FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026

Prairie View def. Grambling 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Prairie View 54.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Prairie View won at Grambling 3-0 (25-22, 25-23, 25-16) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Prairie View's Valencia Wilder led with 11 kills, and Lucy Dieterlen added 16 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set123Sets
PV A&M2525253
GRAMB2223160

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Camille Middleton, and Prairie View needed each of them.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Prairie View's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ gave Prairie View 55% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Prairie View 10–6 Grambling

    6 straight Grambling points turned a 6–10 deficit into a 12–10 lead. The match swung to Grambling.

    Prairie View 64% → 48%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 1 · Prairie View 21–22 Grambling

    Prairie View scored 4 straight to turn a 21–22 deficit into a 25–22 lead. The match swung to Prairie View.

    Prairie View 48% → 72%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 2 · Prairie View 21–23 Grambling

    Prairie View closed it, 4 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–23 and lead 2–0.

    Prairie View 59% → 89%

Grambling above 50Prairie View belowMax swing 9.5%

Prairie ViewGrambling

Sideout %
Prairie View 58.7·Grambling 47.9
Break %
Prairie View 52.1·Grambling 41.3
Hitting
Prairie View .241·Grambling .139
Longest run
Prairie View 8·Grambling 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Grambling above 50 · Prairie View below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+9.5% PV A&Mrally 136 · set 3

Biggest swing: 9.5% to Prairie View — set 2, PV A&M 24-23 GRAMB. Kill by Jade Smith. GRAMB win probability 30% → 20%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PV A&M 53.1%46.9% GRAMB

Prairie View wins

3-0
13.8%
3-1
20.0%
3-2
19.2%

Grambling wins

3-0
11.3%
3-1
17.5%
3-2
18.2%
PV A&M break %
43.2% vs this opp
GRAMB break %
42.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Jade SmithKill+9.5%

    Kill by Jade Smith

    Set 2 · PV A&M 24-23 GRAMB · PV A&M 70% → 80%

  2. 02
    Prairie ViewAce+9.3%

    Prairie View ace

    Set 2 · PV A&M 25-23 GRAMB · PV A&M 80% → 89%

  3. 03

    Kill by Iyonna Sherwood (set by Kenedy Massie)

    Set 1 · PV A&M 23-22 GRAMB · PV A&M 53% → 61%

  4. 04
    Jade SmithKill+7.4%

    Kill by Jade Smith

    Set 1 · PV A&M 24-22 GRAMB · PV A&M 61% → 68%

  5. 05

    Kill by Carrington Cook

    Set 2 · PV A&M 23-23 GRAMB · PV A&M 63% → 70%

  6. 06

    Kill by Camille Middleton (set by Kenedy Massie)

    Set 1 · PV A&M 20-20 GRAMB · PV A&M 48% → 53%

  7. 07

    Kill by Rihianna Brown (set by Reece Cook)

    Set 1 · PV A&M 21-22 GRAMB · GRAMB 47% → 52%

  8. 08

    Kill by Terasita Caldwell (set by Kenedy Massie)

    Set 1 · PV A&M 22-22 GRAMB · PV A&M 48% → 53%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311122.45502120132.515.5
37735.000142121031.512.5
37118.333000400218
36320.15000050010.56.5
3316.33300000132.55.5
1000–300300000
3102.5002900500001
3000–010330001
3000–0021610000
2509.556100300005
Team totals4013112.2413475537212875
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36224.167000301017
36114.35700000010.56.5
32316-.063130530005
33310.000012300004
3000–1412600001
1036-.50010010010.50.5
310522.2270001000010
36116.313000000006
31011.00017121300002
3001.000111700001
3000–2011400000
1225.000000010002
Team totals3620115.139367853712261

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Prairie View vs Grambling

Season series · Prairie View leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 PV A&M · GRAMB 6

