FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026

Rider def. Canisius 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Rider 58.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Rider won at Canisius 3-0 (25-22, 25-15, 25-19) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Rider's Anja Kelly led with 13 kills, and Simone Langford added 13 digs.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set123Sets
RIDER2525253
CANISI2215190

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.476 and 13 kills for Anja Kelly as Rider rolled past Canisius.

Win probability never moved more than 7.6 points on one rally; Canisius topped out at 58% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Rider at 59%.

RiderCanisius
  • Break %+17.3 pts
    46.629.3

    34 of 73 on serve vs 17 of 58, so Canisius's sideout was 53.4%.

  • Hitting+.294
    .409.115

    45 K / 9 E against 30 K / 19 E.

  • Longest run+1
    54

    Down 8–14 in the first set, Rider scored 5 straight to pull within 13–14. That set ended 25–22.

Canisius above 50Rider belowMax swing 7.6%

RiderCanisius

Aces
Rider 4·Canisius 7
Serve err
Rider 8·Canisius 5
Blocks
Rider 11·Canisius 10 BS · 22 BA vs 0 BS · 2 BA
Digs
Rider 38·Canisius 32

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Canisius above 50 · Rider below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+7.6% RIDERrally 131 · set 3

Biggest swing: 7.6% to Rider — set 1, RIDER 23-22 CANISI. Kill by Anja Kelly (set by Makenna Mason). CANISI win probability 44% → 36%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

RIDER 61.8%38.2% CANISI

Rider wins

3-0
18.2%
3-1
23.7%
3-2
20.0%

Canisius wins

3-0
8.1%
3-1
13.8%
3-2
16.2%
RIDER break %
43.8% vs this opp
CANISI break %
41.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Anja KellyKill+7.6%

    Kill by Anja Kelly (set by Makenna Mason)

    Set 1 · RIDER 23-22 CANISI · RIDER 56% → 64%

  2. 02
    RiderAce+7.1%

    Rider ace on Olivia Van Kooten

    Set 1 · RIDER 24-22 CANISI · RIDER 64% → 71%

  3. 03
    Aubrey BakerKill+5.7%

    Kill by Aubrey Baker (set by Molly Rohde)

    Set 1 · RIDER 21-21 CANISI · RIDER 51% → 57%

  4. 04
    Alli FarmerKill+5.0%

    Kill by Alli Farmer (set by Olivia Van Kooten)

    Set 1 · RIDER 21-22 CANISI · CANISI 43% → 48%

  5. 05

    Alli Farmer stuffed by Molly Rohde & Anja Kelly

    Set 1 · RIDER 22-22 CANISI · RIDER 52% → 56%

  6. 06
    Molly RohdeKill+4.4%

    Kill by Molly Rohde

    Set 1 · RIDER 20-21 CANISI · RIDER 47% → 51%

  7. 07
    CanisiusAce+4.1%

    Canisius ace on Carly Allen

    Set 1 · RIDER 17-20 CANISI · CANISI 51% → 55%

  8. 08
    Alli FarmerAttack error+3.9%

    Attack error by Alli Farmer

    Set 1 · RIDER 25-22 CANISI · RIDER 71% → 75%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Rideraway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313321.4760000004215
39012.75001230031.511.5
38017.47100020031.59.5
3528.375100100849
3003.000390140010.50.5
3003.000000520000
39420.2500001002110
3103.33302240010.53.5
3001.0003111300001
3000–102550000
Team totals45988.40944483870221175
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310531.1610211000012
38418.2220200000010
3308.375010100004
3138-.2502711200002
3114.00000000010.51.5
21412-.25000030010.51.5
3103.333000420001
3001.0001021500000
3000–000300000
25211.273000110005
1000–111210001
Team totals301996.115297532402156

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Rider vs Canisius

Season series · Rider leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 RIDER · CANISI 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 5 RIDERCANISI 4

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 5 RIDERCANISI 2

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 RIDERCANISI 2

Bars above the line = Canisius leads, below = Rider leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rider

SlotSideout %Break %
1
89%8/9
54%7/13
2
78%7/9
53%8/15
3
78%7/9
56%9/16
4
64%7/11
13%1/8
5
46%6/13
45%5/11
6
86%6/7
40%4/10
All
71%41/58
47%34/73

Canisius

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
11%1/9
2
39%7/18
22%2/9
3
78%7/9
22%2/9
4
55%6/11
30%3/10
5
75%6/8
50%6/12
6
43%6/14
33%3/9
All
53%39/73
29%17/58

