocked	Julia Lenik	blk Jocelyn Hammerstrand, Kaitlyn Oxceus	+3.5
18	11-7	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Ella Maldonado	+3.3
19	11-8	MERMCK	CANISI×4	Serve err	Merrimack		+2.3
20	11-9	CANISI	CANISI×4	Attack err	Sienna Franks		+3.3
21	11-10		CANISI	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+3.7
22	11-11	CANISI	CANISI×4	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+3.9
23	12-11	CANISI	MERMCK	Serve err	Canisius		+3.4
24	12-12	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Brenda Reynaga	+3.3
25	13-12	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Kaitlyn Oxceus	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.5
26	13-13	MERMCK	CANISI×3	Kill	Hannah Kos	set Anna Rich	+3.4
27	13-14	CANISI	CANISI×3	Ace	Canisius	aced Mckenna Shotwell	+4.4
28	13-15	CANISI	CANISI×3	Kill	McKenna Corcoran		+4.3
29	14-15	CANISI	MERMCK×4	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+3.3
30	15-15	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Attack err	McKenna Corcoran		+4.6
31	16-15	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Ace	Merrimack	aced Azoria Davis	+4.9
32	17-15	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Kill	Avry Bryant		+5.0
33	17-16	MERMCK	CANISI	Blocked	Tamilore Afolalu	blk Hannah Kos, McKenna Corcoran	+3.7
34	18-16	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Naomi Vajda	set Elizabeth Kenney	+4.3
35	18-17	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	McKenna Corcoran	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+3.8
36	19-17	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Elizabeth Kenney	set Mckenna Shotwell	+4.5
37	19-18	MERMCK	CANISI	Serve err	Merrimack		+4.0
38	20-18	CANISI	MERMCK	Serve err	Canisius		+4.9
39	20-19	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Kenslie Warmbrodt	+4.2
40	21-19	CANISI	MERMCK	Serve err	Canisius		+5.3
41	21-20	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Julia Lenik	set Anna Rich	+4.5
42	22-20	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+5.9
43	22-21	MERMCK	CANISI	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Anna Rich	+4.7
44	22-22	CANISI	CANISI	Blocked	Tamilore Afolalu	blk McKenna Corcoran, Hannah Kos	+8.1
45	23-22	CANISI	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis	+8.0
46	23-23	MERMCK	CANISI×3	Kill	Azoria Davis	set Anna Rich	+7.7
47	23-24	CANISI	CANISI×3	Ace	Canisius	aced Ella Maldonado	+12.4
48	23-25	CANISI	CANISI×3	Kill	Emma Isroff	set Brenda Reynaga	+12.1

Score shown after each rally, Merrimack first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Canisius def. Merrimack 3–1

Emma Isroff served 8 aces, and Canisius needed every one.