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 PV A&MGRAMB 6

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 8 PV A&MGRAMB 4

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 6 PV A&MGRAMB 3

Bars above the line = Grambling leads, below = Prairie View leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Prairie View

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%8/16
14%1/7
2
60%6/10
75%18/24
3
86%6/7
33%3/9
4
50%6/12
50%6/12
5
55%6/11
50%6/12
6
71%5/7
44%4/9
All
59%37/63
52%38/73

Grambling

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%7/17
56%9/16
2
33%6/18
22%2/9
3
55%6/11
40%4/10
4
46%6/13
25%2/8
5
63%5/8
60%9/15
6
83%5/6
0%0/5
All
48%35/73
41%26/63

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#PV A&M-GRAMBSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1GRAMBGRAMB×3AceGramblingaced Lucy Dieterlen+2.5
20-2GRAMBGRAMB×3BlockedCamille Middletonblk Rihianna Brown, Jaida Gray+2.5
30-3GRAMBGRAMB×3KillAmaris Marksset Jaida Gray+2.5
41-3GRAMBPV A&M×3KillIyonna Sherwoodset Tayler Ruffin+1.7
52-3PV A&MPV A&M×3Attack errJaida Gray+2.5
63-3PV A&MPV A&M×3AcePrairie View+2.6
73-4PV A&MGRAMBServe errPrairie View+2.0
84-4GRAMBPV A&MKillJade Smithset Tayler Ruffin+2.0
95-4PV A&MPV A&MKillValencia Wilder+2.7
105-5PV A&MGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+2.0
116-5GRAMBPV A&M×4Serve errGrambling+2.0
127-5PV A&MPV A&M×4AcePrairie Viewaced Amaris Marks+2.7
138-5PV A&MPV A&M×4BlockedJaida Grayblk Terasita Caldwell, Valencia Wilder+2.6
149-5PV A&MPV A&M×4Attack errJaida Gray+2.3
159-6PV A&MGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Alayna Howard+1.5
1610-6GRAMBPV A&MKillTerasita Caldwellset Tayler Ruffin+1.8
1710-7PV A&MGRAMB×6KillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+1.6
1810-8GRAMBGRAMB×6Attack errValencia Wilder+2.5
1910-9GRAMBGRAMB×6Attack errTerasita Caldwell+2.8
2010-10GRAMBGRAMB×6AceGramblingaced Shea McElroy+3.1
2110-11GRAMBGRAMB×6Attack errTerasita Caldwell+3.3
2210-12GRAMBGRAMB×6Attack errCamille Middleton+3.3
2311-12GRAMBPV A&MAttack errAmaris Marks+2.3
2411-13PV A&MGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+2.5
2512-13GRAMBPV A&MAttack errKenya Lucas+2.3
2612-14PV A&MGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Reece Cook+2.6
2713-14GRAMBPV A&MServe errGrambling+2.4
2813-15PV A&MGRAMBKillJazmine Binionset Alayna Howard+2.7
2913-16GRAMBGRAMBAceGrambling+3.4
3014-16GRAMBPV A&MAttack errJazmine Binion+2.2
3114-17PV A&MGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+2.7
3215-17GRAMBPV A&M×3KillTerasita Caldwellset Kenedy Massie+2.2
3316-17PV A&MPV A&M×3KillValencia Wilderset Kenedy Massie+3.7
3417-17PV A&MPV A&M×3KillValencia Wilderset Kenedy Massie+4.2
3517-18PV A&MGRAMBKillJazmine Binionset Alayna Howard+3.4
3617-19GRAMBGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+4.5
3718-19GRAMBPV A&MServe errGrambling+3.0
3818-20PV A&MGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+3.6