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#RIDER-CANISISrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CANISIRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Simone Langford+1.8
21-1RIDERCANISIKillAlli Farmerset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.8
31-2CANISICANISIAceCanisiusaced Olivia DeSaro+2.5
42-2CANISIRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+1.9
52-3RIDERCANISIServe errRider+1.9
63-3CANISIRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+1.9
73-4RIDERCANISI×3KillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.0
83-5CANISICANISI×3Bad setMakenna Mason+2.7
93-6CANISICANISI×3AceCanisiusaced Carly Allen+2.6
104-6CANISIRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+1.8
115-6RIDERRIDERAttack errAzoria Davis+2.6
125-7RIDERCANISI×4KillAzoria Davisset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.1
135-8CANISICANISI×4KillAlli Farmerset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.7
145-9CANISICANISI×4Attack errMolly Rohde+2.6
155-10CANISICANISI×4Attack errRylah Robinson+2.3
166-10CANISIRIDERServe errCanisius+1.5
176-11RIDERCANISIAttack errRylah Robinson+1.8
187-11CANISIRIDERServe errCanisius+1.5
197-12RIDERCANISIBad setAubrey Baker+1.8
207-13CANISICANISIAttack errMolly Rohde+2.0
218-13CANISIRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+1.2
228-14RIDERCANISIKillAlli Farmerset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.5
239-14CANISIRIDER×5KillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+1.1
2410-14RIDERRIDER×5AceRideraced Julia Lenik+1.9
2511-14RIDERRIDER×5AceRideraced Julia Lenik+2.4
2612-14RIDERRIDER×5KillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason+2.8
2713-14RIDERRIDER×5KillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason+3.2
2813-15RIDERCANISI×3KillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.8
2913-16CANISICANISI×3AceCanisiusaced Olivia DeSaro+3.5
3013-17CANISICANISI×3KillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+3.0
3114-17CANISIRIDERBlockedAzoria Davisblk Tori Bonacci, Katie Cook+1.8
3214-18RIDERCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.4
3315-18CANISIRIDER×3KillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+1.8
3416-18RIDERRIDER×3KillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+3.1
3517-18RIDERRIDER×3BlockedKenslie Warmbrodtblk Molly Rohde, Rylah Robinson+3.8
3617-19RIDERCANISIKillHayden Siebenalerset Kenslie Warmbrodt+3.4
3717-20CANISICANISIAceCanisiusaced Carly Allen+4.1
3818-20CANISIRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+2.4
3918-21RIDERCANISIKillAlli Farmerset Kenslie Warmbrodt+3.3
4019-21CANISIRIDER×3KillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+2.4
4120-21RIDERRIDER×3KillMolly Rohde+4.4
4221-21RIDERRIDER×3KillAubrey Bakerset Molly Rohde+5.7
4321-22RIDERCANISIKillAlli Farmerset Olivia Van Kooten+5.0
4422-22CANISIRIDER×4BlockedAlli Farmerblk Molly Rohde, Anja Kelly+4.8
4523-22RIDERRIDER×4KillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+7.6
4624-22RIDERRIDER×4AceRideraced Olivia Van Kooten+7.1
4725-22RIDERRIDER×4Attack errAlli Farmer+3.9
Set 2
11-0RIDERRIDERKillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason+2.2
22-0RIDERRIDERBlockedEmma Isroffblk Aubrey Baker, Molly Rohde+2.1
32-1RIDERCANISIBlockedAnja Kellyblk Hayden Siebenaler, Azoria Davis+1.6
43-1CANISIRIDER×5KillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason+1.6
54-1RIDERRIDER×5KillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+2.1
65-1RIDERRIDER×5Attack errAzoria Davis+1.9
76-1RIDERRIDER×5Attack errAzoria Davis+1.7
87-1RIDERRIDER×5KillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+1.4
97-2RIDERCANISIServe errRider+0.9
108-2CANISIRIDER×3KillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+1.1
119-2RIDERRIDER×3KillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+1.2
1210-2RIDERRIDER×3Attack errHayden Siebenaler+0.9
1310-3RIDERCANISIServe errRider+0.5
1411-3CANISIRIDERKillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason+0.7
1511-4RIDERCANISIKillAlli Farmerset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.5
1611-5CANISICANISIAceCanisiusaced Carly Allen+0.9
1712-5CANISIRIDERServe errCanisius+0.9
1813-5RIDERRIDERAceRideraced Cali Tierney+0.8
1913-6RIDERCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.5