3919-20GRAMBPV A&MKillValencia Wilderset Kenedy Massie+3.1
4020-20PV A&MPV A&MKillCamille Middletonset Kenedy Massie+5.2
4120-21PV A&MGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+4.4
4221-21GRAMBPV A&MServe errGrambling+4.2
4321-22PV A&MGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Reece Cook+5.0
4422-22GRAMBPV A&M×4KillTerasita Caldwellset Kenedy Massie+4.8
4523-22PV A&MPV A&M×4KillIyonna Sherwoodset Kenedy Massie+7.8
4624-22PV A&MPV A&M×4KillJade Smith+7.4
4725-22PV A&MPV A&M×4Attack errRihianna Brown+4.1
Set 2
10-1PV A&MGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+1.8
20-2GRAMBGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+2.4
31-2GRAMBPV A&M×3BlockedKenya Lucasblk Jade Smith, Camille Middleton+1.7
42-2PV A&MPV A&M×3Attack errAmaris Marks+2.4
53-2PV A&MPV A&M×3AcePrairie Viewaced Amaris Marks+2.4
63-3PV A&MGRAMBServe errPrairie View+1.8
74-3GRAMBPV A&MKillTerasita Caldwellset Kenedy Massie+1.9
84-4PV A&MGRAMBServe errPrairie View+1.9
95-4GRAMBPV A&MKillIyonna Sherwoodset Kenedy Massie+1.9
105-5PV A&MGRAMB×3KillJazmine Binionset Alayna Howard+1.9
115-6GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errTerasita Caldwell+2.7
125-7GRAMBGRAMB×3AceGramblingaced Shea McElroy+2.7
136-7GRAMBPV A&MKillValencia Wilderset Kenedy Massie+1.9
146-8PV A&MGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+2.1
157-8GRAMBPV A&MKillValencia Wilderset Kenedy Massie+1.9
168-8PV A&MPV A&MAcePrairie Viewaced Amaris Marks+2.8
178-9PV A&MGRAMBServe errPrairie View+2.2
188-10GRAMBGRAMBAttack errCamille Middleton+2.9
199-10GRAMBPV A&MKillCamille Middletonset Kenedy Massie+2.0
2010-10PV A&MPV A&MAttack errKenya Lucas+3.0
2110-11PV A&MGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Asialin Powell+2.3
2211-11GRAMBPV A&MKillCamille Middletonset Kenedy Massie+2.3
2311-12PV A&MGRAMB×4Attack errIyonna Sherwood+2.4
2411-13GRAMBGRAMB×4AceGramblingaced Camille Middleton+3.2
2511-14GRAMBGRAMB×4KillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+3.1
2611-15GRAMBGRAMB×4KillReece Cookset Amaris Marks+2.7
2712-15GRAMBPV A&MKillIyonna Sherwoodset Kenedy Massie+1.7
2812-16PV A&MGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Reece Cook+2.1
2913-16GRAMBPV A&MServe errGrambling+1.7
3014-16PV A&MPV A&MKillValencia Wilderset Kenedy Massie+2.8
3114-17PV A&MGRAMB×3KillJazmine Binionset Alayna Howard+2.5
3214-18GRAMBGRAMB×3KillJazmine Binionset Alayna Howard+2.9
3314-19GRAMBGRAMB×3AceGramblingaced Shea McElroy+2.2
3415-19GRAMBPV A&MAttack errLyric Jordan+1.1
3515-20PV A&MGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+1.6
3616-20GRAMBPV A&MKillValencia Wilderset Kenedy Massie+1.0
3716-21PV A&MGRAMBAttack errCamille Middleton+1.6
3816-22GRAMBGRAMBBlockedJade Smithblk Lyric Jordan+1.2
3917-22GRAMBPV A&MAttack errAngelique Pena+0.4
4017-23PV A&MGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+0.7
4118-23GRAMBPV A&M×8BlockedAmaris Marksblk Jade Smith, Iyonna Sherwood+0.3
4219-23PV A&MPV A&M×8AcePrairie View+0.7