2013-7CANISICANISIKillCali Tierneyset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.8
2114-7CANISIRIDER×3KillMolly Rohdeset Makenna Mason+0.8
2215-7RIDERRIDER×3Attack errCali Tierney+0.8
2316-7RIDERRIDER×3KillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+0.5
2416-8RIDERCANISIKillCali Tierneyset Brenda Reynaga+0.2
2517-8CANISIRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+0.4
2617-9RIDERCANISIKillCali Tierneyset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.2
2718-9CANISIRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+0.3
2818-10RIDERCANISIKillCali Tierneyset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.2
2919-10CANISIRIDERAttack errKenslie Warmbrodt+0.3
3019-11RIDERCANISIKillAlli Farmerset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.1
3120-11CANISIRIDERKillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason+0.2
3221-11RIDERRIDERAttack errKenslie Warmbrodt+0.1
3321-12RIDERCANISIServe errCarly Allen·
3422-12CANISIRIDERKillKatie Cookset Makenna Mason+0.1
3522-13RIDERCANISIServe errTori Bonacci·
3622-14CANISICANISIAceAlli Farmeraced Carly Allen+0.1
3723-14CANISIRIDERServe errAlli Farmer+0.1
3824-14RIDERRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Simone Langford·
3924-15RIDERCANISIServe errMakenna Mason·
4025-15CANISIRIDERBlockedEmma Isroffblk Molly Rohde, Rylah Robinson·
Set 3
11-0CANISIRIDERKillMolly Rohdeset Makenna Mason+1.0
22-0RIDERRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Simone Langford+1.3
32-1RIDERCANISIAttack errAnja Kelly+1.0
43-1CANISIRIDER×4KillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+1.0
54-1RIDERRIDER×4BlockedEmma Isroffblk Aubrey Baker, Tori Bonacci+1.3
65-1RIDERRIDER×4KillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason+1.2
76-1RIDERRIDER×4BlockedCali Tierneyblk Tori Bonacci, Makenna Mason+1.1
86-2RIDERCANISIKillCali Tierneyset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.7
97-2CANISIRIDERServe errBrenda Reynaga+0.8
107-3RIDERCANISIServe errCarly Allen+0.7
117-4CANISICANISIAceEmma Isroffaced Carly Allen+1.1
128-4CANISIRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+0.9
138-5RIDERCANISIServe errTori Bonacci+0.9
149-5CANISIRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+1.0
159-6RIDERCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.9
1610-6CANISIRIDER×3KillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+1.0
1711-6RIDERRIDER×3BlockedAlli Farmerblk Molly Rohde, Anja Kelly+1.1
1812-6RIDERRIDER×3Bad setKenslie Warmbrodt+0.9
1912-7RIDERCANISIKillAlli Farmerset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.6
2013-7CANISIRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+0.7
2113-8RIDERCANISIKillAlli Farmerset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.5
2213-9CANISICANISIAttack errAnja Kelly+0.9
2314-9CANISIRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+0.9
2414-10RIDERCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.7
2515-10CANISIRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+0.9
2615-11RIDERCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.7
2716-11CANISIRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+0.9
2817-11RIDERRIDERKillMolly Rohdeset Makenna Mason+0.9
2917-12RIDERCANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.5
3017-13CANISICANISIAttack errRylah Robinson+0.9
3118-13CANISIRIDERKillMolly Rohdeset Makenna Mason+0.9
3219-13RIDERRIDERBlockedAlli Farmerblk Molly Rohde, Anja Kelly+0.8
3319-14RIDERCANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.4
3419-15CANISICANISIAttack errRylah Robinson+0.8
3520-15CANISIRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Carly Allen+0.8
3621-15RIDERRIDERBlockedAlli Farmerblk Molly Rohde, Anja Kelly+0.7
3721-16RIDERCANISIKillKenslie Warmbrodtset Simone Langford+0.3
3822-16CANISIRIDERBlockedEmma Isroffblk Aubrey Baker, Molly Rohde+0.5
3922-17RIDERCANISIKillAlli Farmerset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.2
4023-17CANISIRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+0.4
4123-18RIDERCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.1
4224-18CANISIRIDERBad setKenslie Warmbrodt+0.3
4324-19RIDERCANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.1
4425-19CANISIRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Rider first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).