4320-23PV A&MPV A&M×8KillIyonna Sherwoodset Kenedy Massie+1.3
4421-23PV A&MPV A&M×8Attack errKenya Lucas+2.5
4522-23PV A&MPV A&M×8KillCarrington Cookset Kenedy Massie+4.5
4623-23PV A&MPV A&M×8KillCarrington Cook+7.2
4724-23PV A&MPV A&M×8KillJade Smith+9.5
4825-23PV A&MPV A&M×8AcePrairie View+9.3
Set 3
10-1GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errCamille Middleton+1.5
20-2GRAMBGRAMB×3KillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+1.6
30-3GRAMBGRAMB×3AceGrambling+1.5
41-3GRAMBPV A&M×3Serve errGrambling+1.1
52-3PV A&MPV A&M×3BlockedLyric Jordanblk Jade Smith+1.5
63-3PV A&MPV A&M×3KillTerasita Caldwellset Kenedy Massie+1.6
73-4PV A&MGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+1.2
84-4GRAMBPV A&MServe errGrambling+1.2
94-5PV A&MGRAMBKillAvri Solik-Fifarekset Reece Cook+1.3
105-5GRAMBPV A&MServe errGrambling+1.2
115-6PV A&MGRAMBKillAvri Solik-Fifarekset Asialin Powell+1.3
126-6GRAMBPV A&M×6KillTerasita Caldwellset Kenedy Massie+1.3
137-6PV A&MPV A&M×6KillValencia Wilderset Avri Solik-Fifarek+1.8
148-6PV A&MPV A&M×6KillCamille Middletonset Kenedy Massie+1.7
159-6PV A&MPV A&M×6BlockedAvri Solik-Fifarekblk Valencia Wilder, Camille Middleton+1.6
1610-6PV A&MPV A&M×6KillCamille Middletonset Alayna Howard+1.5
1711-6PV A&MPV A&M×6KillKenedy Massieset Carrington Cook+1.3
1811-7PV A&MGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+0.8
1912-7GRAMBPV A&MKillValencia Wilderset Kenedy Massie+1.0
2013-7PV A&MPV A&MAcePrairie Viewaced Avri Solik-Fifarek+1.1
2113-8PV A&MGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+0.6
2214-8GRAMBPV A&MAttack errAngelique Pena+0.8
2314-9PV A&MGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Alayna Howard+0.6
2414-10GRAMBGRAMBAttack errCamille Middleton+1.1
2515-10GRAMBPV A&M×3BlockedKenya Lucasblk Jade Smith, Camille Middleton+1.0
2616-10PV A&MPV A&M×3KillIyonna Sherwoodset Kenedy Massie+1.0
2717-10PV A&MPV A&M×3KillCarrington Cookset Camille Middleton+0.7
2817-11PV A&MGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Reece Cook+0.3
2918-11GRAMBPV A&M×3KillCarrington Cookset Kenedy Massie+0.5
3019-11PV A&MPV A&M×3BlockedAngelique Penablk Valencia Wilder+0.4
3120-11PV A&MPV A&M×3BlockedAvri Solik-Fifarekblk Iyonna Sherwood, Valencia Wilder+0.2
3220-12PV A&MGRAMBServe errLucy Dieterlen+0.1
3320-13GRAMBGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Piper Nelson+0.2
3421-13GRAMBPV A&MKillIyonna Sherwoodset Kenedy Massie+0.2
3521-14PV A&MGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Reece Cook+0.1
3621-15GRAMBGRAMBAttack errCamille Middleton+0.2
3722-15GRAMBPV A&MKillCarrington Cookset Kenedy Massie+0.3
3823-15PV A&MPV A&MKillCamille Middletonset Kenedy Massie+0.2
3923-16PV A&MGRAMBKillJazmine Binionset Alayna Howard·
4024-16GRAMBPV A&MKillValencia Wilderset Kenedy Massie+0.1
4125-16PV A&MPV A&MKillCamille Middletonset Kenedy Massie·

Score shown after each rally, Prairie View first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).